ADAS・自動運転車の世界市場 - 第1版

自動運転車（SAEレベル3～4）の新規登録数は、2024年のごく少数から2030年に1,000万台に達すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界のADAS・自動運転車市場について調査分析し、主要企業30社へのインタビューから得られた知見や、自動車の台数と新規登録数に関するデータ、主要自動車メーカー24社のプロファイル、2030年までの各地域の市場予測などを提供しています。

目次

図表のリスト

エグゼクティブサマリー

第1章 ADASと自動運転のイントロダクション

• 定義と分類
• ADAS・自動運転車の歴史
• 世界の乗用車市場
  • 乗用車使用状況：地域別
  • 乗用車の新規登録の動向
  • 電気自動車とPHEVの売上
• 自動車メーカー
  • Toyota Motor Corporation
  • Volkswagen Group
  • Ford Motor Company
  • General Motors
  • Stellantis
  • BMW Group
  • Mercedes-Benz Group
  • Hyundai Motor Group
  • Honda Motor
  • Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance
  • Tesla

第2章 ADAS（先進運転支援システム）

• もっとも一般的なADASのイントロダクション
  • アダプティブクルーズコントロール
  • 車線逸脱警報
  • 車線維持支援
  • AEB（衝突被害軽減ブレーキ）
  • 衝突回避システム
  • 前方衝突予測警報
  • ブラインドスポットモニタリング
  • リアクロストラフィックアラート
  • 道路標識検出
  • アダプティブハイビームコントロール
  • ドライバーモニタリングシステム
  • 駐車支援
  • 渋滞支援、自動運転

第3章 ADASと自動運転技術

• センサー
  • カメラ
  • LiDAR
  • レーダー
  • 超音波センサー、赤外線センサー
  • 慣性航法システム
• テレマティクス
  • 位置追跡
  • 地図
  • 車車間通信（V2X）
• コンピューティングプラットフォーム
  • AIの分類
  • センサーフュージョン
  • 物体認識、解釈、意思決定
• 実行、関連技術
  • ECU
  • ヒューマンマシンインターフェース
  • ドライバーモニタリングシステム

第4章 OEMが提供するADASと自動運転

• BMW
• BYD Auto
• Changan Motors
• Chery Group
• Ford Motor Company
• Geely
• General Motors
• Great Wall Motor
• Honda Motor Company
• Hyundai Motor Group
• Jaguar Land Rover
• Leapmotor
• Li Auto
• Mazda Motor Corporation
• Mercedes-Benz Group
• NIO
• Nissan Motor Company
• Renault Group
• SAIC Motor
• Stellantis
• Tesla
• Toyota Motor Corporation
• Volkswagen Group
• Volvo Cars

第5章 技術サプライヤー

• Tier 1サプライヤー
  • Aptiv
  • Bosch
  • Continental
  • Deeproute.ai
  • Denso
  • Desay SV
  • Forvia
  • HERE Technologies
  • Hesai Technology
  • Hitachi Astemo
  • Huawei
  • Hyundai Mobis
  • Innoviz
  • Jingwei HiRain
  • Luminar
  • Magna International
  • Momenta
  • RoboSense
  • Seyond
  • TomTom
  • Valeo
  • ZF Group
  • Zhuoyu Technology
• 半導体ソリューションプロバイダー
  • Ambarella
  • Black Sesame Technologies
  • Horizon Robotics
  • Mobileye
  • NVIDIA
  • Qualcomm
  • Renesas Electronics
  • Texas Instruments

第6章 ロボタクシーサービス

• ロボタクシーサービスプロバイダー
  • AutoX
  • Avride
  • Baidu (Apollo)
  • Didi Autonomous Driving
  • May Mobility
  • MOIA
  • Pony.ai
  • Waymo
  • WeRide
  • Zoox

