大型商用車の市場規模：車両タイプ別、用途別、地域別、範囲および予測

大型商用車の市場規模と予測

大型商用車市場規模は、2024年に1,329億8,000万米ドル、2031年には2,649億7,000万米ドルに達し、2024年から2031年までのCAGRは9%で成長すると予測されます。大型商用車（HCV）は、長距離で大量の貨物を輸送するために設計された大型で強力な車両です。世界のサプライ・チェーンの基幹であり、食料品や消費財から建築資材や産業機器に至るまで、あらゆるもの移動を担っています。大型商用車（HCV）には、物資の輸送に欠かせない大型でパワフルなさまざまなトラックが含まれます。取り外し可能なトレーラーを牽引する巨大なセミトラックから、特殊なダンプトラック、タンクローリー、コンクリートミキサー、配送車まで、HCVは世界の商業を動かしています。

より持続可能なHCVを開発しようという動きが高まっています。これには、電気や水素を動力源とするトラックの開発、燃料効率の改善などが含まれます。

世界の大型商用車市場力学

大型商用車市場を形成している主な市場力学

市場促進要因

厳しい排ガス規制

世界各国政府は、大気汚染を抑制し気候変動と闘うため、より厳しい排出ガス規制を制定しています。このため、電気や水素を動力源とするトラックなど、よりクリーンで燃料効率の高いHCVの開発が推進されています。こうした規制は、テールパイプからの排出ガスだけでなく、製造、運行、廃棄を含む車両のライフサイクル全体を通しての温室効果ガス排出にも焦点を当てています。この総合的なアプローチは、メーカーに全面的によりクリーンな技術の開発を促しています。

インフラ開発

大型商用トラックはインフラ開発プロジェクトの基幹です。新しい道路、橋、港湾、その他の重要なインフラを建設するために必要な原材料、設備、建設作業員の輸送に不可欠です。インフラ投資への政府投資が世界中で増加するにつれ、これらのプロジェクトを支える大型商用車の需要も増加すると思われます。

eコマースの成長

eコマース・ブームにより、消費者はますます多種多様な商品を購入するためにオンライン・プラットフォームを利用するようになり、小売業界の状況は大きく変化しました。このため、eコマース大手も従来の小売業者も、商品を消費者に直接届ける効率的で費用対効果の高い方法を模索しており、配送サービスに対する需要が急増しています。こうした需要の高まりに対応するため、ロジスティクス企業は大型トラックの保有台数を増やし、出荷される商品の増加に対応しています。eコマースの普及が世界中で拡大し続けているため、この動向は今後も続くと予想されます。

主要課題：

よりクリーンなパワートレインへの移行

排出ガスの削減は大きな課題です。その背景には、環境問題への懸念と持続可能性への関心の高まりがあります。電気自動車、水素燃料電池自動車、液化天然ガス（LNG）自動車が検討されており、それぞれに利点と課題があります。バッテリー式電気自動車（EV）は、航続距離と充電速度の点でバッテリー技術が向上しているため、短距離輸送用途や都市部で人気を集めています。しかし、長距離用途では、航続距離の限界と充電インフラのギャップが依然としてハードルとなっています。水素燃料電池車は、航続距離の延長と給油時間の短縮の可能性を提供するが、水素インフラはまだ開発の初期段階にあります。液化天然ガス（LNG）はディーゼルに代わるよりクリーンな燃焼方法だが、ゼロエミッションのソリューションではなく、インフラ開発も必要です。

サプライチェーンの混乱

COVID-19の大流行は世界・サプライチェーンの脆弱性を露呈し、半導体チップや自動車生産に必要なその他の重要部品の不足につながった。現在進行中のロシアとウクライナの紛争は、両国が原材料と自動車部品の重要な生産国であることから、サプライチェーンの問題をさらに悪化させました。こうした混乱は車両生産と納車に遅れをもたらし、車両更新サイクルに影響を与え、新車トラックの待ち時間を増加させています。

