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市場調査レポート
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低炭素推進市場の2030年までの予測: 車両タイプ、燃料タイプ、モード、電気自動車、鉄道用途、エンドユーザー、地域別の世界分析Low-Carbon Propulsion Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Heavy-Duty Vehicle and Light-Duty Vehicle), Fuel Type, Mode, Electric Vehicle, Rail Application, End User and by Geography |
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低炭素推進市場の2030年までの予測: 車両タイプ、燃料タイプ、モード、電気自動車、鉄道用途、エンドユーザー、地域別の世界分析 |
出版日: 2024年09月06日
発行: Stratistics Market Research Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 200+ Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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Stratistics MRCによると、世界の低炭素推進市場は2024年に220億2,000万米ドルを占め、2030年には625億2,000万米ドルに達すると予測され、予測期間中のCAGRは19.0%で成長する見込みです。
低炭素推進という用語は、機械や自動車からの温室効果ガス排出を低減することを目的とした燃料や技術の応用を表しています。電気、水素、バイオ燃料、合成燃料などの代替エネルギー源を利用することで、この戦略は輸送部門の二酸化炭素排出量を削減することを目的としています。電気推進システムは、内燃エンジンの代わりにバッテリー駆動のモーターを使用することで、排出ガスを大幅に削減します。さらに、水素燃料電池は、水素ガスから水蒸気への変換のみから電気を生成することで、排出量ゼロの代替手段を提供します。
国際エネルギー機関(IEA)によると、電気自動車や水素燃料電池などの低炭素推進技術の採用は、2050年までに温室効果ガス排出量を削減するという世界目標の達成に不可欠です。
持続可能なエネルギーへのニーズの高まり
消費者が従来の化石燃料が環境に与える影響を意識するようになり、よりクリーンな代替エネルギーへの需要が高まっています。これは特に都市部で顕著で、大気環境への懸念がハイブリッド車や電気自動車技術への関心を高めています。さらに、持続可能な生活と環境に優しいモビリティ・ソリューションへのシフトの結果、排出ガスが少なく、生涯を通じて環境への影響が少ない車を選ぶ消費者が増えています。
高い乗り出し価格
水素燃料電池車や電気自動車(EV)のような低炭素推進技術は、従来の内燃機関車(ICE)よりも初期コストがまだかなり高いです。これは、電池の製造に必要なニッケル、コバルト、リチウムといった高価な原材料や部品、複雑な製造工程によるところが大きいです。同様に、水素燃料電池の製造にはプラチナのような高価で希少な材料が必要なため、コストがかかります。
公的支援とインセンティブ・プログラムの拡大
持続可能な輸送ソリューションの推進と温室効果ガス排出量の削減に対する世界各国の政府のコミットメントは高まっています。助成金、減税、補助金、リベートを通じて、このコミットメントは、低炭素推進技術を採用するメーカーや消費者にとってのチャンスに変換されます。さらに、政府プログラムは、例えば水素自動車や電気燃料電池自動車の購入、充電インフラの設置、新しい推進技術の研究開発に資金を提供しています。
市場の変動と経済の不確実性
貿易紛争、景気後退、地政学的不安は、低炭素推進剤市場の拡大を深刻に危うくしかねない世界経済の変動の一例です。消費者も企業も、景気後退期には、水素や電気自動車のような斬新で価格が高い可能性のある技術への投資よりも、コスト削減を優先する可能性があります。さらに、特に電池の生産に必要なニッケル、コバルト、リチウムのような重要材料に関しては、世界の市場変動から原材料価格が予測不能になる可能性があります。
COVID-19の大流行は、国際的なサプライチェーンを混乱させ、バッテリーや半導体などの重要部品の不足を招き、電気自動車や水素自動車の開発・導入を延期させるなど、低炭素推進市場に大きな影響を与えました。さらに、景気の先行き不透明感や個人消費の減少により、自動車販売は一時的に減少し、充電ステーションや水素充填ネットワークの建設などのインフラ整備は、ロックダウンや移動制限により阻害されました。
予測期間中は小型車セグメントが最大となる見込み
低炭素推進力市場では、通常、小型車セグメントが最大の市場シェアを占めています。この優位性の理由は、その手頃な価格、使い勝手の良さ、充電ステーションのインフラ拡大により、電気自動車とハイブリッド自動車が個人消費者と企業の両方の間で人気が高まっているためです。さらに、この市場の世界の成長は、バッテリー技術の向上、生産効率の向上、環境に優しいモビリティオプションに対する消費者の需要によって後押しされています。
予測期間中にCAGRが最も高くなると予想されるのは電動セグメント
低炭素推進力市場では、電気セグメントが最も高いCAGRで成長すると予測されます。この爆発的な成長の主な原因は、よりクリーンで効率的な自動車に対する消費者の需要の高まり、バッテリー技術の大幅な進歩、バッテリー価格の顕著な下落です。世界中の政府が、インセンティブや補助金、排出ガス規制の強化を通じて、電気自動車(EV)の採用を強力に推進しています。さらに、電動モビリティへのシフトは、充電インフラの開拓と環境意識の高まりによって促進されており、低炭素推進力市場で最も急成長しているのは電動セグメントです。
低炭素推進力市場は北米地域が支配的です。この優位性の大部分は、大規模な政府政策投資、低炭素推進システムの開発を目的とした大規模な研究開発プロジェクト、クリーンエネルギー技術への大規模投資によるものです。さらに、米国とカナダは、温室効果ガスの排出削減と運輸部門のエネルギー効率の改善に共同で取り組んでいるため、この地域の成長は米国とカナダが主導しています。
