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大陸間弾道ミサイル市場の2032年までの予測:タイプ別、発射方式別、ペイロード別、射程距離別、推進タイプ別、用途別、地域別の世界分析

Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type (Land-Based ICBMs, Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles and Mobile ICBMs), Launch Mode, Payload, Range, Propulsion Type, Application and By Geography


出版日
ページ情報
英文 200+ Pages
納期
2~3営業日
カスタマイズ可能
価格
価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=144.08円
大陸間弾道ミサイル市場の2032年までの予測:タイプ別、発射方式別、ペイロード別、射程距離別、推進タイプ別、用途別、地域別の世界分析
出版日: 2025年06月06日
発行: Stratistics Market Research Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 200+ Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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  • 概要
  • 図表
  • 目次
概要

Stratistics MRCによると、世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場は2025年に70億米ドルを占め、予測期間中のCAGRは7.84%で成長し、2032年までには118億7,000万米ドルに達する見込みです。

大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)は長距離ミサイルであり、通常5,500km以上の長距離に通常弾頭または核弾頭を運搬することができます。主に戦略的抑止に使用されるICBMは、軌道下軌道を描いて宇宙空間に発射され、その後大気圏に戻ることで、遠く離れた標的を極めて正確に攻撃します。さらに、潜水艦、移動プラットフォーム、または陸上のサイロからこれらのミサイルを発射する能力は、その生存率と第2撃の可能性を向上させます。一国の核三重構造の重要な一部であるICBMは、高度な誘導システムを装備し、独立標的再突入弾(MIRV)を複数搭載することが多いです。また、世界規模での軍事バランスと抑止力を維持するためにも不可欠です。

米国国防総省によれば、大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)システムの近代化は、国家安全保障戦略の重要な要素です。2024年7月、国防総省は、老朽化したミニットマンIIIミサイルを置き換えることを目的としたセンチネルICBMプログラムの費用が1,409億米ドルになると予測されると報告しました。

戦略的対立と地政学的緊張の高まり

米国、ロシア、中国といった主要な核保有国間の緊張の高まりは、世界の安全保障環境をより不安定なものにしています。イランや北朝鮮といった国々による地域紛争や挑発行為が、信頼できる長距離抑止の必要性をさらに際立たせています。不安定な外交関係とミサイル拡散の脅威が、各国をICBM能力の向上や強化に駆り立てています。さらに、各国政府はこれらのシステムを、兵器としてだけでなく、地政学的な影響力や外交的な影響力を行使する手段とも考えています。

高い維持費と開発費

ICBMは、設計、建造、維持に最も費用がかかり、複雑な防衛システムのひとつです。ICBM1基の価格は数千万米ドルに達することもあり、米国のセンチネルプログラムのような包括的な近代化構想は1,000億米ドルを超えることもあります。コマンド・アンド・コントロール・システム、安全な通信ネットワーク、ミサイル・サイロなどのインフラへの要求は、これらのコストをさらに押し上げます。さらに、特に発展途上国や経済が不安定な地域では、予算の制約によってICBMプログラムの開発や拡大が厳しく制限される可能性があります。

極超音速および操縦可能な再突入機技術の革新

新世代の長距離攻撃プラットフォームは、従来のICBMから操縦可能再突入機(MaRV)および極超音速滑空機(HGV)への移行によって可能になりつつあります。極端な速度(マッハ5以上)、不規則な飛行経路、探知能力の低下により、極超音速ICBMは迎撃が困難になっています。これらの次世代システムに投資することで、各国はパートナーシップ、資金調達、防衛技術移転のための新たな道を切り開いています。さらに、防衛請負業者による高度な推進、誘導、熱遮蔽技術は、極めて有利なものとなります。

予測不可能な同盟関係と地政学的不安定性

国際安全保障の力学はICBM市場と本質的に関連しています。しかし、長期的な防衛調達計画は、地域の不安定性、指導者の交代、または国際的な同盟関係の突然の変化によって中断される可能性があります。例えば、主要な敵国間の外交関係が改善すれば、ミサイル近代化のための資金が非軍事プロジェクトに転用されるかもしれません。一方、ICBM計画が始まったばかりの国で政情不安が起これば、ミサイル契約は中止、延期、キャンセルされる可能性があります。世界の地政学の不規則で反応的な性格は、市場に大きな影響を与えます。