主要動向：

電動化

電気自動車（EV）への移行は大きな動向であり、バッテリー技術は航続距離と充電速度の点で向上しています。このため、ルートの予測可能性や短距離といった要素が現在のバッテリー性能で対応可能な短距離用途や都市部では、EVの実行可能性が高まっています。しかし、長距離トラック輸送では、航続距離の制限や充電インフラの格差といった課題が残る。航続距離を延ばし、長距離輸送に対応できる急速充電ネットワークを開発するためには、バッテリー技術に多大な投資が必要です。政府の政策とインセンティブも、電気トラックを従来のディーゼル車と比較してコスト競争力を高めることにより、電気トラックの採用を促進する上で重要な役割を果たすと思われます。

コネクテッドビークルと自律走行車（CAV）：プラトゥーニング（電子的に連結されたトラックによる燃費向上）や自律走行トラックのような技術が研究されています。これらは業界に革命をもたらす可能性を秘めているが、規制の枠組みやインフラの開発が必要です。

目次

第1章 イントロダクション

• 市場の定義
• 市場セグメンテーション
• 調査手法

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

• 主な調査結果
• 市場概要
• 市場ハイライト

第3章 市場概要

• 市場規模と成長の可能性
• 市場動向
• 市場促進要因
• 市場抑制要因
• 市場機会
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第4章 大型商用車市場：車両タイプ別

• トラック
• ピックアップ
• バン
• ボックストラック
• トラクター・トレーラー
• バス
• スクールバス
• トランジットバス

第5章 大型商用車市場：用途別

• 輸送
• 建設
• 鉱業
• 伐採
• 廃棄物管理

第6章 地域分析

• 北米
• 米国
• カナダ
• メキシコ
• 欧州
• 英国
• ドイツ
• フランス
• イタリア
• アジア太平洋
• 中国
• 日本
• インド
• オーストラリア
• ラテンアメリカ
• ブラジル
• アルゼンチン
• チリ
• 中東・アフリカ
• 南アフリカ
• サウジアラビア
• アラブ首長国連邦

第7章 市場力学

• 市場促進要因
• 市場抑制要因
• 市場機会
• COVID-19の市場への影響

第8章 競合情勢

• 主要企業
• 市場シェア分析

第9章 企業プロファイル

• PACCAR Inc.
• Daimler AG（incl. Mercedes-Benz Trucks）
• Volvo Group（incl. Volvo Trucks, Mack Trucks）
• MAN SE（owned by Volkswagen Group）
• Tata Motors Limited

第10章 市場の展望と機会

• 新興技術
• 今後の市場動向
• 投資機会

第11章 付録

• 略語リスト
• 出典と参考文献

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market Size and Forecast

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market size was valued at USD 132.98 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 264.97 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 9% from 2024 to 2031. Heavy commercial vehicles (HCVs) are large, powerful vehicles designed to transport large quantities of freight over long distances. They are the backbone of the global supply chain, responsible for moving everything from food and consumer goods to building materials and industrial equipment. Heavy commercial vehicles (HCVs) encompass a variety of large, powerful trucks essential for transporting goods. From the massive, detachable trailer-towing semi-trucks to the specialized dump trucks, tank trucks, concrete mixers, and delivery vehicles, HCVs keep the world's commerce moving.

There is a growing movement to develop more sustainable HCVs. This includes developing electric and hydrogen-powered trucks, as well as improving fuel efficiency.

Global Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market Dynamics

The key market dynamics that are shaping the Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market include:

Key Market Drivers

Stringent Emission Regulations

: Governments around the world are enacting stricter emission regulations to curb air pollution and combat climate change. This is driving the development of cleaner, more fuel-efficient HCVs, such as electric and hydrogen-powered trucks. These regulations are not only focused on tailpipe emissions, but also greenhouse gas emissions throughout the entire lifecycle of the vehicle, including manufacturing, operation, and disposal. This holistic approach is pushing manufacturers to develop cleaner technologies across the board.

Infrastructure Development

: Large commercial trucks are the backbone of infrastructure development projects. They are essential for transporting the raw materials, equipment, and construction crews needed to build new roads, bridges, ports, and other critical infrastructure. As government investment in infrastructure spending increases around the globe, so too will the demand for heavy commercial vehicles to support these projects.

Growth of E-Commerce

: The e-commerce boom has significantly reshaped the retail landscape, with consumers increasingly turning to online platforms to purchase a wider variety of goods. This has led to a surge in demand for delivery services, as e-commerce giants and traditional retailers alike look for efficient and cost-effective ways to deliver products directly to consumers. To meet this growing demand, logistics companies are expanding their fleets of heavy-duty trucks to handle the increased volume of goods being shipped. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, as e-commerce penetration continues to grow across the globe.

