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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1801220
肥料の市場規模、シェア、動向、予測:製品、タイプ、製品形態、作物タイプ、地域別、2025~2033年Fertilizer Market Size, Share, Trends and Forecast by Product Type, Product, Product Form, Crop Type, and Region, 2025-2033 |
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肥料の市場規模、シェア、動向、予測:製品、タイプ、製品形態、作物タイプ、地域別、2025~2033年 |
出版日: 2025年08月01日
発行: IMARC
ページ情報: 英文 125 Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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肥料の世界市場規模は、2024年に1,823億米ドルとなりました。今後、IMARC Groupは、同市場が2033年までに2,466億米ドルに達し、2025~2033年にかけて3.07%のCAGRを示すと予測しています。現在、アジア太平洋が市場を独占しており、2024年の市場シェアは52.5%を超えます。人口の急速な拡大、食糧需要の高さ、所得水準の向上、政府の施策と補助金、研究開発(R&D)活動の活発化、農業技術の急速な向上などが、この地域の市場成長を促す要因となっています。
世界の肥料市場は、食糧生産に対する需要の増加と農業生産高を向上させる必要性によって、着実な成長を遂げています。世界の人口増加により、農業従事者はより少ない資源でより多くの生産を行う必要に迫られています。土壌の肥沃度を高め、作物の生産性を向上させるためには、肥料、特に窒素・リン・カリウムベース製品の需要が高まります。人口増加などが市場の動向を押し上げています。有機肥料やエコフレンドリー生産方法の採用は、ますます常識になりつつあります。政府も、食料安全保障やサステイナブル農業に関する補助金や規制の導入を通じて、市場の一翼を担っています。しかし、市場は原料の変動や化学肥料の使用に対する環境問題によって脅かされています。こうした課題もあり、今後数年間は緩効性肥料やバイオベース肥料の技術革新によって新たな成長が見込まれます。
米国は肥料の主要地域市場に浮上しました。人口増加と食生活の変化による農産物需要の増加に対応する必要性が、米国の肥料市場を牽引しています。また、肥料の使用量を最適化する精密農業技術の増加も成長を後押ししています。政府のイニシアチブは、補助金と相まって、肥料の需要を増加させながら、よりサステイナブル食糧安全保障の追求を農業従事者に促しています。有機農業は増加傾向にあり、バイオベースと有機肥料の需要も高まると考えられます。肥料の製剤におけるその他の開発は、徐放性で栄養効率の高い製品であり、高い作物生産性をもたらすと同時に、環境に悪影響を与える残留物を少なくします。課題としては、変動する原料コストや規制による圧力があるが、これに対する対応は創造的なイノベーションです。
人口増加と食料需要の増加
肥料の主要な市場動向のひとつに、世界人口の急増による食糧需要の増加があります。国連によると、世界人口は2022年に80億人に達し、2050年には97億人に達すると予想されています。このような人口爆発は、今世紀半ばまでに食糧需要を60%増加させています。地球上の人口が増えれば増えるほど、必要な食料も増えます。今後何世代にもわたって需要が増加し続ける中、農業従事者は農業生産量を増やし、作物の収量を増やして生産することを模索し続けています。肥料は土壌に栄養分を戻すことで貢献し、植物の健全な生育を助け、それぞれの土地でより多くの収穫から収量を押し上げます。世界人口の増加に伴い、これまでよりも少ない土地ですべての食料を生産するために、農地への圧力が高まっています。そのため、作物の収量を増やし、食料安全保障を確保するための肥料の需要が増え続けています。
経済開発と所得の増加
新興経済諸国における経済開発と所得の増加は、肥料消費に直接関係します。国際通貨基金によると、2022年の世界のGDPは約3.5%拡大した。この成長に最も貢献したのは新興市場と新興経済諸国であり、GDPの平均成長率は先進国の1.8%に対し4.2%でした。経済成長により生活水準が向上し、多様な食品の消費拡大に向けて食習慣が変化します。このような食品消費の変化は、肉の摂取量の増加と同様に、より多くの家畜飼料を必要とし、後者は飼料原料を栽培するための肥料を必要とします。さらに、収入が増えれば、農業従事者は作物の収量を増やし、品質を向上させるために、肥料を含む農業技術の改良に投資できるようになります。新興市場におけるこのような経済移行は、肥料市場を刺激します。
政府の施策と補助金
政府の施策と補助金は、世界の肥料市場規模を2024年に大きく拡大させています。多くの国では、農業従事者を奨励し、農業の生産性を高めるために農業施策を行っています。国際肥料協会によると、世界の肥料補助金は毎年500億米ドルを超え、インドは2023~24年に農業従事者支援スキームに約130億米ドルを費やしました。このような施策には肥料も含まれ、安価で農業従事者の手の届くものとなっています。さらに政府は、特定の農業状況や特定の環境上の理由から、特定の肥料の使用を奨励しています。こうした補助金は、肥料の市場価格を安定させ、農業生産性とサステイナブルプラクティスを支援しながら、農業従事者が購入しやすい価格を確保する上で重要な役割を果たしています。