COVID-19の影響:

大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場は、COVID-19パンデミックの影響を受けました。戦略プログラムに対する政府の資金援助が続いているため、防衛産業は主に大幅な景気後退の影響を受けませんでした。しかし、パンデミックは世界のサプライチェーンの混乱を引き起こし、誘導システム、ミサイル部品、およびそれを支えるインフラの生産と納入を遅らせました。工場の操業や労働力の移動が制限されたため、多くの国々で試験や開発スケジュールが遅延しました。

予測期間中、陸上ICBM分野が最大となる見込み

陸上ICBM分野は、その広範な配備、手頃な価格、戦略的配置における適応性から、予測期間中最大の市場シェアを占めると予想されます。これらのミサイルは抑止力が高く、迅速に発射できます。これらのミサイルは通常、強化されたサイロに設置されるか、安全な内陸施設内の移動式発射台に搭載されます。米国、ロシア、中国などの国々は、陸上ICBMの更新に多額の投資を行っているため、ICBMを国家核戦略の重要な構成要素にしています。さらに、複数の核弾頭(MIRV)を搭載し、大陸を横断する能力を持つため、核三極体制の不可欠な構成要素であり、市場支配力を維持しています。

予測期間中、独立標的再突入ロケット(MIRVs)分野が最も高いCAGRを示すと予想されます。

予測期間中、複数の独立目標再突入機(MIRVs)分野は最も高い成長率を示すと予測されています。この拡大は、ICBMが一度に複数の弾頭をさまざまな標的に発射できるようにする攻撃能力強化の必要性が高まっていることが背景にあります。MIRV技術は敵のミサイル防衛システムを圧倒し、戦略ミサイル部隊の有効性と抑止力を大幅に高めます。さらに、精密標的を強化し、ペイロードを個別化する能力は、MIRVを最も急成長している市場としてさらに確立しています。

最大のシェアを占める地域

予測期間中、北米地域が最大の市場シェアを占めると予想されますが、これは主に大規模な防衛予算と米国主導の最先端ミサイル技術開発によるものです。同地域の優位性に寄与する重要な要因としては、評判の高いミサイル製造企業の存在、戦略核兵器の更新に向けた継続的な投資、国家安全保障の強化に向けた政府の強力な支援などが挙げられます。さらに、世界ICBM市場における北米の支配的地位を支えているのは、地政学的緊張の持続と戦略的抑止力の必要性です。

CAGRが最も高い地域:

予測期間中、アジア太平洋が最も高いCAGRを示すと予測されます。地政学的緊張と領土紛争が激化する中、中国、インド、北朝鮮のような国々が多額の防衛力投資を行ったことが、この成長の主な原動力となっています。例えば、中国は航続距離が1万2,000kmを超え、複数の弾頭を搭載できるDF-41などの高性能ICBMを実証しています。さらにインドは、核搭載可能な長距離ミサイル、アグニVの発射実験に成功しました。これらの進歩は、アジア太平洋の防衛・抑止力向上への戦略的な注力を強調することで、アジア太平洋ICBM市場の力強い成長を支えています。

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  • 企業プロファイル
    • 追加市場プレーヤーの包括的プロファイリング(3社まで)
    • 主要企業のSWOT分析(3社まで)
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    • 顧客の関心に応じた主要国の市場推計・予測・CAGR(注:フィージビリティチェックによる)
  • 競合ベンチマーキング
    • 製品ポートフォリオ、地理的プレゼンス、戦略的提携に基づく主要企業のベンチマーキング

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 序文

  • 概要
  • ステークホルダー
  • 調査範囲
  • 調査手法
    • データマイニング
    • データ分析
    • データ検証
    • 調査アプローチ
  • 調査情報源
    • 1次調査情報源
    • 2次調査情報源
    • 前提条件

