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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1761669
カプロラクタムの世界市場の需要の分析:タイプ別、用途別、予測分析(2034年)Caprolactam Market Analysis By Demand [Capacity Utilization, Production, Net Exports, Demand Growth Rate], By Types, By Applications & Forecast Analysis, 2034 |
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カプロラクタムの世界市場の需要の分析:タイプ別、用途別、予測分析(2034年) |
出版日: 2025年05月07日
発行: Prismane Consulting
ページ情報: 英文 125 Pages
納期: 3~5営業日
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世界のカプロラクタムの市場規模は成長軌道にあり、2024年の165億米ドルから2032年までに238億米ドルに増加すると予測され、予測期間のCAGRは3.7%で成長する見込みです。カプロラクタムは主にポリアミド6(ナイロン6)の生産に使用され、テキスタイルやエンジニアリングプラスチックに広く利用されています。世界のカプロラクタム消費の約70%はポリアミド繊維の製造に使用され、残りは自動車部品、包装、その他の押出用途のポリアミド6樹脂に使用されます。市場の業績は、マクロ経済動向、エネルギー価格、産業活動の影響を受け続けるナイロン6産業全体の健全性に密接に関係しています。
需要の分析
世界のカプロラクタム需要は、2016年~2024年に年平均3%の成長率を示し、2024年に6,800キロトンを超えると推定されます。需要の中心は、テキスタイルの繊維、カーペット、工業用糸、エンジニアリング樹脂を含むポリアミド6用途での使用です。アジア太平洋、特に中国は、その広大なテキスタイル製造基盤とエンジニアリングプラスチックの使用の増加により、世界需要の大部分を駆動しています。
ポリアミド6樹脂は、機械的耐久性と耐熱性を提供するため、自動車、電子機器、包装などのさまざまな部門で消費されています。カプロラクタムの需要は、北米と欧州では軟調の兆しが見られますが、アジアでは安定しています。発展途上地域の市況は、インフレ傾向、産業成長の鈍化、下流セグメントの再編の影響を受けています。
近年、特に中国の自給率向上により、貿易の流れが明らかに変化しています。かつてカプロラクタムの主要輸入国であった中国は、国内生産能力を急速に拡大することで輸入依存度を減らしてきました。この変化は、世界の競合情勢と価格力学を再構築しつつあります。
地域の分析
アジア太平洋は、生産と消費の両面でカプロラクタム市場を独占しています。2024年現在、世界のカプロラクタム生産能力の70%超がこの地域にあり、中国だけで総生産能力の60%近くを占めています。2016年~2024年、中国は250万トンを超える生産能力を新たに追加し、世界の需給バランスを大きく変化させました。Pingmei Shenma、Luxi Chemical、Zhejiang Baling Hengyiなどの企業は、生産能力の拡大に積極的に投資しており、予測期間も継続しています。
欧州は世界の生産能力の約20%を占めていますが、エネルギーの価格の高騰により厳しいコスト圧力に直面しています。ドイツ、オランダ、ポーランドのような国々では生産能力の削減が見られ、BASFやUbe Industriesのような主要メーカーは生産能力を削減するか、カプロラクタム市場から完全に撤退しています。北米の生産能力は世界全体の10%未満で、需要も比較的落ち着いており、大規模な拡張の余地は限られています。
市場力学
促進要因 - 工業用途におけるポリアミド6需要の増加
カプロラクタム消費の主な促進要因は、テキスタイル、自動車、包装産業で広く使用されているポリアミド6の需要です。ポリアミド6は高い強度、耐熱性、化学的耐久性を備えており、エンジン部品、電気部品、工業用ファブリックなどの用途に理想的な材料です。継続的な都市化、インフラの成長、自動車製造における軽量で高性能な材料のニーズが、カプロラクタム市場を支えるものと予測されます。特にアジアにおけるテキスタイルへの需要は引き続き堅調で、中国、インド、ベトナムなどの国々が重要な役割を果たしています。
抑制要因 - 過剰生産能力とマージン圧力
カプロラクタム市場が直面する主な抑制要因は、中国での積極的な拡大による過剰生産能力の持続です。需要が供給に追いつかず、世界の稼働率は低下し、薄利多売と激しい競合を招いています。欧州や北米の多くの古いプラントは、もはや経済的に存続不可能となり、工場閉鎖や経営縮小につながっています。中国の貿易状態が純輸入国から純輸出国に移行したことで、その他の地域からの輸出がなくなり、世界の価格に下落圧力がかかるという波及効果が生じています。さらに、欧州の高いエネルギーコストと環境規制は、アジア以外のメーカーの競争力をさらに低下させています。
当レポートでは、世界のカプロラクタム市場について調査分析し、市場力学と産業動向、各セグメントの需要、メーカーのプロファイルなどの情報を提供しています。
The global caprolactam market is on a growth trajectory, projected to increase from USD 16.5 billion in 2024 to USD 23.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 3.7% over the forecast period. Caprolactam is primarily used in the production of polyamide 6 (nylon 6), a widely utilized material in textiles and engineering plastics. Around 70% of global caprolactam consumption goes into the manufacture of polyamide fibers, with the remaining used for polyamide 6 resin in automotive parts, packaging, and other extruded applications. The market's performance is tightly connected to the overall health of the nylon 6 industry, which continues to be influenced by macroeconomic trends, energy prices, and industrial activity.
