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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1623641
自律走行列車市場:自動化グレード別、列車タイプ別、用途別、地域別、機会、予測、2018年~2032年Autonomous Train Market Assessment, By Grade of Automation, By Train Type, By Application, By Region, Opportunities and Forecast, 2018-2032F |
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カスタマイズ可能
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自律走行列車市場:自動化グレード別、列車タイプ別、用途別、地域別、機会、予測、2018年~2032年 |
出版日: 2024年12月30日
発行: Market Xcel - Markets and Data
ページ情報: 英文 229 Pages
納期: 3~5営業日
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世界の自律走行列車の市場規模は、2025年~2032年の予測期間中に5.75%のCAGRで拡大し、2024年の119億9,000万米ドルから2032年には187億5,000万米ドルに成長すると予測されています。世界の自律走行列車市場は、列車の運行能力を向上させ、ヒューマンエラーを減らすための特別な安全対策を提供する自動化や人工知能(AI)などの技術進歩により、急成長が見込まれています。LiDAR(Light Detection and Ranging)やレーダーなどの洗練されたセンサーシステムとIoT(Internet of Things)の組み合わせにより、リアルタイムでデータを把握・分析し、列車の運行と保守を最適化することが可能になります。
このような技術的進歩は、鉄道インフラにおける政府のプログラムからも確固たる支持と投資を受けています。持続可能性に関するこうした取り組みも、この市場の勢いに貢献すると見込まれています。環境汚染の増加により、より持続可能な輸送手段への支持が高まっており、従来のものと比べてエネルギー効率が高く、排出量が削減される自律走行列車は魅力的です。ほとんどの国は、公共交通機関の接続性と効率を高める自律走行技術の開発のために確保された予算を含め、交通システムの近代化に向けて莫大な資金を投入しています。支援的な規制の枠組みの構築は、この分野への投資をさらに後押しします。
さらに、世界の都市化の急速なペースは、公共交通の現象を推進し続けています。自律走行する列車は、道路交通に代わる実現可能な交通手段であり、より多くの乗客を非常に効率的に処理できる鉄道ベースのシステムへの移行を促進します。さらに、自動化によって運行コストを最適化・削減できるため、旅客輸送と貨物輸送の双方にとって、より魅力的な選択肢となります。
当レポートでは、世界の自律走行列車市場について調査し、市場の概要とともに、自動化グレード別、列車タイプ別、用途別、地域別動向、および市場に参入する企業のプロファイルなどを提供しています。
Global autonomous train market is projected to witness a CAGR of 5.75% during the forecast period 2025-2032, growing from USD 11.99 billion in 2024 to USD 18.75 billion in 2032. The global autonomous train market is expected to grow rapidly due to technological advancements, including automation and artificial intelligence (AI), that improve the operational ability of trains and provide extra safety measures to reduce human error. Sophisticated sensor systems such as LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) and radar, in conjunction with the Internet of Things (IoT), would enable data to be grabbed and analyzed in real time, optimizing train operations and maintenance. This technological advancement has received firm backing and investment from government programs in rail infrastructure as well. Such initiatives concerning sustainability will also contribute to the momentum of this market. Increased environmental pollution has drawn advocacy towards more sustainable modes of transportation, which makes autonomous trains appealing due to their energy efficiency and reduced emissions compared to their conventional counterparts. Most countries have dedicated enormous amounts of money towards modernizing their transport systems, including a budget set aside for the development of autonomous technologies that will enhance their connectivity and efficiency in public transport. The creation of supportive regulatory frameworks further bolsters investments in the sector.
Moreover, the rapid pace of urbanization worldwide continues to drive the phenomenon of public transportation. Autonomous trains represent a feasible alternative to road transport, leading to appreciable movements towards rail-based systems, capable of handling more passengers very efficiently. Further, they can optimize and reduce operational costs through automation, making them much more attractive options for both passenger and freight transport.
For instance, in November 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) completed the delivery of the final trainset of the 2020 Series Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) system for the New Shuttle transportation system operated by Saitama New Urban Transit Co., Ltd. in Saitama Prefecture.
Government Investments are Expanding the Global Market
The autonomous train market has been thriving due to increased government investments and policies. Governments of emerging countries are improving and developing rail infrastructure, propelling the adoption of autonomous trains, which offer numerous benefits including improved safety, operational efficiency, and cost savings. For example, the reduction of human error by autonomous trains would cause them to add more punctuality, with lower operation costs, to becoming an attractive option in rail. Also, government investments are facilitating the development of autonomous train technologies and addressing the growing need for efficient and sustainable public transportation systems globally, this shift aligns with global efforts to reduce carbon emissions and promote public transport usage.
For instance, in December 2023, initiatives such as the European Union's Horizon Europe program are funding large-scale projects focused on the automation and digitalization of railways, thereby enhancing the safety and efficiency of transport systems across Europe. Notable projects include significant loans from the European Investment Bank aimed at developing autonomous train technologies.
