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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1398376
Mini LEDバックライトディスプレイの動向、OLED技術との競合の分析(2025年)2025 Mini LED Backlight Display Trend and OLED Technology Competition Analysis |
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Mini LEDバックライトディスプレイの動向、OLED技術との競合の分析(2025年) |
出版日: 2024年08月28日
発行: TrendForce
ページ情報: 英文 194 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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各セグメントでMini LEDバックライトを搭載したLCDパネルの出荷台数が拡大しており、OLEDとの対決は避けられません。大型、中型、小型パネルのさまざまな用途において、Mini LEDバックライトの利益はOLEDの犠牲となり、その逆はゼロサムゲームとなっています。興味深いことに、これは技術開発の歴史によく見られる典型的な一方通行の置き換えモードではありません。むしろ、両技術はそれぞれ長所と短所を持ち、互いに密接に競合しています。
Mini LEDバックライトTV市場は2024年に大幅な伸びを見せますが、IT市場におけるOLED技術の好影響もあり、Mini LEDバックライト技術への投資に対する各ブランドの熱意は抑えられています。TrendForceの予測では、2024年の各用途の総出荷台数は1,270万個で、2023年比5%減となります。
TV、自動車、将来のMNT市場において、Mini LEDはOLEDよりも優位性があります。Mini LEDバックライトTVのコスト削減効果は大きいですが、OLED技術は大型TV市場で限定的な強さを示します。製品の差別化を強化し、ブランドの競争力を高めるために、Mini LEDバックライト技術は製品仕様のアップグレードに適したソリューションです。長期的には、この動向はMNT市場にも好影響を与え、MNTの普及率を高める促進要因となります。自動車市場では、Mini LEDバックライトが信頼性で優位に立ち、OLEDよりも高い出荷台数シェアを獲得しています。
しかし、NB、タブレット、VRの部門では、Mini LEDはOLEDほど競争力がありません。AppleがNBとタブレット製品にOLEDを採用することで、市場全体の状況が変わり、この2つの用途セグメントではMini LEDバックライト技術の普及率が継続的に低下することになります。
2024年におけるMini LEDバックライトの最大の変化は、ソリューションが徐々に成熟し、上流からの下流までの各セグメントのメーカーがコスト削減方法についてコンセンサスを得たことです。業界全体のコンセンサスは、製品の標準化を加速させ、サプライヤーの果敢なスケールアップを促し、コスト競争力をさらに高めます。その結果、Mini LEDバックライト開発の最大の障害は取り除かれる見通しです。
2024年、Mini LEDバックライトTVの推定出荷台数は642万台です。中国ブランドメーカーが市場を席巻しています。Mini LEDバックライトのサプライチェーンが改善され、各企業がコスト削減戦略を徐々に実施していることから、世界の出荷台数は2023年比で59%増加し、大きな伸びを示しています。
OLEDは77インチや83インチの70~80インチディスプレイなどの製品を持っていますが、G8.5生産におけるコスト競争力が低く、超大型サイズのフレキシブルレイアウトでLCDに追いつくことができません。相対的に集中した供給、柔軟性のないパネルの価格、ブランド戦略の変化、経済的なカッティングサイズが55インチと65インチに集中していることを考えると、OLEDは多角的なカバー戦略を通じてMini LEDバックライトTVのような望ましい市場セグメンテーションを達成することができません。従って、2024年の総出荷台数では、史上初めてMini LEDバックライトTVがOLED TVを上回ると予測されます。
長期的な観点からは、Mini LEDバックライトTVの価格設定はOLED TVよりも低いままであり、一部の製品はハイエンドLCDと価格設定が重なり、Mini LED製品の普及率がさらに高まると予測されます。
当レポートでは、Mini LEDバックライトディスプレイ産業について調査分析し、の出荷台数との普及率の予測、技術開発の動向、TV、IT、自動車の3大市場の開発動向などを提供しています。
With expanded shipments of LCD panels engineered with Mini LED backlight for various segments, the confrontation with OLED is inevitable. In various application across large, medium, and small panels, it has become a zero-sum game: gains for Mini LED backlight come at the expense of OLED, and vice versa. Interestingly, this is not the typical one-way replacement mode usually seen in the history of technological development. Instead, both technologies have their own strengths and weaknesses, competing closely with each other.
Although the Mini LED backlight TV market makes a significant increase in 2024, the positive impact of OLED technology in the IT market has also suppressed the enthusiasm of brands in investing in Mini LED backlight technology. TrendForce estimates that the total shipment of each application will be 12.7Mpcs in 2024, a decrease of 5% compared to 2023.
In the TV, automotive, and future MNT markets, Mini LED holds more advantages over OLED. The cost reduction effect of Mini LED backlight TV is significant, while OLED technology shows limited strength in the large-sized TV market. To enhance product differentiation and increase brand competitiveness, Mini LED backlight technology is the preferred solution for upgrading product specifications. In the long term, this trend will also have a positive impact on the MNT market, driving an increase in its penetration rate. In the automotive market, Mini LED backlight have won the reliability advantage, resulting in a higher share of shipments than OLED.
However, in the NB , Tablet, and VR sectors, Mini LED is not as competitive as OLED.Apple's embrace of OLED for NB and Tablet products will change the entire market landscape, leading to a continuous reduction in the penetration rate of Mini LED backlight technology in these two application areas.
