持続可能な航空燃料の世界市場：燃料タイプ別、技術別、用途別、地域別、機会、予測、2017年～2031年

持続可能な航空燃料の市場規模は、2024年～2031年の予測期間中に35.68%のCAGRで拡大し、2023年の10億2,000万米ドルから2031年には117億1,000万米ドルに上昇する見込みです。持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）は、現在使用されている唯一の低炭素技術であり、航空業界は2050年までに気候中立性の達成を目指しています。航空機の燃料消費の大半は長距離飛行中に発生することから、SAFは極めて重要な役割を担っています。各国政府は、これまでのバイオ燃料への取り組みを踏まえ、SAFの導入を促進するための規制を実施しています。航空部門は、SAFによる排出量の大幅な削減を期待しています。すでに数多くの航空会社がSAFを採用しており、燃料メーカーも生産能力拡大のための投資を続けています。

持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）は、グリーン電力やバイオエネルギーなどの再生可能エネルギー源を原料とする液体燃料です。現在の航空機技術や給油インフラと互換性があるため、ドロップイン燃料と呼ばれています。

各国政府は、さまざまな種類の持続可能な航空燃料（SAF）に優先順位をつけており、それらは原料の種類や製造工程によって異なります。排出削減の可能性を最大化するため、各国政府は最大の効果を示す燃料にインセンティブを与えています。政策は、長期にわたって一貫して排出量を削減する燃料技術を奨励すべきです。必要不可欠な炭素計算手法とモニタリングに関する国内規則の調和は、世界なSAF市場を形成し、国際的な航空会社が自主的または規制的枠組みを遵守することを促進するために不可欠です。

当レポートでは、世界の持続可能な航空燃料市場について調査し、市場の概要とともに、燃料タイプ別、技術別、用途別、地域別動向、および市場に参入する企業のプロファイルなどを提供しています。

目次

第1章 プロジェクトの範囲と定義

第2章 調査手法

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第4章 顧客の声

第5章 世界の持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

• 市場規模の分析と予測
• 市場シェア分析と予測
• 市場マップ分析、2023年
  • 燃料タイプ別
  • 技術別
  • 用途別
  • 地域別

第6章 北米の持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

第7章 欧州の持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

第8章 アジア太平洋の持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

第9章 南米の持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

第10章 中東・アフリカの持続可能な航空燃料市場の見通し、2017年～2031年

第11章 ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第12章 PESTLE分析

第13章 市場力学

• 市場の促進要因
• 市場の課題

第14章 市場の動向と発展

第15章 ケーススタディ

第16章 価格分析

第17章 競合情勢

• 市場リーダートップ5の競合マトリックス
• 参入企業トップ5のSWOT分析
• 市場の主要参入企業トップ10の情勢
  • Aemetis Inc.
  • Neste Oyj
  • World Energy LLC
  • TotalEnergies SE
  • Lanza Jet Inc
  • Alder Renewables LLC
  • Gevo Inc
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc
  • AVFUEL Corp
  • SkyNRG B.V.

第18章 戦略的提言

第19章 お問い合わせと免責事項

List of Tables

• Table 1. Pricing Analysis of Products from Key Players
• Table 2. Competition Matrix of Top 5 Market Leaders
• Table 3. Mergers & Acquisitions/ Joint Ventures (If Applicable)
• Table 4. About Us - Regions and Countries Where We Have Executed Client Projects

