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食用油市場の2030年までの予測:包装タイプ別、タイプ別、性質別、地域別の世界分析Edible Oils Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Packaging Type, Type, Nature and By Geography |
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食用油市場の2030年までの予測:包装タイプ別、タイプ別、性質別、地域別の世界分析 |
出版日: 2024年11月11日
発行: Stratistics Market Research Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 200+ Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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Stratistics MRCによると、世界の食用油市場は2024年に2,443億米ドルを占め、2030年には3,708億米ドルに達すると予測され、予測期間中のCAGRは7.2%です。
食用油とは、植物、動物、または合成ソースから得られる油で、人間が消費しても安全であり、調理、食品準備、食品加工に一般的に使用されます。これらの油には脂肪が豊富に含まれており、エネルギーの供給、細胞成長のサポート、特定のビタミンの吸収に不可欠です。最も一般的な食用油には、ヒマワリ油、キャノーラ油、オリーブ油、パーム油などの植物油と、バターやラードなどの動物油があります。食用油の脂肪組成はさまざまで、飽和脂肪酸を多く含むもの(ココナッツオイルなど)もあれば、不飽和脂肪酸を多く含むもの(一価不飽和脂肪酸を多く含むオリーブオイルなど)もあります。
エジプト国立研究センターの機関誌に掲載された論文によると、食用油への関心の高まりに伴い、油糧種子の栽培面積は過去30年間で82%増加し、生産量もおよそ増加しています。
機能性食品の消費の増加
機能性食品に対する需要の高まりは、消費者の健康と栄養に対する意識が高まるにつれて、食用油の開発と消費を大幅に促進しています。機能性食品とは、基本的な栄養を超えたその他の健康特典を提供するもので、食用油に配合されることで、さまざまな治療効果をもたらします。例えば、オメガ3脂肪酸、抗酸化物質、植物ステロールを強化した油は、心臓の健康、脳機能の向上、コレステロール管理の改善を求める消費者に対応し、現在広く販売されています。ビタミン(ビタミンEなど)やポリフェノールなどの機能性成分を強化したオイルは、心血管疾患、糖尿病、炎症などの慢性疾患の予防に役立っています。
変動する原料価格
原材料価格の変動は食用油業界に大きな影響を与え、生産コストの上昇と価格の乱高下を招いています。食用油の主原料であるパーム油、大豆油、ヒマワリ油、カノーラ油などは、世界の需給関係、天候、地政学的緊張、貿易政策の影響を受ける。例えば、悪天候は農作物の収量を乱し、主要生産地域の政情不安は供給を制限し、価格高騰を引き起こす可能性があります。同様に、為替レートの変動は、特定の国の生産者にとって原材料を割高にする可能性があります。こうした価格変動は、食用油メーカーの収益性を圧迫するだけでなく、店頭に並ぶ油の価格が予測不可能に変動する可能性があるため、消費者にも不確実性をもたらします。
植物油への需要の高まり
オリーブ油、キャノーラ油、ヒマワリ油、アボカド油など、植物由来の油が健康に良いという認識が広まるにつれ、動物性油脂よりも植物性油脂の人気が高まっています。これらの油は飽和脂肪酸の含有量が少なく、不飽和脂肪酸の含有量が多いため、より健康的な代替品と考えられています。さらに、菜食主義や植物ベースの食生活の動向の高まりは、ココナッツや大豆のような汎用性が高く、多様な料理用途に適合する油の需要をさらに押し上げています。これを受けて、生産者はコールドプレス製法、オーガニック、非遺伝子組み換えのオイルの種類を増やし、製品ラインナップを拡充しています。
保存と賞味期限の問題
食用油の保存と賞味期限は、食品業界に大きな課題をもたらし、品質と安全性の両方に影響を与えます。食用油は酸化しやすく、空気、光、熱にさらされると、腐敗風味や潜在的に有害な化合物が生成されます。この酸化プロセスは、特にひまわり油や大豆油のような多価不飽和脂肪酸を多く含む油の栄養価を低下させる。高温や光にさらされるなどの不適切な保存条件は、腐敗を加速させ、オイルの鮮度や風味を損なう原因となります。オイルの保存期間は種類によって異なり、オリーブオイルのように抗酸化物質が多いため保存期間が長いものもあります。
COVID-19の大流行は世界の食用油市場に大きな影響を与え、サプライチェーンの混乱、労働力不足、消費者行動の変化を引き起こしました。当初、パンデミックは食用油の需要急増を引き起こし、人々は戸締まり中に必需品を買いだめしました。これが価格の変動と一時的な品不足につながった。同時に、特にインドネシアやマレーシアのような主要生産国が労働力の制約や輸出制限に直面したため、原料供給が途絶え、生産が妨げられました。輸送のボトルネックも出荷を遅らせ、供給力にさらなる影響を与えました。パンデミックによる景気後退は消費パターンの変化をもたらし、より多くの人々がバリューブランドを選んだり、代替油に切り替えたりしました。
予測期間中、パウチ分野が最大となる見込み
パウチ分野は、進化する消費者の需要に応えるパッケージング・ソリューションを提供することで、予測期間中最大のシェアを占めると予想されます。消費者の嗜好が利便性、軽量性、環境に優しい選択肢へとシフトする中、パウチは従来のガラス瓶やプラスチック瓶に代わる人気の選択肢となっています。これらのパウチはコスト効率が高く、取り扱いが簡単で、保管スペースも少なくて済むため、小売業者と消費者の双方にとって理想的なものとなっています。さらに、パウチの柔軟性により、密封性が向上し、酸化や汚染のリスクが減少するため、保存性が向上します。
パーム油セグメントは予測期間中最も高いCAGRが見込まれる
パーム油分野は、その汎用性、費用対効果、広く入手可能なことから、予測期間中に急成長すると予測されます。アブラヤシの果実から採れるパーム油は、安定した調理特性、長い保存期間、1ヘクタール当たりの高い収量が高く評価され、消費者にも製造業者にも好まれています。食用油からマーガリン、スナック菓子、加工食品まで、幅広い製品に使用されています。また、パーム油にはビタミンAとビタミンEが豊富に含まれており、栄養面でも魅力的です。さらに、大豆油やひまわり油のような他の植物油に比べて生産効率が高く、食用油の世界の需要拡大に対応しています。
北米地域は、予測期間を通じて同市場で最大のシェアを占めるものと思われます。アジア、アフリカ、ラテンアメリカの国々で可処分所得が増加するにつれて、加工食品やパッケージ食品への消費支出が拡大し、食用油の需要増加を牽引しています。このシフトは世界の貿易パターンに影響を及ぼしており、北米企業は大豆油、キャノーラ油、ヒマワリ油など様々な食用油を輸出することで、この動向に乗じています。さらに、発展途上国が加工食品やファストフードを多く含む欧米の食習慣を取り入れるにつれ、食品生産におけるこれらの油の必要性が高まっています。
