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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1754025
原子力廃止措置市場レポート:原子炉タイプ、計画、容量、地域別、2025年~2033年Nuclear Decommissioning Market Report by Reactor Type (Pressurized Water Reactor, Boiling Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor, and Others), Strategy, Capacity, and Region 2025-2033 |
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カスタマイズ可能
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原子力廃止措置市場レポート:原子炉タイプ、計画、容量、地域別、2025年~2033年 |
出版日: 2025年06月02日
発行: IMARC
ページ情報: 英文 148 Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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世界の原子力廃止措置市場規模は2024年に72億米ドルに達しました。今後、市場は2033年までに110億米ドルに達し、2025年から2033年にかけて4.63%の成長率(CAGR)を示すと予測されています。再生可能エネルギー源の利用増加、原子炉の停止、放射性廃棄物管理への注力などが市場成長を拡大しています。
再生可能エネルギーへの需要の高まり
太陽光発電、風力発電、水力発電などの再生可能エネルギーは、原子力発電などの従来のエネルギー源と比較して、コスト競争力が高まっています。そのため、エネルギー市場において原子力と直接競合できる再生可能エネルギーの動向は高まっています。この競争は、原子力発電所の採算性や存続可能性に影響を及ぼし、早期の廃炉につながる可能性があります。これに加えて、環境問題や原子力の安全性、放射性廃棄物処理に対する国民の意識の高まりが、エネルギー源に対する世論や選択に影響を与える可能性があり、市場の成長を支えています。再生可能エネルギーは通常、原子力に比べてクリーンで安全、持続可能であると認識されています。そのため、再生可能エネルギーへの取り組みに対する世論の支持と需要が高まっています。このような世論の変化は、再生可能エネルギーの開発を優先すると同時に、原子力発電を段階的に廃止するよう政策立案者に圧力をかけることになり、原子力施設の廃炉につながっています。原子力発電所の解体は、再生可能エネルギーのような他のエネルギー源の導入につながっています。国際エネルギー機関の報告書によると、2028年には再生可能エネルギーが世界の発電量の42%以上を占めるようになり、風力と太陽光発電の割合は25%に倍増すると予想されています。
原子炉の停止
2024年の世界原子力協会の報告書によれば、過去20年間に世界中で107基の原子炉が停止しました。原子炉の運転寿命が尽きるか、経済的に成り立たなくなると、原子炉は永久に停止します。そのため、原子力廃止措置プロジェクトの数は世界中で増加しています。停止する原子炉の増加に伴い、複雑な廃炉プロセスを安全、効率的、コスト効率よく管理できる熟練した専門家や企業への需要が高まっています。これに加えて、原子炉の停止は、先進的な廃炉技術と方法の開発につながっています。企業は、より安全で効率的かつ費用対効果の高い解体、除染、廃棄物管理、サイト修復の方法を考え出すために研究開発(R&D)活動に費やしており、これが原子力廃止措置市場の成長に影響を及ぼすと予想されます。
放射性廃棄物管理への注目の高まり
2022年のパシフィック・ノースウェスト国立研究所(PNNL)の報告書によると、世界の固形放射性廃棄物の在庫総量は約3,800万m3であり、そのうち81%が永久処分され、さらに19%が最終処分待ちの状態で保管されています。放射性廃棄物は廃止措置の際にも発生するが、これは重要な課題となっています。その結果、放射性廃棄物の革新的な処理・処分方法に対する需要が高まっています。さらに、規制機関は、廃止措置活動中に発生する放射性廃棄物の安全な管理と処分について厳しい規則を課しています。これらの規制を遵守することは、廃炉プロジェクトを進めるための許認可を得るために不可欠です。環境と安全の問題に対処するために規則が変化しているため、原子力廃止措置に参加している企業は、これらの規則に準拠するために廃棄物管理ソリューションに投資しています。さらに、効果的な放射性廃棄物管理は、公衆衛生と環境保護の鍵です。放射性廃棄物の不適切な取り扱いや廃棄は、土壌、水、大気の汚染を引き起こし、人の健康や環境に長期的な危険をもたらす可能性があります。さらに、規制当局、地域社会、環境団体などの利害関係者は、放射性廃棄物が安全かつ責任を持って取り扱われるよう、廃炉プロジェクトを厳しくチェックしています。
The global nuclear decommissioning market size reached USD 7.2 Billion in 2024. Looking forward, it is expected that the market will reach USD 11.0 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.63% during 2025-2033. Rising utilization of renewable energy sources, shutting down of nuclear reactors, and focus on radioactive waste management are expanding the market growth.
