米国のコーザルAI市場規模、シェア、動向分析レポート：展開別、技術別、最終用途別、国別、セグメント別予測、2025年～2033年

米国のコーザルAI市場規模・動向

米国のコーザルAI市場規模は2024年に109億7,000万米ドルと推定され、2025～2033年にかけて39.2%のCAGRで成長すると予測されています。

米国は、深い学術研究、強力な企業導入、イノベーション中心のエコシステムのユニークな融合によって、コーザルAIの展望に力強い勢いが見られます。Microsoft、IBM、Amazonなどの米国の大手ハイテク企業は、特に金融、ヘルスケア、サプライチェーンなどのセグメントで、意思決定の精度を高めるためにコーザル関係AIモデルを自社のプラットフォームに統合しています。

スタンフォード大学、マサチューセッツ工科大学（MIT）、カーネギーメロン大学（Carnegie Mellon）などの研究機関は、コーザル推論のフレームワークを洗練させ、この国の人材パイプラインを育成する上で大きな役割を果たしています。政府機関や連邦政府のシンクタンクもまた、施策テスト、経済予測、公衆衛生結果への応用を目的としたコーザル推論ツールを模索しています。さらに、米国では責任あるAIと説明可能性への関心が高まっており、企業は不透明なブラックボックスモデルから、透明で解釈可能なコーザル関係システムへと移行することを後押ししています。

米国では、相関関係だけでなく、より深い洞察や実用的なインテリジェンスを求める企業が増えているため、コーザルAIが注目を集めています。ヘルスケア、金融、小売などのセグメントで、診断、リスク軽減、パーソナライズされた意思決定を改善するために活用する企業が増えています。学術機関はコーザル推論におけるブレークスルーを先導し、ハイテク大手はこれらのモデルをクラウドや分析プラットフォームに統合しています。また、その透明性がより公正で説明可能な結果をサポートすることから、倫理的なAIイニシアティブとコーザル関係モデルとの間の連携も進んでいます。米国を拠点とする新興企業は、反事実分析とコーザル関係の発見におけるイノベーションを推進しており、AIを予測ツールから推論エンジンへと移行させる上で、米国のリーダーシップを強化しています。

目次

第1章 調査手法と範囲

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 米国のコーザルAI市場の変数、動向、範囲

• 市場のイントロダクション/系統展望
• 市場力学
  • 市場促進要因分析
  • 市場抑制要因分析
  • 産業の課題
• 米国のコーザルAI市場分析ツール
  • ポーター分析
  • PESTEL分析

第4章 米国のコーザルAI市場：展開別、推定・動向分析

• セグメントダッシュボード
• 米国のコーザルAI市場：展開変動分析、100万米ドル、2024年と2033年
• クラウド
• オンプレミス
• ハイブリッド
• オンプレミス

第5章 米国のコーザルAI市場：技術別、推定・動向分析

• セグメントダッシュボード
• 米国のコーザルAI市場：技術変動分析、100万米ドル、2024年と2033年
• コーザル推論エンジン
• 構造コーザルモデル（SCM）
• 反事実的シミュレーションツール
• グラフベースのコーザルモデリング
• その他

第6章 米国のコーザルAI市場：最終用途別、推定・動向分析

• セグメントダッシュボード
• 米国のコーザルAI市場：最終用途変動分析、100万米ドル、2024年と2033年
• ヘルスケアとライフサイエンス
• 金融サービス
• 小売・eコマース
• 製造業
• 政府と公共部門
• 技術とITサービス
• その他

第7章 競合情勢

• 企業分類
• 企業の市場ポジショニング
• 参入企業概要
• 企業ヒートマップ分析
• 戦略マッピング
• 企業プロファイル/上場企業
  • IBM
  • CausaLens
  • Microsoft
  • Dynatrace
  • Causality Link
  • Cognizant
  • Logility
  • DataRobot
  • Google
  • Aitia

List of Tables

• Table 1 U.S. Causal AI - Industry Snapshot & Key Buying Criteria, 2021 - 2033
• Table 2 U.S. Causal AI Market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• Table 3 U.S. Causal AI Market Estimates and Forecast by Type, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• Table 4 U.S. Causal AI Market Estimates and Forecast by Technology, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• Table 5 U.S. Causal AI Market Estimates and Forecast by End Use, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)