List of Figures

• Figure 1. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 2. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 3. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 4. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 5. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 6. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Region, 2017-2031F
• Figure 7. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 8. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 9. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 10. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 11. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 12. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Country, 2017-2031F
• Figure 13. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 14. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 15. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 16. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 17. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 18. Canada Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 19. Canada Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 20. Canada Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 21. Canada Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 22. Canada Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 23. Mexico Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 24. Mexico Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 25. Mexico Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 26. Mexico Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 27. Mexico Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 28. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 29. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 30. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 31. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 32. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 33. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Country, 2017-2031F
• Figure 34. Germany Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 35. Germany Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 36. Germany Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 37. Germany Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 38. Germany Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 39. France Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 40. France Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 41. France Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 42. France Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 43. France Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 44. Italy Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 45. Italy Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 46. Italy Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 47. Italy Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 48. Italy Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 49. United Kingdom Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 50. United Kingdom Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 51. United Kingdom Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 52. United Kingdom Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 53. United Kingdom Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 54. Russia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 55. Russia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 56. Russia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 57. Russia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 58. Russia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 59. Netherlands Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 60. Netherlands Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 61. Netherlands Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 62. Netherlands Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 63. Netherlands Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 64. Spain Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 65. Spain Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 66. Spain Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 67. Spain Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 68. Spain Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 69. Turkey Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 70. Turkey Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 71. Turkey Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 72. Turkey Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 73. Turkey Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 74. Poland Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 75. Poland Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 76. Poland Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 77. Poland Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 78. Poland Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 79. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 80. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 81. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 82. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 83. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 84. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Country, 2017-2031F
• Figure 85. Brazil Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 86. Brazil Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 87. Brazil Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 88. Brazil Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 89. Brazil Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 90. Argentina Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 91. Argentina Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 92. Argentina Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 93. Argentina Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 94. Argentina Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 95. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 96. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 97. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 98. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 99. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 100. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Country, 2017-2031F
• Figure 101. India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 102. India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 103. India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 104. India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 105. India Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 106. China Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 107. China Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 108. China Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 109. China Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 110. China Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 111. Japan Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 112. Japan Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 113. Japan Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 114. Japan Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 115. Japan Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 116. Australia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 117. Australia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 118. Australia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 119. Australia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 120. Australia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 121. Vietnam Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 122. Vietnam Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 123. Vietnam Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 124. Vietnam Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 125. Vietnam Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 126. South Korea Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 127. South Korea Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 128. South Korea Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 129. South Korea Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 130. South Korea Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 131. Indonesia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 132. Indonesia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 133. Indonesia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 134. Indonesia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 135. Indonesia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 136. Philippines Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 137. Philippines Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 138. Philippines Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 139. Philippines Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 140. Philippines Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 141. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 142. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 143. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 144. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 145. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 146. Middle East & Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Country, 2017-2031F
• Figure 147. Saudi Arabia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 148. Saudi Arabia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 149. Saudi Arabia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 150. Saudi Arabia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 151. Saudi Arabia Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 152. UAE Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 153. UAE Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 154. UAE Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 155. UAE Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 156. UAE Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 157. South Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Value, in USD Billion, 2017-2031F
• Figure 158. South Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Volume, in Million Liters, 2017-2031F
• Figure 159. South Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Fuel Type, 2017-2031F
• Figure 160. South Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Technology, 2017-2031F
• Figure 161. South Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share (%), By Application, 2017-2031F
• Figure 162. By Fuel Type Map-Market Size (USD Billion) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 163. By Technology Map-Market Size (USD Billion) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 164. By Application Map-Market Size (USD Billion) & Growth Rate (%), 2023
• Figure 165. By Region Map-Market Size (USD Billion) & Growth Rate (%), 2023

Sustainable aviation fuel market is expected to observe a CAGR of 35.68% during the forecast period 2024-2031, rising from USD 1.02 billion in 2023 to USD 11.71 billion in 2031. Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs) represent the sole low-carbon technology, currently in use, and the aviation industry aims to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. Given that most aircraft fuel consumption occurs during long-haul flights, SAFs play a crucial role. Governments have implemented regulations to promote SAF deployment, building upon earlier biofuel initiatives. The aviation sector expects SAFs to significantly reduce emissions. Numerous airlines have already adopted SAFs, and fuel manufacturers continue to invest in expanding capacity.

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) are liquid fuels that are derived from renewable energy sources, such as green electricity or bioenergy. They are referred to as drop-in-fuels, since they are compatible with current aircraft technology and refueling infrastructure.

Different governments prioritize various types of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs), which vary based on feedstock type and manufacturing processes. To maximize emission reduction potential, governments are providing incentives for fuels that demonstrate the greatest impact. Policies should encourage fuel technologies that consistently reduce emissions over time. Harmonizing national rules related to essential carbon accounting methodologies and monitoring is essential to creating a global SAF market and facilitating international airline compliance with voluntary or regulatory frameworks.

For instance, with a significant increase in the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF), the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) hopes to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. Nonetheless, current frameworks run the danger of not meeting global climate objectives as they concentrate on leading markets. For this, governments are working on making the current frameworks more comprehensive.

