メタノール市場、2026年～2032年：用途、エンドユーザー、誘導体、地域別

メタノール市場の評価-2026年～2032年

バイオメタノールの増加や炭素回収・利用技術への投資が、従来の化学薬品に代わる環境に優しい代替品を求めるメタノール市場の拡大に拍車をかけています。市場規模は2024年に345億2,000万米ドルに達し、2032年には421億9,000万に達すると予想されています。

代替燃料として、特に運輸・海運セクターで使用量が増加しています。メタノール-オレフィン（MTO）およびメタノール-プロピレン（MTP）プロセスなどのクリーンエネルギー用途でのメタノールの使用も増加しており、持続可能で低排出ガスの燃料を求める声に後押しされ、2026年から2032年までのCAGRは約2.80%で成長すると予想されます。

メタノール市場定義/概要

メタノールは単純アルコール（CH3OH）であり、重要な化学原料および燃料として機能します。天然ガス、石炭、バイオマスを原料として作られます。メタノールは、ホルムアルデヒド、酢酸、ポリマーの製造など、数多くの産業用途があります。また、自動車産業や海運産業の燃料として、またエネルギー生産のための燃料電池にも利用されています。メタノールは、メタノール-オレフィン（MTO）技術によるオレフィン製造の重要な要素です。メタノールは、クリーン燃料として、また再生可能エネルギー用途として重要性を増しており、将来の見通しは明るいです。バイオメタノールの開発と炭素回収・利用技術の開発により、持続可能なメタノールの需要が増加し、二酸化炭素排出量が削減され、世界のエネルギー転換の取り組みが促進されると予測されます。

バイオメタノールの需要増加はメタノール市場を牽引するか？

バイオメタノール需要の増大は、世界のメタノール産業の主要な原動力となる可能性が高いです。2024年2月、デンマークの企業Rested社は、スウェーデンのヨーテボリに初の商業規模のバイオメタノール施設を建設すると発表しました。この開発は、より持続可能なメタノール製造に向けた動向の高まりを物語っています。国際再生可能エネルギー機関（IRENA）は2024年1月、世界のバイオメタノール生産量が2024年に27％増加し、年間20万トンに達すると報告しました。この分析によると、船舶や化学産業における低炭素燃料の需要増加により、バイオメタノール生産量は2032年までにメタノール市場全体の5％に達する可能性があります。マースクがメタノールを動力源とするコンテナ船を12隻発注したことは、この変化を裏付けています。

同様に、2024年4月、米国エネルギー省は、温室効果ガス排出削減の一環として、バイオメタノールを含むバイオベースの化学研究開発のために1億8,000万米ドルを確保しました。これらの活動は、消費者の意識の高まりや企業の持続可能性の目標と相まって、バイオメタノール分野の大幅な拡大を促し、今後数年間の世界メタノール市場を押し上げる可能性が高いです。

サプライチェーンの拡大はメタノール市場の成長を妨げるか？

サプライチェーン拡大の高まりは、供給過剰シナリオをもたらし、メタノール市場の成長を阻害する可能性があります。特に中東とアジア太平洋で大幅な生産拡大が進行中であり、世界のメタノール供給が需要を上回る懸念があります。この不均衡は価格引き下げにつながる可能性があり、買い手にとっては有益だが、生産者にとっては利益率が低下し、新規プロジェクトへの投資が滞る可能性があります。供給過剰はまた、小規模または高コストの企業にプレッシャーを与え、低価格市場での競争に苦戦する可能性があります。さらに、供給業者間の競争が激化することで、市場が不安定になり、価格設定や長期契約に不確実性が加わる可能性もあります。

供給過剰に加え、物流の問題も市場を阻害する可能性があります。生産拡大には、効率的で信頼できる流通網が必要です。船舶の遅延や港湾の混雑といった輸送上の問題により、主要市場へのメタノール納入が遅れ、サプライチェーンが圧迫される可能性があります。地政学的要因や規制上の障壁も、国家間のメタノールの流れに影響を与える可能性があります。こうした懸念が重なれば、拡大したサプライチェーンの円滑な運営を妨げ、メタノール産業全体の成長と安定に支障をきたす可能性があります。

目次

第1章 イントロダクション

• 市場の定義
• 市場セグメンテーション
• 調査手法

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

• 主な調査結果
• 市場概要
• 市場ハイライト

第3章 市場概要

• 市場規模と成長の可能性
• 市場動向
• 市場促進要因
• 市場抑制要因
• 市場機会
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第4章 メタノール市場：用途別

