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持続可能な航空燃料の世界市場-2023年～2030年

Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market - 2023-2030
出版日: | 発行: DataM Intelligence | ページ情報: 英文 185 Pages | 納期: 約2営業日

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持続可能な航空燃料の世界市場-2023年～2030年
出版日: 2023年08月22日
発行: DataM Intelligence
ページ情報: 英文 185 Pages
納期: 約2営業日
ご注意事項 :
本レポートは最新情報反映のため適宜更新し、内容構成変更を行う場合があります。ご検討の際はお問い合わせください。
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

市場概要

世界の持続可能な航空燃料市場は、2022年に3億2,080万米ドルに達し、2023～2030年の予測期間中に35.2%のCAGRで成長し、2030年には35億8,100万米ドルに達すると予測されています。

予測期間中、グリーン技術を奨励する政府の新たな取り組みが、世界の持続可能な航空燃料市場の成長を牽引する可能性が高いです。国際航空運送協会（IATA）は、持続可能な航空燃料の生産と採用を増やすために政府が実施できる様々な政策イニシアチブを推奨しています。

科学者たちは、持続可能な航空燃料を開発するための新たな潜在的原料を研究しています。ギリシャの国際ヘレニック大学の科学者が2023年2月に発表した研究論文では、持続可能な航空燃料製造のための潜在的な原料としての固形廃棄物バイオマスの利用が検討されています。

市場力学

持続可能な燃料生産の進歩

持続可能な燃料生産における新たな進歩は、生産コストを大幅に引き下げ、その結果、採用率を向上させる可能性が高いです。2022年10月、米国の多国籍エンジニアリング技術企業であるハネウェル・インターナショナル社は、エタノールをジェット燃料に変換する新技術を開発したと発表しました。同社は今後数年で大規模な商業生産を開始する予定です。

航空会社は政府機関と提携し、持続可能な燃料生産の新手法を研究しています。例えば、2023年6月、ニュージーランドのフラッグ・キャリアであるニュージーランド航空は、ニュージーランド政府と提携し、持続可能な航空燃料製造の新しい方法に関する一連の先進的研究に資金を提供するため、200万米ドルを投資すると発表しました。

航空会社による排出削減努力の増大

航空会社は、運輸部門における炭素排出の唯一最大の原因であるため、排出量削減への圧力が高まっています。多くの政府、特に北米と欧州の政府は、排出量の多い産業や企業に対して厳しい炭素税を課し始めています。炭素税は、航空会社の収益性を著しく低下させる可能性があります。

さらに、投資家は企業への投資を行う際に、環境・社会・ガバナンス（ESG）評価を考慮するようになってきています。世界の航空会社の大半はESG指標のスコアが低く、バリュー投資家を惹きつけるのが難しいです。航空会社が持続可能な航空燃料を採用することは、長期的には排出量削減に大きく貢献すると考えられます。

コスト競争力の削減

持続可能な航空燃料は生産コストが高いですが、その主な理由は、原料の入手が不安定であること、生産能力が限られていること、支援インフラが整っていないことなど、さまざまな要因によるものです。新たな進歩により、過去10年間でコストは大幅に引き下げられたもの、持続可能な航空燃料は依然として、従来のジェット燃料よりも10～20%高いです。

持続可能な航空燃料のコストが比較的高いため、従来のジェット燃料に対して競争力がありません。航空業界は競争が激しく、航空会社は通常、低い利幅で経営しています。航空燃料の採用は、航空会社の運航コストを増加させ、利益率を低下させ、ライバルに対する競争力を失わせる可能性があります。

COVID-19影響分析

COVID-19パンデミックは、パンデミックの規制により商業航空旅行が停止したため、航空業界の完全な混乱につながっています。多くの航空会社が資金繰りの激減に苦しみ、パンデミックの経済的不安から破産を申請する航空会社さえあっています。このため、持続可能な航空燃料の採用が大幅に減少しました。

パンデミックはまた、世界のサプライチェーンの問題を引き起こし、原料の入手に混乱を生じさせ、持続可能な航空燃料の生産に影響を与えました。持続可能な航空燃料の開発を支援する多くの政府政策が保留となり、世界市場の成長にさらなる複雑さをもたらしました。

