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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1520451
原子力廃止措置市場レポート:原子炉タイプ、戦略、容量、地域別、2024年~2032年Nuclear Decommissioning Market Report by Reactor Type (Pressurized Water Reactor, Boiling Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor, and Others), Strategy, Capacity, and Region 2024-2032 |
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カスタマイズ可能
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原子力廃止措置市場レポート:原子炉タイプ、戦略、容量、地域別、2024年~2032年 |
出版日: 2024年07月01日
発行: IMARC
ページ情報: 英文 147 Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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世界の原子力廃止措置の市場規模は2023年に68億米ドルに達しました。今後、IMARC Groupは、2024年から2032年にかけて4.9%の成長率(CAGR)を示し、2032年までに106億米ドルに達すると予測しています。再生可能エネルギー源の利用増加、原子炉の停止、放射性廃棄物管理への注力などが市場成長を拡大しています。
主な市場促進要因:再生可能エネルギーへの需要と老朽化した原子力発電所の増加が市場成長に寄与しています。
主な市場動向:環境修復への注目の高まりと革新的技術の採用が市場成長を促進しています。
地理的動向:原子力安全に関する規制の枠組みが厳しいため、欧州が最大のセグメントを占めています。
競合情勢:原子力廃止措置業界の主な市場プレーヤーには、Aecom、Babcock International Group PLC、Bechtel Corporation、Electricite de France S.A、EnergySolutions、General Electric Company、James Fisher and Sons plc、Northstar Group Services Inc.、Ontario Power Generation Inc.、Orano SA、Studsvik AB、Westinghouse Electric Company LLCなどがあります。
課題と機会:市場は、市場に影響を与える技術的問題などの課題に直面する一方で、効果的で安全な廃炉プロセスの開発という機会にも遭遇しています。
再生可能エネルギーへの需要の高まり
太陽光発電、風力発電、水力発電などの再生可能エネルギーは、原子力発電などの従来のエネルギー源と比較して、コスト競争力が高まっています。したがって、再生可能エネルギーの動向は、エネルギー市場において原子力と直接競合する可能性が高まっています。この競争は、原子力発電所の採算性や存続可能性に影響を及ぼし、その結果、早期の廃炉を招きかねないです。これに加えて、環境問題や原子力の安全性、放射性廃棄物処理に対する国民の意識の高まりが、エネルギー源に対する世論や選択に影響を与える可能性があり、市場の成長を支えています。再生可能エネルギーは通常、原子力に比べてクリーンで安全、持続可能であると認識されています。そのため、再生可能エネルギーへの取り組みに対する世論の支持と需要が高まっています。このような世論の変化は、再生可能エネルギーの開発を優先すると同時に、原子力発電を段階的に廃止するよう政策立案者に圧力をかけることになり、原子力施設の廃止につながっています。原子力発電所の廃止は、再生可能エネルギーのような他のエネルギー源の導入につながっています。国際エネルギー機関の報告書によると、2028年には再生可能エネルギーが世界の発電量の42%以上を占めるようになり、風力と太陽光発電の割合は25%に倍増すると予想されています。
原子炉の停止
2024年の世界原子力協会の報告書によれば、過去20年間に世界中で107基の原子炉が停止しました。原子炉の運転寿命が尽きるか、経済的に成り立たなくなると、原子炉は永久に停止します。そのため、廃炉プロジェクトの数は世界中で増加しています。停止される原子炉の数が増えるにつれ、複雑な廃炉プロセスを安全かつ効率的に、そしてコスト効率よく管理できる熟練した専門家や企業への需要が高まっています。これに加えて、原子炉の停止は、先進的な廃炉技術や手法の開発につながっています。企業は、より安全で効率的かつ費用対効果の高い解体、除染、廃棄物管理、サイト修復の方法を考え出すために研究開発(R&D)活動に費やしており、これが原子力廃止措置市場の成長に影響を与えると予想されます。
放射性廃棄物管理への注目の高まり
2022年のパシフィック・ノースウェスト国立研究所(PNNL)の報告書によると、世界の固形放射性廃棄物の在庫総量は約3,800万m3であり、そのうち81%は永久処分され、さらに19%は最終処分を待って保管されています。放射性廃棄物は廃止措置の際にも発生するが、これは重要な課題となっています。その結果、放射性廃棄物の革新的な処理・処分方法に対する需要が高まっています。さらに、規制機関は、廃止措置活動中に発生する放射性廃棄物の安全な管理と処分について厳しい規則を課しています。これらの規制を遵守することは、廃炉プロジェクトを進めるための許認可を得るために不可欠です。環境と安全の問題に対処するために規則が変化しているため、原子力廃止措置に参加する企業は、これらの規則を遵守するために廃棄物管理ソリューションに投資しています。また、効果的な放射性廃棄物管理は、公衆衛生と環境保護の鍵です。放射性廃棄物の不適切な取り扱いや廃棄は、土壌、水、大気の汚染を引き起こし、人間の健康や環境に長期的な危険をもたらす可能性があります。さらに、規制当局、地域社会、環境団体などの利害関係者は、放射性廃棄物が安全かつ責任を持って取り扱われるよう、廃炉プロジェクトを厳しくチェックしています。
The global nuclear decommissioning market size reached US$ 6.8 Billion in 2023. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach US$ 10.6 Billion by 2032, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% during 2024-2032. Rising utilization of renewable energy sources, shutting down of nuclear reactors, and focus on radioactive waste management are expanding the market growth.
