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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1530835
商用車市場の2030年までの予測:車両タイプ別、推進タイプ別、動力源別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の世界分析Commercial Vehicles Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Propulsion Type, Power Source, End User and by Geography |
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商用車市場の2030年までの予測:車両タイプ別、推進タイプ別、動力源別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の世界分析 |
出版日: 2024年08月01日
発行: Stratistics Market Research Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 200+ Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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Stratistics MRCによると、世界の商用車市場は、2024年に1兆2,827億3,000万米ドルとなり、予測期間中に9.3%のCAGRで成長し、2030年までには2兆1,870億4,000万米ドルに達すると予測されています。
商用車は主に、商業環境における人や製品の移動を容易にします。トラック、バン、バス、タクシーなど多種多様な車両がこのカテゴリーに含まれ、それぞれが特定の業界の需要を満たすように設計されています。商用車は、製品を生産者から流通業者、最終顧客へと容易に移動させることができるため、ロジスティクスおよび運輸業界にとって不可欠です。さらに、公共交通機関にとっても不可欠な要素であり、信頼できる効果的な移動手段を提供しています。
米国トラック協会(ATA)によると、トラック運送業界は米国内の全貨物トン数の70%近くを輸送しており、商用車が米国経済において重要な役割を果たしていることが明らかになっています。
ラストマイル配送への要求の高まり
ラストマイル配送(配送センターから最終顧客まで商品を運ぶ配送の最終段階)の重要性は、オンライン・ショッピングの増加によって浮き彫りになっています。迅速かつ正確な配送が不可欠であるため、この段階での顧客満足の確保は極めて重要です。また、ラストマイル配送ソリューションの需要が高まっているため、時間通りに商品を届けるために、軽快で効率的、かつ都市環境で操縦できる小型商用車の必要性が高まっています。
燃料コストの変動
商用車の運行コストは、燃料価格の極端な変動によって大きな影響を受ける可能性があります。燃料価格の上昇に伴い輸送コストも上昇するため、物流・配送企業の利益率が悪化する可能性があります。この変動により、企業は適切な計画と予算を立てることが難しくなり、車両の更新や拡張に遅れが生じる可能性があります。さらに、特定の地域における燃料価格の予測不可能性は、企業の新型商用車への投資意欲を削ぎ、他の輸送手段を探すよう促す可能性があります。
電気商用車の成長
持続可能性と二酸化炭素排出量削減がますます重要になるにつれ、商用車販売には大きなチャンスがあります。電気商用車(ECV)の使用は、企業が環境への影響を削減し、厳しい排出基準を満たそうとする中で、人気が高まっています。ECVは、バッテリー技術の発展と信頼性の高い充電インフラのおかげで、より実用的で手頃な価格になりつつあります。さらに、各国政府は減税や補助金など、電気自動車の使用を奨励するインセンティブを提供しています。メーカーは、この動向のおかげで、さまざまな電気トラック、バン、バスを製造・販売する大きなチャンスを手にしています。
サイバーセキュリティのリスクと技術的混乱
技術の進歩には多くの利点がある一方で、商用車市場は新たな脅威にも直面しています。技術の急速な進歩は、新しい設備や従業員トレーニングへの継続的な投資を必要とし、財源を圧迫する可能性があります。また、商用車のデジタル技術や接続機能の統合が進むことで、サイバーセキュリティに対する懸念も生じています。データ流出やサイバー攻撃は、業務に深刻な障害を与え、セキュリティを危険にさらし、多額の費用を要する可能性があります。さらに、メーカーや事業者は、顧客の信頼と規制遵守を維持するために、コネクテッドカーや自律走行車のセキュリティを確保するという課題に直面しています。
COVID-19パンデミックは需要、サプライチェーン、生産に大きな混乱を引き起こし、商用車市場に多大な影響を与えました。車両の販売は減少し、製造施設は一時的な操業停止に見舞われ、施錠や規制の結果、部品の納入が遅れました。パンデミックはオンライン・ショッピングへの移行を早め、ラストマイル配送サービスの必要性を高める一方、産業活動の衰退の結果、長距離輸送の必要性を低下させました。
予測期間中、大型商用トラックセグメントが最大となる見込み
大型商用トラックセグメントは、主に長距離輸送に不可欠な機能と大きな荷物を促進する能力により、商用車の中で最大の市場シェアを占めています。重い荷物を効率よく長距離移動させることができるため、これらのトラックは鉱業、建設、物流など多くの産業にとって不可欠です。さらに、国際貿易の増加、インフラの拡大、効果的なサプライチェーン・マネジメントに対する需要の高まりが、大型トラックの需要を促進する主な要因となっています。
予測期間中、電気自動車(EV)セグメントが最も高いCAGRが見込まれる
商用車市場では、電気自動車(EV)セグメントが最も高いCAGRで成長しています。バッテリー技術の進歩、排ガス規制の強化、環境問題への関心の高まりが、この急成長の主な原因です。世界各国の政府が電気自動車の導入を奨励する政策を制定し、インセンティブを提供していることも、この成長をさらに後押ししています。従来の内燃エンジン車と比べ、電気自動車(EV)には、運転コストの削減、低排出ガス、運転音の静かさなど、多くの利点があります。
商用車市場では、アジア太平洋地域が最大のシェアを占めています。中国やインドのような主要経済圏は急速に工業化が進み、都市化が進んでいるため、商用車の需要が大幅に増加し、その優位性に寄与しています。同地域の市場拡大をさらに後押ししているのは、大規模で拡大する人口、中間層の増加、インフラ整備の進展です。さらに、アジア太平洋地域は商用車業界で大きな市場シェアを占めていますが、これは大手自動車メーカーの存在と競争力のある価格戦略によるところが大きいです。
