海軍兵器システム：市場および技術の予測 (～2033年)

最新の高強度・低強度紛争は、艦艇が対処すべき脅威の範囲が拡大していることを示しており、場合によっては高強度と低強度の境界線を見分けることがますます困難になっています。特に、非国家主体が先進的な長射程兵器を運用できるようになっていることが大きな要因です。さらに、黒海においてウクライナの無人水上艇がロシアの大型水上艦に使用された事例や、紅海において各種攻撃用UAVが艦艇に対して使用された事例は、脅威が進化していることを如実に示しています。

これらの兵器はスウォーム戦術で運用され、水上戦闘艦の防御システムを飽和させるだけでなく、多大な経済的負担を与えます。こうした課題に対処するため、市場はレーザー兵器の開発を進めています。しかし、それが全艦艇に完全配備されるまでは、海軍の水上戦闘艦は従来型兵器に依存し続けることになります。

また、高強度紛争の脅威も増大しており、どれだけの水上艦艇および兵器システムを展開できるかという「数」が、新たな質的価値を持つようになっています。分散型戦闘力（distributed lethality）の概念は依然として重要であり、今後は複数の発射装置を搭載可能な大型無人水上艇の活用によってさらに拡大していくと見込まれます。

このような脅威環境において、顧客は火力能力を強化した新型艦艇を取得することが予想されます。その中にはOPV（哨戒艦）やその他の哨戒艇も含まれ、従来以上に追加兵装を備える必要が生じます。また、旧式艦の近代化改修も市場の重要な要素であり、これによって水上艦艇は今後も運用を継続できるようになります。

しかし、追加兵器システムの搭載は技術的制約から常に可能とは限りません。そのため、特に艦砲にはより多くの任務を遂行できる能力が求められます。近年の新世代艦砲は、大型水上目標だけでなく、小型・高速の目標やUAS（無人航空システム）への対処、さらには近接防御システム（CIWS）としての役割も果たす必要性が高まっています。これは誘導弾薬やプログラム可能弾薬の開発によって初めて実現可能となったものです。

当レポートでは、従来型の海軍兵器システムが、いかに現代的なマルチドメイン戦闘ソリューションへと再構築されているかを分析しています。また、主要海軍が採用する技術的進歩を検証し、これらの変革が市場動向や将来需要にどのように影響を及ぼしているのかを明らかにしています。特に、世界的な近代化計画が調達戦略の中心となる中で、その重要性が高まっています。

セグメンテーション

市場は地域と兵器システム別に分類されます。

地域

• 北米
• 欧州
• アジア太平洋
• 中東・アフリカ
• ラテンアメリカ

兵器システム

• VLS-垂直発射システム
• DMS-甲板搭載発射システム
• SG-小口径艦砲
• MG-中口径艦砲
• LG-大口径艦砲
• CIWS-M-ミサイル型近接防御システム
• CIWS-G-砲型近接防御システム
• CIWS-H-ハイブリッド型近接防御システム
• TORP-魚雷

掲載企業

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

• 動向と洞察
• 主な調査結果
• 主な結論

第2章 イントロダクション

第3章 技術と開発

• 技術概要
• 海軍兵器システムの種類
  • 小型誘導ミサイル
  • CIWS (近接防御システム)
  • 多口径砲
  • VLS (垂直発射システム)
  • プログラム可能弾薬
  • 海軍兵器におけるAI

第4章 CRM

第5章 市場概要

• 予測期間における海軍兵器システム市場の地域別分布
• 競合情勢
• 主要企業の概要
  • 主力製品
  • 最近の契約の概要
  • 主要顧客の概要
  • サプライチェーンの概要

第6章 市場力学と予測要因

• 市場の分類
• 促進要因
• 動向
• 機会
• 課題

第7章 国別分析

• 概要
• 米国
• カナダ
• 英国
• フランス
• ドイツ
• イタリア
• スペイン
• ギリシャ
• ノルウェー
• ロシア
• 中国
• 日本
• インド
• オーストラリア
  • 関連プログラム

第8章 海軍兵器システム市場：地域別

• 海軍兵器システム市場の概要：地域別
• 地域・兵器システム別の概要
  • 北米
  • 欧州
  • アジア太平洋
  • 中東・アフリカ
  • ラテンアメリカ

第9章 海軍兵器システム市場：兵器システム別

• 海軍兵器システム市場の概要：兵器システム別
• 兵器システム・地域別の概要
  • 垂直発射システム
  • 甲板搭載発射システム
  • 小口径艦載砲
  • 中口径艦載砲
  • 大口径艦載砲
  • ミサイル型近接防御システム
  • 砲型近接防御システム
  • ハイブリッド型近接防御システム
  • 魚雷システム