Key Challenges:

Transition to cleaner powertrains

: Reducing emissions is a major push. This is being to environmental concerns and a growing focus on sustainability. Electric, hydrogen fuel cell, and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) vehicles are all being explored, each with its advantages and challenges. Battery electric vehicles (EVs) are gaining traction for short-haul applications and urban areas, with battery technology improving in terms of range and charging speeds. However, for long-haul applications, range limitations and charging infrastructure gaps remain hurdles. Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles offer the potential for longer ranges and faster refueling times, but hydrogen infrastructure is still in its early stages of development. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is a cleaner burning alternative to diesel, but it's not a zero-emission solution, and infrastructure development is also needed.

Supply chain disruptions

: The COVID-19 pandemic exposed vulnerabilities in global supply chains, leading to shortages of semiconductor chips and other critical components needed for vehicle production. The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has further exacerbated supply chain issues, as both countries are important producers of raw materials and automotive parts. These disruptions have caused delays in vehicle production and delivery, impacting fleet renewal cycles and increasing wait times for new trucks

Key Trends:

Electrification

: The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is a major trend, with battery technology improving in terms of range and charging speeds. This makes EVs increasingly viable for short-haul applications and urban areas, where factors like route predictability and shorter distances can be addressed with current battery capabilities. However, for long-haul trucking, challenges like range limitations and charging infrastructure gaps remain. Significant investments are needed in battery technology to extend the range and develop a fast-charging network capable of supporting long-distance journeys. Government policies and incentives will also play a crucial role in encouraging the adoption of electric trucks by making them more cost-competitive with traditional diesel vehicles.

Connected and Autonomous Vehicles(CAVs):

Technologies like platooning (electronically linked trucks for improved fuel efficiency) and autonomous trucks are being investigated. These have the potential to revolutionize the industry but require regulatory frameworks and infrastructure development.

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Global Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market Regional Analysis

Here is a more detailed regional analysis of the heavy Commercial Vehicles Market:

Asia Pacific:

According to Verified Market Research, Asia Pacific is estimated to dominate the market over the forecast period. Rapid economic growth and increasing infrastructure development in countries like China and India are driving demand for trucks for construction and transportation activities.

Growing urbanization is leading to a rise in demand for delivery vehicles as more people shop online and expect fast and convenient delivery of goods. E-commerce is booming in this region, with China being a global leader. This growth in online retail translates to a significant demand for last-mile delivery vehicles, vans, and trucks of various sizes. Furthermore, the growing population in urban centers creates a need for efficient distribution of goods and services, which is further fueling the demand for heavy commercial vehicles.

Government initiatives promoting cleaner technologies like electric and LNG vehicles are creating opportunities for new players to enter the market and for established manufacturers to develop new product lines. This is particularly true for electric trucks, as traditional commercial vehicle manufacturers may not have the same level of expertise in electric vehicle technology compared to companies specializing in electric vehicles. Government support can help to level the playing field and encourage innovation in the sector.

Europe:

The European market for heavy commercial vehicles is mature but is still expected to see steady growth. Strict emission regulations (like Euro 7) are a major driver for the adoption of cleaner technologies like electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

There is a strong focus on improving safety standards in Europe, leading to increased demand for vehicles with advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). ADAS features such as automatic emergency braking (AEB), lane departure warning (LDW), and blind spot monitoring (BSM) can help to prevent collisions and reduce accidents.

The European Union is also investing in infrastructure development to support the electrification of the transportation sector, including charging stations for electric trucks.

North America:

The North American market for heavy commercial vehicles is also well-established, with the United States being the dominant player.

There is a demand for cleaner technologies and advanced safety features in North America. However, the pace of adoption may be slower compared to Asia due to factors like higher upfront costs of electric vehicles and a less extensive charging infrastructure network.

The need for heavy commercial vehicles leads to three main forces such as aging fleets being replaced with more efficient models, booming e-commerce requiring more delivery trucks, and infrastructure projects creating demand for construction equipment and transportation.

Global Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market: Segmentation Analysis

The Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market is segmented based on Vehicle Type, Application, And Geography.

