自律型ラストマイルデリバリーの世界市場：将来予測（～2032年） - プラットフォーム別、ソリューション別、範囲別、用途別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の分析

Stratistics MRCによると、自律型ラストマイルデリバリーの世界市場は2025年に259億米ドルを占め、予測期間中のCAGRは26.5％で成長し、2032年には1,346億米ドルに達すると予測されています。

自律型ラストマイルデリバリーとは、自動運転車両、ドローン、ロボットを使用して、配送ハブや地域施設から顧客の玄関先まで、人の手を介さずに商品を直接輸送することを指します。この技術は、高度なナビゲーションシステム、人工知能、センサー、接続ソリューションを活用し、タイムリーで効率的、かつ非接触型の配送を実現します。運用コストの削減、配送時間の最短化、ドライバー不足や都市部の混雑といった課題の解決を目指しています。eコマース、食品、ロジスティクス分野で広く採用されている自律型ラストマイルデリバリーは、消費者の期待の高まりに応えるため、拡張性があり持続可能で顧客中心のソリューションを提供することで、サプライチェーンを再構築しています。

高まるeコマースの成長

急増するeコマース需要は、自律型ラストマイルデリバリーの急速な技術革新を促し、効率性、拡張性、コスト削減を促進しています。オンライン小売が都市部や半都市部に拡大する中、自律走行車やドローンはより迅速で非接触型の配送ソリューションを提供し、人による依存や運用上のボトルネックを軽減します。このシフトは、AI主導のロジスティクス、スマートルーティング、規制フレームワークへの投資を加速させ、ラストマイルデリバリーを高成長のフロンティアへと変貌させています。eコマースと自動化の相乗効果は、世界中の消費者の期待と物流インフラを再構築しています。

規制の壁

規制上の障壁は、パイロットプログラムを遅らせ、国境を越えたオペレーションを複雑にし、コンプライアンスコストを増加させることで、自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場を大きく妨げています。地域によって政策が分断されているため、不確実性が生じ、投資やイノベーションが阻害されます。データ利用、車両分類、都市部へのアクセスゾーンに関する制限は、スケーラビリティをさらに制約します。こうしたハードルが商業化を遅らせ、競合優位性を制限し、エコシステムの成長を阻害し、人口密集地におけるロジスティクスの効率性と消費者の利便性に革命をもたらす可能性を妨げています。

技術の進歩

技術の進歩は、効率性、拡張性、消費者満足度を高めることで、自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場に革命をもたらしています。AI、ロボット工学、IoTの革新は、正確なナビゲーション、リアルタイムの追跡、適応的なルート最適化を可能にし、配送時間と運用コストを削減します。5Gとエッジコンピューティングの統合はデータ処理を加速し、持続可能な電動車両は環境に優しい物流をサポートします。これらの画期的な技術により、都市部や郊外での導入が拡大し、よりスマートで安全、かつ迅速なソリューションにより、小売、食品、ヘルスケアの配送が再構築されつつあります。

高い初期投資

高額な初期投資は、中小規模のロジスティクス企業の採用意欲を削ぎ、自律型ラストワンマイル配送市場の成長を著しく阻害します。高度なロボット工学、AIの統合、規制遵守にかかる莫大なコストが参入障壁となり、スケーラビリティとイノベーションを遅らせています。この経済的負担はROIを遅らせ、試験的な導入を制限し、特に新興国市場での地理的拡大を制限し、最終的にデリバリーバリューチェーン全体の広範な商業化とエコシステム開拓を停滞させます。

COVID-19の影響

COVID-19の大流行により、非接触型ロジスティクスが不可欠となり、自律型ラストマイルデリバリーの採用が加速しました。ロックダウンやeコマース需要の急増は、配達用ドローンやロボットの技術革新を推進し、人体への曝露リスクを軽減しました。当初の混乱にもかかわらず、投資は増加し、規制当局の支援もあって、市場は長期的な構造転換を遂げました。自律型ソリューションは食料品やヘルスケア分野で支持を集め、消費者の期待を再形成し、レジリエントで未来に対応したサプライチェーンにおける役割を確固たるものにしました。

