カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場レポート：動向、予測、競合分析（～2031年）

世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の将来は、電力、エネルギー、航空、輸送、産業、建築の各市場における機会が有望視されています。世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場は、2025年から2031年までのCAGRが29.8%で、2031年までに推定3兆3,044億米ドルに達すると予想されます。この市場の主な促進要因は、地球温暖化と炭素排出量を削減する必要性の高まり、企業による炭素クレジットの一部利用の増加、炭素回収技術への投資の拡大です。

• Lucintelの予測によると、タイプ別では、コンプライアンス市場で当局が課す規制から解放されるボランタリー市場が予測期間中に高い成長を遂げる見込みです。
• 最終用途のカテゴリーでは、電力が最大のセグメントであり続けると思われます。電力は排出量の多いセクターであり、低GHG技術を使用しているからです。
• 地域別では、アジア太平洋が気候変動に対する意識の高まりから、予測期間中に最も高い成長を遂げると予想されます。

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の戦略的成長機会

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場は、様々な用途において様々な成長機会をもたらしています。これらの機会は、技術革新、政策変更、進化する市場ニーズによってもたらされます。主な成長機会は以下の通り：

• 再生可能エネルギープロジェクト：風力、太陽光、水力などの再生可能エネルギープロジェクトへの投資は、カーボンオフセットの大きな可能性を提供します。これらのプロジェクトは、その拡張性と世界の持続可能性目標との整合性から魅力的であり、成長と投資の大きな機会を提供します。
• 林業と森林再生林業と森林再生プロジェクトは、炭素貯留と生物多様性向上の高い可能性を提供します。これらのプロジェクトは、生息地の回復や気候変動への回復力など、複数の利点があることから、カーボンオフセット投資の有望な分野として注目を集めています。
• 農業カーボンオフセット：持続可能な農業や土壌の炭素貯留といった農業の実践は、カーボンクレジットの新たな機会を提供します。これらの農法は、炭素を吸収しながら土壌の健全性と生産性に貢献し、排出量をオフセットして持続可能な農業を支援する革新的なソリューションを提供します。
• 都市インフラプロジェクト：グリーンビルディングの取り組みやエネルギー効率の高い改修など、都市開発とインフラ整備プロジェクトは、カーボンオフセットプロジェクトの重要な分野として浮上しています。こうしたプロジェクトは都市排出に対処し、持続可能な開拓を促進するため、市場成長の新たな機会を生み出します。
• 技術革新：炭素回収・貯留技術の進歩により、カーボンオフセットプロジェクトに新たな道が開かれつつあります。直接空気回収や増進回収などの技術革新は、より実行可能で魅力的なものとなりつつあり、排出量オフセットの新たな選択肢を提供し、技術的解決策を前進させています。

こうした戦略的成長機会は、カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の多様な可能性を浮き彫りにしています。再生可能エネルギー、林業、農業、都市開発、そして技術の進歩に焦点を当てることで、利害関係者は排出削減と持続可能性を大きく前進させることができます。

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の促進要因・課題

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場は、その成長と有効性を形成する様々な促進要因・課題の影響を受けています。これらの要因には、技術的、経済的、規制的要素が含まれます。

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場を促進する要因には、以下のようなものがある：

• 規制による支援の増加：各国政府は、カーボンプライシングや排出削減目標など、炭素市場の成長を支援する政策や規制を実施しています。このような規制支援は、より構造的で信頼性の高い市場環境を作り出し、カーボンオフセットプロジェクトへの投資を促進します。
• 企業の持続可能性目標：企業は野心的な持続可能性目標を採用し、気候変動へのコミットメントを果たすためにカーボンオフセットに投資しています。このような企業の需要がカーボンクレジット市場の成長を促し、プロジェクト開発とクレジット発行の新たな機会を生み出しています。
• 技術の進歩：炭素測定、検証、回収技術における革新は、カーボンオフセットプロジェクトの効率と精度を高めています。これらの進歩により、市場の透明性と信頼性が向上し、カーボンクレジットの追跡と検証が容易になります。
• 高まる市場需要：エネルギー、運輸、製造など、さまざまなセクターからカーボンクレジットに対する需要が高まっています。このような需要の高まりは、市場の活性化と投資を刺激し、新たなオフセットプロジェクトの拡大と開発につながります。
• 国際協力：世界でのイニシアティブとパートナーシップは、炭素市場の統合と国際基準の開発を促進しています。この連携は、国境を越えた取引と投資を促進し、市場の流動性とアクセスを高める。