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market, By Product Type

• Trucks
• Pickups
• Vans
• Box trucks
• Tractor-trailers
• Buses
• School buses
• Transit buses
• Motor coaches
• Construction Vehicles
• Dump trucks
• Concrete mixers
• Cranes

Based on Product Type, the market is segmented into Trucks, Pickups, Vans, Box trucks, Tractor-trailers, Buses, School buses, Transit buses, Motor coaches, Construction Vehicles, Dump trucks, Concrete mixers, Cranes & Others. Trucks are expected to dominate the heavy commercial vehicle market. This is driven by strong demand across sectors like construction, transportation, and logistics. The replacement of aging fleets, booming e-commerce requiring delivery vehicles, and ongoing infrastructure projects all contribute to the high demand for trucks.

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market, By Application

• Transportation
• Construction
• Mining
• Logging
• Waste Management
• Others

Based on Application, the market is segmented into Transportation, Construction, Mining, Logging, Waste Management, and Others. Transportation is the dominating application segment in the heavy commercial vehicle market. This is because it encompasses a wide range of activities including trucking goods across regions, deliveries for e-commerce, and public transportation via buses. The ongoing growth of e-commerce and the constant need to move goods and people make transportation a major driver for trucks, buses, and vans.

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market, By Geography

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• Rest of the World

Based on Geography, the apparel market is classified into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World. The Asia Pacific region is anticipated to lead the heavy commercial vehicle market. This dominance is due to a combination of factors such as rapid economic growth and infrastructure development, booming e-commerce driving demand for delivery trucks, and government initiatives promoting cleaner technologies. These factors create a perfect storm for heavy commercial vehicle growth in this region.

Key Players

• The "Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market" study report will provide valuable insight with an emphasis on the global market. The major players in the market are
• PACCAR Inc., Daimler AG (incl. Mercedes-Benz Trucks), Volvo Group (incl. Volvo Trucks, Mack Trucks), MAN SE (owned by Volkswagen Group), and Tata Motors Limited.

Our market analysis also entails a section solely dedicated to such major players wherein our analysts provide an insight into the financial statements of all the major players, along with its product benchmarking and SWOT analysis. The competitive landscape section also includes key development strategies, market share, and market ranking analysis of the above-mentioned players globally.

• Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market Recent Developments
• In 2024, Daimler AG, recently launched advanced Euro VII-compliant diesel engines with improved fuel efficiency and emission reduction.
• In 2022, PACCAR, launched an enhanced version of their battery-electric Peterbilt 579EV, boasting a significantly extended range. This upgrade allows the truck to operate for longer distances on a single charge, making it more practical for a wider range of applications. The extended range is a significant step forward in the development of commercially viable electric trucks and could help accelerate adoption in the North American market.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Introduction

• Market Definition
• Market Segmentation
• Research Methodology

2. Executive Summary

• Key Findings
• Market Overview
• Market Highlights

3. Market Overview

• Market Size and Growth Potential
• Market Trends
• Market Drivers
• Market Restraints
• Market Opportunities
• Porter's Five Forces Analysis

4. Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market, By Vehicle Type

• Trucks
• Pickups
• Vans
• Box trucks
• Tractor-trailers
• Buses
• School buses
• Transit buses

5. Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market, By Application

• Transportation
• Construction
• Mining
• Logging
• Waste Management

6. Regional Analysis

• North America
• United States
• Canada
• Mexico
• Europe
• United Kingdom
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• Asia-Pacific
• China
• Japan
• India
• Australia
• Latin America
• Brazil
• Argentina
• Chile
• Middle East and Africa
• South Africa
• Saudi Arabia
• UAE

7. Market Dynamics

• Market Drivers
• Market Restraints
• Market Opportunities
• Impact of COVID-19 on the Market

8. Competitive Landscape

• Key Players
• Market Share Analysis

9. Company Profiles

• PACCAR Inc.
• Daimler AG (incl. Mercedes-Benz Trucks)
• Volvo Group (incl. Volvo Trucks, Mack Trucks)
• MAN SE (owned by Volkswagen Group)
• Tata Motors Limited

10. Market Outlook and Opportunities

• Emerging Technologies
• Future Market Trends
• Investment Opportunities

11. Appendix

• List of Abbreviations
• Sources and References