Government Incentives to Promote Market Growth

The implementation of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs) is motivated by government subsidies for low-carbon fuel production. While most existing frameworks primarily focus on transportation fuels, some countries have specifically designed policy frameworks to support SAF. Market expansion can be attributed to expectations of future laws and compliance requirements in markets that have already enacted initial SAF mandates. Over time, policy frameworks, including incentives and mandates, may gradually replace voluntary industry adoption as the primary market driver when governments implement more comprehensive packages.

To promote SAF adoption, the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) launched its Assistance, Capacity-building, and Training for Sustainable Aviation Fuels (ICAO ACT-SAF) program in 2022 (ICAO, 2023f). In addition to other initiatives aimed at reducing aircraft emissions, national programs will need to support the SAF sector to achieve the Long-Term Global Aspirational Goal (LTAG). ICAO stated action plans to provide further details on initiatives to assist in SAF deployment.

As of 2023, the European Union, United Kingdom, and United States markets are covered by the most complex SAF policy frameworks and proposals. The fact that most SAF production occurs in these regions suggests that policy structures effectively encourage production. The United States' strategy employs tax incentives as a carrot-and-stick approach to boost production. Also, European Union's and the United Kingdom's programs support R&D and facility investments, with a focus on meeting required blending criteria. While blending mandates have successfully achieved the intended deployment levels, the aviation sector cautions to avoid significant price increases, combined with production incentives. Implementing tools that act as a buffer against unjustified price fluctuations, such as the buyout mechanism proposed in the United Kingdom policy, can address these challenges.

North America to Dominate Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market

In 2023, North America held the largest market share of the global sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market due to a significant number of companies based in the region. The rise of North America is fueled by several initiatives in the United States and Canada, and increased spending by government agencies and commercial companies, including Aemetis, Inc., Alder Fuels, Gevo, Inc., and Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc.

For instance, in April 2023, Shell Aviation and Delta reached an agreement for Delta to purchase 10 million gallons of SAF from Shell Aviation over a two-year period, with Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) serving as the hub. With over 200 million gallons of SAF committed, the international airline is more than halfway toward its goal of using 10% SAF annually by the end of 2030 and is well on its way to achieving its target of utilizing 35% SAF by 2035.

Biofuel Segment Holds the Highest Market Share

The need to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate environmental impact encourages the aviation industry to embrace biofuels. Compared to conventional aviation fuels, biofuels offer a more environmentally friendly alternative as they are derived from organic materials such as waste and plant-based feedstocks. Global climate change initiatives and increasing regulatory pressure have incentivized airlines to integrate biofuels into their operations. As biofuel technology advances and consumer demand for eco-friendly practices, aviation is increasingly adopting biofuels as a primary strategy to achieve carbon reduction targets.

According to IEA, Biofuel demand is predicted to rise by nearly 30% from 2023-2028, reaching 200 billion litres by 2028.

Strategic Partnership Boosts the Sustainable Aviation Fuels Market

Major players in the sustainable aviation fuels market are forming strategic alliances to improve their service portfolio. Companies that form strategic alliances do so by utilizing one another's assets and capabilities to succeed and gain from a more comprehensive service portfolio. Similarly, companies and governments are establishing partnerships to achieve their goals.

SK innovation, the energy division of South Korea's SK Group has agreed to invest USD 20 million in equity in Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc. The partnership included a license agreement for the exclusive to explore Fulcrum's proprietary waste-to-fuel process in South Korea and other selected Asian countries.

Similarly, Avelia, a blockchain-based digital SAF solution for corporate travel, was introduced in June 2022 by Accenture, Shell, and American Express Global Corporate Travel. Regardless of the fuel used in a flight, airlines, and sustainable fuel companies can register emissions reduction benefits against voluntary ESG and report globally to this carbon accounting mechanism that has been accepted by industry groups.

Similarly, an investigation on the sustainable production of aviation fuel in the United Arab Emirates was launched in January 2023 by BPL, Masdar, and the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company. With the possibility for commercial-scale production capacity expansion in Abu Dhabi. The goal of this study is to assess the project's technical and commercial viability.

