北米の宇宙空間における軍事能力構造

陸、空、海、デジタル、宇宙という5つの戦域が、人間と機械の相互作用によって単一の戦域に統合され、軍事作戦の指揮統制（C2）機構と脅威のスペクトルが急速に進化しています。宇宙空間の民主化により、競合する周波数環境での競争が激化し、宇宙体制が崩壊し、ニュースペース分野が定義されました。宇宙における国益がよりデータ駆動型の役割になるにつれ、外生的および内生的な要因により宇宙が明確な戦闘領域となるため、将来の軍事宇宙作戦、戦力生成、および能力構築プログラムにおいて、技術・機能・利害関係者の収束と統合は不可欠なものとなるでしょう。

当レポートでは、北米各国の宇宙空間における軍事能力構造について調査分析し、成長促進要因・抑制要因、成長機会についてまとめています。

目次

戦略的必須事項

• 成長がますます困難になっているのはなぜか？
• The Strategic Imperative 8（TM）
• 北米の宇宙空間における軍事能力構造に対する上位3つの戦略的必須事項の影響
• 成長機会がGrowth Pipeline Engine（TM）を促進

成長機会分析

• 動的物理的および非動的物理的脅威の評価
• 電子およびサイバー脅威の評価
• 米国：技術能力評価
• 米国：製造能力評価
• 米国：有人宇宙飛行とシスルナ運用
• 米国：宇宙打ち上げ能力
• カナダ：技術能力評価
• カナダ：製造能力評価
• カナダ：有人宇宙飛行とシスルナ運用
• 成長促進要因
• 成長促進要因分析
• 成長抑制要因
• 成長抑制要因分析

世界宇宙軍の比較評価

• 成長機会1：地上プラットフォームの進歩
• 成長機会2：高度なサイバーおよび電子戦闘能力
• 成長機会3：共同の全ドメインの指揮統制
• 図表一覧
• 免責事項

Multi-domain Offensive and Defensive Operations and High-intensity Networked and Informalized Warfare to Drive Future Force Generation and Capability-building Programs

The post-Cold War global liberation order-backed by Western leadership-has been challenged by the rise of political multipolarity. Wars in South and West Asia, the financial crisis of 2008, the annexation of Crimea, the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russo-Ukrainian War, and rising tensions across the Taiwan Strait have exposed global economic interdependence and the balance of power.

The development of new axes and mechanisms of cooperation, coupled with the global competition Russia, China, and secondary powers like North Korea and Iran, through the pursuit of force-multiplier technology and asymmetric capabilities have tested Western force projection strategies in Taiwan, Korea, and the Baltics. Growing investments in kinetic physical, and non-kinetic physical capabilities-with the recent use case of GPS jamming capabilities by Russia in the Russo-Ukrainian War-have accentuated the strategic importance of the space domain.

Consolidation within the 5 theaters of battle-land, air, naval, digital, and space-into a singular battlesphere, through human-machine interactions, is expeditiously evolving the military command and control (C2) structure and threat spectrum for military operations. Increased competition within contested spectrum environments, caused by the democratization of the space domain, has disrupted space regimes and defined the NewSpace sector. As national interests in space adopt a more data-driven role, with several exogenous and endogenous factors driving space as a distinct warfighting domain, the convergence and consolidation of technologies, functions, and stakeholders will predicate future military space operations, force generation, and capability-building programs.

Table of Contents

Strategic Imperatives

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8™
• The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on Space Force Capability Structure in North America
• Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Growth Opportunity Analysis

• Kinetic Physical and Non-kinetic Physical-Threat Assessment
• Electronic and Cyber-Threat Assessment
• United States-Technology Capability Assessment
• United States-Technology Capability Assessment (continued)
• United States-Technology Capability Assessment (continued)
• United States-Manufacturing Capability Assessment
• United States-Manufacturing Capability Assessment (continued)
• United States-Manned Spaceflight and Cislunar Operations
• United States-Manned Spaceflight and Cislunar Operations (continued)
• United States-Space Launch Capability
• United States-Space Launch Capability (continued)
• Canada-Technology Capability Assessment
• Canada-Technology Capability Assessment (continued)
• Canada-Manufacturing Capability Assessment
• Canada-Manufacturing Capability Assessment (continued)
• Canada-Manned Spaceflight and Cislunar Operations
• Growth Drivers
• Growth Driver Analysis
• Growth Driver Analysis (continued)
• Growth Driver Analysis (continued)
• Growth Driver Analysis (continued)
• Growth Restraints
• Growth Restraint Analysis
• Growth Restraint Analysis (continued)
• Growth Restraint Analysis (continued)

Comparative Assessment of Global Space Forces

• Growth Opportunity 1: Terrestrial Platform Advances
• Growth Opportunity 1: Terrestrial Platform Advances (continued)
• Growth Opportunity 2: Advanced Cyber & Electronic Warfare Capabilities
• Growth Opportunity 2: Advanced Cyber & Electronic Warfare Capabilities (continued)
• Growth Opportunity 3: Joint All-Domain Command and Control
• Growth Opportunity 3: Joint All-Domain Command and Control (continued)
• List of Exhibits
• Legal Disclaimer