欧州地域は、食品の安全性、環境の持続可能性、消費者保護を確保することにより、予測期間中に最も高いCAGRを示すと推定されます。欧州食品安全機関(EFSA)などの欧州当局は、生産、表示、添加物に関する厳格な基準を通じて、食用油の品質と安全性を規制しています。トランス脂肪酸の制限や、オリーブ油やひまわり油のようなより健康的な油の奨励など、より健康的な油脂を推進する政策は、消費パターンに影響を及ぼしています。欧州連合(EU)は、食用油からのバイオディーゼル使用を奨励する再生可能エネルギー指令(RED II)など、持続可能性に焦点を当てた規制を実施し、バイオベースの代替品への需要を促進しています。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Edible Oils Market is accounted for $244.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $370.8 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. Edible oils are oils derived from plant, animal, or synthetic sources that are safe for human consumption and commonly used in cooking, food preparation, and food processing. These oils are rich in fats, which are essential for providing energy, supporting cell growth, and absorbing certain vitamins. The most common edible oils include vegetable oils like sunflower, canola, olive, and palm oil, as well as animal-based oils such as butter and lard. Edible oils vary in their fat composition, with some being high in saturated fats (e.g., coconut oil) and others in unsaturated fats (e.g., olive oil, which is rich in monounsaturated fats).
According to an article published in the bulletin of the National Research Center, Egypt, with growing interest in edible oils, the area under oilseeds cultivation has increased by 82%, and the production is increased by approximately over the last three decades.
Increased consumption of functional foods
The growing demand for functional foods has significantly enhanced the development and consumption of edible oils, as consumers become more conscious of health and nutrition. Functional foods are those that provide additional health benefits beyond basic nutrition, and when incorporated into edible oils, they offer a range of therapeutic effects. For instance, oils enriched with omega-3 fatty acids, antioxidants, and plant sterols are now widely available, catering to consumers seeking heart health, improved brain function, and better cholesterol management. The fortification of oils with functional ingredients such as vitamins (e.g., vitamin E) and polyphenols has made them valuable in preventing chronic diseases like cardiovascular issues, diabetes, and inflammation.
Fluctuating raw material prices
Fluctuating raw material prices are significantly impacting the edible oils industry, leading to increased production costs and price volatility. The primary raw materials for edible oils such as palm oil, soybean oil, sunflower oil, and canola oil-are influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, weather conditions, geopolitical tensions, and trade policies. For instance, adverse weather events can disrupt crop yields, while political instability in key producing regions may restrict supply, causing prices to surge. Similarly, changes in currency exchange rates can make raw materials more expensive for producers in certain countries. These price fluctuations not only strain the profitability of edible oil manufacturers but also create uncertainty for consumers, as the cost of oil on store shelves may vary unpredictably.