サステイナブル農業の重視
持続可能でエコフレンドリー農法に対する関心の高まりは、肥料産業の展望を良好なものにしています。従来型農法や環境に対する懸念が高まるにつれ、エコフレンドリー農法への動きが顕著になっています。有機肥料は、動植物の排泄物という形で自然から得られるもので、化学肥料に比べて環境への負荷が少ないことから、ますます受け入れられつつあります。この動向は、奨励金や補助金を通じて環境保全型農業を推進する政府のプログラムによっても補完されています。農業従事者や農業セグメントのその他の利害関係者が、土壌の質の向上や環境悪化の低減など、グリーン技術の使用による長期的な利益を受け入れるにつれ、サステイナブル肥料のニーズは増加の一途をたどるものと考えられます。
技術の進歩
急速な技術の進歩は、肥料産業の開発と更新において中心的な位置を占めています。肥料製造における技術の進歩、例えば緩効性肥料や制御放出システムの創造は、より効果的な養分供給を促進し、施肥の頻度を減らし、環境へのストレスを軽減します。さらに、養分管理ソフトウェアや土壌センサを含む精密農業ツールの改良は、農業従事者が肥料を最大限に利用し、無駄を省きながら作物の収穫量を高めるのに役立ちます。これらの技術は効率を高めるだけでなく、農業従事者のコスト削減にもつながり、市場導入をさらに促進し続けています。肥料施用におけるデータ主導型ソリューションの使用は、個々の作物のニーズに特化した肥料の需要に拍車をかけ、世界中でより持続可能で生産性の高い農法への扉を開くと予想され、2025年の肥料市場の展望は明るいです。2024年、ICLグループは放出制御肥料(CRF)用の生分解性コーティング技術eqo.xを採用した製品の出荷を開始しました。同ブランドは2022年9月、露地農業用に調整されたこの新技術を発表し、「尿素の放出制御型肥料コーティングを提供する市場初の製品であり、分解速度が速く、2026年に発効予定の欧州の肥料規制に適合するよう特別に開発された」と述べました。
The global fertilizer market size was valued at USD 182.3 Billion in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group estimates the market to reach USD 246.6 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.07% from 2025-2033. Asia Pacific currently dominates the market, holding a market share of over 52.5% in 2024. The rapid population expansion, high demand for food, increased income levels, government policies and subsidies, increased activities in research and development (R&D), and rapid increases in agricultural technology are some of the factors driving the market growth across the region.
The global fertilizer market is experiencing steady growth, driven by the increasing demand for food production and the need to improve agricultural output. The growing populations worldwide are putting pressure on farmers to produce more from fewer resources. Fertilizers, especially nitrogen phosphorous and potassium-based products, will be in high demand if soil fertility is to increase and crop productivity is also to be improved. Population growth, among other factors, is trending the market upwards. Adoption of organic fertilizers, as well as eco-friendly production methods, is increasingly becoming the norm. The government also plays a part in the market through the adoption of subsidies and regulations on food security and sustainable agriculture. The market, however, remains threatened by fluctuating raw materials and environmental concerns over using chemical fertilizers, though with these challenges, coming years are expected to bear new growth through innovations for slow-release and bio-based fertilizers.