Increasing demand for renewable energy sources
Renewable energy sources like solar, wind, and hydropower are now becoming more cost-competitive with the traditional sources such as nuclear power. Therefore, the trend of renewable energy is increasing, which can directly compete with nuclear power in the energy market. The competition can affect the profitability and viability of the nuclear power plants, which results in their early decommissioning. Besides this, the rising public awareness about environmental issues and nuclear safety and radioactive waste disposal that can affect public opinion and choices on energy sources is supporting the market growth. Renewable energy is usually recognized as cleaner, safer, and more sustainable compared to nuclear power. This, in turn, is increasing the public support and demand for renewable energy initiatives. This change in the public opinion can create a pressure on the policymakers to prioritize the development of renewable energy and at the same time phase out the nuclear power, which is leading to the decommissioning of the nuclear facilities. The dismantlement of nuclear power plants is leading to the adoption of other energy sources like the renewable energy. According to the International Energy Agency report, it is expected that the renewable energy sources will account for over 42% of global electricity generation in 2028, with the share of wind and solar PV doubling to 25%.
Shutting down of nuclear reactors
The World Nuclear Association report of 2024 claims that over the past 20 years, 107 nuclear reactors were shut down across the globe. As nuclear reactors reach the end of their operational lifespans or become economically unviable, they are shut down permanently. Thus the number of nuclear decommissioning projects is rising around the world. With the growing number of reactors being shut down, there is an increasing demand for skilled professionals and firms that can manage the complex decommissioning process safely, efficiently, and cost-effectively. Besides this, the shutdown of nuclear reactors is leading to the development of advanced decommissioning technologies and methods. Companies are spending on research and development (R&D) activities to come up with the safer, more efficient, and cost-effective ways of dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site remediation, which is anticipated to influence the nuclear decommissioning market growth.
Rising focus on radioactive waste management
As per the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report of 2022, the total global inventory of solid radioactive waste was approximately 38 million m3, of which 81% of the total waste was disposed of permanently and a further 19% was in storage awaiting for final disposal. Radioactive waste is also generated during decommissioning activities, which is becoming a significant challenge. As a result, there is an increasing demand for innovative waste treatment and disposable methods for radioactive waste. Moreover, regulatory agencies are imposing strict rules for the safe management and disposal of radioactive waste that is produced during decommissioning activities. The compliance with these regulations is vital for getting the permits and the approvals to proceed with the decommissioning projects. As rules are changing to deal with the environmental and safety issues, firms participating in nuclear decommissioning are investing in waste management solutions to comply with these rules. In addition, effective radioactive waste management is the key to the protection of public health and the environment. Improper handling or throwing away the radioactive waste can cause the pollution of the soil, water, and air, which is leading long-term dangers to human health and the environment. Furthermore, stakeholders, among which regulatory authorities, local communities, and environmental organizations, are closely examining decommissioning projects to make sure that the radioactive waste is handled safely and responsibly.
Pressurized water reactor (PWR) accounts for the majority of the market share
Pressure water reactor (PWR) is the most used reactor technology for nuclear power generation around the world. As many of these reactors are approaching the end of their operational life spans, the need for decommissioning services is increasing. Additionally, PWRs are huge in size in comparison to other reactors, which, in turn, causes the decommissioning processes to be complicated and requires a lot of resources and experts. Moreover, PWR decommissioning projects usually involve large amounts of radioactive waste, requiring sophisticated waste management solutions.
Immediate dismantling holds the largest share of the industry
The instant removal of the radioactive materials and structures from a decommissioned nuclear facility is the immediate dismantling. This approach allows for the release of the site for potential reuse or redevelopment, minimizing the long-term financial liabilities associated with maintaining a decommissioned facility. Besides this, nuclear decommissioning market recent development of the technology and expertise is making the immediate dismantling feasible and cost-effective, thereby driving its widespread adoption.
Upto 800 MW represents the leading market segment
Smaller reactors within this segment tend to be older and less economically viable to operate compared to larger and more modern plants. Consequently, they are more likely to be decommissioned. Furthermore, regulatory requirements and safety standards for decommissioning are generally similar regardless of plant size, and complexities and challenges associated with decommissioning smaller reactors are often comparable to those of larger ones. As a result, decommissioning projects for reactors up to 800 MW represent a substantial portion of the overall nuclear decommissioning demand.
Europe leads the market, accounting for the largest nuclear decommissioning market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, Europe represents the largest regional market for nuclear decommissioning.
According to the World Nuclear Association report of 2024, in UK 36 nuclear reactors were shut down by 2024. Europe has a notable number of ageing nuclear power plants that are reaching the end of their operational lifespans. As many of these plants were built several decades ago and decommissioning them are becoming a necessity. Secondly, European countries have stringent regulatory frameworks governing nuclear safety and decommissioning, which necessitate thorough planning and compliance with rigorous standards. These regulations create a robust framework for decommissioning activities, ensuring that they are carried out safely and responsibly.