第10章 機会分析

• 複利成長率
  • 地域別
  • システム別

第11章 主要企業

• BAE Systems Plc
• Bharat Dynamics Limited
• China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC)
• Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
• Kongsberg
• Leonardo S.p.A.
• Lockheed Martin Corporation
• MBDA
• Naval Group
• Rafael Advanced Defence Systems Ltd.
• Raytheon
• Rheinmetall AG
• Saab AB
• Thales
• United Shipbuilding Corporation (USC)

第12章 調査結果・総論

第13章 市場予測について

付録A：言及された企業

付録B：略語

付録C：艦種と兵器

The latest high and low-intensity conflicts have shown that the range of threats that ships will need to tackle is expanding and in some cases the boundaries between high and low intensity are becoming increasingly harder to distinguish, especially with non-state actors capable of deploying advanced long-range weapons. Moreover, the use of Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels against Russian large surface units in the Black Sea and all types of attack UAVs against ships in the Red Sea, have shown that threats are evolving.

They are also used in swarms to saturate surface combat units' defense systems but also inflict a considerable financial cost. Indeed, the market is trying to address this issue by developing laser weapons. However, until their full deployment on all vessels, naval surface units will continue to rely on conventional weapons.

The threat of a high-intensity conflict has also increased and numbers in terms of how many surface units and weapon systems can be deployed, is becoming a quality of its own. The concept of disributed lethality will remain important and will further expand with the use of unmanned surface vessels of large size, which will be capable of deploying multiple launchers.

In this threat environment, it is expected that customers will acquire new ships with enhanced firepower capabilities, including OPVs and other patrol vessels which will have to feature additional weapons compared to the past. Upgrade of older ships will continue being an important part of the market, allowing surface vessels to operate well into the future.

However, adding more weapon systems is not always feasible due to technical restrictions. Therefore, a weapon system, especially a gun will be required to carry out more tasks. We now see that new generations of naval guns are used to engage not only large surface targets, but small and fast-moving ones, or UAS and also might be needed to function as close-in weapon systems. That is only feasible thanks to the development of guided and programmable ammunition.

Our study, "Naval Weapon Systems - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033" explores how conventional naval weapon systems are being reshaped into modern, multi-domain combat solutions. It examines the technological advances being adopted by leading navies and how these transformations are influencing market dynamics and future demand, especially as global modernisation programmes take centre stage in procurement strategies.

For suppliers, aligning early with these programmes is no longer optional; it is the most decisive factor in securing long-term contracts and remaining competitive in a market where political priorities, technological leaps, and geopolitical tensions converge to influence purchasing decisions.

The study provides in-depth insights into upcoming weapon system acquisition plans, mapping out the scope, scale, and timelines of opportunities worldwide. It highlights where suppliers can align with modernisation priorities, what technologies are gaining traction, and how evolving operational doctrines are shaping the next decade of naval firepower.

Covered in this study

• Overview: Snapshot of the Naval Weapon Systems in the military market during 2025-2033, including highlights of the demand drivers, trends, and challenges. It also provides a snapshot of the spending with respect to regions as well as segments and sheds light on the emergence of new technologies.
• Market Dynamics: Insights into the technological developments in the Naval Weapon Systems market and a detailed analysis of the changing preferences of governments around the world. It also analyses changing industry structure trends and the challenges faced by the industry participants.
• Segment Analysis: Insights into the various systems market from a segmental perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each segment.
• Regional Review: Insights into modernisation patterns and budgetary allocation for top countries within a region.
• Regional Analysis: Insights into the systems market from a regional perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each region.
• Impact Analysis: Analysis on how certain events will impact the Naval Weapon Systems market. This will give you an indication of which factors are important for the forecast.
• Key Programme Analysis: Details of the top programmes in each segment are expected to be executed during the forecast period.
• Competitive landscape Analysis: Analysis of the competitive landscape of this industry. It provides an overview of key companies, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a SWOT analysis.

Segmentation

The market is segmented by Region and Weapon System.

Region

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• Middle East & Africa
• Latin America

Weapon System

• VLS - Vertical Launch Systems
• DMS - Deck Mounted Launching Systems
• SG - Small Calibre Naval Guns
• MG - Medium Calibre Naval Guns
• LG - Large Calibre Naval Guns
• CIWS-M - Missile-Based
• CIWS-G - Gun-Based
• CIWS-H - Hybrid
• TORP - Torpedoes

Reasons to buy

• To address the procurement and market needs for Naval Weapon Systems over the next eight years.
• Gain insights into the factors driving demand for different Naval Weapon Systems in leading countries and emerging markets. Identify opportunities presented by each market segment based on defence spending, technological advancements, and geopolitical factors. Analyse market potential in terms of naval system adoption by type.
• Strengthen understanding of market demand drivers, industry trends, regulatory landscapes, and technological developments influencing the adoption of Naval Weapon Systems.
• Identify key channels driving the global Naval Weapon Systems market. Evaluate opportunities in government procurement programmes, defence contracts, and research collaborations. Explore avenues for revenue expansion through market penetration and diversification.
• Conduct a comprehensive analysis of the competitive landscape in the Naval Weapon Systems market. Profile leading providers of Naval Weapon Systems, including their product offerings, market presence, research capabilities, and strategic initiatives. Assess competitive positioning to make informed business decisions and identify potential partnership opportunities.