第7章 市場の予測と動向

• 自動車の売上の予測
• ADAS・自動運転車の売上の予測
  • 欧州27ヶ国+EFTA+英国のADAS・自動運転車市場
  • 北米のADAS・自動運転車市場
  • 中国のADAS・自動運転車市場
  • 日本・韓国のADAS・自動運転車市場
  • その他の地域のADAS・自動運転車市場
  • 今後の見通し：レベル4・レベル5の個人用車両の出荷
• 市場の促進要因と障壁
  • 競合環境
  • 技術環境
  • 規制環境
  • マクロ経済環境
• バリューチェーン分析
  • 自動車OEM
  • Tier 1サプライヤー
  • 半導体ソリューションプロバイダー
  • モビリティサービス業者
• 市場動向
  • 多くの自動車OEMがロボタクシーサービスから撤退
  • 進化的アプローチがOEMの自律開発を支配
  • 自動車OEMはユースケースに基づいた専門技術サプライヤーを選択
  • OEMはさまざまなセンサー構成を実験すると予測される
  • 自動運転向けエンドツーエンドAIモデルへ向かう産業動向
  • 自動車評価プログラムがADASの需要を促進
  • 新しいADAS機能を追加するためのOTAアップデート
  • シェアードモビリティサービスはL4自動運転車を活用できる
• 合併と買収
• 頭字語と略語のリスト

List of Figures

• Figure 1.1: SAE International levels of driving automation
• Figure 1.2: Car park by region (World 2017-2023)
• Figure 1.3: Passenger car density per 1,000 inhabitants (EU27+EFTA+UK 2023)
• Figure 1.4: New car registration data (World 2017-2024)
• Figure 1.5: Top 15 countries by new passenger car and light truck registrations (2024)
• Figure 1.6: Registered highway-capable BEVs and PHEVs (World 2024)
• Figure 1.7: New registrations of highway-capable BEVs and PHEVs (World 2024)
• Figure 1.8: Top selling BEVs and PHEVs brands (World 2024)
• Figure 1.9: Top 20 passenger car manufacturers by revenues (World 2024)
• Figure 1.10: Passenger car registrations by manufacturer (EU27+EFTA+UK 2024)
• Figure 1.11: Passenger car registrations by manufacturer (North America 2024)
• Figure 1.12: Passenger car registrations by manufacturer (Japan 2024)
• Figure 1.13: Passenger car registrations by manufacturer (China 2024)
• Figure 3.1: Sense-Plan-Act process
• Figure 3.2: Typical LiDAR 3D depiction integrated with a digital map
• Figure 3.3: Relationship between fields in computer science
• Figure 4.1: Overview of Automotive OEMs' ADAS brands (World Q2-2025)
• Figure 4.2: BMW ADAS offerings (Germany Q1-2025)
• Figure 4.3: Honda Sensing 360+ sensor overview
• Figure 4.4: Overview of Tesla ADAS packages (USA Q1-2025)
• Figure 5.1: ADAS and autonomous driving technology suppliers
• Figure 5.2: Overview of Aptiv's software architecture (2025)
• Figure 5.3: Overview of Aptiv's hardware architecture (2025)
• Figure 5.4: Hesai Technology LiDAR shipments (World 2022-2024)
• Figure 5.5: The InnovizTwo Long-Ragne LiDAR
• Figure 5.6: Examples of compute and sensor configurations (May 2025)
• Figure 5.7: Overview of automotive semiconductor solution providers (World Q2-2025)
• Figure 5.8: Ambarella's CV3-AD family of autonomous driving domain controllers
• Figure 5.9: Overview of Mobileye ADAS and autonomous vehicle platforms (Q1-2025)
• Figure 5.10: QCT revenues by segment (2022-2024)
• Figure 6.1: Overview of L4 robotaxi service providers (May 2025)
• Figure 7.1: New car sales, by region (World 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.2: SAE International Levels of driving automation
• Figure 7.3: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (World 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.4: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (EU27+EFTA+UK 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.5: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (North America 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.6: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (China 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.7: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (Japan and South Korea 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.8: Sales of passenger cars by SAE level 1-4 (RoW 2024-2030)
• Figure 7.9: Sales of level 4 passenger cars by region (World 2030-2045)
• Figure 7.10: Mergers and acquisitions in the autonomous driving industry (2016-2025)

How will the market for autonomous cars evolve in the next years? The report covers the latest trends and developments covering detailed descriptions about the major self-driving car projects worldwide. Berg Insight forecasts that the total number of new registrations of autonomous cars (SAE level 3-4) will grow from a very small number in 2024 to reach 10 million units in 2030. Get up to date with the latest information about vendors, products and markets in this new 210-page report.