The biggest change in Mini LED backlight in 2024 is that the solutions are gradually becoming more mature, and manufacturers throughout the upstream and downstream segments have reached a consensus on ways to reduce costs. This chapter explores the cost reduction strategies that the industry is focusing on, including various strategies related to PCB, LED chips, driver IC, and process materials. The industry-wide consensus helps accelerate the standardization of products, which encourages suppliers to boldly scale up and further enhance cost competitiveness. As a result, the biggest obstacle to the development of Mini LED backlight is expected to be removed. According to TrendForce's analysis, cost reduction strategies for Mini LED that have achieved high consensus are as follows:
This chapter also discusses how, under the significant cost reduction pressure from Mini LED players, OLED manufacturers are advancing their technology to make their solutions increasingly refined, thereby defending against the threat posed by Mini LED.
From this chapter to Chapter 5, we will analyze the development trends of Mini LED backlight in the three major markets: TV, IT, and automotive.
In 2024, the estimated shipment of Mini LED backlight TV is 6,420K units. Chinese brand manufacturers have gained dominance in the market. With the improvement of the Mini LED backlight supply chain and the gradual implementation of cost reduction strategies by various companies, there has been significant growth, with global shipments increasing by 59% compared to 2023.
Although OLED has products such as 77-inch and 83-inch displays for the 70-80 inch range, its cost competitiveness in G8.5 production is poor, leading to OLED's inability to keep up with LCD in flexible layouts for extra-large sizes.Given the relatively concentrated supply, inflexible panel prices, changes in branding strategy, and the concentration of economic cutting size at 55 and 65 inches, OLED cannot achieve desirable market segmentation like Mini LED backlight TV through a diversified coverage strategy. Therefore, for the first time in history, Mini LED backlight TV will surpass OLED TV in total shipments for 2024.
From a long-term perspective, the pricing of Mini LED backlight TVs is expected to remain lower than that of OLED TVs, with some products even overlapping in pricing with high-end LCD, further increasing the penetration rate of Mini LED products.
Shipment of Mini LED backlight MNT in 2024 is estimated to be 347K units, which is only a 48% growth rate compared to 2023, lower than initially expected. This is mainly because of the positive response to OLED technology in the high-end market, leading brands to invest more actively in OLED product lines, resulting in Samsung's market share shrinking to 46%. However, Chinese brands continue to enter the mid-to-low-end market, but due their limited recognition and promotion efforts, benefits are limited.
Chinese brands such as Taidu and Titan Army continue to advance the specifications of
OLED MNT are currently in high demand and are almost a standard configuration product for all brands targeting the high-end market.In 2024, the supply capacity of OLED MNT will double compared to 2023. SDC's QD OLED, accounting for 75%, remains mainstream, while LGD's WOLED supply scale is also gradually increasing.Due to the strong demand, the supply of OLED MNT panels is expected to climb to 2.4 million pieces in 2025, with CSOT also joining the supply ranks.With the increasing availability of OLED MNT panels, the willingness of brands to adopt Mini LED backlight will also be correspondingly weakened.Brands almost universally allocate their high-end MNT resources to the promotion of OLED, causing a significant crowding-out effect on similarly positioned Mini LED backlight products.
In the long run, we still have faith in the development of Mini LED applications in the IT sector. As the shipments of Mini LED backlight TV increase, the cost reduction benefits are expected to extend to MNT applications, once again demonstrating the strategic advantage of diversified coverage for Mini LED products. Mini LED could overcome the current situation where high-end MNT products are primarily confined to the gaming market.
The rest of this chapter includes analyses of the price differences between Mini LED backlight and OLED products in the NB market, as well as shipment analysis. In addition to analyzing product specifications in the major markets, namely the US, Europe, and China, this report also offers insights into India and Brazil by analyzing the models available and the local price trends of new Mini LED backlight and OLED displays.
With the trend towards digitalization in smart cockpit, automotive displays have become a crucial interface for connecting vehicles and driver interaction. Automotive displays include instrument clusters, central displays, rear view mirrors, HUD, rear-seat entertainment applications, and more. With an increasing number of vehicles incorporating a variety of automotive display products, larger sizes, wider aspect ratios, more displays, and freer placement methods are becoming the development direction for in-car displays. Additionally, the continuous improvement of performance parameters such as High Dynamic Range (HDR), Local Dimming, Wide Color Gamut, etc., coupled with the increasing demand for automotive displays, indicates a sustained rapid growth trend in the automotive display market.According to TrendForce analysis, the shipment of automotive display panels is expected to reach 257 million units in 2028. Mini LED displays will reap the benefits, with a penetration rate of 5.9%, surpassing OLED's 4.1%.
As Mini LED backlight products gradually enter the mass production stage, there have been significant changes in the list of highly active manufacturers. Different players have bet on various technologies and product solutions. By 2024, mainstream technologies and solutions become clear throughout the market. Manufacturers who have made the right bets are now enjoying the winners' dividends and returns, while those who missed out are gearing up for another round of intense investments.
This chapter outlines the main supply chain for the Mini LED backlight market, focusing on the dynamics of leading manufacturers in chips, driver IC, transfer equipment, packaging and modules, and applications regarding their products, technologies, revenues, and supply chain activities in the Mini LED sector.
Compared to the conventional backlight, Mini LED backlight represents a major technological innovation, bringing significant changes to the industry landscape. Conventional backlight supply chain companies have strong first-mover advantages and incumbent benefits. However, new players are also fully benefiting from these changes, breaking the previous monopoly and rising to prominence. By 2024, powerful players have begun to take center stage in the industry arena.
In this report, we have added the analyses of niche businesses benefiting from Mini LED backlight, such as Aucksun, HYASiC, X-Signal Integrated, APT Electronics, Core Photoelectric Technology, HGC, COREACH, and ESPACE. We have also added an analysis focusing on the current development of WG Tech, a company with a comprehensive presence in LED glass substrates manufacturing.