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の課題は以下のとおりである：

• 市場のボラティリティ：カーボンクレジット市場は、規制の変更や経済状況によって、価格や需要が変動する可能性があります。この変動は、投資家やプロジェクト開発者に不確実性をもたらし、市場の安定性に影響を与えます。
• 検証と不正の問題：カーボンオフセットプロジェクトの信頼性と真正性を確保することは、重要な課題です。検証、監視、潜在的な不正行為に関する問題は、市場の信頼を損ない、カーボンクレジットの有効性を妨げる可能性があります。
• 規制の矛盾：地域間の炭素クレジット規制や基準の違いは、国際取引やプロジェクト開発に複雑さをもたらす可能性があります。一貫性のない規制は、市場の効率性に影響を与え、世界なカーボンオフセットの取り組みの効果を制限する可能性があります。

カーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場に影響を与える主な促進要因・課題は、強固な規制の枠組み、技術の進歩、市場の安定の必要性を浮き彫りにしています。市場促進要因を活用しつつ、これらの課題に対処することは、カーボンオフセットイニシアチブの継続的な成長と有効性にとって極めて重要です。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 市場動向と予測分析（2019年～2031年）

• マクロ経済動向（2019年～2024年）と予測（2025年～2031年）
• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の動向（2019年～2024年）と予測（2025年～2031年）
• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場：タイプ別
  • コンプライアンス
  • ボランタリー
• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場：プロジェクトタイプ別
  • 回避・削減プロジェクト
  • 除去/隔離プロジェクト
• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場：最終用途別
  • 電力
  • エネルギー
  • 航空
  • 輸送
  • 産業
  • 建物
  • その他

第4章 市場動向と予測分析：地域別（2019年～2031年）

• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場：地域別
• 北米のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場
• 欧州のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場
• アジア太平洋のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場
• その他地域のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 運用統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場における成長機会：タイプ別
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場における成長機会：プロジェクトタイプ別
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場における成長機会：最終用途別
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場における成長機会：地域別
• 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の新たな動向
• 戦略分析
  • 新製品開発
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場の能力拡大
  • 世界のカーボンオフセット／カーボンクレジット市場における合併、買収、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業の企業プロファイル

• South Pole
• 3Degrees
• Finite Carbon
• EKI Energy Services
• NativeEnergy
• CarbonBetter
• Carbon Care Asia

The future of the global carbon offset/carbon credit market looks promising with opportunities in the power, energy, aviation, transportation, industrial, and building markets. The global carbon offset/carbon credit market is expected to reach an estimated $3304.4 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 29.8% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the increasing need to reduce global warming and carbon emissions, the rise in the partial use of carbon credits by companies, and growing investments in carbon capture technologies.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, the voluntary market is expected to witness higher growth over the forecast period, as it is free from regulations imposed by authorities in the compliance market.
• Within the end-use category, power will remain the largest segment, as it is a significant emitting sector and uses low-GHG technologies.
• In terms of regions, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period due to increasing awareness of climate change in the region.

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Emerging Trends in the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is influenced by emerging trends that are reshaping how offsets are generated, verified, and traded. These trends reflect a growing emphasis on transparency, innovation, and global collaboration in combating climate change.

• Increased Corporate Engagement: Companies are increasingly integrating carbon offset purchases into their sustainability strategies to meet net-zero targets. This trend is driven by heightened environmental awareness and consumer demand for corporate accountability, leading to a significant rise in demand for verified carbon credits.
• Technological Advancements in Carbon Measurement: Innovations such as satellite monitoring and blockchain technology enhance the accuracy and transparency of carbon credit tracking and verification. These technologies help ensure that carbon offset projects deliver genuine emission reductions, improving market credibility and efficiency.
• Expansion of Carbon Markets: A trend is emerging toward the expansion and integration of regional and national carbon markets into a more global system. This development facilitates greater liquidity and price stability in carbon markets, allowing more efficient trading and investment in carbon credits.
• Focus on High-Quality Projects: Emphasis is shifting toward high-quality, verifiable carbon offset projects that provide additional environmental and social benefits. This trend is driven by increased scrutiny from investors and regulators, leading to higher standards and greater market confidence in offset projects.
• Increased Regulatory and Policy Frameworks: Governments are implementing stricter regulations and policies to govern carbon markets and ensure transparency and accountability. These frameworks aim to prevent fraud, enhance market integrity, and support the growth and development of the carbon offset market.

