米国の持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）市場の評価：燃料タイプ別、技術別、用途別、地域別、機会、予測（2017年～2031年）

米国の持続可能な航空燃料の市場規模は、2023年の2億5,903万米ドルから2031年に22億4,657万米ドルに達すると予測され、予測期間の2024年～2031年にCAGRで31.00%の成長が見込まれます。市場は、持続可能性と環境責任への世界的なシフトに牽引される航空産業のゲームチェンジャーです。SAFは、従来の化石ベースのジェット燃料に代わる有力な選択肢であり、二酸化炭素排出と環境に対する影響を削減することができます。航空産業が二酸化炭素排出への対応に迫られるなか、米国におけるSAFの需要は拡大しています。この新興市場は、SAFをより効率的でスケーラブルなものにするバイオ燃料生産技術の進歩に支えられています。航空企業、燃料メーカー、技術開発企業の間のパートナーシップは、SAF展開のロジスティクス上の課題や経済的課題を克服する鍵となります。政府の政策とインセンティブは、SAFの採用、研究開発、普及に向けたインフラ構築を加速させる上で大きな役割を果たしています。航空部門が脱炭素化とグリーンアビエーションソリューションに向かうにつれ、米国のSAF市場は、環境の持続可能性と航空旅行のよりクリーンな未来にコミットする投資家、メーカー、ステークホルダーにとってより魅力的になっています。この情勢は、気候変動との戦いにおけるSAFの重要性の高まりと、より持続可能な慣行への航空産業の進化における投資家の機会を示しています。

市場の成長を促進する政府のインセンティブ

米国の持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）市場の成長には、技術革新、コスト削減、迅速な普及を推進する政府のインセンティブが不可欠です。税額控除、助成金、資金提供プログラムなどの連邦と州の政策は、SAFの生産とインフラ開発を支援するように設計されています。例えば、再生可能燃料基準（RFS）は、SAFを含む再生可能燃料の使用を義務付け、その遵守に対して財政的インセンティブを提供しています。SAF Grand Challengeのような政府が支援する取り組みは、SAF技術の向上と生産規模の拡大に取り組んでいます。このようなインセンティブは、生産者の経済的障壁を軽減し、SAFの研究開発への投資を奨励し、航空部門が脱炭素化の目標を達成できるようにします。支援的な経済環境と持続可能な慣行を作り出すことで、政府の政策はSAF市場の成長に重要な役割を果たし、より環境にやさしい航空旅行につながります。

例えば2021年9月、エネルギー省、輸送省、農務省は、持続可能な航空燃料の需要に応えるため、Sustainable Aviation Fuel Grand Challengeを開始しました。この試みでは、持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）のコスト削減、持続可能性の向上、生産、消費を行い、従来の燃料と比較してライフサイクル温室効果ガス排出を50％削減することの達成を目指します。目標は、2030年までに少なくとも30億ガロンのSAFを生産し、2050年までに航空燃料の100％を生産することです。

航空機の燃料効率向上に向けた研究開発活動の強化

NASAはSustainable Flight National Partnershipを立ち上げ、より少ない燃料消費で二酸化炭素排出を削減する航空機とエンジン技術の開発を加速させています。FAAは、これらの技術の開発と実証のために、航空機とエンジンの企業に1億米ドル超を提供しています。国防総省は、レガシー機の効率化と新しいエネルギー効率の高い航空機に投資しています。Air Force B-52 Commercial Engine Replacement Program、Army Improved Engine Turbine Program、Adaptive Engine Transition Program、Next-Generation Adaptive Propulsion Program、Air Force Legacy Aircraft Drag Reduction Programなどがその例です。国防総省は、SMARTFARM（Systems for Monitoring and Analytics for Renewable Transportation Fuels from Agricultural Resources and Management）プログラムの6つのプロジェクトに1,650万米ドルを投資しています。

当レポートでは、米国の持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）市場について調査分析し、市場規模と予測、市場力学、主要企業の情勢と見通しなどを提供しています。