• ホルムアルデヒド生産
• 酢酸製造
• メタノール-オレフィン（MTO）製造
• ジメチルエーテル（DME）製造

第5章 メタノール市場：エンドユーザー別

• 化学産業
• 自動車産業
• 建設産業
• エレクトロニクス産業
• エネルギー産業

第6章 メタノール市場：誘導体別

• ホルムアルデヒド
• 酢酸
• オレフィン
• ジメチルエーテル（DME）
• ガソリン

第7章 地域分析

• 北米
• 米国
• カナダ
• メキシコ
• 欧州
• 英国
• ドイツ
• フランス
• イタリア
• アジア太平洋
• 中国
• 日本
• インド
• オーストラリア
• ラテンアメリカ
• ブラジル
• アルゼンチン
• チリ
• 中東・アフリカ
• 南アフリカ
• サウジアラビア
• アラブ首長国連邦

第8章 市場力学

• 市場促進要因
• 市場抑制要因
• 市場機会
• COVID-19の市場への影響

第9章 競合情勢

• 主要企業
• 市場シェア分析

第10章 企業プロファイル

• Methanex Corporation
• BASF SE
• LyondellBasell Industries Holdings NV
• SABIC
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Dow Chemical Company
• Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation
• Covestro AG
• Royal Dutch Shell plc
• Valero Energy Corporation

第11章 市場の展望と機会

• 新興技術
• 今後の市場動向
• 投資機会

第12章 付録

• 略語リスト
• 出典と参考文献

Methanol Market Valuation - 2026-2032

The increase of bio-methanol, as well as investments in carbon capture and utilization technologies, are fueling the expansion of the methanol market as the industry seeks greener alternatives to traditional chemicals is surpass USD 34.52 Billion in 2024 and reach USD 42.19 Billion by 2032.

Increasing usage as an alternative fuel, particularly in the transportation and maritime sectors. Methanol's use in clean energy applications, such as methanol-to-olefins (MTO) and methanol-to-propylene (MTP) processes, is also growing, driven by the desire for sustainable and low-emission fuels is expected to grow at a CAGR of about 2.80% from 2026 to 2032.

Methanol Market: Definition/ Overview

Methanol, a simple alcohol (CH3OH), serves as an important chemical feedstock and fuel. It is created using natural gas, coal, or biomass. Methanol has numerous industrial applications, including the manufacturing of formaldehyde, acetic acid, and polymers. It is also utilized as a fuel in the automotive and maritime industries, as well as in fuel cells for energy production. Methanol is an important element in the production of olefins using methanol-to-olefins (MTO) technology. Methanol's future prospects look positive, with its growing significance as a clean fuel and in renewable energy applications. The development of bio-methanol, as well as developments in carbon capture and utilization technology, are predicted to increase demand for sustainable methanol, lowering carbon emissions and aiding global energy transition efforts.

Will Rising Demand of Bio-Methanol Drive the Methanol Market?

The growing demand for bio-methanol is likely to be a major driver of the global methanol industry. In February 2024, Danish business Rested announced the construction of their first commercial-scale bio-methanol facility in Gothenburg, Sweden, with an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons. This development illustrates the growing trend toward more sustainable methanol manufacturing. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reported in January 2024 that global bio-methanol output climbed by 27% in 2024, reaching 200,000 tons per year. According to the analysis, bio-methanol production might reach 5% of the entire methanol market by 2032, owing to rising demand for low-carbon fuels in the shipping and chemical industries. Maersk's order of 12 methanol-powered container vessels confirms this change.

Similarly, in April 2024, as part of its commitment to lowering greenhouse gas emissions, the US Department of Energy set aside USD 180 Million for bio-based chemical research and development, including bio-methanol. These activities, combined with rising consumer awareness and corporate sustainability aims, are likely to fuel significant expansion in the bio-methanol sector, boosting the global methanol market in the coming years.

Will Rising Supply Chain Expansions Hamper the Growth of the Methanol Market?

Rising supply chain expansions may stifle methanol market growth by resulting in an oversupply scenario. With significant production expansions underway, particularly in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, there is a concern that global methanol supply could outrun demand. This imbalance can lead to price reductions, which, while beneficial for buyers, may reduce profit margins for producers and slow investments in new projects. Oversupply also puts pressure on smaller or higher-cost companies, who may struggle to compete in a low-priced market. Furthermore, the increased competition among suppliers could result in a volatile market, adding uncertainty to pricing and long-term contracts.

In addition to oversupply, logistical issues may hamper the market. Production expansions require efficient and dependable distribution networks. Transportation problems, such as shipping delays or port congestion, might cause methanol deliveries to major markets to be delayed, putting supply chains under pressure. Geopolitical factors and regulatory barriers may also have an impact on the flow of methanol between countries. These concerns, taken together, could impede the smooth operation of an enlarged supply chain, hurting the overall growth and stability of the methanol industry.

Category-Wise Acumens

Will Rising Demand of Formaldehyde Production Propel the Methanol Market?

As per VMR analyst, the formaldehyde manufacturing segment is likely to hold major share in the methanol industry. Formaldehyde, a major chemical used in the manufacture of resins, adhesives, and coatings, accounts for a significant amount of methanol use. As industries like construction, automotive, and furniture production expand, so does the demand for formaldehyde. For instance, in October 2024, BASF announced intentions to increase its formaldehyde resin production capacity to accommodate increased demand from the construction industry. This is directly related to the rising demand for methanol, a vital feedstock in formaldehyde manufacturing. Such advancements in the formaldehyde sector provide a solid growth path for the methanol market.

In July 2024, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued stronger laws encouraging the use of environmentally friendly construction materials, resulting in a rise in the manufacturing of formaldehyde-based resins, which are required for low-emission building products. This has increased methanol usage in the region. The global push for sustainable building materials is likely to drive demand for formaldehyde, establishing methanol as a vital raw chemical in achieving these requirements.

However, the methanol-to-olefins (MTO) segment is the fastest-growing application, driven by rising demand for olefins such as ethylene and propylene, which are crucial ingredients in plastics manufacturing. The transition to MTO technology, particularly in China, is quickening as businesses look for alternatives to traditional crude oil-derived olefins.

Will Rising Sales through Energy Sectors Drive the Growth of Methanol Market?

Rising energy-related sales are expected to fuel significant expansion in the methanol industry. Methanol is becoming more widely acknowledged as a viable alternative fuel for transportation and energy purposes, especially in light of worldwide efforts to shift to greener energy sources. For instance, in August 2024, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company announced plans to invest in a new methanol manufacturing facility in the United States, with the goal of creating renewable methanol for energy uses. This is consistent with the overall industry trend of decarbonization and increased interest in methanol as a clean-burning fuel, particularly in marine and heavy-duty transportation, which are critical sectors for emission reduction.

In September 2024, the European Commission published a report emphasizing its commitment to lowering carbon emissions and supporting renewable energy sources, including methanol. The paper emphasized the importance of methanol in meeting the EU's Green Deal goals, notably as a fuel for shipping and heavy transportation, and advocated for a more favorable regulatory environment for methanol production and consumption. These activities not only increase demand for methanol, but also drive investments in infrastructure and technology, accelerating growth in the methanol industry via the energy sector.

The energy industry is the fastest-growing segment, owing to the increased use of methanol as a clean-burning alternative fuel in transportation, particularly in the automotive and marine industries, as well as power generation. The global quest for low-emission fuels and sustainable energy solutions is hastening methanol's adoption in the energy industry, propelling its growth trajectory.

Country/Region-wise

Will Rising Large Scale Production in Asia Pacific Drive the Methanol Market?

The expanding large-scale production in the Asia Pacific area is predicted to create significant expansion in the worldwide methanol industry. In March 2024, China's Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group announced the completion of its new methanol facility in Ningxia province, which has an annual production capacity of 1.8 million tons. This increase is part of a larger regional trend, as Asia Pacific remains the dominant source of worldwide methanol production. According to an International Energy Agency (IEA) report released in January 2024, Asia Pacific accounted for 67% of global methanol production in 2024, with China accounting for 54% of the total. By 2026, the region's manufacturing capacity is projected to increase by 15% further solidifying its market dominance.