Major Market Drivers: The demand for renewable energy and rising number of ageing nuclear power plants is contributing to the growth of the market.
Key Market Trends: The rising focus on environmental remediation, along with the ongoing adoption of innovative technologies, are facilitating the market growth.
Geographical Trends: Europe holds the largest segment because of stringent regulatory frameworks for nuclear safety.
Competitive Landscape: Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC., among many others.
Challenges and Opportunities: While the market faces challenges like technical issues, which impacts the market, it also encounters opportunities in the development of effective and safe decommissioning process.
Increasing demand for renewable energy sources
Renewable energy sources like solar, wind, and hydropower are now becoming more cost-competitive with the traditional sources such as nuclear power. Therefore, the trend of renewable energy is increasing, which can directly compete with nuclear power in the energy market. The competition can affect the profitability and viability of the nuclear power plants, which results in their early decommissioning. Besides this, the rising public awareness about environmental issues and nuclear safety and radioactive waste disposal that can affect public opinion and choices on energy sources is supporting the market growth. Renewable energy is usually recognized as cleaner, safer, and more sustainable compared to nuclear power. This, in turn, is increasing the public support and demand for renewable energy initiatives. This change in the public opinion can create a pressure on the policymakers to prioritize the development of renewable energy and at the same time phase out the nuclear power, which is leading to the decommissioning of the nuclear facilities. The dismantlement of nuclear power plants is leading to the adoption of other energy sources like the renewable energy. According to the International Energy Agency report, it is expected that the renewable energy sources will account for over 42% of global electricity generation in 2028, with the share of wind and solar PV doubling to 25%.
Shutting down of nuclear reactors
The World Nuclear Association report of 2024 claims that over the past 20 years, 107 nuclear reactors were shut down across the globe. As nuclear reactors reach the end of their operational lifespans or become economically unviable, they are shut down permanently. Thus the number of nuclear decommissioning projects is rising around the world. With the growing number of reactors being shut down, there is an increasing demand for skilled professionals and firms that can manage the complex decommissioning process safely, efficiently, and cost-effectively. Besides this, the shutdown of nuclear reactors is leading to the development of advanced decommissioning technologies and methods. Companies are spending on research and development (R&D) activities to come up with the safer, more efficient, and cost-effective ways of dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site remediation, which is anticipated to influence the nuclear decommissioning market growth.
Rising focus on radioactive waste management
As per the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report of 2022, the total global inventory of solid radioactive waste was approximately 38 million m3, of which 81% of the total waste was disposed of permanently and a further 19% was in storage awaiting for final disposal. Radioactive waste is also generated during decommissioning activities, which is becoming a significant challenge. As a result, there is an increasing demand for innovative waste treatment and disposable methods for radioactive waste. Moreover, regulatory agencies are imposing strict rules for the safe management and disposal of radioactive waste that is produced during decommissioning activities. The compliance with these regulations is vital for getting the permits and the approvals to proceed with the decommissioning projects. As rules are changing to deal with the environmental and safety issues, firms participating in nuclear decommissioning are investing in waste management solutions to comply with these rules. In addition, effective radioactive waste management is the key to the protection of public health and the environment. Improper handling or throwing away the radioactive waste can cause the pollution of the soil, water, and air, which is leading long-term dangers to human health and the environment. Furthermore, stakeholders, among which regulatory authorities, local communities, and environmental organizations, are closely examining decommissioning projects to make sure that the radioactive waste is handled safely and responsibly.