商用車市場は、ラテンアメリカ地域で最も高いCAGRで成長しています。ロジスティクスと輸送への投資の増加、インフラ開発イニシアティブ、景気回復プログラムがこの成長の主な要因です。主なプレーヤーはブラジルとメキシコで、旅客輸送と貨物輸送の両方の需要増加と、道路網をアップグレードする政府の取り組みから利益を得ています。さらに、この地域の大都市圏の成長と経済環境の改善も、商用車販売台数の高い成長率の要因となっています。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Commercial Vehicles Market is accounted for $1282.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2187.04 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.3% during the forecast period. Commercial vehicles primarily facilitate the movement of people and products in a commercial setting. A vast variety of vehicles, including trucks, vans, buses, and taxis, are included in this category; each is designed to satisfy the demands of a particular industry. Commercial vehicles are essential to the logistics and transportation industries because they make it easier for products to be moved from producers to distributors and final customers. Moreover, they are an essential component of public transportation, offering dependable and effective ways to get around.
According to the American Trucking Associations (ATA), the trucking industry is responsible for moving nearly 70% of all freight tonnage in the United States, underscoring the critical role that commercial vehicles play in the nation's economy.
Growing requirement for delivery in the last mile
The importance of last-mile delivery, which is the last stage of delivery where products are transported from a distribution center to the final customer, has been brought to light by the rise in online shopping. Ensuring customer satisfaction during this phase is crucial because prompt and precise deliveries are essential. Additionally, the need for light commercial vehicles that are nimble, effective, and able to maneuver through urban settings in order to deliver goods on time has increased due to the growing demand for last-mile delivery solutions.
Varying costs of fuel
The operating costs of commercial vehicles can be greatly impacted by the extreme volatility of fuel prices. The cost of transportation goes up with rising fuel prices, which can hurt logistics and delivery companies' profit margins. Businesses find it difficult to properly plan and budget because of this volatility, which could cause delays in fleet renewal or expansion. Furthermore, the unpredictability of fuel prices in certain areas can discourage businesses from investing in new commercial vehicles and push them to look for other forms of transportation.
Growth of electric commercial automobiles
Commercial vehicle sales have a big chance as sustainability and cutting carbon emissions become more and more important. The use of electric commercial vehicles (ECVs) is growing in popularity as companies look to reduce their environmental impact and meet strict emission standards. ECVs are becoming more practical and affordable thanks to developments in battery technology and a reliable charging infrastructure. Additionally, governments everywhere are providing incentives to encourage the use of electric vehicles, including tax breaks and subsidies. Manufacturers have a great chance to create and sell a variety of electric trucks, vans, and buses thanks to this trend.
