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市場調査レポート
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自律走行列車の世界市場規模:列車タイプ別、技術別、オートメーション別、地域別、範囲および予測Global Autonomous Trains Market Size By Train Type (High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train, Light Rail), By Technology (Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC)), By Automation (GOA 1, GOA 2, GOA 3), By Geographic Scope And Forecast |
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自律走行列車の世界市場規模:列車タイプ別、技術別、オートメーション別、地域別、範囲および予測 |
出版日: 2024年11月07日
発行: Verified Market Research
ページ情報: 英文 202 Pages
納期: 2~3営業日
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自律走行列車の市場規模は、2021年に61億米ドルと評価され、2023年から2030年にかけてCAGR 5.7%で成長し、2030年には99億7,000万米ドルに達すると予測されます。自律走行列車は、高度な安全機能と自動運転の統合により、鉄道輸送分野に革命をもたらす可能性があります。人工知能、LiDAR、高度通信システム、その他のソリューションの利用は、鉄道旅行の安全性、スピード、効率性、そして環境に優しい未来を提供します。自律走行列車は化石燃料への依存を減らし、代わりに再生可能エネルギーを利用することで、より環境に優しい未来へと導きます。
リアルタイムの監視、方向追跡、効率的な通信を可能にする能力は、自律走行列車の開発を可能にする可能性が高いです。
また、二酸化炭素排出量の削減に対する政府機関やメーカーの関心の高まりも、自律走行列車の採用を後押ししています。
世界の自律走行列車市場を形成している主な市場力学
主な促進要因
効率的で安全な輸送に対するニーズの高まり:
人口の増加と急速な都市化により、効率的な輸送システムへの需要が高まっています。また、現在の労働文化では、より高速で安全なソリューションの採用が求められています。このような背景から、都市と都市間を移動するための自律走行列車が継続的に必要とされています。
自動化と通信システムの進歩:
自律衝突回避システム、人工知能、その他の制御アルゴリズムを列車システムに統合することで、今後数年間の自律運転への道が開かれつつあります。また、鉄道当局間のより高速で信頼性の高いデータ交換のための5Gネットワークの利用は、意思決定に役立つと思われます。こうした先進技術は、市場に新たな成長の道を提供します。
政府の投資と政策イニシアティブ:
国民経済の輸送部門への依存度が高まっていることから、世界各国の政府は今後数年間、自律走行列車の可能性を探るよう促しています。そのため、自律走行列車技術の研究開発、インフラ、パイロット・プロジェクトへの投資により、この市場の商業化環境が整うことになります。また、データプライバシー、安全性、その他の認証要件に対応する有利な規制と政策の実施は、自律走行列車市場に新たな成長の展望をもたらします。
環境への懸念と持続可能性目標への対応の必要性:
二酸化炭素排出量を削減し、化石燃料への依存を最小限に抑えることで持続可能性を達成するため、より環境に優しくクリーンな輸送システムを採用することが、自律走行列車に対する世界の需要と一致しています。
パーソナライズされた旅行体験の需要:
オンデマンド・サービス、自動乗車システム、車内通信システムなど、パーソナライズされた旅行体験に対する需要の高まりは、自律走行列車市場に有利な機会をもたらす可能性が高いです。また、便利でユーザーフレンドリーな体験を提供するオンライン旅行予約やスマートモビリティの人気の高まりも需要を後押しします。
主な課題
高額な初期投資:
研究開発と技術向上への先行投資に対する需要の高まりは、予算が限られている発展途上国にとって不利です。
認証と規制の問題:
自律走行列車システムの開発には、運行認証や安全認証とともに国際規格が必要であるため、発展途上地域における自律走行列車の採用が妨げられる可能性が高いです。
社会的受容と安全性への懸念:
安全性、高速性、雇用離職に関する懸念の高まりは、自律走行列車の受け入れを制限する大きな要因です。相互接続された自律走行列車システムにおけるデータのプライバシーとセキュリティに関する倫理的問題は、強固な安全性を要求します。したがって、安全性への懸念が自律走行列車の社会的受容を妨げています。
技術的限界:
過酷な環境条件下で機能しないセンサー、サイバーセキュリティの脅威、ネットワーク間のシームレスな通信に伴う複雑さなどの課題は、市場の成長に悪影響を及ぼす可能性が高いです。
インフラとレガシーシステム間の互換性問題:
従来の信号システムと最新の自動化システムとの統合に伴う複雑さと、アップグレード時のコスト負担が、自律走行列車の採用を抑制しています。これに加えて、世界中のインフラ開拓における標準化の欠如が、市場の成長をさらに阻害します。
主要動向:
ゼロ炭素排出への注力:
化石燃料の使用やエネルギーの浪費を削減するために自律走行列車を使用するなど、持続可能で環境に優しいソリューションを開発する傾向が強まっており、自律走行列車の採用が促進されると予想されます。
技術の進歩と革新:
自律走行列車の信頼性、性能、その他の能力を向上させるためのセンサー、AI、通信システム、制御アルゴリズムなどの革新的技術の統合が市場の拡大につながります。
デジタル化の動向:
急速なデジタル化により自律走行システムの採用が増加しており、サイバーセキュリティとデータ保護対策の需要に拍車がかかっています。そのため、透明性の高いデータガバナンスフレームワークを開発し、倫理的配慮に取り組む必要性が市場の成長を促進します。
Autonomous Trains Market size was valued at USD 6.1 Billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 9.97 Billion by 2030 , growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2023 to 2030. Autonomous trains can revolutionize the railway transportation sector with the integration of advanced safety features and automated operations. The use of artificial intelligence, LiDAR, advanced communication systems, and other solutions offer a safer, speedy, more efficient, and environmentally friendly future for rail travel. Autonomous trains help reduce dependency on fossil fuels and instead use renewable energy sources, thereby leading to a greener future.
