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市場調査レポート
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在来型石油の2030年までの市場予測:タイプ別、硫黄分別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の世界分析Conventional Oil Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Heavy Ends, Middle Distillates, and Other Types), Sulfur Content (Low Sulphur and High Sulphur), End User and By Geography |
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在来型石油の2030年までの市場予測:タイプ別、硫黄分別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の世界分析 |
出版日: 2023年09月01日
発行: Stratistics Market Research Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 175+ Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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Stratistics MRCによると、在来型石油の世界市場は2023年に27億米ドルを占め、予測期間中にCAGR 8.4%で成長し、2030年には51億米ドルに達すると予測されています。
自動車エンジンに使用されるオイルは、在来型モーターオイルとして知られています。その役割は、エンジンコンポーネントを潤滑して保護し、過度の摩耗を軽減し、エンジンがスムーズに動作するようにすることです。
予測期間を通じて、在来型石油市場は、技術改良の高まりにより大きな発展の可能性を経験すると予想されます。技術の進歩により、在来型石油の抽出はより簡単で低コストになっています。例えば、より効果的な抽出プロセスの構築や、増進回収法の使用などです。その結果、在来型石油の生産量が増加し、埋蔵期間が延びる可能性があります。
在来型石油の需要を制限している重要な要素の一つは、風力、太陽光、水力発電を含む再生可能エネルギー源の採用が増加していることです。気候変動への懸念、環境の持続可能性、再生可能エネルギー技術のコスト低下など、数多くの原因が再生可能エネルギー源の普及拡大に寄与しています。さらに、世界中の政府が再生可能エネルギー源の使用を促進するために、補助金や奨励金を提供しています。再生可能エネルギー源の普及が続き、在来型石油の需要が減少するにつれて、在来型石油の市場は制約を受けると予想されます。
現代社会に欠かせないのが輸送部門です。輸送業の台頭は、商品やサービスに対する需要の高まりと、道路、鉄道、航空、海上などあらゆる交通手段における移動に対する欲求の高まりに後押しされています。特に発展途上国では、輸送部門の拡大は市場アクセスや貿易・通商の見通しを高めるため、経済発展の大きな要因と考えられています。
エンジンオイルの品質は、高温と低温の両方によって深刻な悪影響を受ける可能性があります。 外が寒いと、通常のオイルが濃くなり、車がエンジン内を循環するのに時間がかかります。 適切に潤滑されていないと、エンジンのコンポーネントが損傷する可能性があります。
世界のCOVID-19の流行は、人体に深刻な脅威をもたらすだけでなく、人々の生産性や生活様式にも変化をもたらしています。確認された感染者数が増加するにつれ、各国は病気の蔓延を食い止めるためにロックダウンなどの予防策を実施しました。こうした行為は世界の経済封鎖を引き起こし、世界中のサプライチェーンに混乱をもたらしました。ウイルスの蔓延を食い止めるために実施された厳格な封鎖と社会隔離政策により、COVID-19は在来型石油産業に壊滅的な打撃を与えました。在来型石油の需要は、経済の不安定、経済の一部停止、消費者心理の低下によって阻害されました。
中間留分セグメントは、有利な成長を遂げると推定されます。中間留分は、在来型石油を分別蒸留してより軽い製品とより重い製品を製造する際に生じるからです。物理的には、中間留分は10~20個の炭素原子を持つ液体で、透明、無色~淡黄色、可燃性です。炭素鎖は残留生成物より長く、軽質留分より短いです。予測期間中、これらが在来型石油の市場規模に影響を与える主な変数になると予想されます。
原油や石油製品に含まれる一般的な成分が硫黄であることから、高硫黄セグメントは予測期間中に最も高いCAGRの成長が見込まれます。硫黄は燃焼時に硫黄酸化物を放出するため、好ましくない汚染物質とみなされています。
北米は、石油資源が豊富で、石油インフラに多額の投資を行っていることから、予測期間中最大の市場シェアを占めると予測されます。OPEC諸国との交流やシェールオイル革命などの地政学的な考慮は、在来型石油事業にも影響を与えています。シェールオイル・ガス資源の開発により、米国では近年、石油生産量が大幅に増加しています。米国は現在、石油の輸入依存度が低下し、他国への輸出さえ行っているため、世界の在来型石油市場に変化をもたらしています。
中東・アフリカは、予測期間中、CAGRが最も高くなると予測されます。これは、産油国上位10カ国のうち5カ国がこの地域にあり、世界の石油生産量の約27%を占めているからです。2番目に活発な上流市場である中東では、近年、精製能力の30%以上が拡張されており、今後さらに大規模な精製プロジェクトが実施されると予想されます。国有企業が世界の石油の大半を生産しているという事実にもかかわらず、いくつかの世界な石油ビジネスは、合弁事業、生産分与契約、その他の経済モデルを通じて中東とアフリカで事業を展開しています。これらの要素はすべて、この地域における在来型石油市場の拡大を加速させると予測されています。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Conventional Oil Market is accounted for $2.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $5.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.4% during the forecast period. The oil used in automobile engines is known as conventional motor oil, often referred to as mineral oil, ordinary oil, or traditional oil. Its job is to lubricate and safeguard engine components, reducing excessive wear and ensuring the engine runs smoothly. It's likely that some professionals will steadfastly maintain that synthetic oils are superior to conventional ones in every manner. The most notable benefits of utilizing conventional oil are it offers a huge financial savings when it comes to passenger vehicles, conventional oil was the norm.