These trends are reshaping the carbon offset/carbon credit market by improving market integrity, expanding market reach, and increasing demand for high-quality projects. They reflect a broader commitment to more effective climate action and sustainable business practices.

Recent Developments in the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is undergoing significant changes as countries and organizations adapt to new environmental policies and technological advancements. Key developments include:

• Expansion of Regulatory Frameworks: Governments worldwide are introducing comprehensive regulations to enhance the credibility of carbon credits. These regulations focus on improving transparency and verification processes, ensuring that carbon offset projects meet high standards and contribute to real emission reductions.
• Growth in Corporate Investment: Major corporations are increasingly investing in carbon credits to offset their emissions and achieve sustainability targets. This trend is driven by growing pressure from stakeholders and investors, leading to a surge in demand for carbon credits and a more dynamic market.
• Advancements in Verification Technologies: New technologies, such as satellite monitoring and blockchain, are being adopted to improve the accuracy and reliability of carbon credit verification. These advancements enhance market transparency and trust, making it easier to track and validate carbon offset projects.
• Development of Carbon Markets: The expansion of carbon markets, including regional and national systems, is creating more opportunities for trading and investment. This trend supports the integration of different markets into a global system, improving liquidity and efficiency.
• Increased Focus on Co-Benefits: There is a growing emphasis on carbon offset projects that provide additional environmental and social benefits. Projects that contribute to biodiversity, community development, and other positive outcomes are gaining more attention and investment.

These developments drive the growth and evolution of the carbon offset/carbon credit market, enhancing market dynamics and improving the effectiveness of carbon offsetting as a tool for combating climate change.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market presents various growth opportunities across different applications. These opportunities are driven by technological innovations, policy changes, and evolving market needs. Key growth opportunities include:

• Renewable Energy Projects: Investing in renewable energy projects such as wind, solar, and hydro provides significant carbon offset potential. These projects are attractive due to their scalability and alignment with global sustainability goals, offering substantial opportunities for growth and investment.
• Forestry and Reforestation: Forestry and reforestation projects offer high potential for carbon sequestration and biodiversity enhancement. These projects are gaining traction due to their multiple benefits, including habitat restoration and climate resilience, making them a promising area for carbon offset investments.
• Agricultural Carbon Offsets: Agricultural practices such as sustainable farming and soil carbon sequestration present new opportunities for carbon credits. These practices contribute to soil health and productivity while capturing carbon, offering innovative solutions for offsetting emissions and supporting sustainable agriculture.
• Urban and Infrastructure Projects: Urban development and infrastructure projects, including green building initiatives and energy-efficient retrofits, are emerging as significant areas for carbon offset projects. These projects address urban emissions and promote sustainable development, creating new opportunities for market growth.
• Technological Innovations: Advances in carbon capture and storage technologies are opening new avenues for carbon offset projects. Innovations such as direct air capture and enhanced oil recovery are becoming more viable and attractive, providing additional options for offsetting emissions and advancing technological solutions.

These strategic growth opportunities highlight the diverse potential within the carbon offset/carbon credit market. By focusing on renewable energy, forestry, agriculture, urban development, and technological advancements, stakeholders can drive significant progress in emission reduction and sustainability.

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market Driver and Challenges

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is influenced by various drivers and challenges that shape its growth and effectiveness. These factors include technological, economic, and regulatory elements.

The factors driving the carbon offset/carbon credit market include:

• Increased Regulatory Support: Governments are implementing policies and regulations that support the growth of carbon markets, including carbon pricing and emission reduction targets. This regulatory support creates a more structured and reliable market environment, encouraging investment in carbon offset projects.
• Corporate Sustainability Goals: Companies are adopting ambitious sustainability targets and investing in carbon offsets to meet their climate commitments. This corporate demand drives the growth of the carbon credit market, creating new opportunities for project development and credit issuance.
• Technological Advancements: Innovations in carbon measurement, verification, and capture technologies are enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of carbon offset projects. These advancements improve market transparency and credibility, making it easier to track and validate carbon credits.
• Growing Market Demand: There is increasing demand for carbon credits from various sectors, including energy, transportation, and manufacturing. This growing demand stimulates market activity and investment, leading to the expansion and development of new offset projects.
• International Collaboration: Global initiatives and partnerships are promoting the integration of carbon markets and the development of international standards. This collaboration facilitates cross-border trading and investment, enhancing market liquidity and access.