Future Market Scenario (2024 - 2031F)

The growing global demand for sustainable air fuel by airlines is a significant market opportunity. Airlines are seeking sustainable alternatives to meet emission reduction targets and corporate social responsibility commitments. The demand encourages investment in SAF production, technological advancements, and feedstock innovations, fostering innovation, economies of scale, and a more sustainable aviation sector.

Governments are increasing demand for sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) through regulations, mandates, and roadmaps. The European Commission proposes a 2% SAF mandate by 2025, with the UK Department for Transport requiring flights to use a minimum blend of SAF, with the rate bumped up to 10.3% in 2030 and 75% in 2050. The US Transportation Department's roadmap for reaching net zero by 2050 relies on increasing SAF use for long-haul flights. These efforts aim to meet the growing demand for sustainable aviation fuels.

Mexico has initiated a public-private initiative to develop the SAF supply chain and established the Bio Jet Fuel Cluster (Cluster Bioturbosina), a group of national and multinational industry stakeholders and research centers aiming to develop the value chain for sustainable aviation biofuels, from feedstock supply to sale of a reliable, sustainable, and economically viable product for airlines.

Key Players Landscape and Outlook

Leading companies in SAF production and technology, including as Neste, Shell, and Total Energies are the large players in the global market for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). These businesses have made large investments in cutting-edge SAF technologies and manufacturing facilities, which are propelling the industry ahead.

In 2023, Neste and Emirates have teamed together to supply more than three million gallons of blended Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), which combines traditional jet fuel, for Emirates aircraft leaving from Singapore Changi and Amsterdam Schiphol airports in 2024 and 2025.

In 2023, GAIL, one of the largest gas utility companies in India, and LanzaTech Worldwide are working together on a pilot project since July 2023 to capture CO2 and turn it into useful materials. This project is in line with GAIL's Net Zero 2040 goals and may help with worldwide decarbonization efforts.

In 2023, United Airlines announced a new joint venture with two biofuel businesses to generate enough sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by 2028 to power 50,000 flights between Chicago and Denver annually.

In November 2022, Gevo, Inc. and Iberia Airlines, a division of International Airlines Group, will enter into a new fuel sales agreement. For five years, the agreement will provide six million gallons of sustainable aviation fuel yearly; the environmental benefits are projected to be worth USD 165 million.

Table of Contents

1. Project Scope and Definitions

2. Research Methodology

3. Executive Summary

4. Voice of Customer

• 4.1. Brand Awareness
• 4.2. Lead time
• 4.3. Supply Chain
• 4.4. Quality
• 4.5. Ease of Purchase

5. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 5.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
  • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.1.2. By Volume
• 5.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
  • 5.2.1. By Fuel Type
    • 5.2.1.1. Biofuel
    • 5.2.1.2. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
    • 5.2.1.3. Hydrogen Fuel
    • 5.2.1.4. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel
  • 5.2.2. By Technology
    • 5.2.2.1. Fischer-Tropsch (FT) and Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (SPK)
    • 5.2.2.2. Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 5.2.2.3. Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Isoparaffins
    • 5.2.2.4. FT-SPK With Aromatics
    • 5.2.2.5. Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 5.2.2.6. Others
  • 5.2.3. By Application
    • 5.2.3.1. Commercial
    • 5.2.3.2. Defense
    • 5.2.3.3. Others
  • 5.2.4. By Region
    • 5.2.4.1. North America
    • 5.2.4.2. Europe
    • 5.2.4.3. Asia-Pacific
    • 5.2.4.4. South America
    • 5.2.4.5. Middle East and Africa
  • 5.2.5. By Company Market Share Analysis (Top 5 Companies and Others - By Value, 2023)
• 5.3. Market Map Analysis, 2023
  • 5.3.1. By Fuel Type
  • 5.3.2. By Technology
  • 5.3.3. By Application
  • 5.3.4. By Region