Companies Listed:

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1. Trends and Insights
• 1.2. Main Findings
  • 1.2.1. Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Region
  • 1.2.2. Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Weapon System
• 1.3. Key Conclusions

2. Introduction

• 2.1. Scope
• 2.2. Methodology
• 2.3. Who will benefit from this study?

3. Technologies and Developments

• 3.1. Technology overview
• 3.2. Types of Naval Weapon Systems
  • 3.2.1. Compact Guided Missiles
  • 3.2.2. CIWS (Close-In Weapon Systems)
  • 3.2.3. Multi-Calibre Guns
  • 3.2.4. VLS (Vertical Launch System)
  • 3.2.5. Programmable Ammunition
  • 3.2.6. AI in Naval Weapons

4. CRM

5. Market Overview

• 5.1. Introduction
• 5.2. Naval Weapon Systems market volume distribution over the forecast period by Region
• 5.3. Competitive landscape
• 5.4. Main Market Players Overview
  • 5.4.1. Leading Products
  • 5.4.2. Recent contracts overview
  • 5.4.3. Main customers overview
  • 5.4.4. Supply Chain Overview

6. Market Dynamics and Forecast Factors

• 6.1. Introduction
• 6.2. Market Segmentation
  • 6.2.1. Segmentation by Region
  • 6.2.2. Segmentation by Type of Naval System
• 6.3. Drivers
• 6.4. Trends
• 6.5. Opportunities
• 6.6. Challenges

7. Country Analysis

• 7.1. Introduction
• 7.2. Overview
• 7.3. The US
  • 7.3.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.4. Canada
  • 7.4.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.5. United Kingdom
  • 7.5.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.6. France
  • 7.6.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.7. 6.8 Germany
  • 7.7.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.8. Italy
  • 7.8.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.9. Spain
  • 7.9.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.10. Greece
  • 7.10.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.11. Norway
  • 7.11.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.12. Russia
  • 7.12.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.13. China
  • 7.13.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.14. Japan
  • 7.14.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.15. India
  • 7.15.1. Relevant Programmes
• 7.16. Australia
  • 7.16.1. Relevant Programmes

8. Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region

• 8.1. Naval Weapon Systems market by Region overview
• 8.2. Naval Weapon Systems market Region by Weapon System overview
  • 8.2.1. North America market by Weapon System overview
  • 8.2.2. Europe market by Weapon System overview
  • 8.2.3. Asia-Pacific market by Weapon System overview
  • 8.2.4. Middle-East & Africa market by Weapon System overview
  • 8.2.5. Latin America market by Weapon System overview

9. Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System

• 9.1. Naval Weapon Systems market by Weapon System overview
• 9.2. Naval Weapon Systems market Weapon System by Region overview
  • 9.2.1. Vertical Launch Systems market by Region overview
  • 9.2.2. Deck Mounted Launching Systems market by Region overview
  • 9.2.3. Small Calibre Naval Guns market by Region overview
  • 9.2.4. Medium Calibre Naval Guns market by Region overview
  • 9.2.5. Large Calibre Naval Guns market by Region overview
  • 9.2.6. CIWS - Missile-Based market by Region overview
  • 9.2.7. CIWS - Gun-Based market by Region overview
  • 9.2.8. CIWS - Hybrid market by Region overview
  • 9.2.9. Torpedo Systems market by Region overview

10. Opportunity Analysis

• 10.1. Introduction
• 10.2. Compound Growth Rates
  • 10.2.1. By Region
  • 10.2.2. By System

