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表紙：世界の水力発電市場-2023年～2030年
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1372114

世界の水力発電市場-2023年～2030年

Global Hydropower Market - 2023-2030
出版日: | 発行: DataM Intelligence | ページ情報: 英文 203 Pages | 納期: 約2営業日

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世界の水力発電市場-2023年～2030年
出版日: 2023年10月18日
発行: DataM Intelligence
ページ情報: 英文 203 Pages
納期: 約2営業日
ご注意事項 :
本レポートは最新情報反映のため適宜更新し、内容構成変更を行う場合があります。ご検討の際はお問い合わせください。
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概要

概要

世界の水力発電市場は、2022年に米国で2,441億米ドルに達し、2030年には3,482億米ドルに達し、予測期間2023-2030年のCAGRは4.8%で成長すると予測されています。

水力発電市場は、継続的な技術革新と進化するエネルギー政策により、世界的に大きな成長を遂げています。水力発電には150年近い長い歴史があるが、最近の焦点は、近代的な電力システムと再生可能エネルギー統合の変化する需要に対応するために、技術を適応させ強化することです。水力発電の拡大は、高額な初期投資と長い開発期間のために、しばしば公共部門の関与に依存してきました。

さらに、水力発電の拡大は、高額な初期投資と長い開発スケジュールのために、しばしば公的セクターの関与に依存してきました。IEAによれば、世界の水力発電量はほぼ70*TWh増加し、2％近い伸びを示しました。この成長は、2021年から2022年にかけての旺盛な設備導入によるものです。2022年の発電容量増は32*GWに達し、過去5年間の平均を40%上回っています。

アジア太平洋は水力発電業界最大の市場であり、中国やインドなどの国々で大きな成長が見られます。IEAによると、中国は水力発電市場で圧倒的な地位を占めており、2030年までその地位を維持すると予測されています。予測期間中、世界の発電容量増加の40％を占めると予想されています。インドは、水力発電分野で世界第2位の成長市場として台頭してきています。

ダイナミクス

再生可能エネルギー需要

水力発電市場は、より持続可能で低炭素なエネルギー源への移行の必要性から、再生可能エネルギーへの需要の高まりによって牽引されると予想されます。IEAによると、ネット・ゼロ・エミッション・シナリオに合わせるためには、再生可能エネルギーの供給は2023年から2030年の間に毎年約13％増加する必要があります。これは、過去の再生可能エネルギー導入量を大幅に上回る成長率です。

2022年には、水力発電の利用可能性が、バイオエネルギー以外の再生可能エネルギーが史上2番目に高いシェアの伸びを達成することを可能にする役割を果たしました。2020年は、COVID-19の大流行とエネルギー総消費量の減少という特殊な状況に見舞われたが、水力発電の一貫した貢献が再生可能エネルギーの成長を後押ししました。水力発電は、容量（再生可能エネルギー全体の38％）と発電量（50％）の両方で最大の再生可能電力技術として際立っています。再生可能エネルギーにおけるその確立された地位は、世界のエネルギー需要を持続的に満たす上で、その重要性を強調しています。

政府政策別水力発電の急増

水力発電市場は、政府のインセンティブと政策によって牽引されると予想されます。例えば、欧州では揚水発電の容量が大幅に増加しています。IEAによると、2022年にはほぼ2GWの揚水発電容量が稼働し、容量拡大のマイルストーンとなっています。スイスとポルトガルのプロジェクトは、太陽光発電と風力発電の統合を強化するように設計されています。

米国では、2022年8月に成立したインフレ抑制法のような政策が、水力発電に対する政府の支援を示しています。この法律は、水力発電技術の導入と開発を奨励するために税額控除を増やし、延長するものです。また、30カ国が新規および既存の水力発電所を明確に対象とした政策を確立しています。また、世界各国の政府は、大小の水力発電容量を長期導入目標、エネルギー計画、再生可能エネルギー・インセンティブの枠組みに組み込んでおり、これは他の変動自然エネルギーに匹敵するものです。

水力発電市場は、風力と太陽光の成長の中で競合情勢を勝ち抜く

水力発電市場は、風力発電と太陽光発電の成長による影響を受けており、再生可能エネルギーの展望に変化をもたらしています。過去20年間、再生可能エネルギー政策の大半は風力と太陽光発電技術に焦点を当ててきました。その重点は、設置目標、財政的インセンティブ、長期電力購入契約といった施策によって達成されてきました。風力発電と太陽光発電に対する集中的な政策的注目は、その急速な導入と容量拡大に影響を与えました。