Technological Advancements Propelling the Global Market Growth
The market for autonomous trains is witnessing significant growth due to the quick technological advancement related to safety, efficiency, and operational aspects. Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, sensor technology, and connectivity are modifying the entire rail transport experience. One of the most significant developments here is the ATO (Automated Train Operations) systems, where trains can run with minimal human interference and optimized speed, braking, and planning performance. When fully automated, these functions should reduce energy consumption and infrastructure wear and improve safety. Sensor technologies like LiDAR and radar also provide essential contributions to the safety of autonomous trains. They measure the environment around the train, allowing for instant reactions to obstacles and strict adherence to safety parameters.
For instance, in September 2024, ALSTOM ARTE (Autonomous Regional Train Evolution) showcased how existing rail networks can be retrofitted with automation technologies. ARTE Project is set to revolutionize the rail network by implementing automated train operations (ATO) using the European Train Control System (ETCS). This project employs image recognition systems to interpret railway signals without the need for additional trackside equipment, thereby facilitating a seamless transition to automated operations on current lines. Such initiatives highlight the potential for widespread adoption of autonomous technologies without extensive infrastructure overhauls.
Higher Growth of Grade of Automation 4 in Global Autonomous Train Market
The global autonomous train market is expected to witness higher growth of Grade of Automation 4 (GoA4), representing the highest automation level in train operations. GoA4 trains operate entirely autonomously without any human intervention, significantly enhancing operational efficiency and safety, and causing fewer accidents, unlike traditional rail. Autonomous trains equipped with advanced sensors and artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms can detect obstacles, monitor track conditions in real-time, and automatically respond to emergencies. This capability not only enhances safety but also improves reliability and efficiency, making GoA4 trains an attractive option for both urban and intercity rail systems.
For instance, in June 2023, Europe's Rail FP2 R2DATO brought the next generation of digital and automated railways. The project aims to deliver scalable automation in train operations, up to GoA4 by 2030, and to enhance infrastructure capacity on existing rail networks. The first tangible results of FP2 R2DATO are expected to be delivered by 2025, for enabling key technologies.
Asia-Pacific is Expected to Dominate Global Autonomous Train Market
Underpinned by extensive rail infrastructure, heavy government investments, and a growing demand for efficient public transportation, Asia-Pacific dominates the global autonomous train market. One of the critical reasons is the fact that some of the largest rail networks in the world run in countries like China, Japan, and India. Additionally, significant government incentives are pushing for the modernization of railways across the region. For example, India has budgeted decent amounts for the enhancement of its railway infrastructure, which is aimed at driverless trains on metro lines. These investments involve benefits in the new rail projects and making provisions for upgrading already existing structures. Also, it creates a fast track for urbanites in the Asia-Pacific who will demand a good share of efficient public transport solutions. Metro systems are among great examples of urban transit systems, in densely populated and fast beating cities such as Tokyo and Mumbai. There will be corresponding pressure on planning for autonomous trains to alleviate congestion and improve transit times.
For instance, in February 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) received an order for the Automated Guideway Transit (AGT) system from the Public Works Bureau (DSOP) of the Macau Special Administrative Region of China, for the Macau Light Rapid Transit (LRT) East Line.
Future Market Scenario (2025 - 2032F)
The introduction of Grade of Automation (GoA) levels, particularly GoA4, which allows for fully automated operations without human intervention, is anticipated to drive market expansion rapidly.
Autonomous trains typically offer lower emissions and higher energy efficiency compared to traditional transport modes. Aligning with governmental goals for reducing carbon footprints, the global push towards sustainable transportation solutions will further drive the market.
Significant government initiatives aimed at modernizing railway infrastructure further support this trend.
Key Players Landscape and Outlook
The global autonomous train market is characterized by a competitive landscape dominated by several key players driving innovation and shaping industry trends. As the autonomous train market evolves, companies focus on developing higher levels of automation, particularly with GoA (Grade of Automation) levels 3 and 4 gaining traction. The GoA4 segment, representing fully automated operations without human intervention, is projected to grow rapidly due to its potential to enhance operational efficiency significantly. The global autonomous train market is set for substantial expansion driven by technological advancements, strategic initiatives from key players, and supportive regional dynamics. As these trends continue to unfold, the market is likely to redefine rail transportation through enhanced safety, efficiency, and sustainability. Major Players are actively engaged in various strategic initiatives such as product development, partnerships, and collaborations to enhance their market positions and leverage emerging opportunities in autonomous train technologies.
For instance, in September 2022, Appenzeller Bahnen AG and Stadler Rail AG signed a contract for the manufacture and delivery of a rack-and-pinion rail vehicle for the Rheineck-Walzenhausen rail link. The contract includes equipping the vehicle with Stadler's CBTC (Communication-Based Train Control) solution. The new train on the Rheineck-Walzenhausen line will be the world's first fully automated overland adhesion/rack-and-pinion rail vehicle.
All segments will be provided for all regions and countries covered
Companies mentioned above DO NOT hold any order as per market share and can be changed as per information available during research work.