低炭素推進力市場は、アジア太平洋地域で最も高いCAGRで成長しています。中国、日本、インドなどの国々で、環境に優しい輸送技術に対する政府の取り組みや投資が増加していることが、この爆発的な成長の主な原動力となっています。同地域では、自動車産業の成長、代替燃料のインフラ拡大、二酸化炭素排出量削減への関心の高まりにより、低炭素推進技術の著しい進歩が見られます。さらに、アジア太平洋地域の経済が厳しい環境基準を満たし、再生可能エネルギーへのシフトを加速させる中、この動向は今後も続くと予測されます。
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Low-Carbon Propulsion Market is accounted for $22.02 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $62.52 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 19.0% during the forecast period. The term low-carbon propulsion describes the application of fuels and technologies intended to lower greenhouse gas emissions from machinery and automobiles. By utilizing alternative energy sources like electricity, hydrogen, bio fuels, and synthetic fuels, this strategy aims to reduce the transportation sector's carbon footprint. Electric propulsion systems drastically reduce emissions by using battery-powered motors in place of internal combustion engines. Additionally, hydrogen fuel cells provide a zero-emission alternative by producing electricity solely from the conversion of hydrogen gas into water vapor.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the adoption of low-carbon propulsion technologies, such as electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel cells, is critical to achieving the global targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
Growing need for sustainable energy
There is a growing demand for cleaner energy alternatives as consumers become more conscious of the effects traditional fossil fuels have on the environment. This is especially noticeable in urban settings where worries about air quality are piquing interest in hybrid and electric car technology. Moreover, growing numbers of consumers are choosing cars with lower emissions and a smaller lifetime environmental impact as a result of the shift towards sustainable living and green mobility solutions.
High starting prices
Low-carbon propulsion technologies, like hydrogen fuel cell vehicles and electric vehicles (EVs), still have a substantially higher initial cost than conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Furthermore, this is mostly because of the costly raw materials and parts-like nickel, cobalt, and lithium-that are needed to make batteries, as well as the intricate production procedures. In a similar vein, the production of hydrogen fuel cells is expensive since they require pricey and rare materials like platinum.
Expanding public assistance and incentive programs
The commitment of governments across the globe to promote sustainable transportation solutions and lower greenhouse gas emissions is growing. Through grants, tax breaks, subsidies, and rebates, this commitment is translated into opportunities for manufacturers and consumers who adopt low-carbon propulsion technologies. Moreover, government programs, for instance, provide funding for the purchase of hydrogen and electric fuel cell vehicles, the installation of charging infrastructure, and research and development for novel propulsion technologies.