6. North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F*

• 6.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
  • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.1.2. By Volume
• 6.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
  • 6.2.1. By Fuel Type
    • 6.2.1.1. Biofuel
    • 6.2.1.2. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
    • 6.2.1.3. Hydrogen Fuel
    • 6.2.1.4. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel
  • 6.2.2. By Technology
    • 6.2.2.1. Fischer-Tropsch (FT) and Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (SPK)
    • 6.2.2.2. Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 6.2.2.3. Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Isoparaffins
    • 6.2.2.4. FT-SPK With Aromatics
    • 6.2.2.5. Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
    • 6.2.2.6. Others
  • 6.2.3. By Application
    • 6.2.3.1. Commercial
    • 6.2.3.2. Defense
    • 6.2.3.3. Others
  • 6.2.4. By Country Share
    • 6.2.4.1. United States
    • 6.2.4.2. Canada
    • 6.2.4.3. Mexico
• 6.3. Country Market Assessment
  • 6.3.1. United States Sustainable Aviation Fuel Outlook, 2017-2031F*
    • 6.3.1.1. Market Size Analysis & Forecast
      • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.1.2. By Volume
    • 6.3.1.2. Market Share Analysis & Forecast
      • 6.3.1.2.1. By Fuel Type
        • 6.3.1.2.1.1. Biofuel
        • 6.3.1.2.1.2. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
        • 6.3.1.2.1.3. Hydrogen Fuel
        • 6.3.1.2.1.4. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel
      • 6.3.1.2.2. By Technology
        • 6.3.1.2.2.1. Fischer-Tropsch (FT) and Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (SPK)
        • 6.3.1.2.2.2. Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
        • 6.3.1.2.2.3. Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Isoparaffins
        • 6.3.1.2.2.4. FT-SPK With Aromatics
        • 6.3.1.2.2.5. Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
        • 6.3.1.2.2.6. Others
      • 6.3.1.2.3. By Application
        • 6.3.1.2.3.1. Commercial
        • 6.3.1.2.3.2. Defense
        • 6.3.1.2.3.3. Others
  • 6.3.2. Canada
  • 6.3.3. Mexico

All segments will be provided for all regions and countries covered

7. Europe Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 7.1. Germany
• 7.2. France
• 7.3. Italy
• 7.4. United Kingdom
• 7.5. Russia
• 7.6. Netherlands
• 7.7. Spain
• 7.8. Turkey
• 7.9. Poland

8. Asia-Pacific Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 8.1. India
• 8.2. China
• 8.3. Japan
• 8.4. Australia
• 8.5. Vietnam
• 8.6. South Korea
• 8.7. Indonesia
• 8.8. Philippines

9. South America Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 9.1. Brazil
• 9.2. Argentina

10. Middle East and Africa Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook, 2017-2031F

• 10.1. Saudi Arabia
• 10.2. UAE
• 10.3. South Africa

11. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

12. PESTLE Analysis

13. Market Dynamics

• 13.1. Market Drivers
• 13.2. Market Challenges

14. Market Trends and Developments

15. Case Studies

16. Pricing Analysis

17. Competitive Landscape

• 17.1. Competition Matrix of Top 5 Market Leaders
• 17.2. SWOT Analysis for Top 5 Players
• 17.3. Key Players Landscape for Top 10 Market Players
  • 17.3.1. Aemetis Inc.
    • 17.3.1.1. Company Details
    • 17.3.1.2. Key Management Personnel
    • 17.3.1.3. Products and Services
    • 17.3.1.4. Financials (As Reported)
    • 17.3.1.5. Key Market Focus and Geographical Presence
    • 17.3.1.6. Recent Developments/Collaborations/Partnerships/Mergers and Acquisition
  • 17.3.2. Neste Oyj
  • 17.3.3. World Energy LLC
  • 17.3.4. TotalEnergies SE
  • 17.3.5. Lanza Jet Inc
  • 17.3.6. Alder Renewables LLC
  • 17.3.7. Gevo Inc
  • 17.3.8. Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc
  • 17.3.9. AVFUEL Corp
  • 17.3.10. SkyNRG B.V.

Companies mentioned above DO NOT hold any order as per market share and can be changed as per information available during research work.

18. Strategic Recommendations

19. About Us and Disclaimer