第3章 市場動向分析

  • 促進要因
  • 抑制要因
  • 機会
  • 脅威
  • 用途分析
  • 新興市場
  • COVID-19の影響

第4章 ポーターのファイブフォース分析

  • 供給企業の交渉力
  • 買い手の交渉力
  • 代替品の脅威
  • 新規参入業者の脅威
  • 競争企業間の敵対関係

第5章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:タイプ別

  • 陸上配備型ICBM
  • 潜水艦発射弾道ミサイル(SLBM)
  • 移動式ICBM

第6章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:発射方式別

  • 表面対表
  • 海中対空

第7章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:ペイロード別

  • 核弾頭
  • 通常弾頭
  • 複数の独立目標再突入体(MIRV)
  • 単一弾頭

第8章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:射程距離別

  • 5,500~8,000キロ
  • 8,000~12,000キロ
  • 12,000 km以上

第9章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:推進タイプ別

  • 固体推進剤
  • 液体推進剤
  • ハイブリッド推進剤

第10章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:用途別

  • 海洋軍事防衛
  • 陸上軍事防衛

第11章 世界の大陸間弾道ミサイル(ICBM)市場:地域別

  • 北米
    • 米国
    • カナダ
    • メキシコ
  • 欧州
    • ドイツ
    • 英国
    • イタリア
    • フランス
    • スペイン
    • その他欧州
  • アジア太平洋
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • インド
    • オーストラリア
    • ニュージーランド
    • 韓国
    • その他アジア太平洋
  • 南米
    • アルゼンチン
    • ブラジル
    • チリ
    • その他南米
  • 中東・アフリカ
    • サウジアラビア
    • アラブ首長国連邦
    • カタール
    • 南アフリカ
    • その他中東・アフリカ

第12章 主な発展

  • 契約、パートナーシップ、コラボレーション、ジョイントベンチャー
  • 買収と合併
  • 新製品発売
  • 事業拡大
  • その他の主要戦略

第13章 企業プロファイリング

  • Israel Aerospace Industries
  • Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Inc
  • BAE Systems PLC
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • General Dynamics Corporation
  • Boeing Company
  • Raytheon Technologies Corporation(RTX)
  • Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc.
  • Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau Inc
  • Defence Research and Development Organisation(DRDO)
  • China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation(CASC)
  • Honeywell International
  • Larsen & Toubro Inc
  • Orbital ATK Inc.
図表

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 29 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 30 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 31 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 32 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 33 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 34 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 35 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 36 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 37 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 38 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 39 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 40 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 41 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 42 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 43 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 44 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 45 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 46 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 47 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 48 North America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 49 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 50 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 51 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 52 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 53 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 54 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 55 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 56 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 57 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 58 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 59 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 60 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 61 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 62 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 63 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 64 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 65 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 66 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 67 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 68 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 69 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 70 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 71 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 72 Europe Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 73 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 74 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 75 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 76 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 77 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 78 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 79 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 80 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 81 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 82 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 83 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 84 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 85 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 86 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 87 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 88 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 89 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 90 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 91 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 92 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 93 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 94 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 95 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 96 Asia Pacific Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 97 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 98 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 99 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 100 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 101 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 102 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 103 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 104 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 105 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 106 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 107 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 108 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 109 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 110 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 111 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 112 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 113 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 114 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 115 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 116 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 117 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 118 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 119 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 120 South America Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 121 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 122 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 123 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land-Based ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 124 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 125 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Mobile ICBMs (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 126 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Launch Mode (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 127 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Surface-to-Surface (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 128 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Subsea-to-Air (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 129 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Payload (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 130 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Nuclear Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 131 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Conventional Warheads (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 132 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 133 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Single Warhead (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 134 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 135 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 5,500-8,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 136 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By 8,000-12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 137 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Above 12,000 km (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 138 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Propulsion Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 139 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Solid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 140 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Liquid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 141 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Hybrid Propellant (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 142 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 143 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Ocean Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 144 Middle East & Africa Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market Outlook, By Land Military Defense (2024-2032) ($MN)
目次
Product Code: SMRC29589

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market is accounted for $7.00 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $11.87 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.84% during the forecast period. The Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) is a long-range missile that can carry conventional or nuclear warheads over great distances, usually more than 5,500 kilometers. ICBMs, which are mainly used for strategic deterrence, are fired into space on a sub-orbital trajectory and then return to the atmosphere to hit far-off targets with extreme precision. Moreover, the ability to launch these missiles from submarines, mobile platforms, or land-based silos improves their survivability and second-strike potential. A vital part of a country's nuclear triad, ICBMs is outfitted with sophisticated guidance systems and frequently have multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs). They are also essential for preserving military balance and deterrence on a worldwide scale.