The United States emerged as a key regional market for fertilizers. The need to cater to the growing demand for agricultural products due to a rising population and changed dietary habits drives the fertilizer market in the U.S. Increasingly, precision farming techniques that optimize fertilizer usage are also fueling growth. Government initiatives, coupled with subsidies, have been encouraging farmers to pursue food security more sustainably while increasing fertilizer demand. Organic farming is on the rise and there will be higher demand for bio-based and organic fertilizers. Other developments in fertilizer formulation are slow-release and nutrient-efficient products, which bring high crop productivity while leaving low residues that harm the environment. Some of the challenges are fluctuating raw material costs and pressure from regulation, however the response to this is through creative innovations.
Population growth and increased food demand
One of the major fertilizer market trends include the fast growth of the world population rising the need for food. According to the United Nations, the world population had hit 8 billion in 2022, and it is expected to reach 9.7 Billion by 2050. Such a population explosion increases food demand by 60% by mid-century. The more people on the planet, the more food they will require. As demand continues to rise over the coming generations, farmers keep searching to increase agricultural output and higher crop yields for production. Fertilizers contribute by providing nutrients back into the soil, which assists healthy growth among plants and pushes out yields from more harvests on each site. With the expanding world's population, growing pressure occurs on the farmlands to produce all food grown on less ground space than ever before. This has led to a continued increase in the demand for fertilizers to enhance crop yields and ensure food security.
Economic Development and Increasing Incomes
Economic development and growing incomes in developing economies directly relate to fertilizer consumption. According to the International Monetary Fund, world GDP expanded by around 3.5 percent in 2022. Emerging markets and developing economies contributed the most to this growth, with an average growth of 4.2 percent in GDP, compared to 1.8 percent in advanced economies. Growth in economies increases living standards and changes eating habits toward greater consumption of diversified food products. This change in food consumption, like increased meat intake, requires more animal feed, and the latter would require fertilizers for cultivating feedstock. In addition, an increase in income allows farmers to invest in improved agricultural techniques, including fertilizers, to boost crop yields and improve their quality. Such an economic transition in emerging markets stimulates the fertilizer market.
Government Policies and Subsidies
Government policies and subsidies greatly expand the global fertilizer market size 2024. Many countries follow agricultural policies to encourage farmers and make them more productive in agriculture. As per the International Fertilizer Association, fertilizer subsidy worldwide exceeded USD 50 Billion every year, and India spent around USD 13 Billion on its farmer support schemes in 2023-24. Such policies include fertilizers, which are made to be cheap and within reach of farmers. Moreover, governments encourage the use of certain fertilizers in certain agricultural situations or for particular environmental reasons. These subsidies play a critical role in stabilizing the fertilizer market price, ensuring affordability for farmers while supporting agricultural productivity and sustainable practices.
Greater Emphasis on Sustainable Agriculture
Increased concerns about sustainable and eco-friendly farming practices are offering a favorable fertilizer industry outlook. As worries about conventional farming practices and the environment grow, there is a detectable movement towards green options. Organic fertilizers, which are derived from nature in the form of plant and animal waste, are increasingly being embraced because of their lesser environmental footprint compared to chemical fertilizers. This trend is also complemented by government programs promoting green agriculture practices through incentives and subsidies. As farmers and other stakeholders in the agriculture sector embrace the long-term gains of using green technologies, such as enhanced soil quality and lowered environmental degradation, the need for sustainable fertilizers is likely to grow at an upward pace.
Technological Progress
Rapid technological advancements are taking a central position in the development and renewal of the fertilizer industry. Technology advances in fertilizer manufacturing, for instance, the creation of slow-release fertilizers and controlled-release systems, promote more effective nutrient delivery with less frequent application and less environmental stress. Furthermore, improvements in precision agriculture tools, including nutrient management software and soil sensors, help farmers maximize fertilizer use, enhancing crop yield while reducing waste. These technologies not only increase efficiency but also are cost-saving for farmers, continuing to drive market adoption further. The use of data-driven solutions for fertilizer application is expected to spur demand for fertilizers specifically targeted to the needs of individual crops, opening the door to more sustainable and productive farming practices worldwide, thereby presenting a positive fertilizer market outlook 2025. In 2024, ICL Group begun dispatching products featuring eqo.x, its biodegradable coating technology for controlled release fertilizers (CRF). In September 2022, the brand unveiled the new technology tailored for open-field agriculture, stating it "is the initial product in the market that offers a controlled release fertilizer coating for urea, which decomposes faster and was specifically created to comply with upcoming European fertilizer regulations set to take effect in 2026."