ロシア・ウクライナ戦争の影響分析

現在進行中のロシアとウクライナの戦争は様々な産業に混乱をもたらしたが、世界の持続可能な航空燃料市場に大きな影響を与える可能性は低いです。主要な市場開拓の多くは、紛争から遠く離れた西欧と北米で起こっています。さらに、ロシア国内での持続可能な燃料の動向は限られており、中長期的に世界市場で大きなシェアを占める可能性は低いです。

目次

第1章 調査手法と調査範囲

第2章 定義と概要

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第4章 市場力学

  • 影響要因
    • 促進要因
      • 輸送の脱炭素化の推進
      • 産業界の協力関係の強化
      • 持続可能な燃料生産の進歩
      • 航空会社による排出削減努力の増加
    • 抑制要因
      • 生産能力の限界
      • コスト競争力の低下
    • 機会
    • 影響分析

第5章 産業分析

  • ポーターのファイブフォース分析
  • サプライチェーン分析
  • 価格分析
  • 規制分析

第6章 COVID-19分析

第7章 タイプ別

  • バイオ燃料
  • 水素燃料
  • PtL (Power to Liquid) 燃料
  • GtL (Gas-to-Liquid) 燃料

第8章 航空機タイプ別

  • 固定翼
  • 回転翼

第9章 プラットフォーム別

  • 民間航空機
  • 軍用機
  • ビジネス航空
  • 無人航空機（UAV）

第10章 地域別

  • 北米
    • 米国
    • カナダ
    • メキシコ
  • 欧州
    • ドイツ
    • 英国
    • フランス
    • イタリア
    • スペイン
    • その他欧州
  • 南米
    • ブラジル
    • アルゼンチン
    • その他南米
  • アジア太平洋
    • 中国
    • インド
    • 日本
    • オーストラリア
    • その他アジア太平洋
  • 中東・アフリカ

第11章 競合情勢

  • 競合シナリオ
  • 市況/シェア分析
  • M&A分析

第12章 企業プロファイル

  • Neste
    • 会社概要
    • 製品ポートフォリオと説明
    • 財務概要
    • 最近の動向
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy
  • LanzaTech
  • TotalEnergies
  • Gevo
  • SG Preston
  • Velocys plc
  • Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels, LLC
  • Red Rock Biofuels
  • Prometheus Fuels

第13章 付録

目次
Product Code: EP6645

Market Overview

Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market reached US$ 320.8 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 3,581.0 million by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 35.2% during the forecast period 2023-2030.

Over the forecast period, new government initiatives to encourage green technologies are most likely to drive the growth of the global sustainable aviation fuel market. The international air transport association (IATA) has recommended various policy initiatives that can be undertaken by governments to increase production and adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

Scientists are researching new potential feedstocks for the development of sustainable aviation fuels. A research paper published in February 2023, by scientists from the International Hellenic University in Greece explores the usage of solid waste biomass as a potential feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel production.

Market Dynamics

Advances in Sustainable Fuel Production

New advances in sustainable fuel production are likely to bring down production costs significantly, thus improving its adoption rates. In October 2022, Honeywell International Ltd., a U.S.-based multinational engineering and technology company, announced that it had developed a new technology for the conversion of ethanol into jet fuel. The company plans to commence large-scale commercial production in the coming years.

Airlines are partnering with government bodies to research new methods of sustainable fuel production. For instance, in June 2023, Air New Zealand, the flag carrier of New Zealand, in partnership with the New Zealand government, have announced a US$ 2 million investment to fund a set of advanced studies into new methods of sustainable aviation fuel production.

Increasing Emission Reduction Efforts by Airlines

With aviation being the single largest contributor of carbon emissions within the transportation sector, airlines are under increasing pressure to cut emissions. Many governments, particularly those in North America and Europe have begun imposing stiff carbon taxes on industries and companies having high emissions. Carbon taxes have to potential to significantly erode the profitability of airlines.

Furthermore, investors are increasing taking into account environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings into consideration while undertaking investments in companies. Most global airlines score poorly on ESG metrics, making it difficult to attract value investors. The adoption of sustainable aviation fuel by airlines will go a long way towards reducing emissions in the long term,

Reduced Cost Competitiveness

Sustainable aviation fuel has high cost of production, mainly on account of various factors such as volatile feedstock availability, limited production capacity and support infrastructure. Although new advances have drastically brought down costs over the previous decade, sustainable aviation fuel still remains 10-20% more expensive than conventional jet fuel.