風力と太陽光発電技術は、再生可能エネルギー分野で急速に台頭してきました。IEAによれば、2022年に600*TWhを超えた再生可能エネルギー発電量の記録的な増加の約85％を風力と太陽光が占めています。この大幅な貢献は、水力発電市場の成長率を一部犠牲にしています。風力発電と太陽光発電が大きな成長を遂げた一方で、水力発電の拡大は比較的緩やかで、2022年の増加率は約2％でした。これは、風力や太陽光といった代替エネルギーが水力発電に競争圧力をかけていることを浮き彫りにしています。

さらに、100カ国以上が風力や太陽光発電に的を絞った政策やインセンティブを導入しています。こうした政策は、風力発電や太陽光発電の導入と容量拡大を促進し、再生可能エネルギー間の投資と市場シェアをめぐる競争をさらに激化させています。風力発電と太陽光発電の設備容量が増加するにつれ、水力発電の相対的な市場シェアは低下しています。風力と太陽光に向けられた政策とインセンティブは、世界の再生可能エネルギー市場の構成を再構築する一因となっています。

目次

第1章 調査手法と調査範囲

第2章 定義と概要

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第4章 市場力学

  • 影響要因
    • 促進要因
      • 再生可能エネルギー需要
      • 政府の政策による水力発電の急増
    • 抑制要因
      • 水力発電市場は風力と太陽光の成長の中で競合情勢を勝ち抜く
    • 機会
    • 影響分析

第5章 産業分析

  • ポーターのファイブフォース分析
  • サプライチェーン分析
  • 価格分析
  • 規制分析
  • ロシア・ウクライナ戦争分析
  • DMI意見

第6章 COVID-19分析

第7章 技術別

  • 従来型水力発電
    • 貯水池
    • 流水式
  • 揚水発電

第8章 用途別

  • 発電
  • 負荷分散と系統安定化
  • マイクログリッドソリューション
  • 水産養殖と養魚場
  • 工業プロセス
  • その他

第9章 規模別

  • 大規模水力発電
  • 中規模水力発電
  • 小規模・マイクロ水力発電

第10章 地域別

  • 北米
    • 米国
    • カナダ
    • メキシコ
  • 欧州
    • ドイツ
    • 英国
    • フランス
    • イタリア
    • ロシア
    • その他欧州
  • 南米
    • ブラジル
    • アルゼンチン
    • その他南米
  • アジア太平洋
    • 中国
    • インド
    • 日本
    • オーストラリア
    • その他アジア太平洋地域
  • 中東・アフリカ

第11章 競合情勢

  • 競合シナリオ
  • 市況/シェア分析
  • M&A分析

第12章 企業プロファイル

  • China Three Gorges Corporation
    • 会社概要
    • 製品ポートフォリオと説明
    • 財務概要
    • 主な発展
  • Electricite de France S.A.
  • Hydro-Quebec
  • Duke Energy Corporation
  • Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A.
  • PJSC RusHydro
  • Ontario Power Generation Inc.
  • Statkraft AS.
  • Sn Power Holding Singapore Pte. Ltd
  • Itaipu Binacional

第13章 付録

目次
Product Code: EP7147

Overview

Global Hydropower Market reached US$ 244.1 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 348.2 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 4.8% during the forecast period 2023-2030.

The hydropower market is experiencing significant growth globally with ongoing innovation and evolving energy policies. While hydropower has a long history spanning almost 150 years, the recent focus has been on adapting and enhancing the technology to meet the changing demands of modern power systems and renewable energy integration. The expansion of hydropower has often relied on public-sector involvement due to the high initial investments and longer development timelines.

Furthermore, the expansion of hydropower has often relied on public-sector involvement due to the high initial investments and longer development timelines. According to IEA, global hydropower generation increased by almost 70*TWh, representing a growth of close to 2%. It growth was attributed to strong capacity deployment during the period of 2021-2022. In 2022, capacity additions reached 32*GW, which was 40% higher than the average of the previous five years.

Asia-Pacific is the largest market in the hydropower industry witnessing substantial growth in nations like China and India. According to IEA, China holds a dominant position in the hydropower market and is projected to maintain this position through 2030. It is expected to account for 40% of global capacity growth in the forecast period. India is emerging as the world's second-largest growth market in the hydropower sector.