In 2024, the chemical fertilizer segment leads the global fertilizer market, holding a significant 66.6% of the market share. The growth of this segment is mainly due to the increasing demand for food production, especially in regions that have large-scale agricultural operations. Chemical fertilizers, including nitrogenous, phosphatic, and potash-based fertilizers, are essential for replenishing vital nutrients in the soil and ensuring optimal crop growth. Chemical fertilizers, however, play a critical role in meeting the food security challenges in the face of a rising population worldwide by increasing the productivity of existing arable land. Chemical fertilizers are also relatively inexpensive and yield benefits immediately, thus remaining a favorite among farmers globally. Innovation in this segment is also happening with new formulations like slow and controlled-release fertilizers to promote nutrient uptake, decrease the harmful effects on the environment, and reduce the application, which all contribute to continued dominance in the market.
Straight fertilizers, which include single-nutrient products like nitrogen, phosphorus, or potassium fertilizers lead the global fertilizer market. These fertilizers find significant use only when one identifies a certain nutrient deficiency in soil and, therefore, make targeted supplementation in the crop possible. The growth in precision agriculture practices has created momentum for the growth of direct application fertilizers, wherein fertilizers make focused input applications efficient at the micro-plot, soil condition, and crop requirement basis. With the rise in demand for food production and the need to optimize crop yields, straight fertilizers are becoming indispensable for farmers aiming to achieve higher productivity while maintaining soil health. As these products are designed to address specific nutrient needs, their use is expanding in regions where soil fertility is low or where nutrients are required for optimal crop growth. Such easy-to-use formulations, having direct implications on crop performance, render these popular among farmers in general.
Dry fertilizers dominate the market, holding 81.8% share in 2024. The general acceptance of dry fertilizers lies in the fact that they are easy to handle and can be applied in considerable amounts. Dry fertilizers are usually broadcast or directly incorporated into the soil. Dry fertilizers have a long shelf life and do not easily decompose under different environmental conditions, making them more reliable for the farmer. The dry fertilizer is also applicable in places where transportation and distribution logistics require bulk delivery as it can be delivered and stored in large quantities. The market for dry fertilizers remains on the rise with more and more global agricultural sectors utilizing high-efficiency farming practices, such as precision agriculture that requires timely and effective application of nutrients. Dry fertilizers' cost-effectiveness, coupled with their availability, ensures continuous dominance in the fertilizer sector.
Grains and cereals are one of the largest crop types, which amounts to 45.8% of the global fertilizer market in 2024. These crops are staple food items for most of the population around the world. Wheat, rice, and maize are essential sources of food for billions of people worldwide. The demand for fertilizers in the grains and cereals segment is driven by the need to increase yield productivity to meet the growing food requirements. Fertilizer application is essential in enriching soil fertility, ensuring these crops get the nutrients they require for proper growth and good yields. With land per capita continuing to decline, it becomes important to maximize the use of arable land in place. Fertilizers, especially nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium-based products, are essential to improve crop performance, reduce yield gaps, and increase general food production. The increasing acceptance of sustainable and efficient farming practices, such as precision farming technologies, accelerates fertilizer demand in this segment to meet global food security goals.
In 2024, Asia Pacific accounted for the largest market share of over 52.5%. As per the fertilizer market report, Asia Pacific dominates the market since the region is characterized by a vast and diverse agricultural landscape, coupled with its large population. Moreover, the presence of major agricultural economies, such as China and India, plays a pivotal role in fueling fertilizer consumption. Thereby, favorable government policies and initiatives, along with the embracing of highly technical farming techniques and methods, including precision farming and innovative fertilizers in practice, enhance productivity across this region. Furthermore, being a major fertilizer-producing country and exporter also maintains its position in the fertilizer market across the globe in this continent called Asia Pacific. It will also be able to take both domestic and international demand since it is highly competitive in terms of production capability and cost efficiency. This gives the region a high market share. In line with this, the region's increased awareness about sustainable agriculture and environmental concerns has led to the development and adoption of eco-friendly fertilizers, further propelling its leadership in the global fertilizer market.