Challenges in the carbon offset/carbon credit market are:

• Market Volatility: The carbon credit market can experience fluctuations in prices and demand, driven by regulatory changes and economic conditions. This volatility can create uncertainty for investors and project developers, impacting market stability.
• Verification and Fraud Issues: Ensuring the credibility and authenticity of carbon offset projects is a significant challenge. Issues related to verification, monitoring, and potential fraud can undermine market confidence and hinder the effectiveness of carbon credits.
• Regulatory Inconsistencies: Differences in carbon credit regulations and standards across regions can create complexities for international trading and project development. Inconsistent regulations can impact market efficiency and limit the effectiveness of global carbon offset efforts.

The major drivers and challenges impacting the carbon offset/carbon credit market highlight the need for robust regulatory frameworks, technological advancements, and market stability. Addressing these challenges while leveraging market drivers will be crucial for the continued growth and effectiveness of carbon offset initiatives.

List of Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies carbon offset/carbon credit companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the carbon offset/carbon credit companies profiled in this report include-

• South Pole
• 3Degrees
• Finite Carbon
• EKI Energy Services
• NativeEnergy
• CarbonBetter
• Carbon Care Asia

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global carbon offset/carbon credit market by type, project type, end use, and region.

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Compliance Market
• Voluntary Market

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Avoidance/Reduction Projects
• Removal/Sequestration Projects

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Power
• Energy
• Aviation
• Transportation
• Industrial
• Buildings

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is rapidly evolving as countries implement new policies, corporate initiatives, and technological advancements to combat climate change. As governments and businesses strive to meet emission reduction targets, the market sees significant shifts in regulation, investment, and market dynamics. Here is a look at recent developments in key countries.

• United States: In the U.S., the carbon credit market has seen a surge in activity due to the Inflation Reduction Act, which provides significant incentives for carbon capture and storage projects. Major corporations are also increasing their investment in carbon credits to meet sustainability goals, leading to a growing demand for verified credits and innovative carbon offset projects.
• China: China is advancing its carbon trading system with the expansion of its national carbon market to include more industries. The government is also encouraging the development of carbon capture technologies and integrating carbon credits into its broader climate strategy, which includes international partnerships and increased transparency in carbon credit issuance.
• Germany: Germany is focusing on the integration of carbon credits into its renewable energy sector. The country has introduced new regulations to enhance the credibility of carbon offset projects and improve the tracking of carbon credits. Additionally, Germany is exploring international carbon credit markets to support its ambitious climate targets and energy transition goals.
• India: India has been actively participating in global carbon markets through the clean development mechanism and is exploring new carbon offset projects, especially in renewable energy and forestry. The Indian government is working on improving the regulatory framework to facilitate smoother transactions and increase the credibility of domestic carbon credits.
• Japan: Japan has been integrating carbon credits into its corporate sustainability strategies, with significant investments in forest conservation and renewable energy projects. The Japanese government is also revising its carbon credit regulations to align with international standards, aiming to enhance the efficiency and transparency of its carbon offset market.

Features of the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

Market Size Estimates: Carbon offset/carbon credit market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Carbon offset/carbon credit market size by type, project type, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Carbon offset/carbon credit market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different types, project types, end uses, and regions for the carbon offset/carbon credit market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the carbon offset/carbon credit market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the carbon offset/carbon credit market by type (compliance market and voluntary market), project type (avoidance/reduction projects and removal/sequestration projects), end use (power, energy, aviation, transportation, industrial, buildings, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type
  • 3.3.1: Compliance Market
  • 3.3.2: Voluntary Market
• 3.4: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type
  • 3.4.1: Avoidance/Reduction Projects
  • 3.4.2: Removal/Sequestration Projects
• 3.5: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use
  • 3.5.1: Power
  • 3.5.2: Energy
  • 3.5.3: Aviation
  • 3.5.4: Transportation
  • 3.5.5: Industrial
  • 3.5.6: Buildings
  • 3.5.7: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.3: European Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.3.2: European Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: South Pole
• 7.2: 3Degrees
• 7.3: Finite Carbon
• 7.4: EKI Energy Services
• 7.5: NativeEnergy
• 7.6: CarbonBetter
• 7.7: Carbon Care Asia