Dynamics

Renewable Energy Demand

The hydropower market is expected to be driven by the growing demand for renewable energy driven by the need to transition towards more sustainable and low-carbon energy sources. According to IEA, to align with the Net Zero Emissions Scenario, the supply of renewable energy needs to increase by around 13% annually between 2023 and 2030. It signifies a substantial growth rate that exceeds the historical levels of renewable capacity deployment.

In 2022, the availability of hydropower played a role in allowing non-bioenergy renewables to achieve their second-highest share growth in history. While 2020 experienced a unique situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic and a decrease in total energy consumption, hydropower's consistent contribution has helped to drive renewable energy growth. Hydropower stands out as the largest renewable electricity technology by both capacity (38% of renewables total) and generation (50%). Its established position in the renewable energy landscape underscores its significance in meeting global energy demands sustainably.

Hydropower Surge with Government Policies

The hydropower market is expected to be driven by government incentives and policies. For instance, in Europe, there has been significant progress in pumped storage hydropower capacity. According to IEA, in 2022, almost 2 GW of pumped storage hydropower capacity was commissioned, marking a milestone in capacity expansion. The projects in Switzerland and Portugal are designed to enhance solar PV and wind integration.

In United States, policies like the Inflation Reduction Act, passed in August 2022, demonstrate government support for hydropower. It legislation increases and extends tax credits to encourage the adoption and development of hydropower technologies. Also, 30 countries have established policies explicitly targeting new and existing hydropower plants. Also, governments globally integrate both large and small hydropower capacities into their long-term deployment targets, energy plans and renewable energy incentive frameworks, comparable to other variable renewables.

Hydropower Market Navigates Competitive Landscape Amidst Wind and Solar Growth

The hydropower market is impacted by the growth of wind and solar alternatives contributing to changes in the renewable energy landscape. In the past two decades, the majority of renewable energy policies have been focused on wind and solar PV technologies. It emphasis has been achieved through measures like installation targets, financial incentives and long-term power purchase contracts. The concentrated policy attention on wind and solar has influenced their rapid deployment and capacity growth.

Wind and solar PV technologies have been rapidly gaining ground in the renewable energy sector. According to IEA, they accounted for approximately 85% of the record growth in renewable electricity generation in 2022, which exceeded 600*TWh. It substantial contribution has partly come at the expense of the hydropower market's share of growth. While wind and solar experienced significant growth, the expansion of hydropower generation was comparatively slower, with an increase of about 2% in 2022. It highlights the competitive pressure that alternatives like wind and solar have exerted on hydropower.

Furthermore, over 100 countries have implemented targeted policies and incentives for wind and solar PV. The policies have fostered the adoption and expansion of wind and solar capacity, further intensifying competition for investments and market share among renewable energy sources. As wind and solar technologies increasingly dominate capacity additions and growth, hydropower's relative market share has experienced a decline. The policies and incentives directed toward wind and solar have contributed to reshaping the composition of the global renewable energy market.

Segment Analysis

The global hydropower market is segmented based on technology, application, size and region.

Pumped Storage Hydropower Surges

Pumped storage hydropower (PSH) plants are the fastest growing segment in technology within hydropower, as many countries are adopting PSH projects to ensure a steady power supply as renewable energy capacity grows. China is rapidly expanding pumped storage to support its increasing reliance on wind and solar energy. According to assessments by the International Hydropower Association (IHA), pumped hydro initiatives across the world have the capacity to store an impressive 9,000 gigawatt hours (GWh) of electrical energy.

PSH projects are gaining traction globally. China, United States and Australia are investing in PSH to complement their renewable energy portfolios. The projects contribute to grid reliability and help balance supply and demand. The technology dominates globally, encompassing more than 94% of the total installed capacity for energy storage. It dominance is notably ahead of alternatives like lithium-ion batteries and other battery variants.

Geographical Penetration

Growth in Asia-Pacific Hydropower with China and India Lead Capacity Expansion

Asia-Pacific is dominating the hydropower market significantly driven by policies and new developments in the region. China played a significant role in capacity growth, accounting for three-quarters of the added capacity in 2022. It growth was largely due to the commissioning of several large-scale hydropower projects. According to IEA, Chinese companies are projected to be engaged in approximately 45% of all hydropower plant capacity that is planned to be built by 2030.

Furthermore, India is actively working on the development of several large hydropower projects. The projects are expected to contribute significant capacity to the overall energy mix in the upcoming years. Hydropower is a crucial technology for India's commitment to reaching 500 GW of non-fossil electricity capacity by 2030. As the country seeks to expand its renewable energy capacity, hydropower plays a vital role in diversifying the energy mix and reducing dependence on fossil fuels.