Highlights from the report:

• Insights from 30 executive interviews with market leading companies
• New data on car populations and new registrations worldwide
• Comprehensive overview of the autonomous vehicle value chain and key applications
• Detailed profiles of 24 major car OEMs and their ADAS propositions
• Case studies of 10 robotaxi services
• In-depth analysis of market trends and key developments
• Updated market forecasts by region lasting until 2030

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Figures

Executive Summary

1. Introduction to ADAS and Autonomous Driving

• 1.1. Definitions and classifications
• 1.2. The history of ADAS and autonomous cars
• 1.3. The global passenger car market
  • 1.3.1. Passenger cars in use by region
  • 1.3.2. New passenger car registration trends
  • 1.3.3. Electric vehicle and PHEV sales
• 1.4. Car manufactures
  • 1.4.1. Toyota Motor Corporation
  • 1.4.2. Volkswagen Group
  • 1.4.3. Ford Motor Company
  • 1.4.4. General Motors
  • 1.4.5. Stellantis
  • 1.4.6. BMW Group
  • 1.4.7. Mercedes-Benz Group
  • 1.4.8. Hyundai Motor Group
  • 1.4.9. Honda Motor
  • 1.4.10. Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance
  • 1.4.11. Tesla

2. Advanced Driver Assistance Systems

• 2.1. Introduction to the most common ADAS
  • 2.1.1. Adaptive cruise control
  • 2.1.2. Lane departure warning
  • 2.1.3. Lane keeping assist
  • 2.1.4. Autonomous emergency braking
  • 2.1.5. Collision avoidance system
  • 2.1.6. Forward collision warning
  • 2.1.7. Blind spot monitoring
  • 2.1.8. Rear cross traffic alert
  • 2.1.9. Road sign detection
  • 2.1.10. Adaptive High Beam Control
  • 2.1.11. Driver Monitoring Systems
  • 2.1.12. Parking assist
  • 2.1.13. Traffic jam assist and autopilot driving

3. ADAS and Autonomous Driving Technologies

• 3.1. Sensors
  • 3.1.1. Cameras
  • 3.1.2. LiDAR
  • 3.1.3. Radar
  • 3.1.4. Ultrasonic and infrared sensors
  • 3.1.5. Inertial navigation system
• 3.2. Telematics
  • 3.2.1. Location tracking
  • 3.2.2. Maps
  • 3.2.3. Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communications
• 3.3. Computing platforms
  • 3.3.1. AI taxonomy
  • 3.3.2. Sensor fusion
  • 3.3.3. Object recognition, interpretation and decision making
• 3.4. Execution and related technologies
  • 3.4.1. Electronic control units
  • 3.4.2. Human machine interfaces
  • 3.4.3. Driver monitoring systems

4. OEM ADAS and Autonomous Driving Offerings

• 4.1. BMW
  • 4.1.1. Overview of BMW passenger car models
  • 4.1.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.2. BYD Auto
  • 4.2.1. Overview of BYD passenger car models
  • 4.2.2. ADAS product portfolio and autonomous car developments
• 4.3. Changan Motors
  • 4.3.1. Overview of Changan Motors passenger car models
  • 4.3.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.4. Chery Group
  • 4.4.1. Overview of Chery passenger car models
  • 4.4.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.5. Ford Motor Company
  • 4.5.1. Overview of Ford passenger car models
  • 4.5.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.6. Geely
  • 4.6.1. Overview of Geely passenger car models
  • 4.6.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.7. General Motors
  • 4.7.1. Overview of the main GM passenger car brands
  • 4.7.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.8. Great Wall Motor
  • 4.8.1. Overview of Great Wall Motor passenger car models
  • 4.8.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.9. Honda Motor Company
  • 4.9.1. Overview of Honda and Acura passenger car models
  • 4.9.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.10. Hyundai Motor Group
  • 4.10.1. Overview of Hyundai and Kia passenger car models
  • 4.10.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
  • 4.10.3. Motional
• 4.11. Jaguar Land Rover
  • 4.11.1. Overview of Jaguar Land Rover passenger car models
  • 4.11.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.12. Leapmotor
  • 4.12.1. Overview of Leapmotor passenger car models
  • 4.12.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.13. Li Auto
  • 4.13.1. Overview of Li Auto passenger car models
  • 4.13.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.14. Mazda Motor Corporation
  • 4.14.1. Overview of Mazda passenger car models
  • 4.14.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.15. Mercedes-Benz Group
  • 4.15.1. Overview of Mercedes-Benz passenger car models
  • 4.15.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.16. NIO
  • 4.16.1. Overview of Nio passenger car models
  • 4.16.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.17. Nissan Motor Company
  • 4.17.1. Overview of Nissan and Infiniti passenger car models
  • 4.17.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.18. Renault Group
  • 4.18.1. Overview of Renault passenger cars
  • 4.18.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.19. SAIC Motor
  • 4.19.1. Overview of SAIC Motor passenger car models
  • 4.19.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.20. Stellantis
  • 4.20.1. Overview of Stellantis passenger car models
  • 4.20.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.21. Tesla
  • 4.21.1. Overview of Tesla passenger car models
  • 4.21.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.22. Toyota Motor Corporation
  • 4.22.1. Overview of Toyota and Lexus passenger car models
  • 4.22.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.23. Volkswagen Group
  • 4.23.1. Overview of Volkswagen Group passenger car brands and models
  • 4.23.2. Volkswagen Group ADAS and autonomous cars strategy
  • 4.23.3. Volkswagen's ADAS and automated driving offerings
  • 4.23.4. Audi's ADAS and automated driving offerings
  • 4.23.5. Porsche's ADAS and automated driving offerings
• 4.24. Volvo Cars
  • 4.24.1. Overview of Volvo passenger car models
  • 4.24.2. ADAS and automated driving offerings
  • 4.24.3. Zenseact