The relatively high costs of sustainable aviation fuel renders it uncompetitive against conventional jet fuel. The aviation industry is highly competitive and airlines typically operate on low margins. Adopting aviation fuels can increase operating costs for airlines, erode profit margins and make them uncompetitive against rivals.

COVID-19 Impact Analysis

The COVID-19 pandemic led to a complete disruption of the aviation industry as commercial air travel ground to a halt due to pandemic restrictions. Many airlines struggled with drastically reduced cash flow, with some airlines even filing for bankruptcy due to the economic uncertainties of the pandemic. It significantly reduced the adoption of sustainable aviation fuels.

The pandemic also led to global supply chain problems, creating disruptions in feedstock availability, thus affecting the production of sustainable aviation fuels. Many government policies in support of sustainable aviation fuel development were put on hold, creating further complications for global market growth.

Russia- Ukraine War Impact Analysis

Although the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has created disruptions for various industries, it is unlikely to majorly affect the global sustainable aviation fuel market. Much of the major market developments have been occuring in western Europe and North America, far away from the conflict. Furthermore, the development of sustainable fuel within Russia is limited and it is unlikely to account for a significant share of the global market over the medium and long term.

Segment Analysis

The global sustainable aviation fuel market is segmented based on type, aircraft type, platform and region.

Commercial Aviation Will Continue to Account for the Largest Market Share

Commercial aviation accounts for nearly two thirds of the global market. Commercial aviation operates the largest fleet of aircraft, with data suggesting nearly 25,000 aircraft currently in operation in 2022. With large-scale emissions, commercial aviation represents an ideal starting point for expanding the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

One of the major factors that makes commercial aviation one of the biggest platforms for sustainable aviation fuel is that support infrastructure already exists and can be adapted for sustainable fuel usage with minimal modifications. Commercial aviation is likely to continue to account for the largest share of the global market over the medium and long term.

Geographical Analysis

Government Initiatives to Propel Market Growth in Europe

Government support and initiatives have led to increased adoption of sustainable aviation fuel in Europe. The European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), has mandated 2% sustainable aviation fuel blending for fuel dispensed at European airports. Furthermore, the European Commission, the legislative body of the European Union (EU), has proposed measures to increase adoption of sustainable fuel to 63% by 2050.

In April 2023, the EU adopted binding targets for sustainable aviation fuel usage and adoption. Companies are already entering into partnership agreements to adopt sustainable aviation fuel. For instance, in July 2023, DER Touristik, one of Germany's largest tour operators, announced a partnership with the German flag carrier Lufthansa, to promote the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

Competitive Landscape

The major global players include: Neste, Fulcrum BioEnergy, LanzaTech, TotalEnergies, Gevo, SG Preston, Velocys plc, Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels,LLC, Red Rock Biofuels and Prometheus Fuels.

Why Purchase the Report?

  • To visualize the global sustainable aviation fuel market segmentation based on type, aircraft type, platform and region, as well as understand key commercial assets and players.
  • Identify commercial opportunities by analyzing trends and co-development.
  • Excel data sheet with numerous data points of sustainable aviation fuel market-level with all segments.
  • PDF report consists of a comprehensive analysis after exhaustive qualitative interviews and an in-depth study.
  • Product mapping available as Excel consisting of key products of all the major players.

The global sustainable aviation fuel market report would provide approximately 57 tables, 58 figures and 185 Pages.