In February 2024, the Indian government announced a new strategy promoting methanol as a cleaner alternative fuel, with the goal of reducing the country's reliance on imported oil. This program contains incentives for domestic methanol production, with the goal of increasing production capacity by 20% yearly over the following five years. Meanwhile, in December 2024, the Indonesian Ministry of Industry reported a 12% year-on-year increase in methanol exports, reaching 2.3 million tons, highlighting the region's growing influence in the global methanol trade. These developments, coupled with the region's lower production costs and abundant feedstock availability, are expected to significantly drive the global methanol market in the coming years.

Will Rising Development of Petrochemical Industries in Middle East and Africa Propel the Methanol Market?

The rapid development of petrochemical industries in the Middle East and Africa is predicted to drive significant growth in the worldwide methanol market. Saudi Aramco stated in January 2024 that the USD 10 Billion Jazan integrated refinery and petrochemical complex, which includes a methanol manufacturing unit with an annual capacity of 2.5 million tons, had been completed. This development is part of a larger regional trend, in which Middle Eastern countries diversify their economies away from crude oil exports. In March 2024 , The Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) reported that the Middle East's petrochemical production capacity increased by 13% in 2024, with methanol production accounting for 18% of this increase. The analysis anticipates an additional 15% rise in area methanol output.

In December 2024, Egypt's government announced a new strategy to expand its petrochemical sector, with the goal of increasing methanol output by 30% over the next five years. This is consistent with Egypt's ambitions to become a regional energy hub. Meanwhile, in February 2024, Nigeria's Department of Petroleum Resources reported a 20% rise in methanol output over the previous year, hitting 1.8 million tons in 2024. This expansion is due to the country's "Gas Revolution" project, which seeks to monetize Nigeria's massive natural gas reserves through petrochemical manufacture. These improvements, combined with the region's enormous feedstock supply and strategic location for exports, are likely to greatly boost the worldwide methanol market in the next years.

Competitive Landscaped

The competitive landscape of the methanol market is shaped by factors such as increasing demand from end-use industries, innovations in production technologies, and the shift towards sustainable and bio-based methanol. Companies are focusing on optimizing production processes, especially through natural gas or coal-based production, to remain cost-competitive. Additionally, strategic partnerships, capacity expansions, and integration across the value chain play crucial roles. The market also faces competitive pressures from regional players and emerging economies, which are investing in methanol production to meet domestic and export demands.

Some of the prominent players operating in the methanol market include:

Methanex Corporation

BASF SE

LyondellBasell Industries Holdings NV

SABIC

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Dow Chemical Company

Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation

Covestro AG

Royal Dutch Shell plc

Valero Energy Corporation.

Latest Developments

In July 2024, China's methanol production facilities are expanded with various companies adding capacity to fulfill domestic and worldwide demand. The adaptability of methanol as a chemical feedstock and clean fuel is driving its expansion.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Introduction

• Market Definition
• Market Segmentation
• Research Methodology

2. Executive Summary

• Key Findings
• Market Overview
• Market Highlights

3. Market Overview

• Market Size and Growth Potential
• Market Trends
• Market Drivers
• Market Restraints
• Market Opportunities
• Porter's Five Forces Analysis

4. Methanol Market, By Application

• Formaldehyde Production
• Acetic Acid Production
• Methanol-to-Olefins (MTO)
• Dimethyl Ether (DME) Production

5. Methanol Market, By End-User

• Chemical Industry
• Automotive Industry
• Construction Industry
• Electronics Industry
• Energy Sector

6. Methanol Market, By Derivative

• Formaldehyde
• Acetic acid
• Olefins
• Dimethyl Ether (DME)
• Gasoline

7. Regional Analysis

• North America
• United States
• Canada
• Mexico
• Europe
• United Kingdom
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• Asia-Pacific
• China
• Japan
• India
• Australia
• Latin America
• Brazil
• Argentina
• Chile
• Middle East and Africa
• South Africa
• Saudi Arabia
• UAE

8. Market Dynamics

• Market Drivers
• Market Restraints
• Market Opportunities
• Impact of COVID-19 on the Market

9. Competitive Landscape

• Key Players
• Market Share Analysis

10. Company Profiles

• Methanex Corporation
• BASF SE
• LyondellBasell Industries Holdings NV
• SABIC
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Dow Chemical Company
• Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation
• Covestro AG
• Royal Dutch Shell plc
• Valero Energy Corporation

11. Market Outlook and Opportunities

• Emerging Technologies
• Future Market Trends
• Investment Opportunities

12. Appendix

• List of Abbreviations
• Sources and References