目次

第1章 プロジェクトの範囲と定義

第2章 調査手法

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第4章 顧客の声

• ブランド認知度
• リードタイム
• サプライチェーン
• 品質
• 購入のしやすさ

第5章 米国の持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）市場の見通し（2017年～2031年）

• 市場規模の分析と予測
  • 金額
  • 数量
• 市場シェア分析と予測
  • 燃料タイプ別
  • 技術別
  • 用途別
  • 地域別
  • 市場シェア分析：企業別（金額）（上位5社とその他 - 2023年）
• 市場マップ分析（2023年）
  • 燃料タイプ別
  • 技術別
  • 用途別
  • 地域別

第6章 ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第7章 PESTLE分析

第8章 市場力学

• 市場促進要因
• 市場の課題

第9章 市場の動向と発展

第10章 ケーススタディ

第11章 競合情勢

• マーケットリーダー上位5社の競合マトリクス
• 上位5社のSWOT分析
• 主要企業上位10社の情勢
  • Gevo, Inc.
  • World Energy, LLC
  • Eni Spa
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc
  • SkyNRG B.V.
  • Velocys Plc
  • Neste Oyj
  • Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • Alder Renewables LLC
  • HyPoint Inc.

第12章 戦略的推奨

第13章 当社について、免責事項

List of Tables

• Table 1. Pricing Analysis of Products from Key Players
• Table 2. Competition Matrix of Top 5 Market Leaders
• Table 3. Mergers & Acquisitions/ Joint Ventures (If Applicable)
• Table 4. About Us - Regions and Countries Where We Have Executed Client Projects

List of Figures

• Figure 1. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, In USD Million, 2017-2031F
• Figure 2. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, In Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 3. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 4. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 5. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 6. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Region, 2017-2031F
• Figure 7. By Fuel Type Map-Market Size (USD Million) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 8. By Technology Size Map-Market Size (USD Million) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 9. By Application Map-Market Size (USD Million) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 10. By Region Map-Market Size (USD Million) & Growth Rate (%), 2023

United States sustainable aviation fuel market is expected to observe a CAGR of 31.00% during the forecast period 2024-2031F, rising from USD 259.03 million in 2023 to USD 2246.57 million in 2031. The United States sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market is a game changer in the aviation industry driven by the global shift to sustainability and environmental responsibility. SAF is a compelling alternatives to traditional fossil-based jet fuel and can reduce carbon emissions and environmental impact. As the industry is under pressure to address its carbon footprint the demand for SAF in the United States is growing. This emerging market is backed by advancements in biofuel production technology which is making SAF more efficient and scalable. Partnerships between airlines, fuel producers, and tech developers are key to overcome the logistical and economic challenges of SAF deployment. Government policies and incentives are playing a big role in accelerating SAF adoption, research and development, and building the infrastructure for widespread use. As the sector moves toward decarbonization and green aviation solutions the SAF market in the United States is getting more attractive to investors, manufacturers, and stakeholders who are committed to environmental sustainability and a cleaner future for air travel. This landscape shows the growing importance of SAF in the fight against climate change and opportunities for investors in the evolution of the aviation industry to more sustainable practices.

Government Incentives to Promote Market Growth

Government incentives are crucial for the growth of the United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market driven by innovation, costs reduction, and speed-adoption. Federal and state policies such as tax credits, grants, and funding programs are designed to support SAF production and infrastructure development. For instance, the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requires the use of renewable fuels including SAF and offers financial incentives for compliance. Government backed initiatives such as the SAF Grand Challenge are working to improve SAF technology and scale production. These incentives reduce financial barriers for producers and encourage investments in SAF research and development so that the aviation sector can meet its decarbonization goals. By creating a supportive economic environment and sustainable practices, government policies play a key role in the growth of SAF market, leading to a greener air travel.