Competitive Landscape

The major global players in the market include: China Three Gorges Corporation, Electricite de France S.A., Hydro-Quebec, Duke Energy Corporation, Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A., PJSC RusHydro, Ontario Power Generation Inc., Statkraft AS., Sn Power Holding Singapore Pte. Ltd and Itaipu Binacional.

COVID-19 Impact Analysis:

COVID-19 made a significant impact on the global hydropower market by causing disruption in supply chains, causing delays in the delivery of critical components and equipment for hydropower projects. Many projects rely on international suppliers and lockdowns, travel restrictions and reduced production capacity had led to supply chain challenges. Some projects have been postponed or canceled altogether due to uncertainties caused by the pandemic.

Emerging economies and developing countries, where demand for energy is rapidly growing, have faced financing challenges. Reduced power demand during the pandemic has affected utility revenues, making it difficult for cash-strapped state utilities and governments to finance large infrastructure projects. The pandemic has led to changes in energy demand patterns, with some regions experiencing decreased demand due to lockdowns and economic slowdowns.

Russia-Ukraine War Impact

The Russia-Ukraine war made a significant impact on Ukraine's hydropower plants, resulting in damage and disruptions to the country's energy infrastructure. Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, energy facilities have been targeted in air strikes, leading to severe damage to the hydropower sector. Ukrhydroenergo, a state-run hydropower generating company revealed that four out of Ukraine's nine hydropower plants had been damaged due to Russian attacks. The attacks primarily focused on electrical equipment and machine rooms at plants located on the Dnipro and Dniester rivers.

The attacks have resulted in a loss of around 2,000 MW of capacity out of the total 6,300 MW capacity of the nine hydropower plants. The plants typically contribute around 10% of Ukraine's energy production. Despite the damage and ongoing war, efforts are being made to restore the capacity of the damaged hydropower plants. Engineers have already restored 500 MW of capacity and plan to restore the remaining capacity as soon as possible, with a focus on implementing better protection measures.

By Technology

  • Conventional hydropower

Impoundment or reservoir

Run-of-river

  • Pumped storage hydropower

By Application

  • Electricity Generation
  • Load Balancing and Grid Stability
  • Microgrid Solutions
  • Aquaculture and Fish Farms
  • Industrial Processes
  • Others

By Size

  • Large-Scale Hydropower
  • Medium-Scale Hydropower
  • Small-Scale and Micro Hydropower

By Region

  • North America
    • U.S.
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • France
    • Italy
    • Russia
    • Rest of Europe
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Rest of South America
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • Middle East and Africa

Key Developments

  • In August 2023, construction commenced on India's Vishnugad-Pipalkoti Hydropower project, with Hindustan Construction Co. Ltd. launching a Terratec 9.86m diameter Hard Rock Double Shield TBM for the project's 13km low-pressure headrace tunnel. The project faces geological challenges, including thrust zones, shear zones and fault zones, necessitating specialized TBM engineering.
  • In May 2023, prominent entities within the hydropower industry introduced the European Hydropower Alliance. It collaborative initiative seeks to champion the advantages of hydropower and its significant contribution to fulfilling the European Union's societal, environmental and strategic ambitions.
  • On July 22, 2022, Iberdrola marked the inauguration of its pumped storage hydropower facility, the Tamega Gigabattery, in Portugal. Concurrently, a similar plant commenced operations in Switzerland. The installations have been engineered to augment Europe's power storage capacity by more than 2 GW collectively, earning them the moniker "water batteries.

Why Purchase the Report?

  • To visualize the global hydropower market segmentation based on technology, application, size and region, as well as understand key commercial assets and players.
  • Identify commercial opportunities by analyzing trends and co-development.
  • Excel data sheet with numerous data points of hydropower market-level with all segments.
  • PDF report consists of a comprehensive analysis after exhaustive qualitative interviews and an in-depth study.
  • Product mapping available as excel consisting of key products of all the major players.

The global hydropower market report would provide approximately 61 tables, 59 figures and 203 Pages.