Target Audience 2023

  • Aviation Fuel Producers
  • Aircraft Manufacturers
  • Industry Investors/Investment Bankers
  • Research Professionals
  • Emerging Companies

Table of Contents

1. Methodology and Scope

  • 1.1. Research Methodology
  • 1.2. Research Objective and Scope of the Report

2. Definition and Overview

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Snippet by Type
  • 3.2. Snippet by Aircraft Type
  • 3.3. Snippet by Platform
  • 3.4. Snippet by Region

4. Dynamics

  • 4.1. Impacting Factors
    • 4.1.1. Drivers
      • 4.1.1.1. Increasing Drive for Decarbonization of Transportation
      • 4.1.1.2. Increasing Industrial Collaboration
      • 4.1.1.3. Advances in Sustainable Fuel Production
      • 4.1.1.4. Increasing Emission Reduction Efforts by Airlines
    • 4.1.2. Restraints
      • 4.1.2.1. Limited Production Capacity
      • 4.1.2.2. Reduced Cost Competitiveness
    • 4.1.3. Opportunity
    • 4.1.4. Impact Analysis

5. Industry Analysis

  • 5.1. Porter's Five Force Analysis
  • 5.2. Supply Chain Analysis
  • 5.3. Pricing Analysis
  • 5.4. Regulatory Analysis

6. COVID-19 Analysis

  • 6.1. Analysis of COVID-19
    • 6.1.1. Scenario Before COVID
    • 6.1.2. Scenario During COVID
    • 6.1.3. Scenario Post COVID
  • 6.2. Pricing Dynamics Amid COVID-19
  • 6.3. Demand-Supply Spectrum
  • 6.4. Government Initiatives Related to the Market During Pandemic
  • 6.5. Manufacturers Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.6. Conclusion

7. By Type

  • 7.1. Introduction
    • 7.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 7.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Type
  • 7.2. Biofuel*
    • 7.2.1. Introduction
    • 7.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
  • 7.3. Hydrogen Fuel
  • 7.4. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
  • 7.5. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel

8. By Aircraft Type

  • 8.1. Introduction
    • 8.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 8.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Aircraft Type
  • 8.2. Fixed Wing*
    • 8.2.1. Introduction
    • 8.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
  • 8.3. Rotary Wing

9. By Platform

  • 9.1. Introduction
    • 9.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
    • 9.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Platform
  • 9.2. Commercial Aviation*
    • 9.2.1. Introduction
    • 9.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
  • 9.3. Military Aviation
  • 9.4. Business Aviation
  • 9.5. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)

10. By Region

  • 10.1. Introduction
    • 10.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Region
    • 10.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Region
  • 10.2. North America
    • 10.2.1. Introduction
    • 10.2.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.2.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 10.2.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 10.2.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
    • 10.2.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.2.6.1. U.S.
      • 10.2.6.2. Canada
      • 10.2.6.3. Mexico
  • 10.3. Europe
    • 10.3.1. Introduction
    • 10.3.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.3.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 10.3.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 10.3.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
    • 10.3.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.3.6.1. Germany
      • 10.3.6.2. UK
      • 10.3.6.3. France
      • 10.3.6.4. Italy
      • 10.3.6.5. Spain
      • 10.3.6.6. Rest of Europe
  • 10.4. South America
    • 10.4.1. Introduction
    • 10.4.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.4.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 10.4.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 10.4.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
    • 10.4.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.4.6.1. Brazil
      • 10.4.6.2. Argentina
      • 10.4.6.3. Rest of South America
  • 10.5. Asia-Pacific
    • 10.5.1. Introduction
    • 10.5.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.5.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 10.5.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 10.5.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.5.5.1. China
      • 10.5.5.2. India
      • 10.5.5.3. Japan
      • 10.5.5.4. Australia
      • 10.5.5.5. Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 10.6. Middle East and Africa
    • 10.6.1. Introduction
    • 10.6.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.6.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
    • 10.6.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
    • 10.6.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform

11. Competitive Landscape

  • 11.1. Competitive Scenario
  • 11.2. Market Positioning/Share Analysis
  • 11.3. Mergers and Acquisitions Analysis

12. Company Profiles

  • 12.1. Neste*
    • 12.1.1. Company Overview
    • 12.1.2. Product Portfolio and Description
    • 12.1.3. Financial Overview
    • 12.1.4. Recent Developments
  • 12.2. Fulcrum BioEnergy
  • 12.3. LanzaTech
  • 12.4. TotalEnergies
  • 12.5. Gevo
  • 12.6. SG Preston
  • 12.7. Velocys plc
  • 12.8. Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels, LLC
  • 12.9. Red Rock Biofuels
  • 12.10. Prometheus Fuels

LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE

13. Appendix

  • 13.1. About Us and Services
  • 13.2. Contact Us