List of Figures

• Fig. 1 U.S. Causal AI Market segmentation
• Fig. 2 Market research process
• Fig. 3 Information procurement
• Fig. 4 Primary research pattern
• Fig. 5 Market research approaches
• Fig. 6 Market formulation & validation
• Fig. 7 U.S. Causal AI Market snapshot
• Fig. 8 U.S. Causal AI Market segment snapshot
• Fig. 9 U.S. Causal AI Market competitive landscape snapshot
• Fig. 10 Market driver impact analysis
• Fig. 11 Market restraint impact analysis
• Fig. 12 U.S. Causal AI Market: Deployment outlook key takeaways (USD million)
• Fig. 13 U.S. Causal AI Market: Deployment movement analysis 2024 & 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 14 Cloud market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 15 On-premises market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 16 Hybrid market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 17 U.S. Causal AI Market: Technology outlook key takeaways (USD million)
• Fig. 18 U.S. Causal AI Market: Technology movement analysis 2024 & 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 19 Causal Inference Engines market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 20 Counterfactual Simulation Tools market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 21 Graph-Based Causal Modeling market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 22 Others market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 23 U.S. Causal AI Market: End Use outlook key takeaways (USD million)
• Fig. 24 U.S. Causal AI Market: End Use movement analysis 2024 & 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 25 Healthcare & Life Sciences market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 26 Financial Services market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 27 Retail & E-commerce market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 28 Manufacturing market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 29 Government & Public Sector market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 30 Technology & IT Services market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 31 Others market revenue estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD million)
• Fig. 32 Company Categorization
• Fig. 33 Company Market Positioning
• Fig. 34 Strategy framework

U.S. Causal AI Market Size & Trends:

The U.S. Causal AI market size was estimated at USD 10.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 39.2% from 2025 to 2033. The United States is seeing robust momentum in the causal AI landscape, driven by a unique convergence of deep academic research, strong enterprise adoption, and innovation-centric ecosystems. Major U.S. tech firms such as Microsoft, IBM, and Amazon are integrating causal AI models into their platforms to enhance decision-making accuracy, especially in sectors such as finance, healthcare, and supply chain.

Research institutions such as Stanford, MIT, and Carnegie Mellon are playing a major role in refining causal inference frameworks and nurturing talent pipelines in this country. Government agencies and federal think tanks are also exploring causal reasoning tools for applications in policy testing, economic forecasting, and public health outcomes. Moreover, the growing interest in responsible AI and explainability in the U.S. is pushing companies to move away from opaque black-box models toward transparent, interpretable causal systems.

Causal AI in the U.S. is gaining traction as organizations seek deeper insights and actionable intelligence beyond correlations. Enterprises are increasingly leveraging it to improve diagnostics, risk mitigation, and personalized decision-making across sectors like healthcare, finance, and retail. Academic institutions are spearheading breakthroughs in causal reasoning, while tech giants integrate these models into cloud and analytics platforms. There is also a growing alignment between ethical AI initiatives and causal models, as their transparency supports fairer, explainable outcomes. U.S.-based startups are pushing innovation in counterfactual analysis and causal discovery, reinforcing the country's leadership in transitioning AI from predictive tools to reasoning engines.

U.S. Causal AI Market Report Segmentation

This report forecasts revenue growth in the U.S. and provides an analysis of the latest industry trends in each of the sub-segments from 2021 to 2033. For this study, Grand View Research has segmented the U.S. Causal AI market report based on deployment, technology, end use, and country:

• Deployment Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
• Cloud
• On-premises
• Hybrid
• Technology Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
• Causal Inference Engines
• Structural Causal Models (SCM)
• Counterfactual Simulation Tools
• Graph-Based Causal Modeling
• Others
• End Use Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
• Healthcare & Life Sciences
• Financial Services
• Retail & E-commerce
• Manufacturing
• Government & Public Sector
• Technology & IT Services
• Others