予測期間中、ソフトウェアセグメントが最大となる見込み

ソフトウェア分野は、拡張性とリアルタイム最適化により、予測期間中最大の市場シェアを占めると予想されます。高度なルーティングアルゴリズム、フリート管理プラットフォーム、AIを活用した意思決定システムは、配送スピードを向上させ、運用コストを削減し、顧客満足度を向上させる。IoTやクラウドインフラとの統合により、予知保全や都市物流全体のシームレスな調整が可能になります。規制の枠組みが進化する中、ソフトウェアはコンプライアンスと適応性を確保し、自律配送の革新と競合差別化のバックボーンとして位置付けられます。

予測期間中、小売業セグメントのCAGRが最も高くなる見込み

予測期間中、スピードと利便性に対する消費者の期待が高まっていることから、小売業セグメントが最も高い成長率を示すと予測されます。コスト効率の高い非接触型配送ソリューションに対する消費者の需要が、自律走行車両やスマートルーティングシステムの技術革新を促進しています。これらの技術をオムニチャネル戦略に組み込むことで、小売業者は都市のモビリティを再構築し、二酸化炭素排出量を削減し、顧客満足度を高めています。その規模と影響力は、自律型配送を試験段階から主流の物流インフラへと変貌させる上で極めて重要です。

最大のシェアを占める地域：

予測期間中、アジア太平洋地域は、急速な都市化、eコマースの拡大、より迅速で費用対効果の高い配送に対する消費者需要の増加により、最大の市場シェアを占めると予想されます。中国、日本、インドなどの国々は、AI、ロボット工学、スマートロジスティクスに多額の投資を行っており、導入を促進しています。人件費の上昇と交通渋滞は、自律型ソリューションへのシフトをさらに加速させています。さらに、スマートシティ構想や持続可能な輸送システムに対する政府の支援は、市場の拡大を強化し、効率性と顧客満足度を高めています。

CAGRが最も高い地域：

予測期間中、北米地域はスピード、精度、持続可能性を高めることから、最も高いCAGRを示すと予測されます。eコマースの成長と労働力不足に後押しされ、無人車両とドローンは顧客満足度を向上させながら配送時間と運用コストを削減します。これらのイノベーションはまた、電動車両による排出削減をサポートし、AIを活用したルートプランニングにより都市モビリティを最適化します。導入が加速するにつれ、市場はロボット工学とデータ分析における雇用創出を促進し、北米をスマートで効率的なロジスティクスの世界的リーダーとして位置づける。

無料のカスタマイズサービス

本レポートをご購読のお客様には、以下の無料カスタマイズオプションのいずれかをご利用いただけます：

• 企業プロファイル
  • 追加市場企業の包括的プロファイリング（3社まで）
  • 主要企業のSWOT分析（3社まで）
• 地域セグメンテーション
  • 顧客の関心に応じた主要国の市場推計・予測・CAGR（注：フィージビリティチェックによる）
• 競合ベンチマーキング
  • 製品ポートフォリオ、地理的プレゼンス、戦略的提携に基づく主要企業のベンチマーキング

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 序文

• 概要
• ステークホルダー
• 調査範囲
• 調査手法
  • データマイニング
  • データ分析
  • データ検証
  • 調査アプローチ
• 調査資料
  • 1次調査資料
  • 2次調査情報源
  • 前提条件