The ability of real-time monitoring, tracking direction, and enabling efficient communication are abilities likely to enable the development of autonomous trains.
Also, the growing focus of government bodies and manufacturers on reducing carbon footprint is encouraging the adoption of autonomous trains.
The key market dynamics that are shaping the global Autonomous Trains Market include:
Key Drivers:
Rising Need for Efficient and Safe Transportation:
The growing population clubbed with rapid urbanization is increasing the demand for efficient transportation systems. Also, the current work culture is insisting on the adoption of faster and safer solutions. This continuous need for autonomous trains for mobility between urban and intercity.
Advancements in Automation and Communication Systems:
The integration of autonomous collision avoidance systems, artificial intelligence, and other control algorithms in the train systems is paving way for the autonomous operations in the coming years. Also, the use of 5G network for faster and reliable data exchange between railway authorities will help in the decision-making. These advanced technologies offer a new avenue of growth for the market.
Government Investments and Policy Initiatives:
The increasing dependency of national economy on the transportation sector is encouraging the government worldwide to explore the potentials of autonomous trains in the upcoming years. Thus, the investments in the research and development, infrastructure, and pilot projects of autonomous train technology will create a commercialized environment for this market. Also, the implementation of favorable regulations and policies addressing data privacy, safety, and other certification requirements offer new growth prospects for the Autonomous Trains Market.
Need to Address Environmental Concerns and Sustainability Goals:
The adoption of greener and cleaner transportation systems to attain sustainability by lowering carbon footprint and negligible dependence on fossil fuels align with the global demand for autonomous trains.
Demand for Personalized Travel Experience:
Increasing demand for personalized travel experience included on-demand services, automated boarding systems, and onboard communication systems are likely to create lucrative opportunities for the autonomous train market. Also, the growing popularity of online travel booking and smart mobility for convenient and user-friendly experience will drive the demand.
Key Challenges:
High Initial investments:
Growing demand for upfront investments in the research and development and upgrading technologies are proving unfavorable for developing countries with limited budgets.
Certification and Regulatory Issues:
The demand for international standards for development of autonomous train systems along with operational and safety certifications are likely to hinder the adoption of autonomous trains in developing regions.
Public Acceptance and Safety Concerns:
Growing concerns related to safety, high-speed, and job displacement are major factors limiting the acceptance of autonomous trains. The ethical issues concerning data privacy and security in interconnected autonomous train systems demand for robust safety. Thus, the safety concerns are hindering the public acceptance of autonomous trains.