5. Technology Suppliers

• 5.1. Tier 1 suppliers
  • 5.1.1. Aptiv
  • 5.1.2. Bosch
  • 5.1.3. Continental
  • 5.1.4. Deeproute.ai
  • 5.1.5. Denso
  • 5.1.6. Desay SV
  • 5.1.7. Forvia
  • 5.1.8. HERE Technologies
  • 5.1.9. Hesai Technology
  • 5.1.10. Hitachi Astemo
  • 5.1.11. Huawei
  • 5.1.12. Hyundai Mobis
  • 5.1.13. Innoviz
  • 5.1.14. Jingwei HiRain
  • 5.1.15. Luminar
  • 5.1.16. Magna International
  • 5.1.17. Momenta
  • 5.1.18. RoboSense
  • 5.1.19. Seyond
  • 5.1.20. TomTom
  • 5.1.21. Valeo
  • 5.1.22. ZF Group
  • 5.1.23. Zhuoyu Technology
• 5.2. Semiconductor solution providers
  • 5.2.1. Ambarella
  • 5.2.2. Black Sesame Technologies
  • 5.2.3. Horizon Robotics
  • 5.2.4. Mobileye
  • 5.2.5. NVIDIA
  • 5.2.6. Qualcomm
  • 5.2.7. Renesas Electronics
  • 5.2.8. Texas Instruments

6. Robotaxi Services

• 6.1. Robotaxi service providers
  • 6.1.1. AutoX
  • 6.1.2. Avride
  • 6.1.3. Baidu (Apollo)
  • 6.1.4. Didi Autonomous Driving
  • 6.1.5. May Mobility
  • 6.1.6. MOIA
  • 6.1.7. Pony.ai
  • 6.1.8. Waymo
  • 6.1.9. WeRide
  • 6.1.10. Zoox

7. Market Forecasts and Trends

• 7.1. Car sales forecast
• 7.2. ADAS and autonomous car sales forecast
  • 7.2.1. The ADAS and autonomous car market in EU27+EFTA+UK
  • 7.2.2. The ADAS and autonomous car market in North America
  • 7.2.3. The ADAS and autonomous car market in China
  • 7.2.4. The ADAS and autonomous car market in Japan and South Korea
  • 7.2.5. The ADAS and autonomous car market in RoW
  • 7.2.6. Future outlook: Shipments of level 4 and level 5 personal vehicles
• 7.3. Market drivers and barriers
  • 7.3.1. Competitive environment
  • 7.3.2. Technology environment
  • 7.3.3. Regulatory environment
  • 7.3.4. Macroeconomic environment
• 7.4. Value chain analysis
  • 7.4.1. Automotive OEMs
  • 7.4.2. Tier 1 suppliers
  • 7.4.3. Semiconductor solution providers
  • 7.4.4. Mobility service players
• 7.5. Market trends
  • 7.5.1. Many automotive OEMs exit robotaxi services
  • 7.5.2. The evolutionary approach dominates OEMs' autonomous development
  • 7.5.3. Automotive OEMs choose specialised tech suppliers based on use case
  • 7.5.4. OEMs are expected to experiment with various sensor configurations
  • 7.5.5. The industry trends towards end-to-end AI models for autonomous driving
  • 7.5.6. Car assessment programmes drive demand for ADAS
  • 7.5.7. Over-the-air (OTA) updates to add new ADAS features
  • 7.5.8. Shared mobility services can take advantage of L4 autonomous vehicles
• 7.6. Mergers and acquisitions
• List of Acronyms and Abbreviations