Cybersecurity risks and technological disruption
While there are many benefits to technological advancements, the market for commercial vehicles also faces new threats. Quick advances in technology necessitate ongoing investments in new equipment and employee training, which can put strain on financial resources. Concerns about cybersecurity are also raised by the growing integration of digital technologies and connectivity features in commercial vehicles. Data breaches and cyberattacks have the potential to seriously impair operations, jeopardize security, and cost a large amount of money. Furthermore, manufacturers and operators are facing an increasing challenge in ensuring the security of connected and autonomous vehicles in order to uphold customer confidence and regulatory compliance.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions in demand, supply chains, and production, which had a profound effect on the commercial vehicle market. Vehicle sales decreased, manufacturing facilities experienced temporary shutdowns, and component deliveries were delayed as a result of lockdowns and restrictions. The pandemic hastened the transition to online shopping, increasing the need for last-mile delivery services while decreasing the need for long-distance transportation as a result of a decline in industrial activity.
The Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The heavy-duty commercial truck segment commands the largest market share among commercial vehicles, mainly because of its indispensable function in long-distance transportation and ability to tow large loads. Because they can move heavy loads over long distances with efficiency, these trucks are vital to many industries, such as mining, construction, and logistics. Additionally, the rise in international trade, the expansion of infrastructure, and the growing demand for effective supply chain management are the main factors driving the demand for heavy trucks.
The Electric Vehicle (EV) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the commercial vehicle market, the electric vehicle (EV) segment is growing at the highest CAGR. Advances in battery technology, stricter emission regulations, and growing environmental concerns are the main causes of this surge. This growth is being further fuelled by governments around the world enacting policies and offering incentives to encourage the adoption of electric vehicles. Compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles, electric vehicles (EVs) have a number of benefits, such as lower operating costs, lower emissions, and quieter operating vehicles.
Within the commercial vehicle market, the Asia-Pacific region has the largest share. Major economies like China and India are rapidly industrializing and becoming more urbanized, which has greatly increased demand for commercial vehicles and contributed to their dominance. Further supporting market expansion in the area is its sizable and expanding population, growing middle class, and increased infrastructure development. Moreover, Asia-Pacific has a significant market share in the commercial vehicle industry, which is largely due to the presence of major vehicle manufacturers and competitive pricing strategies.
The commercial vehicle market is growing at the highest CAGR in the Latin America region. Increased investments in logistics and transportation, infrastructure development initiatives, and economic recovery programs are the main drivers of this growth. Key players include Brazil and Mexico, which gain from increased demand for both passenger and freight transportation as well as from government initiatives to upgrade road networks. Additionally, the region's growing metropolitan areas and improving economic climate are also factors in the strong growth rate of commercial vehicle sales.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Commercial Vehicles market include Tata Motors Limited, General Motors Company, Bosch Rexroth AG, Volkswagen AG, Ford Motor Company, AB Volvo, Toyota Motor Corporation, Mitsubishi Motors Corporation, Daimler AG, Navistar International Corporation, Mercedes-Benz Group AG, Ashok Leyland Limited, Hyundai Motor Company, Robert Bosch GmbH, Mahindra & Mahindra Limited and Isuzu Motors Limited.
In February 2024, Volkswagen Group and Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) have signed the first supply agreement on components of Volkswagen's MEB for Mahindra's purpose-built electric platform INGLO, taking a definitive step further on their joint vision for e-mobility collaboration. The deal covers the supply of certain electric components as well as unified cells.
In October 2023, General Motors and the United Auto Workers union have reached a tentative contract agreement that could end a six-week-old strike against Detroit automakers, a person briefed on the deal. The deal follows the pattern set with Ford last week and Jeep maker Stellantis over the weekend.
In October 2023, Tata Motors and Freight Commerce Solutions Private Limited ('Freight Tiger') have signed a Securities Subscription Agreement (SSA) and a Shareholders Agreement (SHA) for the acquisition of 26.79% stake in 'Freight Tiger' for a consideration of Rs 150 Crores. The SSA also includes a provision enabling Tata Motors to further invest Rs 100 Crores over the next two years, at the then prevailing market value.