第3章 市場動向分析

• 促進要因
• 抑制要因
• 機会
• 脅威
• 用途分析
• エンドユーザー分析
• 新興市場
• COVID-19の影響

第4章 ポーターのファイブフォース分析

• 供給企業の交渉力
• 買い手の交渉力
• 代替品の脅威
• 新規参入業者の脅威
• 競争企業間の敵対関係

第5章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：プラットフォーム別

• 空中配達ドローン
• 地上配送車両
• 自動運転トラックとバン

第6章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：ソリューション別

• サービス
• ソフトウェア
• ハードウェア

第7章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：範囲別

• 短距離（<20 km）
• 長距離（>20 km）

第8章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：用途別

• 食品・飲料の配達
• 小売・Eコマース配送
• ヘルスケアと医薬品の配達
• 郵便・小包配達
• その他

第9章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：エンドユーザー別

• 小売業者
• eコマース企業
• 物流会社
• ヘルスケア提供者
• その他のエンドユーザー

第10章 世界の自律型ラストマイルデリバリー市場：地域別

• 北米
  • 米国
  • カナダ
  • メキシコ
• 欧州
  • ドイツ
  • 英国
  • イタリア
  • フランス
  • スペイン
  • その他欧州
• アジア太平洋
  • 日本
  • 中国
  • インド
  • オーストラリア
  • ニュージーランド
  • 韓国
  • その他アジア太平洋
• 南米
  • アルゼンチン
  • ブラジル
  • チリ
  • その他南米
• 中東・アフリカ
  • サウジアラビア
  • アラブ首長国連邦
  • カタール
  • 南アフリカ
  • その他中東・アフリカ

第11章 主な発展

• 契約、パートナーシップ、コラボレーション、ジョイントベンチャー
• 買収と合併
• 新製品発売
• 事業拡大
• その他の主要戦略

第12章 企業プロファイリング

• Starship Technologies
• Nuro
• Amazon Robotics
• JD.com
• Alibaba Group
• FedEx
• UPS Flight Forward
• Wing
• Zipline
• Kiwibot
• Boxbot
• Postmates
• Robby Technologies
• Marble
• Refraction AI
• Eliport
• Neolix
• Udelv
• Gatik AI
• Caterpillar Inc.

List of Tables

• 1 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 2 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 3 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 4 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 5 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 6 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 7 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 8 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 9 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 10 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 11 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 12 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 13 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 14 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 15 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 16 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 17 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 18 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 19 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 20 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 21 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 22 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 23 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 24 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 25 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 26 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 27 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 28 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 29 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 30 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 31 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 32 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 33 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 34 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 35 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 36 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 37 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 38 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 39 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 40 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 41 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 42 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 43 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 44 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 45 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 46 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 47 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 48 North America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 49 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 50 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 51 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 52 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 53 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 54 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 55 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 56 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 57 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 58 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 59 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 60 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 61 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 62 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 63 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 64 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 65 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 66 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 67 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 68 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 69 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 70 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 71 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 72 Europe Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 73 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 74 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 75 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 76 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 77 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 78 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 79 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 80 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 81 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 82 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 83 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 84 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 85 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 86 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 87 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 88 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 89 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 90 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 91 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 92 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 93 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 94 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 95 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 96 Asia Pacific Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 97 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 98 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 99 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 100 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 101 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 102 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 103 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 104 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 105 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 106 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 107 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 108 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 109 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 110 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 111 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 112 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 113 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 114 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 115 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 116 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 117 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 118 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 119 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 120 South America Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 121 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Country (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 122 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Platform (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 123 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Aerial Delivery Drones (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 124 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Ground Delivery Vehicles (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 125 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Self-Driving Trucks & Vans (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 126 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Solution (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 127 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 128 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 129 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 130 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 131 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short Range (<20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 132 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long Range (>20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 133 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 134 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food & Beverages Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 135 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retail & E-commerce Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 136 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 137 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Postal & Parcel Delivery (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 138 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 139 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 140 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 141 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By E-commerce Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 142 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics Companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 143 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare Providers (2024-2032) ($MN)
• 144 Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market is accounted for $25.9 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $134.6 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 26.5% during the forecast period. Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery refers to the use of self-driving vehicles, drones, or robots to transport goods from a distribution hub or local facility directly to the customer's doorstep without human intervention. This technology leverages advanced navigation systems, artificial intelligence, sensors, and connectivity solutions to ensure timely, efficient, and contactless deliveries. It aims to reduce operational costs, minimize delivery times, and address challenges such as driver shortages and urban congestion. Widely adopted in e-commerce, food, and logistics sectors, autonomous last-mile delivery is reshaping supply chains by offering scalable, sustainable, and customer-centric solutions to meet rising consumer expectations.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising E-commerce Growth

Surging e-commerce demand is catalyzing rapid innovation in autonomous last-mile delivery, driving efficiency, scalability, and cost reduction. As online retail expands across urban and semi-urban zones, autonomous vehicles and drones offer faster, contactless delivery solutions, reducing human dependency and operational bottlenecks. This shift is accelerating investment in AI-driven logistics, smart routing, and regulatory frameworks, transforming last-mile delivery into a high-growth frontier. The synergy between e-commerce and automation is reshaping consumer expectations and logistics infrastructure worldwide.