According to the U.S. Department of Defense, the modernization of intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) systems is a critical component of national security strategy. In July 2024, the Pentagon reported that the Sentinel ICBM program, aimed at replacing the aging Minuteman III missiles, is projected to cost $140.9 billion-an 81% increase from the initial estimate.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Growing strategic rivalries and geopolitical tensions

Growing tensions between major nuclear powers like the US, Russia, and China have made the global security environment more unstable. Further highlighting the necessity of credible long-range deterrence are regional conflicts and provocations by nations such as Iran and North Korea. Uncertain diplomatic relations and the threat of missile proliferation are driving countries to either improve or bolster their ICBM capabilities. Additionally, governments see these systems as instruments of geopolitical influence and diplomatic leverage in addition to being weapons.

Restraint:

High maintenance and development expenses

ICBMs are one of the most costly and intricate defense systems to design, build, and maintain. The price of a single ICBM can reach tens of millions of dollars, and comprehensive modernization initiatives, such as the U.S. Sentinel program, can surpass $100 billion. The requirement for infrastructure like command-and-control systems, secure communications networks, and missile silos drives up these costs even more. Furthermore, the deployment or expansion of ICBM programs may be severely limited by budgetary constraints, particularly in developing nations or areas experiencing economic uncertainty.

Opportunity:

Innovation in hypersonic and manoeuvrable re-entry vehicle technology

A new generation of long-range strike platforms is being made possible by the transition from conventional ICBMs to maneuverable reentry vehicles (MaRVs) and hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs). Extreme speeds (Mach 5 and higher), erratic flight paths, and decreased detect ability make hypersonic ICBMs challenging to intercept. By making investments in these next-generation systems, countries are creating new avenues for partnerships, financing, and the transfer of defense technology. Moreover, advanced propulsion, guidance, and thermal shielding technologies from defense contractors will be extremely advantageous.

Threat:

Unpredictable alliances and geopolitical volatility

The dynamics of international security are intrinsically linked to the ICBM market. However, long-term defense procurement plans may be disrupted by abrupt changes in regional instability, leadership changes, or international alliances. For instance, money intended for missile modernization might be diverted to non-military projects if diplomatic ties between major enemies improve. On the other hand, missile contracts could be halted, postponed, or cancelled if political unrest breaks out in countries with fledgling ICBM programs. The erratic and reactive character of world geopolitics has a significant impact on the market.

Covid-19 Impact:

The market for intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in a mixed but generally moderate way. Due to ongoing government funding for strategic programs, the defense industry was mainly immune to significant economic downturns. However, the pandemic did cause supply chain disruptions worldwide, which delayed the production and delivery of guidance systems, missile components, and supporting infrastructure. Testing and development schedules were slowed down in a number of countries due to restrictions on factory operations and workforce mobility.

The land-based ICBMs segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The land-based ICBMs segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because of their broad deployment, affordability, and adaptability in terms of strategic placement. These missiles have a high deterrent value and can be launched quickly. They are usually placed in reinforced silos or placed on mobile launchers throughout secure inland facilities. Because of their significant investments in updating their land-based ICBM arsenals, nations like the US, Russia, and China have made them a key component of their national nuclear strategies. Moreover, they are an essential component of the nuclear triad, maintaining their market dominance due to their capacity to carry multiple warheads (MIRVs) and travel across continents.

The multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. This expansion is driven by the growing need for enhanced strike capability, which allows an ICBM to deliver multiple warheads to various targets at once. MIRV technology overwhelms adversary missile defense systems, greatly increasing the effectiveness and deterrent value of strategic missile forces. Additionally, the capability to enhance precision targeting and personalize payloads further establishes MIRVs as the fastest-growing market.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North American region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven mostly by large defense budgets and US-led development of cutting-edge missile technology. Significant factors contributing to the region's dominance include the existence of reputable missile manufacturing firms, ongoing investments in updating strategic nuclear arsenals, and robust government support for bolstering national security. Furthermore, supporting North America's dominant position in the global ICBM market are persistent geopolitical tensions and the necessity of strategic deterrence.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Significant defense capability investments made by nations like China, India, and North Korea amid escalating geopolitical tensions and territorial disputes are the main drivers of this growth. For instance, China has demonstrated sophisticated ICBMs such as the DF-41, which has a range of more than 12,000 km and can carry multiple warheads. Additionally, India has successfully tested the Agni-V, a nuclear-capable long-range missile. These advancements support the Asia-Pacific ICBM market's strong growth by highlighting the region's strategic focus on improving defense and deterrence capabilities.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market include Israel Aerospace Industries, Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Inc, BAE Systems PLC, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, General Dynamics Corporation, Boeing Company, Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX), Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc., Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau Inc, Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO), China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC), Honeywell International, Larsen & Toubro Inc and Orbital ATK Inc.