11. Leading Companies

• 11.1. BAE Systems Plc
  • 11.1.1. Introduction
  • 11.1.2. Products & Services
  • 11.1.3. Recent Contracts
  • 11.1.4. SWOT Analysis
• 11.2. Bharat Dynamics Limited
  • 11.2.1. Introduction
  • 11.2.2. Products & Services
  • 11.2.3. Recent Developments
• 11.3. China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC)
  • 11.3.1. Introduction
  • 11.3.2. Products & Services
  • 11.3.3. Recent Developments
• 11.4. Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
  • 11.4.1. Introduction
  • 11.4.2. Products & Services
  • 11.4.3. Recent Developments
  • 11.4.4. SWOT Analysis
• 11.5. Kongsberg
  • 11.5.1. Introduction
  • 11.5.2. Products & Services
  • 11.5.3. Recent Developments
  • 11.5.4. Recent Contracts
  • 11.5.5. SWOT Analysis
• 11.6. Leonardo S.p.A.
  • 11.6.1. Introduction
  • 11.6.2. Products & Services
  • 11.6.3. SWOT Analysis
• 11.7. Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 11.7.1. Introduction
  • 11.7.2. Products & Services
  • 11.7.3. SWOT Analysis
• 11.8. MBDA
  • 11.8.1. Introduction
  • 11.8.2. Products & Services
  • 11.8.3. Recent Developments
  • 11.8.4. SWOT Analysis
• 11.9. Naval Group
  • 11.9.1. Introduction
  • 11.9.2. SWOT Analysis
• 11.10. Rafael Advanced Defence Systems Ltd.
  • 11.10.1. Introduction
  • 11.10.2. Products & Services
  • 11.10.3. Recent Developments
  • 11.10.4. Recent Contracts
  • 11.10.5. SWOT Analysis
• 11.11. Raytheon
  • 11.11.1. Introduction
  • 11.11.2. Products & Services
  • 11.11.3. SWOT Analysis
• 11.12. Rheinmetall AG
  • 11.12.1. Introduction
  • 11.12.2. Products & Services
  • 11.12.3. Recent Developments
  • 11.12.4. SWOT Analysis
• 11.13. Saab AB
  • 11.13.1. Introduction
  • 11.13.2. Products & Services
  • 11.13.3. SWOT Analysis
• 11.14. Thales
  • 11.14.1. Introduction
  • 11.14.2. Products & Services
  • 11.14.3. SWOT Analysis
• 11.15. United Shipbuilding Corporation (USC)
  • 11.15.1. Introduction
  • 11.15.2. Products & Services
  • 11.15.3. Recent Developments

12. Results and Conclusions

13. About Market Forecast

• 13.1. General
• 13.2. Contact us
• 13.3. Disclaimer
• 13.4. License

Appendix A: Companies Mentioned

Appendix B: Abbreviations

Appendix C: Ship classes and weapons

List of figures

• Figure 1: Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Region
• Figure 2: Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Weapon System
• Figure 3: Critical Raw Materials producing countries
• Figure 4: Critical Raw Materials dependence [%] and volume [mt] by producing countries
• Figure 5: Critical Raw Materials - Annual production from low-risk countries (LRC) versus required production for Naval Weapon Systems
• Figure 6: Market volumes over the forecast period per region
• Figure 7: Market Segmentation and Sub-Segmentation Naval Weapon Markets
• Figure 8: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Figure 9: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region %
• Figure 10: North America Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 11: North America - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 12: Europe Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 13: Europe - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 14: Asia-Pacific Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 15: Asia-Pacific - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 16: Middle-East & Africa Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 17: Middle-East & Africa - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 18: Latin America Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 19: Latin America - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System
• Figure 20: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Figure 21: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System %
• Figure 22: Vertical Launch Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 23: Vertical Launch Systems - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 24: Deck Mounted Launching Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 25: Deck Mounted Launching Systems - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 26: Small Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 27: Small Calibre Naval Guns - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 28: Medium Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 29: Medium Calibre Naval Guns - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 30: Large Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 31: Large Calibre Naval Guns - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 32: CIWS - Missile-Based Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 33: CIWS - Missile-Based - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 34: CIWS - Gun-Based Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 35: CIWS - Gun-Based - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 36: CIWS - Hybrid Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 37: CIWS - Hybrid - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 38: Torpedo Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 39: Torpedo Systems - Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region
• Figure 40: Naval Weapon Systems Size by Region
• Figure 41: Naval Weapon Systems CAGR by Region in US$ millions
• Figure 42: Naval Weapon Systems Size by Weapon System
• Figure 43: Naval Weapon Systems CAGR by Weapon System in US$ millions

List of tables

• Table 1: Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Region in US$ millions
• Table 2: Naval Weapon Systems market summary by Weapon System in US$ millions
• Table 3: Critical Raw Materials dependence [%] and volume [mt] by producing countries
• Table 4: Naval Weapon Systems Competitive Landscape
• Table 5: Leading VLS Manufacturers
• Table 6: Leading Naval Gun Manufacturers
• Table 7: Leading CIWS Manufacturers
• Table 8: Naval Weapon Systems market forecast by Country [US$ million]
• Table 9: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 10: North America Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 11: Europe Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 12: Asia-Pacific Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 13: Middle-East & Africa Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 14: Latin America Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 15: Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Weapon System [US$ millions]
• Table 16: Vertical Launch Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 17: Deck Mounted Launching Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 18: Small Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 19: Medium Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 20: Large Calibre Naval Guns Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 21: CIWS - Missile-Based Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 22: CIWS - Gun-Based Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 23: CIWS - Hybrid Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
• Table 24: Torpedo Systems Naval Weapon Systems market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]