Increased demand for plant-based oils
As people become more aware of the health benefits of plant-based oils, such as olive, canola, sunflower, and avocado oils, their popularity is rising over animal-based fats. These oils are seen as healthier alternatives due to their lower saturated fat content and higher concentrations of unsaturated fats, which contribute to better heart health and lower cholesterol levels. Moreover, the rising trend of veganism and plant-based diets further fuels the demand for oils like coconut and soybean, which are versatile and fit well into diverse culinary applications. In response, producers are expanding their offerings, introducing more varieties of cold-pressed, organic and non-GMO oils.
Storage and shelf life issues
The storage and shelf life of edible oils pose significant challenges in the food industry, impacting both quality and safety. Edible oils are prone to oxidation, which occurs when oils are exposed to air, light, and heat, leading to the formation of rancid flavors and potentially harmful compounds. This oxidation process reduces the nutritional value of the oils, especially those rich in polyunsaturated fats, like sunflower and soybean oil. Improper storage conditions, such as exposure to high temperatures or light, can accelerate spoilage, causing oils to lose their freshness and taste. The shelf life of oils can vary depending on the type, with some oils, like olive oil, having a longer shelf life due to their higher levels of antioxidants.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the global edible oils market, triggering disruptions in supply chains, labor shortages, and shifts in consumer behavior. Initially, the pandemic caused a surge in demand for cooking oils, as people stocked up on essentials during lockdowns. This led to price fluctuations and temporary shortages. At the same time, production was hampered due to disruptions in raw material supply, especially from major producers like Indonesia and Malaysia, which faced labor constraints and restrictions on exports. Transportation bottlenecks also delayed shipments, further affecting availability. The economic downturn caused by the pandemic led to changes in consumption patterns, with more people opting for value brands or switching to alternative oils.
The Pouches segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Pouches segment is expected to dominate the largest share over the estimated period, by offering packaging solutions that cater to evolving consumer demands. As consumer preferences shift towards convenience, lightweight, and eco-friendly options, pouches have become a popular alternative to traditional glass or plastic bottles. These pouches are cost-effective, easy to handle, and occupy less storage space, making them ideal for both retailers and consumers. Additionally, the flexibility of pouches allows for improved shelf life through better sealing, reducing oxidation and contamination risks.
The Palm Oil segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Palm Oil segment is estimated to grow at a rapid pace during the forecast period, due to its versatility, cost-effectiveness, and widespread availability. Palm oil, derived from the fruit of the oil palm tree, is highly valued for its stable cooking properties, long shelf life, and high yield per hectare, making it a preferred choice for both consumers and manufacturers. It is used in a wide range of products, from cooking oils to margarine, snacks, and processed foods. Palm oil is also rich in vitamins A and E, contributing to its nutritional appeal. Furthermore, its production is more efficient compared to other vegetable oils like soybean or sunflower oil, helping meet the growing global demand for edible oils.
North America region is poised to hold the largest share of the market throughout the extrapolated period. As disposable incomes increase in countries across Asia, Africa, and Latin America, consumer spending on processed and packaged foods is expanding, driving higher demand for edible oils. This shift is influencing global trade patterns, with North American companies capitalizing on this trend by exporting a variety of edible oils such as soybean, canola, and sunflower oil. Moreover, as developing nations adopt Western dietary habits, which often include more processed foods and fast food consumption, there is an increased need for these oils in food production.
Europe region is estimated to witness the highest CAGR during the projected time frame, by ensuring food safety, environmental sustainability, and consumer protection. European authorities, such as the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), regulate the quality and safety of edible oils through stringent standards for production, labeling, and additives. Policies promoting healthier fats, such as limits on trans fats and the encouragement of healthier oils like olive oil and sunflower oil, are influencing consumption patterns. The European Union (EU) has implemented sustainability-focused regulations, such as the Renewable Energy Directive (RED II), which incentivizes the use of biodiesel from edible oils, driving demand for bio-based alternatives.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Edible Oils market include Adani Wilmar Ltd, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Company, Borges International Group, Bunge Limited, Cargill, Inc, Conagra Brands, Inc, Emami Agrotech Ltd, Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, Hindustan Unilever Limited, KTC Edibles Ltd, Marico Limited, Ruchi Soya Industries Limited and Wilmar International Ltd.
In July 2024, Adani Wilmar Ltd plans to invest around ₹600 crore this fiscal mainly to expand its processing capacities of edible oil business and will launch more food products for consumers as well as institutional buyers to achieve higher growth in volume terms.
In July 2022, Emami Agrotech Ltd announced launching its branded spices on a pan-India scale as it aims around Rs 700-1,000 crore business from the segment in the next 3-5 years. Emami Agrotech, the branded food manufacturing arm of diversified Emami Group, launched Mantra Spices under the Emami Healthy & Tasty brand offering a range of blended powder spices and tastemakers.
In May 2021, Cargill partnered with Frontline International to create the Kitchen Controller end-to-end automated oil management solution. The cutting-edge solution combined Frontline International's Smart Oil Management equipment expertise and client relationships with Cargill's foodservice experience and knowledge of oil quality to offer foodservice operators an integrated, intelligent approach to oil management.