Restraint:

Regulatory Barriers

Regulatory barriers significantly hinder the autonomous last-mile delivery market by delaying pilot programs, complicating cross-border operations, and increasing compliance costs. Fragmented policies across regions create uncertainty, discouraging investment and innovation. Restrictions on data usage, vehicle classification, and urban access zones further constrain scalability. These hurdles slow commercialization, limit competitive advantage, and stifle ecosystem growth, impeding the sector's potential to revolutionize logistics efficiency and consumer convenience in densely populated areas.

Opportunity:

Technological Advancements

Technological advancements are revolutionizing the autonomous last-mile delivery market by enhancing efficiency, scalability, and consumer satisfaction. Innovations in AI, robotics, and IoT enable precise navigation, real-time tracking, and adaptive route optimization, reducing delivery times and operational costs. Integration of 5G and edge computing accelerates data processing, while sustainable electric fleets support eco-friendly logistics. These breakthroughs are driving widespread adoption across urban and suburban landscapes, reshaping retail, food, and healthcare delivery with smarter, safer, and more responsive solutions.

Threat:

High Initial Investment

High initial investment significantly hampers the growth of the autonomous last-mile delivery market by deterring small and mid-sized logistics firms from adoption. The steep costs of advanced robotics, AI integration, and regulatory compliance create barriers to entry, slowing scalability and innovation. This financial burden delays ROI, limits pilot deployments, and restricts geographic expansion, especially in emerging markets-ultimately stalling broader commercialization and ecosystem development across the delivery value chain.

Covid-19 Impact

The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of autonomous last-mile delivery as contactless logistics became essential. Lockdowns and surging e-commerce demand drove innovation in delivery drones and robots, reducing human exposure risks. Despite initial disruptions, the market saw long-term structural shifts, with increased investment and regulatory support. Autonomous solutions gained traction in grocery and healthcare segments, reshaping consumer expectations and solidifying their role in resilient, future-ready supply chains

The software segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The software segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to scalability, and real-time optimization. Advanced routing algorithms, fleet management platforms, and AI-powered decision systems enhance delivery speed, reduce operational costs, and improve customer satisfaction. Integration with IoT and cloud infrastructure enables predictive maintenance and seamless coordination across urban logistics. As regulatory frameworks evolve, software ensures compliance and adaptability, positioning it as the backbone of autonomous delivery innovation and competitive differentiation.

The retailers segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the retailers segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to rising consumer expectations for speed and convenience. Their demand for cost-efficient, contactless delivery solutions is driving innovation in autonomous fleets and smart routing systems. By integrating these technologies into omnichannel strategies, retailers are reshaping urban mobility, reducing carbon footprints, and enhancing customer satisfaction. Their scale and influence are pivotal in transforming autonomous delivery from pilot phase to mainstream logistics infrastructure.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to rapid urbanization, expanding e-commerce, and increasing consumer demand for faster and cost-effective deliveries. Countries like China, Japan, and India are investing heavily in AI, robotics, and smart logistics, fostering adoption. Rising labor costs and traffic congestion are further accelerating the shift toward autonomous solutions. Additionally, government support for smart city initiatives and sustainable transport systems strengthens the market's expansion, enhancing efficiency and customer satisfaction.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, as it enhances speed, precision, and sustainability. Driven by e-commerce growth and labor shortages, unmanned vehicles and drones reduce delivery times and operational costs while improving customer satisfaction. These innovations also support emissions reduction through electric fleets and optimize urban mobility using AI-powered route planning. As adoption accelerates, the market fosters job creation in robotics and data analytics, positioning North America as a global leader in smart, efficient logistics.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players profiled in the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market include Starship Technologies, Nuro, Amazon Robotics, JD.com, Alibaba Group, FedEx, UPS Flight Forward, Wing, Zipline, Kiwibot, Boxbot, Postmates, Robby Technologies, Marble, Refraction AI, Eliport, Neolix, Udelv, Gatik AI and Caterpillar Inc.