For instance, in September 2021, the Department of Energy, the Department of Transportation, and the USDA launched a Sustainable Aviation Fuel Grand Challenge to meet the demand for sustainable aviation fuels. The challenge will reduce costs, increase sustainability, production, and consumption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) to achieve 50% reduction in life cycle greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional fuel. The goal is to produce at least 3 billion gallons of SAF by 2030 and 100% of aviation fuel by 2050.

Increasing R&D Activities to Achieve Improvement in Aircraft Fuel Efficiency

NASA has launched the Sustainable Flight National Partnership to speed the development of aircraft and engine technologies that burn less fuel and reduce carbon emissions. The FAA is giving over USD 100 million to aircraft and engine companies to develop and demonstrate these technologies. The DoD is investing in legacy aircraft efficiency and new energy efficient aircraft. Examples include the Air Force B-52 Commercial Engine Replacement Program, Army Improved Engine Turbine Program, Adaptive Engine Transition Program, Next-Generation Adaptive Propulsion Program, and Air Force Legacy Aircraft Drag Reduction Program. The DoD is investing USD 16.5 million for six projects in the Systems for Monitoring and Analytics for Renewable Transportation Fuels from Agricultural Resources and Management (SMARTFARM) program.

For instance, The FAA has given out USD 20.4 million in grants to reduce emissions and improve air quality at airports across the United States. The grants will fund zero-emission vehicles, electric charging stations, and electrify ramp equipment for plane servicing. The FAA introduced the Aviation Climate Research (ACR) program in the FY2022 Budget Request with a USD 50 million budget to invest in game changing research to reduce aviation emissions.

The Western United States to Dominate Market

The Western United States, including California, Washington, and Oregon is dominating the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market due to its focus on innovation, environmentalism, and sustainability. California's leadership in promoting SAF through tough environmental regulations and supportive policies and major airports such as Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) and San Francisco International Airport (SFO) has made it a pioneer in market. The region's commitment to integrating SAF into their operations gives them more influence on the national market. The region's focus on renewable energy supports SAF production, the development and deployment of SAF technologies, and align with the regional sustainability goals. Overall, the combination of regulatory leadership, airport initiatives, and renewable energy integration in the Western United States is a big driver of the SAF market in the United States.

For instance, in July 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the United States sustainable aviation fuel production capacity went from 2,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2019 to 19,000 b/d in 2023 and its expected increase to 30,000 b/d by the end of 2024.

Biofuel Segment Holds the Highest Market Share

In the United States SAF market, the biofuel segment holds the largest share due to its crucial role in the industry's transition toward green aviation. Biofuels derived from renewable sources, such as plant materials, agricultural residues, and waste oils, offer a compelling alternative to traditional fossil-based jet fuels. These biofuels effectively reduce carbon emissions and minimize environmental impact. Their dominance is attributed to their advanced technology, scalability, and existing infrastructure. As the aviation sector increasingly emphasizes sustainability and decarbonization, biofuels have become the primary focus due to their proven efficacy and compatibility with current aircraft engines. The leadership of the sector in the SAF market underscores its critical contribution to meet regulatory requirements and achieving long-term environmental goals.

For instance, in 2022, 66.61 billion liters (17.6 billion gallons) of biofuel were consumed, and 70.78 billion liters (18.7 billion gallons) were generated in the United States. The United States exported around 3.785 billion liters (1.0 billion gallons) of biofuels.

Future Market Scenario (2024 - 2031F)

Innovations in biomass-to-biofuel technology and the incorporation of e-fuels generated by power-to-liquids conversion processes are important factors in the United States sustainable aviation fuel market. Long-term concerns about biomass availability will make e-fuels, which depend on cheap, plentiful, and low-carbon energy and hydrogen from renewable sources such as wind, solar, hydropower, and nuclear.

For instance, in July 2024, to promote the worldwide development of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), Airbus is investing in LanzaJet, a top sustainable fuel for technology firms. To produce Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) on a large-scale, LanzaJet will be able to increase its ability to scale its patented Ethanol to SAF process technology due to the funding.