Key Developments:

In April 2025, BAE Systems has entered into an agreement with Wojskowe Zaklady Motoryzacyjne S.A. (WZM), a member of PGZ Capital Group and a premier Polish defense company specializing in the sustainment of tracked armored vehicles, to enhance the support of the Polish Land Forces' M88 Armored Recovery Vehicle fleet operational readiness.

In February 2025, Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd. (Rafael) and Centum Electronics are pleased to announce the signing of a Teaming Agreement (TA) to collaborate on advancing the fields of Spectrum Dominance, Spectrum Situational Awareness, and AI-based Intelligence Suite/Decision Support Systems for the Indian Armed Forces.

In June 2024, Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) (ISRAI.UL) has entered a $1 billion contract to supply one of its systems to an unnamed third party, the state-owned defence contractor. IAI, which makes some of Israel's most advanced drones and missile defence systems, said in a regulatory filing in Tel Aviv that the deal is expected to reach about $1 billion and be carried out over five years.

Types Covered:

  • Land-Based ICBMs
  • Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs)
  • Mobile ICBMs

Launch Modes Covered:

  • Surface-to-Surface
  • Subsea-to-Air

Payloads Covered:

  • Nuclear Warheads
  • Conventional Warheads
  • Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV)
  • Single Warhead

Ranges Covered:

  • 5,500-8,000 km
  • 8,000-12,000 km
  • Above 12,000 km

Propulsion Types Covered:

  • Solid Propellant
  • Liquid Propellant
  • Hybrid Propellant

Applications Covered:

  • Ocean Military Defense
  • Land Military Defense

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 Application Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Type

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Land-Based ICBMs
  • 5.3 Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs)
  • 5.4 Mobile ICBMs

6 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Launch Mode

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Surface-to-Surface
  • 6.3 Subsea-to-Air

7 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Payload

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Nuclear Warheads
  • 7.3 Conventional Warheads
  • 7.4 Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV)
  • 7.5 Single Warhead

8 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Range

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 5,500-8,000 km
  • 8.3 8,000-12,000 km
  • 8.4 Above 12,000 km

9 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Propulsion Type

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Solid Propellant
  • 9.3 Liquid Propellant
  • 9.4 Hybrid Propellant

10 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Application

  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 Ocean Military Defense
  • 10.3 Land Military Defense

11 Global Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Market, By Geography

  • 11.1 Introduction
  • 11.2 North America
    • 11.2.1 US
    • 11.2.2 Canada
    • 11.2.3 Mexico
  • 11.3 Europe
    • 11.3.1 Germany
    • 11.3.2 UK
    • 11.3.3 Italy
    • 11.3.4 France
    • 11.3.5 Spain
    • 11.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 11.4 Asia Pacific
    • 11.4.1 Japan
    • 11.4.2 China
    • 11.4.3 India
    • 11.4.4 Australia
    • 11.4.5 New Zealand
    • 11.4.6 South Korea
    • 11.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 11.5 South America
    • 11.5.1 Argentina
    • 11.5.2 Brazil
    • 11.5.3 Chile
    • 11.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 11.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 11.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 11.6.2 UAE
    • 11.6.3 Qatar
    • 11.6.4 South Africa
    • 11.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

12 Key Developments

  • 12.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 12.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 12.3 New Product Launch
  • 12.4 Expansions
  • 12.5 Other Key Strategies

13 Company Profiling

  • 13.1 Israel Aerospace Industries
  • 13.2 Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Inc
  • 13.3 BAE Systems PLC
  • 13.4 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 13.5 Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 13.6 General Dynamics Corporation
  • 13.7 Boeing Company
  • 13.8 Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX)
  • 13.9 Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc.
  • 13.10 Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau Inc
  • 13.11 Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO)
  • 13.12 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC)
  • 13.13 Honeywell International
  • 13.14 Larsen & Toubro Inc
  • 13.15 Orbital ATK Inc.