The North American fertilizer market is growing steadily, with more people adopting precision farming. This practice has been gathering increased attention, and the demand for high-yielding crops is growing at a fast pace. Modern technologies such as GPS-guided application systems and drones ensure fertilizer efficiency. The increasing focus on sustainable agriculture also encourages the demand for organic and bio-based fertilizers. he regulatory support and subsidies toward fertilizer usage is also offering a favorable fertilizer market outlook. The more recently developed popularity of controlled-release fertilizers and eco-friendly formulations further complies with regional demand for the more sustainable, efficient practice of farming.
The fertilizer market in Europe is focused on sustainability and reduction of environmental impact. There is strong support for organic and bio-based fertilizers within the EU's Green Deal and Farm to Fork Strategy. Governments are nudging the adoption of friendly environmental practices, which has heightened demand for products that decrease the runoff of nitrogen and help improve soil health. Precision agriculture, which is increasingly using smart farming practices, is also on the rise. In addition, strict regulations on chemical fertilizers for environmental reasons are making this continent shift to more environmentally and resource-friendly fertilizer solutions.
Latin America fertilizer market is growing, mainly due to the increasing demand for agricultural productivity, especially in Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico. Large-scale farming of crops such as soybeans, corn, and coffee, which are common in the region, consumes a lot of fertilizers. The adoption of precision agriculture and other advanced farming technologies is also increasing the demand for fertilizers. The use of fertilizers helps to improve soil fertility and yields while maximizing yields, which is being addressed by Latin American countries amidst this growth in food demand at a global level. Additionally, policies that support agriculture, as well as agreements with respect to international trade, stimulate market dynamics in the region.
Middle East and Africa fertilizers have high growth, with huge agriculture-based production in Egypt and South Africa. The increasing demand for food in these regions has resulted in increased use of fertilizers. Increased adoption of modern agricultural techniques like drip irrigation and controlled-release fertilizers is further boosting the market expansion. The pressure to become self-sufficient in food production also fuels investment in fertilizers. It emphasizes increasing the crop yield and improving the soil's fertility, with government programs and increased awareness about sustainability practices acting as a trendsetter for this market.
United States Fertilizer Market Analysis
In 2024, the United States accounts for over 77.80% of the fertilizer market in North America. The healthy agricultural sector in the U.S. is highly supported by its fertilizer market. In fiscal year 2024, the USDA said that about USD 437.2 Billion is committed to agriculture, of which fertilizers account for the cost. Nitrogen-based fertilizers dominate the market, with one of the significant cost drivers being natural gas, which comprises about 90% of the costs for ammonia production at USD 7 per MMBtu. Huge quantities of imported ammonia drive U.S. production of critical DAP and MAP fertilizers that feed directly into yield enhancements in crops. The top export product has been urea, taking advantage of the competitiveness of natural gas pricing in the United States. Technological capability and sustainability features give CF Industries and Nutrient a leg up in the market. The fertilizer market is also facing challenges from the increase in energy prices, however this is offset by eco-friendly fertilizer innovation and government-backed R&D programs. Strategic collaborations with and investments in domestic production further strengthen the global position of the U.S. fertilizer market.
Europe Fertilizer Market Analysis
Sustainability and technological innovation characterize the fertilizer market in Europe, which is a result of strict government policies. According to Eurostat, the region had approximately 8.9 million metric tons of nitrogen-based fertilizers consumed in 2022. The production of ammonia became costly due to the shortages that occurred due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, so the manufacturers sought greener alternatives. As ammonia was Europe's largest source from Russia, trade disruptions occurred by the Black Sea that halted its supply chain. European companies such as Yara are leaders in nitrates and technical ammonium nitrate production, catering to both agricultural and industrial needs. Industrial applications, such as diesel exhaust fluids, are growing due to regulatory pressures to reduce emissions. Europe also invests heavily in R&D to develop innovative fertilizers that meet sustainability goals. Mature markets like Germany and France emphasize precision farming and nutrient efficiency, ensuring stable fertilizer demand. These factors are increasing the demand for fertilizers and offering a favorable fertilizer market outlook.