Key Developments:

In August 2025, Caterpillar has forged a long-term strategic alliance with Hunt Energy to power "always-on" data centers. Beginning in Texas, the multi-year plan aims to roll out up to 1 GW of reliable, independent energy across North America.

In May 2025, SAP and Alibaba Group have forged a strategic pact to accelerate cloud transformation. Alibaba will adopt SAP Cloud ERP Private and a full SAP suite-plus AI tools like Qwen-boosting agility, resilience, and digital scale across Asia.

In March 2024, FedEx and Amazon quietly explored a potential tie-up to handle e-commerce returns via FedEx's retail locations. Though talks fell through, the move signaled shifting tides in parcel delivery as both sought fresh paths amid evolving logistics landscapes.

Platforms Covered:

• Aerial Delivery Drones
• Ground Delivery Vehicles
• Self-Driving Trucks & Vans

Solutions Covered:

• Services
• Software
• Hardware

Ranges Covered:

• Short Range (<20 km)
• Long Range (>20 km)

Applications Covered:

• Food & Beverages Delivery
• Retail & E-commerce Delivery
• Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery
• Postal & Parcel Delivery
• Other Applications

End Users Covered:

• Retailers
• E-commerce Companies
• Logistics Companies
• Healthcare Providers
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Application Analysis
• 3.7 End User Analysis
• 3.8 Emerging Markets
• 3.9 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By Platform

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Aerial Delivery Drones
• 5.3 Ground Delivery Vehicles
• 5.4 Self-Driving Trucks & Vans

6 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By Solution

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Services
• 6.3 Software
• 6.4 Hardware

7 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By Range

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Short Range (<20 km)
• 7.3 Long Range (>20 km)

8 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By Application

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Food & Beverages Delivery
• 8.3 Retail & E-commerce Delivery
• 8.4 Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Delivery
• 8.5 Postal & Parcel Delivery
• 8.6 Other Applications

9 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By End User

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 Retailers
• 9.3 E-commerce Companies
• 9.4 Logistics Companies
• 9.5 Healthcare Providers
• 9.6 Other End Users

10 Global Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market, By Geography

• 10.1 Introduction
• 10.2 North America
  • 10.2.1 US
  • 10.2.2 Canada
  • 10.2.3 Mexico
• 10.3 Europe
  • 10.3.1 Germany
  • 10.3.2 UK
  • 10.3.3 Italy
  • 10.3.4 France
  • 10.3.5 Spain
  • 10.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 10.4 Asia Pacific
  • 10.4.1 Japan
  • 10.4.2 China
  • 10.4.3 India
  • 10.4.4 Australia
  • 10.4.5 New Zealand
  • 10.4.6 South Korea
  • 10.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 10.5 South America
  • 10.5.1 Argentina
  • 10.5.2 Brazil
  • 10.5.3 Chile
  • 10.5.4 Rest of South America
• 10.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 10.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 10.6.2 UAE
  • 10.6.3 Qatar
  • 10.6.4 South Africa
  • 10.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

11 Key Developments

• 11.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 11.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 11.3 New Product Launch
• 11.4 Expansions
• 11.5 Other Key Strategies

12 Company Profiling

• 12.1 Starship Technologies
• 12.2 Nuro
• 12.3 Amazon Robotics
• 12.4 JD.com
• 12.5 Alibaba Group
• 12.6 FedEx
• 12.7 UPS Flight Forward
• 12.8 Wing
• 12.9 Zipline
• 12.10 Kiwibot
• 12.11 Boxbot
• 12.12 Postmates
• 12.13 Robby Technologies
• 12.14 Marble
• 12.15 Refraction AI
• 12.16 Eliport
• 12.17 Neolix
• 12.18 Udelv
• 12.19 Gatik AI
• 12.20 Caterpillar Inc.