IMARC Group provides an analysis of the key trends in each segment of the market, along with nuclear decommissioning market forecasts at the global, regional, and country levels for 2024-2032. Our report has categorized the market based on reactor type, strategy, and capacity.
Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)
Others
Pressurized water reactor (PWR) accounts for the majority of the market share
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the reactor type. This includes pressurized water reactor (PWR), boiling water reactor (BWR), gas cooled reactor (GCR), and others. According to the report, pressurized water reactor (PWR) represents the largest segment.
Pressure water reactor (PWR) is the most used reactor technology for nuclear power generation around the world. As many of these reactors are approaching the end of their operational life spans, the need for decommissioning services is increasing. Additionally, PWRs are huge in size in comparison to other reactors, which, in turn, causes the decommissioning processes to be complicated and requires a lot of resources and experts. Moreover, PWR decommissioning projects usually involve large amounts of radioactive waste, requiring sophisticated waste management solutions.
Deferred Dismantling
Entombment
Immediate Dismantling
Immediate dismantling holds the largest share of the industry
A detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the strategy have also been provided in the report. This includes deferred dismantling, entombment, and immediate dismantling. According to the report, immediate dismantling accounts for the largest market share.
The instant removal of the radioactive materials and structures from a decommissioned nuclear facility is the immediate dismantling. This approach allows for the release of the site for potential reuse or redevelopment, minimizing the long-term financial liabilities associated with maintaining a decommissioned facility. Besides this, nuclear decommissioning market recent development of the technology and expertise is making the immediate dismantling feasible and cost-effective, thereby driving its widespread adoption.
Upto 800 MW
Above 1000 MW
Upto 800 MW represents the leading market segment
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the capacity. This includes upto 800 MW, 801 MW-1000 MW, and above 1000 MW. According to the report, upto 800 MW represents the largest segment.
Smaller reactors within this segment tend to be older and less economically viable to operate compared to larger and more modern plants. Consequently, they are more likely to be decommissioned. Furthermore, regulatory requirements and safety standards for decommissioning are generally similar regardless of plant size, and complexities and challenges associated with decommissioning smaller reactors are often comparable to those of larger ones. As a result, decommissioning projects for reactors up to 800 MW represent a substantial portion of the overall nuclear decommissioning demand.
North America
United States
Canada
Asia-Pacific
China
Japan
India
South Korea
Australia
Indonesia
Others
Europe
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Spain
Russia
Others
Latin America
Brazil
Mexico
Others
Middle East and Africa
Europe leads the market, accounting for the largest nuclear decommissioning market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, Europe represents the largest regional market for nuclear decommissioning.
According to the World Nuclear Association report of 2024, in UK 36 nuclear reactors were shut down by 2024. Europe has a notable number of ageing nuclear power plants that are reaching the end of their operational lifespans. As many of these plants were built several decades ago and decommissioning them are becoming a necessity. Secondly, European countries have stringent regulatory frameworks governing nuclear safety and decommissioning, which necessitate thorough planning and compliance with rigorous standards. These regulations create a robust framework for decommissioning activities, ensuring that they are carried out safely and responsibly.
The market research report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of the competitive landscape in the market. Detailed profiles of all major nuclear decommissioning companies have also been provided. Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC.
(Please note that this is only a partial list of the key players, and the complete list is provided in the report.)
Companies are continuously developing innovative decommissioning solutions, such as advanced robotics and remote handling technologies. They are also manufacturing specialized equipment and processes for handling and treating radioactive waste generated during decommissioning activities to increase the nuclear decommissioning market revenue. Many key players are providing a range of services, including dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site restoration. In addition, many leading players are offering comprehensive decommissioning solutions, including reactor dismantling, waste packaging, and site restoration. Several companies are shutting down their nuclear plants due to their aging intended operational lifespans. For instance, in 2022, Entergy Corporation shut down its Palisades nuclear plant on Lake Michigan, which was an 800-megawatt facility.
October 31, 2023: Bechtel and Westinghouse expanded their partnership with Czech Republic to supply four AP1000 reactors, which is the most advanced nuclear technology.
June 21, 2023: EnergySolutions, a major supplier of services to the nuclear industry announced that it will deliver experienced project management and supervision in support of U.S. nuclear plant life extension and new plant construction, and it is also supporting the energy industry's 2050 net zero goals.