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Methodology and Scope

• 1.1. Market Segmentation and Scope
• 1.2. Market Definition
• 1.3. Research Methodology
  • 1.3.1. Information Procurement
  • 1.3.2. Information or Data Analysis
  • 1.3.3. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
  • 1.3.4. Data Validation & Publishing
• 1.4. Research Scope and Assumptions
  • 1.4.1. List of Data Sources

Chapter 2. Executive Summary

• 2.1. Market Outlook
• 2.2. Segment Outlook
• 2.3. Competitive Insights

Chapter 3. U.S. Causal AI market Variables, Trends, & Scope

• 3.1. Market Introduction/Lineage Outlook
• 3.2. Market Dynamics
  • 3.2.1. Market Driver Analysis
  • 3.2.2. Market Restraint Analysis
  • 3.2.3. Industry Challenge
• 3.3. U.S. Causal AI market Analysis Tools
  • 3.3.1. Porter's Analysis
  • 3.3.2. PESTEL Analysis

Chapter 4. U.S. Causal AI market: Deployment Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 4.1. Segment Dashboard
• 4.2. U.S. Causal AI market: Deployment Movement Analysis, USD Million, 2024 & 2033
• 4.3. Cloud
  • 4.3.1. Cloud U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 4.4. On-premises
  • 4.4.1. On-premises U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 4.5. Hybrid
  • 4.5.1. Hybrid U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 4.6. On-premises
  • 4.6.1. On-premises U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)

Chapter 5. U.S. Causal AI market: Technology Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 5.1. Segment Dashboard
• 5.2. U.S. Causal AI market: Technology Movement Analysis, USD Million, 2024 & 2033
• 5.3. Causal Inference Engines
  • 5.3.1. Causal Inference Engines U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 5.4. Structural Causal Models (SCM)
  • 5.4.1. Structural Causal Models (SCM) U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 5.5. Counterfactual Simulation Tools
  • 5.5.1. Counterfactual Simulation Tools U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 5.6. Graph-Based Causal Modeling
  • 5.6.1. Graph-Based Causal Modeling U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 5.7. Others
  • 5.7.1. Others U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)

Chapter 6. U.S. Causal AI market: End Use Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 6.1. Segment Dashboard
• 6.2. U.S. Causal AI market: End Use Movement Analysis, USD Million, 2024 & 2033
• 6.3. Healthcare & Life Sciences
  • 6.3.1. Healthcare & Life Sciences U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.4. Financial Services
  • 6.4.1. Financial Services U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.5. Retail & E-commerce
  • 6.5.1. Retail & E-commerce U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.6. Manufacturing
  • 6.6.1. Manufacturing U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.7. Government & Public Sector
  • 6.7.1. Government & Public Sector U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.8. Technology & IT Services
  • 6.8.1. Technology & IT Services U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
• 6.9. Others
  • 6.9.1. Others U.S. Causal AI market Revenue Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)

Chapter 7. Competitive Landscape

• 7.1. Company Categorization
• 7.2. Company Market Positioning
• 7.3. Participant's Overview
• 7.4. Financial Performance
• 7.5. Product Benchmarking
• 7.6. Company Heat Map Analysis
• 7.7. Strategy Mapping
• 7.8. Company Profiles/Listing
  • 7.8.1. IBM
    • 7.8.1.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.1.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.1.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.1.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.2. CausaLens
    • 7.8.2.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.2.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.2.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.2.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.3. Microsoft
    • 7.8.3.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.3.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.3.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.3.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.4. Dynatrace
    • 7.8.4.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.4.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.4.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.4.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.5. Causality Link
    • 7.8.5.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.5.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.5.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.5.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.6. Cognizant
    • 7.8.6.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.6.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.6.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.6.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.7. Logility
    • 7.8.7.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.7.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.7.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.7.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.8. DataRobot
    • 7.8.8.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.8.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.8.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.8.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.9. Google
    • 7.8.9.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.9.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.9.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.9.4. Recent Developments
  • 7.8.10. Aitia
    • 7.8.10.1. Participant's Overview
    • 7.8.10.2. Financial Performance
    • 7.8.10.3. Product Benchmarking
    • 7.8.10.4. Recent Developments