Asia Pacific Fertilizer Market Analysis
Asia is the largest shareholding region in the fertilizer market, accounting for 57% of global consumption of nitrogen in 2020, with China alone taking 23.7 Mt and India 20.4 Mt, as per an industry report. New plant constructions in Saudi Arabia and Oman will help to address regional deficits with a balanced supply for Asia. Global supply constraints and affordability are two challenges that are likely to lead to moderate growth over the next years, as estimated by the IFA. Asia is a very crucial region in the trade of urea as being one of the most essential fertilizers. Chinese exports have been limited since late 2021, when the country prohibited exports from controlling its fertilizer prices. The consumption of nitrogen fertilizers in the industrial sector is rising rapidly, especially in urea-formaldehyde resins used in many industries. Investment in the production of nitrogen fertilizers is growing due to the agricultural requirements of Asia. Regional initiatives focus on self-sufficiency and sustainability, ensuring that Asia is a vital player in the fertilizer industry, regardless of the changes seen in the market.
Latin America Fertilizer Market Analysis
Latin America fertilizer market is in fast growth due to the agricultural potential and the increasing food demand at the global level. The largest consumer in the region is Brazil, with a usage of 41.1 million metric tons in 2022, according to the National Association for Fertilizer Promotion. The nitrogen-based product usage has been relatively strong in Brazil. Reportedly, the import of urea from the Arab Gulf supports agricultural activities in the region. Production is increasing with investment in the field that tries to reduce dependence on imports. The fertilizer trade of Venezuela impacts North America's supply chains, thereby connecting the region. Mosaic and Yara are expanding their footprint in Latin America as the region enter an agricultural boom. Brazil has adequate natural gas, which it uses to manufacture ammonia for use in the production of urea and DAP fertilizers. The market has some disadvantages, including volatile energy prices and supply chain issues, but it has the advantages of technology and government support. Latin America is strategically located and has the potential to export. Hence, it is one of the important players in the global fertilizer market.
Middle East and Africa Fertilizer Market Analysis
The Middle East and Africa have become significant geographical locations in the global fertilizer market. This is due to the region's gigantic natural gas supplies. They can be applied cheaply for ammonia and urea, which are mostly used to manufacture nitrogen fertilizers. Nitrogen application in Africa stands at less than 4% of global intake according to IFA, considering supply and availability factors in 2020. The Middle East, led by Qatar's Qafco, is a major urea exporter, with most ammonia surpluses converted into fertilizers for global trade. The Russia-Ukraine conflict disrupted traditional Black Sea trade flows, increasing demand for Middle Eastern exports. Africa faces challenges in scaling production, but investments in fertilizer plants are underway, supported by international collaborations. Rising global prices have prompted African governments to prioritize fertilizer accessibility. Meanwhile, the Middle East has been the leader in export markets due to its strategic location and competitive production costs, so it is a prominent player in the fertilizer supply chain.
The competition in the global fertilizer market is highly intense, and the players are diversely spread. Being one of the most important industries in agriculture, numerous companies, both large conglomerates and specialized firms, participate in this highly dynamic sector. Here again, the competition is intense due to factors such as the range of products, quality, fertilizer market price strategies, distribution networks, and innovative solutions. Market leaders look to position themselves as leaders in thought and subject matter experts in fertilizer market research and consulting services to make themselves different from their competition. Also, companies are constantly innovating and developing their products to be more aligned with the changing requirements of farmers and other agricultural stakeholders. They also invest significantly in R&D to create environment-friendly and sustainable fertilizers in line with increasing environmental issues. This would mean, according to fertilizer market forecast, a world where a growing global population makes food security a great challenge, hence, an increasingly fierce competition that will require companies to innovate, cooperate, and adapt to ever-swiftly changing natures.