According to the US Department of Agriculture, palm oil imports were 47.56 million metric tons during the current year, which was higher than the previous year's imports which were 47.21 million metric tons.
Throughout the forecast period, the conventional oil market is anticipated to experience significant development potential due to rising technological improvements. Technology advancements have made it simpler and less expensive to extract conventional oil. Examples include the creation of more effective extraction processes or the use of enhanced oil recovery methods. This might result in a rise in output and a longer reserve life for conventional oil. For instance, the requirement for extra drilling sites is reduced by the ability of directional drilling and horizontal drilling techniques to drill numerous wells from a single location which is enhancing the growth of the market.
One of the key elements limiting the demand for conventional oil is the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources including wind, solar, and hydroelectric power. Numerous causes, such as worries about climate change, environmental sustainability, and the decreasing cost of renewable energy technology, have contributed to the growing popularity of renewable energy sources. Additionally, governments all over the world are offering subsidies and incentives to promote the use of renewable energy sources. The market for conventional oil is anticipated to be constrained as renewable energy sources continue to gain popularity and the demand for conventional oil declines.
A vital part of contemporary society is the transportation sector. The rise of the transportation business is being fueled by the rising demand for goods and services as well as the rising desire for mobility across all means of transportation, including road, rail, air, and sea. Particularly in developing nations, the expansion of the transportation sector is considered as a major factor in economic development since it increases market access and trade and commerce prospects. To meet the rising demand for transportation services, this has led to increased investment in transportation infrastructure, such as new motorways, railways, and airports. As the number of vehicles on the road increases, so does the need for gasoline and diesel to power cars and trucks with internal combustion engines.
The quality of engine oil can be seriously harmed by both hot and cold temperatures. When it's chilly outside, regular oil thickens and takes longer for your car to circulate through the engine. The engine's components could suffer damage if it is not properly lubricated. On the other hand, warm weather can accelerate the evaporation and degradation of conventional oils. This can result in low oil levels, which would result in excessive part wear. Conventional oils' inferior fuel efficiency results in higher emissions than necessary in addition to higher gas prices.
In addition to posing a serious threat to human health, the global COVID-19 epidemic has also changed people's productivity and way of life. Countries have implemented precautions like lockdowns to stop the disease from spreading as the number of confirmed cases climbs. These acts caused a global economic embargo and a disruption in the supply chains around the world. Due to the strict lockdowns and social segregation policies put in place to stop the virus's spread, COVID-19 had a devastating impact on the conventional oil industry. The demand for conventional oil was impeded by economic instability, a partial economic shutdown, and low consumer confidence.
The middle distillates segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because middle distillate is created when conventional oil is fractionally distilled to create lighter and heavier products. Physically, they are liquids with ten to twenty carbon atoms that are transparent, colorless to light yellow and combustible. Their carbon chains are longer than those of residual products but shorter than those of lighter distillates. During the forecast period, these are anticipated to be the main variables affecting the conventional oil market size.
The high sulphur segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as it is a common ingredient found in crude oil and petroleum products is sulfur. Sulfur is viewed as an unwelcome pollutant because when it burns, it releases sulfur oxides. On average, a crude oil grade with high sulfur content will be lower. Sour crude is another name for conventional oil that has high sulfur content. It can be used in all industrial settings, buildings, boilers, and power plants. It provides substantial savings because it is a high-temperature burning fuel oil.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the large oil resources and significant investment in oil infrastructure are features of the region. Geopolitical considerations, such as interactions with OPEC nations and the shale oil revolution, have an impact on the conventional oil business as well. Due to the exploitation of shale oil and gas resources, the US has seen a major rise in oil production in recent years. The US is now less reliant on oil imports and even exports oil to other nations, which has caused a change in the global conventional oil market.
Middle East and Africa is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, because five of the top ten oil-producing countries are located in this region, which accounts for about 27% of global oil production. The Middle East, the second most dynamic upstream market, has seen more than 30% of the expansion of refining capacity in recent years, and even more sizable refining projects will be carried out there in the years to come. Several global oil businesses operate in the Middle East and Africa through joint ventures, production-sharing agreements, and other economic models, despite the fact that state-owned enterprises produce the majority of the world's oil. All of these elements are predicted to accelerate the expansion of the conventional oil market in the area.
Some of the key players profiled in the Conventional Oil Market include: TotalEnergies SE, BP p.l.c., Shell Plc., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron, EQUINOR ASA, Repsol, TotalEnergies SE, Eni, Petrobras, Saudi Aramco, ConocoPhillips, Gazprom, CNPC and PetroChina
In Aug 2023, TotalEnergies has signed an agreement with CapeOmega Carbon Storage AS, a wholly owned subsidiary of CapeOmega AS, to acquire the 40% participating interest held by CapeOmega in the CO2 storage exploration license
In Aug 2023, TotalEnergies and INPEX have signed an agreement with PTTEP in order to acquire the 100% interest held by PTTEP in the AC-RL7 permit in Australia. Under the terms of the agreement, which is subject to approval by the relevant authorities TotalEnergies will acquire a 26% interest in the permit in line with its equity in Ichthys LNG, while INPEX will acquire the remaining 74% and assume operatorship
In July 2023, ExxonMobil announces acquisition of Denbury, The acquisition is an all-stock transaction valued at $4.9 billion, or $89.45 per share based on ExxonMobil's closing price. Under the terms of the agreement, Denbury shareholders will receive 0.84 shares of ExxonMobil for each Denbury share.