Target Audience 2023

  • Manufacturers/ Buyers
  • Industry Investors/Investment Bankers
  • Research Professionals
  • Emerging Companies

Table of Contents

1. Methodology and Scope

  • 1.1. Research Methodology
  • 1.2. Research Objective and Scope of the Report

2. Definition and Overview

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Snippet By Technology
  • 3.2. Snippet by Application
  • 3.3. Snippet by Size
  • 3.4. Snippet by Region

4. Dynamics

  • 4.1. Impacting Factors
    • 4.1.1. Drivers
      • 4.1.1.1. Renewable Energy Demand
      • 4.1.1.2. Hydropower Surge with Government Policies
    • 4.1.2. Restraints
      • 4.1.2.1. Hydropower Market Navigates Competitive Landscape Amidst Wind and Solar Growth
    • 4.1.3. Opportunity
    • 4.1.4. Impact Analysis

5. Industry Analysis

  • 5.1. Porter's Five Force Analysis
  • 5.2. Supply Chain Analysis
  • 5.3. Pricing Analysis
  • 5.4. Regulatory Analysis
  • 5.5. Russia - Ukraine War Analysis
  • 5.6. DMI Opinion

6. COVID-19 Analysis

  • 6.1. Analysis of COVID-19
    • 6.1.1. Scenario Before COVID
    • 6.1.2. Scenario During COVID
    • 6.1.3. Scenario Post COVID
  • 6.2. Pricing Dynamics Amid COVID-19
  • 6.3. Demand-Supply Spectrum
  • 6.4. Government Initiatives Related to the Market During Pandemic
  • 6.5. Manufacturers Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.6. Conclusion

7. By Technology

  • 7.1. Introduction
    • 7.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 7.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Technology
  • 7.2. Conventional hydropower*
    • 7.2.1. Introduction
    • 7.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
    • 7.2.3. Impoundment or reservoir
    • 7.2.4. Run-of-river
  • 7.3. Pumped storage hydropower

8. By Application

  • 8.1. Introduction
    • 8.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 8.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Application
  • 8.2. Electricity Generation*
    • 8.2.1. Introduction
    • 8.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
  • 8.3. Load Balancing and Grid Stability
  • 8.4. Microgrid Solutions
  • 8.5. Aquaculture and Fish Farms
  • 8.6. Industrial Processes
  • 8.7. Others

9. By Size

  • 9.1. Introduction
    • 9.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size
    • 9.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Size
  • 9.2. Large-Scale Hydropower *
    • 9.2.1. Introduction
    • 9.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
  • 9.3. Medium-Scale Hydropower
  • 9.4. Small-Scale and Micro Hydropower

10. By Region

  • 10.1. Introduction
    • 10.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Region
    • 10.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Region
  • 10.2. North America
    • 10.2.1. Introduction
    • 10.2.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.2.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 10.2.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 10.2.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size
    • 10.2.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.2.6.1. U.S.
      • 10.2.6.2. Canada
      • 10.2.6.3. Mexico
  • 10.3. Europe
    • 10.3.1. Introduction
    • 10.3.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.3.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 10.3.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 10.3.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size
    • 10.3.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.3.6.1. Germany
      • 10.3.6.2. UK
      • 10.3.6.3. France
      • 10.3.6.4. Italy
      • 10.3.6.5. Russia
      • 10.3.6.6. Rest of Europe
  • 10.4. South America
    • 10.4.1. Introduction
    • 10.4.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.4.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 10.4.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 10.4.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size
    • 10.4.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.4.6.1. Brazil
      • 10.4.6.2. Argentina
      • 10.4.6.3. Rest of South America
  • 10.5. Asia-Pacific
    • 10.5.1. Introduction
    • 10.5.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.5.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 10.5.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 10.5.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size
    • 10.5.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
      • 10.5.6.1. China
      • 10.5.6.2. India
      • 10.5.6.3. Japan
      • 10.5.6.4. Australia
      • 10.5.6.5. Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 10.6. Middle East and Africa
    • 10.6.1. Introduction
    • 10.6.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
    • 10.6.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
    • 10.6.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Application
    • 10.6.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Size

11. Competitive Landscape

  • 11.1. Competitive Scenario
  • 11.2. Market Positioning/Share Analysis
  • 11.3. Mergers and Acquisitions Analysis

12. Company Profiles

  • 12.1. China Three Gorges Corporation*
    • 12.1.1. Company Overview
    • 12.1.2. Product Portfolio and Description
    • 12.1.3. Financial Overview
    • 12.1.4. Key Developments
  • 12.2. Electricite de France S.A.
  • 12.3. Hydro-Quebec
  • 12.4. Duke Energy Corporation
  • 12.5. Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A.
  • 12.6. PJSC RusHydro
  • 12.7. Ontario Power Generation Inc.
  • 12.8. Statkraft AS.
  • 12.9. Sn Power Holding Singapore Pte. Ltd
  • 12.10. Itaipu Binacional

LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE

13. Appendix

  • 13.1. About Us and Services
  • 13.2. Contact Us