Technological Limitations:
The challenges such as sensors inability to work in harsh environmental conditions, cybersecurity threats, and complexity associated with seamless communication between networks are factors likely to have a negative impact on the growth of the market.
Compatibility Problems between Infrastructure and Legacy Systems:
The complexity associated with the integration between conventional signaling and latest automated systems along with the costing when upgrading are restraining the adoption of autonomous trains. In addition to the this, lack of standardization in infrastructure development across globe will further hinder the growth of the market.
Key Trends:
Focus on Zero Carbon Emission:
The growing trend of developing sustainable and greener solutions such as use of autonomous trains to reduce use of fossil fuels and energy wastage is anticipated to bolster the adoption of autonomous trains.
Technological Advancements and Innovation:
The integration of innovative technologies such as sensors, AI, communication systems, and control algorithms for improving the reliability, performance, and other capabilities of autonomous trains will lead to expansion of the market.
Growing Trend of Digitalization:
Rapid digitalization is increasing the adoption of autonomous systems which is spurring the demand for cybersecurity and data protection measures. Thus, the need for developing transparent data governance frameworks and addressing ethical considerations will fuel the growth of the market.
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Here is a more detailed regional analysis of the global Autonomous Trains Market:
Asia Pacific:
Promising work culture in the region is driving the demand for public transportation such as autonomous trains for easy and safe commutation. Thereby, creating lucrative opportunities for such trains in the region.
Also, the increasing government investment in the transportation sector supporting the ongoing and upcoming railway projects in the region will fuel the growth of the market.
In May 2023, Mumbai got a safety approval for its first underground metro line in December. The plan is to start driverless operations after the commissioning of Phase 1 (Bandra Kurla Complex to Aarey). Such developments are projected to accelerate the adoption of autonomous trains in the region in the coming years.
The popularity and increased application of metros in the developing countries like India create immense prospects of growth for the autonomous trains in Asia Pacific. All these promising factors are expected to enable the region experience significant growth in the market.
North America:
As per the analysts, North America is expected to dominate the global Autonomous Trains Market from 2023 to 2030. The integration of advanced technologies including artificial intelligence, security systems, and autonomous systems in the railway sector in the region is likely to offer immense opportunities for expansion of Autonomous Trains Market.
For instance, in June 2023, Hitachi Rail completed and started the passenger service for the first phase of Honolulu's 'Skyline'. It is the first fully autonomous metro system in the United States.
Moreover, rising demand for freight transportation to improve its trading or supply activities is encouraging the government and private authorities in the region to invest in the railway transportation. Thereby, offering sustainable growth during the forecast period.
The Global Autonomous Trains Market is segmented on the basis of Type, Technology, Automation, and Geography.
Based on Type, the market is bifurcated into High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train, Light Rail, and Metro/Monorail. The market share that belonged to Metro/Monorail was the greatest. The advantages offered by the segment, including affordability, dependability, safety, and efficiency in Metro/Monorail operation, are among the reasons for the category's larger market share. Additionally, these serve as the ideal substitute for short-distance, high-capacity transit in urban settings.
Based on Technology, the market is bifurcated into Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC), European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS), and Positive Train Control (PTC). Due to its various advantages over competing technologies, such as simpler maintenance, simpler implementation, cost-effectiveness, and advanced features, CBTC currently retains the biggest share. Contrarily, ERTMS is anticipated to expand at the greatest CAGR because of its dependability, increased capacity, and security features.
Based on Automation, the market is bifurcated into GOA 1, GOA 2, GOA 3, and GOA 4. The GOA 4 segment is anticipated to experience the highest CAGR growth. The advantages of GOA 4 technology, such as reduced wear and tear, low power consumption, and better capacity, among others, can be acknowledged for the strong growth.
Our market analysis also entails a section solely dedicated to such major players wherein our analysts provide an insight into the financial statements of all the major players, along with product benchmarking and SWOT analysis. The competitive landscape section also includes key development strategies, market share, and market ranking analysis of the above-mentioned players globally.