Key Players Landscape and Outlook

In the United States, the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market is led by key players who pioneer SAF production and innovation. These companies are advancing SAF technology through significant investments and strategic partnerships. The market outlook is expected to be strong and driven by increasing regulatory support, federal incentives, and growing airline commitments to reduce carbon emissions. The focus is on scaling SAF production and enhancing feedstock efficiency. Collaborations between fuel producers, airlines, and research institutions are crucial for accelerating SAF adoption and achieving the sustainability targets of the United States sustainable aviation fuel market.

For instance, in October 2023, Neste and Emirates have teamed together to supply more than three million gallons of blended Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuel, which combines traditional jet fuel, for Emirates aircraft leaving from Singapore Changi and Amsterdam Schiphol airports in 2024 and 2025. Emirates has received sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from Neste for flights leaving from Changi Airport in Singapore, making Emirates the first foreign visiting carrier to use SAF. Over 2,600 tons (3.3 million liters) of mixed SAF have been added to Changi Airport's fueling system to accommodate Emirates' needs.

Table of Contents

1. Project Scope and Definitions

2. Research Methodology

3. Executive Summary

4. Voice of Customer

• 4.1. Brand Awareness
• 4.2. Lead time
• 4.3. Supply Chain
• 4.4. Quality
• 4.5. Ease of Purchase

5. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 5.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
  • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.1.2. By Volume
• 5.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
  • 5.2.1. By Fuel Type
    • 5.2.1.1. Biofuel
    • 5.2.1.2. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
    • 5.2.1.3. Hydrogen Fuel
    • 5.2.1.4. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel
  • 5.2.2. By Technology
    • 5.2.2.1. Fischer-Tropsch (FT) and Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (SPK)
    • 5.2.2.2. Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 5.2.2.3. Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Isoparaffins
    • 5.2.2.4. FT-SPK With Aromatics
    • 5.2.2.5. Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 5.2.2.6. Others
  • 5.2.3. By Application
    • 5.2.3.1. Commercial
    • 5.2.3.2. Defense
    • 5.2.3.3. Others
  • 5.2.4. By Region
    • 5.2.4.1. Northeast
    • 5.2.4.2. Midwest
    • 5.2.4.3. West
    • 5.2.4.4. South
  • 5.2.5. By Company Market Share Analysis (Top 5 Companies and Others - By Value, 2023)
• 5.3. Market Map Analysis, 2023
  • 5.3.1. By Fuel Type
  • 5.3.2. By Technology
  • 5.3.3. By Application
  • 5.3.4. By Region

6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

7. PESTLE Analysis

8. Market Dynamics

• 8.1. Market Drivers
• 8.2. Market Challenges

9. Market Trends and Developments

10. Case Studies

11. Competitive Landscape

• 11.1. Competition Matrix of Top 5 Market Leaders
• 11.2. SWOT Analysis for Top 5 Players
• 11.3. Key Players Landscape for Top 10 Market Players
  • 11.3.1. Gevo, Inc.
    • 11.3.1.1. Company Details
    • 11.3.1.2. Key Management Personnel
    • 11.3.1.3. Products and Services
    • 11.3.1.4. Financials (As Reported)
    • 11.3.1.5. Key Market Focus and Geographical Presence
    • 11.3.1.6. Recent Developments/Collaborations/Partnerships/Mergers and Acquisition
  • 11.3.2. World Energy, LLC
  • 11.3.3. Eni Spa
  • 11.3.4. Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc
  • 11.3.5. SkyNRG B.V.
  • 11.3.6. Velocys Plc
  • 11.3.7. Neste Oyj
  • 11.3.8. Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • 11.3.9. Alder Renewables LLC
  • 11.3.10. HyPoint Inc.

Companies mentioned above DO NOT hold any order as per market share and can be changed as per information available during research work.

12. Strategic Recommendations

13. About Us and Disclaimer