Market volatility and economic uncertainty
Trade disputes, recessions, and geopolitical unrest are examples of global economic fluctuations that can seriously jeopardize the low-carbon propulsion market's expansion. Both consumers and businesses may place a higher priority on cost savings during economic downturns than on investments in novel, possibly pricey technologies like hydrogen or electric vehicles. Furthermore, unpredictability in raw material prices can result from market volatility worldwide, especially when it comes to vital materials like nickel, cobalt, and lithium that are needed to produce batteries.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a major effect on the low-carbon propulsion market by upsetting international supply chains, leading to shortages of vital parts like batteries and semiconductors, and postponing the development and introduction of electric and hydrogen-powered automobiles. Moreover, vehicle sales temporarily decreased as a result of economic uncertainty and lower consumer spending, and infrastructure development-such as the construction of charging stations and hydrogen refueling networks-was impeded by lockdowns and travel restrictions.
The Light-Duty Vehicle segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
In the low-carbon propulsion market, the light-duty vehicle segment usually holds the largest market share. The reason for this dominance is that due to their affordability, user-friendliness, and expanding infrastructure of charging stations, electric and hybrid cars are becoming increasingly popular among both individual consumers and businesses. Furthermore, the global growth of this market is being propelled by improvements in battery technology, higher production efficiency, and consumer demand for environmentally friendly mobility options.
The Electric segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the market for low-carbon propulsion, the electric segment is anticipated to grow at the highest CAGR. The primary causes of this explosive growth are the growing consumer demand for cleaner and more efficient cars, as well as significant advancements in battery technology and a discernible drop in battery prices. Governments all around the world are pushing hard for the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) through incentives, subsidies, and tighter emissions regulations. Moreover, the shift to electric mobility is being expedited by the development of charging infrastructure and growing environmental consciousness, which places the electric segment as the fastest-growing in the low-carbon propulsion market.
The market for low-carbon propulsion is dominated by the North American region. This dominance is mostly attributable to large government policy investments, large R&D projects aimed at developing low-carbon propulsion systems, and large investments in clean energy technologies. Additionally, this regional growth is being led by the United States and Canada because of their shared commitment to cutting greenhouse gas emissions and improving energy efficiency in the transportation sector.
The low-carbon propulsion market is growing at the highest CAGR in the Asia-Pacific region. Growing government initiatives and investments in environmentally friendly transportation technologies in nations like China, Japan, and India are the main drivers of this explosive growth. Significant progress in low-carbon propulsion technologies is being made in the region owing to its growing automotive industry, expanding infrastructure for alternative fuels, and growing focus on lowering carbon emissions. Furthermore, as the economies of the Asia-Pacific region work to meet strict environmental standards and accelerate their shift to renewable energy, this trend is predicted to continue.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Low-Carbon Propulsion market include Ford Motor Company, Airbus SE, Bombardier, Honda Motor Co. Ltd, Nissan Motor Corporation, Daimler AG, ABB Ltd, Hyundai Motor Group, Yara International ASA, Mitsubishi Motors Corporation, Tata Motors Ltd, Boeing Company, Volkswagen AG, Siemens AG, Toyota Motor Corporation, Porsche AG and Tesla, Inc.
In August 2024, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (Honda) and Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. (Yamaha) announced that they have reached an agreement for Honda to supply Yamaha with electric motorcycle models for the Japanese market, based on the Honda "EM1 e:" and "BENLY e: I" Class-1 category* models, as an OEM (original equipment manufacturer).
In July 2024, Airbus SE has entered into a binding term sheet agreement with Spirit AeroSystems in relation to a potential acquisition of major activities related to Airbus, notably the production of A350 fuselage sections in Kinston, North Carolina, U.S., and St. Nazaire, France; of the A220's wings and mid-fuselage in Belfast, Northern Ireland, and Casablanca, Morocco; as well as of the A220 pylons in Wichita, Kansas, U.S.
In December 2023, Ford Motor Co. has reversed its decision to sell its only remaining factory in Tamil Nadu, India, reaching a recent agreement with the JSW Group led by Sajjan Jindal, according to a report by the Economic Times. This surprising move has led to speculation that the American company might be contemplating a comeback into the world's third-largest automotive market, having exited more than two years ago.