Demand Analysis
Caprolactam demand globally was estimated to exceed 6,800 kilo tons in 2024, having grown at an average rate of 3% annually between 2016 and 2024. The demand is heavily centered around its use in polyamide 6 applications, including textile fibers, carpets, industrial yarns, and engineering resins. Asia Pacific, especially China, drives the bulk of global demand due to its vast textile manufacturing base and increasing use of engineering plastics.
Polyamide 6 resin is consumed across multiple sectors, such as automotive, electronics, and packaging, where it provides mechanical durability and thermal resistance. Demand for caprolactam has remained stable in Asia while showing signs of softness in North America and Europe. Market conditions in developed regions have been affected by inflationary trends, slower industrial growth, and restructuring in downstream segments.
In recent years, there has been an evident realignment in trade flows, particularly due to China's increased self-sufficiency. The country, once a major importer of caprolactam, has reduced its import reliance by rapidly expanding domestic capacity. This shift is reshaping the competitive landscape and pricing dynamics worldwide.
Regional Analysis
Asia Pacific dominates the caprolactam market both in terms of production and consumption. As of 2024, over 70% of the global caprolactam capacity was located in this region, with China alone accounting for nearly 60% of the total capacity. Between 2016 and 2024, China added more than 2.5 million tons of new capacity, significantly altering the global supply-demand balance. Companies such as Pingmei Shenma, Luxi Chemical, and Zhejiang Baling Hengyi have aggressively invested in capacity expansion and are continuing to do so through the forecast period.
Europe accounts for approximately 20% of global capacity but has faced severe cost pressures due to high energy prices. Countries like Germany, the Netherlands, and Poland have seen capacity reductions, with key producers such as BASF and Ube Industries cutting back or exiting the caprolactam market altogether. North America contributes under 10% to the global capacity, and demand remains relatively subdued, with limited scope for large-scale expansion.
In 2024, caprolactam demand in India was approximately 124 kilotons, and it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7%, reaching around 163 kilotons by 2032. India is a net importer, sourcing material largely from Europe and Asia, although domestic producers such as GSFC and FACT supply part of the demand locally.
Capacity Overview
The global caprolactam capacity reached around 9,460 kilo tons in 2024, reflecting strong growth over the past decade, largely fueled by Asia-based investments. China has led this trend, adding nearly 400 kilo tons of new capacity annually over several years. The country's total production is expected to cross 7,800 kilo tons by 2027. Despite these gains, average capacity utilization in China has hovered around 68% in recent years, underscoring persistent oversupply.
Outside Asia, capacity has been trimmed in response to changing market conditions. BASF has reduced its capacity in Germany, while Sumitomo Chemical and Ube Industries have exited the business in Japan. Alpek in Mexico and Fibrant in the US also announced closures of their caprolactam facilities. These adjustments reflect rising production costs and an inability to compete with low-cost Chinese output. As a result of these shifts, the global caprolactam industry is becoming increasingly consolidated in Asia, particularly China. This regional concentration is expected to grow further, altering trade patterns and global price stability.
Market Dynamics
Driver - Rising Polyamide 6 Demand Across Industrial Applications
The primary factor driving caprolactam consumption is the demand for polyamide 6, which is widely used in the textile, automotive, and packaging industries. Polyamide 6 offers high strength, thermal resistance, and chemical durability, making it an ideal material for applications such as engine parts, electrical components, and industrial fabrics. Continued urbanization, infrastructure growth, and the need for lightweight, high-performance materials in automotive manufacturing are expected to support the caprolactam market. The demand from textiles, particularly in Asia, remains robust, with countries like China, India, and Vietnam playing significant roles.
Restraint - Overcapacity and Margin Pressure
The key restraint facing the caprolactam market is the persistent overcapacity driven by aggressive expansions in China. With demand not keeping pace with supply, global utilization rates have dropped, leading to thin profit margins and intense competition. Many older plants in Europe and North America are no longer economically viable, leading to plant closures and operational reductions. The shift in trade status of China from net importer to net exporter is creating a ripple effect, displacing exports from other regions and exerting downward pressure on global prices. Moreover, high energy costs in Europe and environmental regulations further challenge the competitiveness of producers outside Asia.
Note: Demand Analysis has been provided for all major Regions / Countries as mentioned below. The demand (consumption) split by application has been provided for each of the countries / regions in Volume (Kilo tons) and Value (USD Million).
Note: CAGR will be calculated for all the applications to arrive at the regional / global demand growth for the forecast period (2025 - 2034)
Note: This section includes company information, company financials, manufacturing bases and operating regions. Company financials have been mentioned only for those companies where financials were available in SEC Filings, annual reports, or company websites. All the reported financials in this report are in U.S. Dollars. Financials reported in other currencies have been converted using average currency conversion rates. Company profiles may include manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors.