アンモニア市場レポート：2031年までの動向、予測、競合分析

世界のアンモニア市場の将来は、農業、繊維、鉱業、製薬、冷凍市場に機会がありそうです。世界のアンモニア市場は、2025年から2031年までのCAGRが5.4%で、2031年までに推定1,127億米ドルに達すると予想されます。この市場の主な促進要因は、農業活動の大幅な拡大、肥料産業における採用の増加、火薬の市場開拓における使用量の増加です。

• Lucintelの予測によると、タイプ別では、液体が住宅および商業施設の清掃や肥料用途で広く使用されているため、予測期間中も最大セグメントであり続けます。
• 最終用途カテゴリーでは、アンモニアが作物の健康増進と土壌肥沃度の維持に役立つことから、農業が最大のセグメントであり続けると思われます。
• 地域別では、中国とインドにおける農産物需要の増加と肥料産業からの需要の高まりにより、アジア太平洋が予測期間中最大のセグメントであり続けると思われます。

アンモニア市場の戦略的成長機会

アンモニア市場は、技術および市場シナリオの変化により、様々な用途でいくつかの成長機会を提示しています：

• グリーンアンモニア生産：主要な成長機会のひとつは、グリーンアンモニアを生産する技術への投資です。これには、再生可能エネルギーを使用するプロセスの開発、世界の持続可能性目標との整合、二酸化炭素排出量の削減などが含まれます。
• 水素貯蔵と輸送：アンモニアは水素のベクトルであるため、水素貯蔵と輸送のための新しいインフラは、アンモニアのキャリアとしての役割に関連する新たな機会を提供します。この分野でのイノベーションは、水素エネルギーソリューションの普及に貢献します。
• 農業用途：肥料需要の増加は、農業用途のアンモニア生産を開発する機会を生み出します。肥料使用の効率性と持続可能性が市場成長の原動力となります。
• エネルギー部門の統合：将来、アンモニアは燃料として、あるいは電力生産のエネルギーベクトルとして利用される可能性があります。この分野では、アンモニアに新たな成長機会がもたらされる可能性があります。このような統合により、エネルギー貯蔵が改善され、排出量が削減される可能性があります。
• 新興市場における成長：新興市場における工業化の急速なペースは、関連インフラを含むアンモニア生産能力構築の新たな機会を開きます。こうした市場の需要を満たすことで、大きな成長と市場への浸透が期待できます。

こうした新たな機会は、アンモニアの用途を強化し、新市場に進出することで、アンモニア市場の将来を形成しています。

アンモニア市場の促進要因・課題

アンモニア市場は、技術、経済、規制の面で様々な促進要因・課題によって牽引されています。

アンモニア市場を牽引する要因は以下の通りです：

• 技術の進歩：より効率的なマーケットカタリストやプロセスなど、アンモニア生産技術の革新は、効率向上と生産コスト削減による市場成長の主な要因です。
• 環境規制：環境規制の強化は、世界の持続可能性の目標に沿って、業界をよりクリーンな技術とグリーンなアンモニア生産へと押し上げています。
• 肥料需要：食糧生産需要の増大は農業肥料の必要性を高め、この分野をアンモニア市場成長の主要な促進要因にしています。
• エネルギー部門の開発：エネルギー分野の開発は、燃料またはエネルギーキャリアとしてのアンモニアの新たな市場機会と用途を開拓し、この分野での需要と投資を促進します。
• インフラ投資：生産と流通のためのインフラへの投資は、市場の発展をさらに後押しし、世界的にも地域的にも供給効率を高める。

アンモニア市場における課題は以下の通りです：

• 高い生産コスト：グリーンアンモニアの生産コストと先端技術への投資コストが高いことが、生産者にとっての課題となっています。
• 規制機関への対応：厳しい環境規範の遵守は、しばしば広範囲に及び、その実施には費用がかかり、生産と収益性に影響を及ぼします。
• 市場の変動：原料価格の変動は、世界の経済情勢とともに、市場の安定性と収益性に影響を与える可能性があります。

これらの促進要因・課題は、実際、アンモニア市場を形成する要素であり、生産慣行、規制への対応、市場全体のダイナミクスに影響を与えます。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界のアンモニア市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 市場動向と予測分析：2019年～2031年

• マクロ経済動向（2019年～2024年）と予測（2025年～2031年）
• 世界のアンモニア市場の動向（2019年～2024年）と予測（2025年～2031年）
• 世界のアンモニア市場：タイプ別
  • 液体
  • 粉
  • ガス
• 世界のアンモニア市場：最終用途別
  • 農業
  • 繊維
  • 鉱業
  • 製薬
  • 冷凍
  • その他

第4章 市場動向と予測分析：地域別（2019年～2031年）

• 世界のアンモニア市場：地域別
• 北米
• 欧州
• アジア太平洋
• その他地域

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 業務統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • 世界のアンモニア市場における成長機会：タイプ別
  • 世界のアンモニア市場の成長機会：最終用途別
  • 世界のアンモニア市場の成長機会：地域別
• 世界のアンモニア市場の新たな動向
• 戦略分析
  • 新製品開発
  • 世界のアンモニア市場の生産能力拡大
  • 世界のアンモニア市場における合併、買収、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業の企業プロファイル

• Acron
• Koch Fertilizer
• Yara
• CF Industries Holdings
• Nutrien
• Qatar Fertiliser Company
• Togliattiazot

The future of the global ammonia market looks promising with opportunities in the agriculture, textiles, mining, pharmaceutical, and refrigeration markets. The global ammonia market is expected to reach an estimated $112.7 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are significantly expanding agricultural activity, higher adoption in the fertilizer industry, and increasing usage in the development of explosives.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, liquid will remain the largest segment over the forecast period due to its widespread usage in residential and commercial cleaning, as well as fertilizer applications.
• Within the end-use category, agriculture will remain the largest segment as ammonia helps improve crop health and maintain soil fertility.
• In terms of regions, APAC will remain the largest segment over the forecast period due to the increasing demand for agricultural food and the rising demand from the fertilizer industry in China and India.

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Emerging Trends in the Ammonia Market

This changing ammonia market demonstrates a number of key trends: sustainability, technological innovations, and new applications are shaping the future of the ammonia industry.

• Green Ammonia Production: The push for green ammonia continues to build with developments in electrolysis and renewable energy technologies. These advancements will help reduce carbon footprints and meet strict environmental regulations.
• Ammonia as a Hydrogen Carrier: Ammonia is increasingly recognized as an efficient hydrogen carrier. This trend makes it easier to store and transport hydrogen, overcoming some of the infrastructure challenges associated with hydrogen energy.
• Integration with Renewable Energy: Ammonia production is increasingly integrating renewable energy sources. This shift plays a significant role in transforming energy systems toward sustainability and reducing overdependence on fossil fuels.
• Technological Innovations: Advances in ammonia synthesis technologies, such as improved catalytic processes and energy-efficient methods, continue to enhance production efficiency, primarily by reducing costs.
• Expansion in Emerging Markets: With rapid industrialization and agricultural growth, emerging markets are driving the demand for ammonia. Investments in production and infrastructure are urgently needed to meet this rising demand.

These trends are reshaping the ammonia market, with sustainability being promoted, technology continuously improving, and global reach expanding.

Recent Developments in the Ammonia Market

Recent developments in the ammonia market indicate an unstoppable transformation driven by continuous technological improvement and changing market demand.

• Green Ammonia Initiatives: Investments in green ammonia technology have rapidly accelerated, with several pilot projects already underway. These projects aim to manufacture ammonia using renewable energy sources, thereby minimizing carbon emissions and aligning better with environmental concerns.
• Improved Efficiency Technologies: New catalytic and process technologies are being adopted to further streamline ammonia production. Efforts are focused on reducing energy consumption and operational costs, which will make ammonia production more economically viable.
• Ammonia as Hydrogen Carrier: Research and development concerning ammonia as a carrier for hydrogen continues. This involves exploring its potential for hydrogen storage and transportation, directly addressing the challenges surrounding hydrogen energy infrastructure.
• Increase in Production Capacity: Major producers in the industry are expanding their production capacity to meet the growing global demand for ammonia. Investments in new facilities or upgrades to existing ones will help ensure that market demand is met and supply chains are optimized.
• Changes in Policy and Regulation: Governments are introducing stricter environmental legislation related to ammonia production. Compliance with these regulations is driving investments in cleaner technologies and changes in production practices.

These factors are driving the ammonia market toward greater efficiency, sustainability, and adaptability.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Ammonia Market

The ammonia market presents several growth opportunities in various applications, driven by changing technological and market scenarios:

• Green Ammonia Production: One key growth opportunity is investment in technologies for producing green ammonia. This includes the development of processes that use renewable energy sources, aligning with global sustainability goals and the reduction of carbon footprints.
• Hydrogen Storage and Transportation: Ammonia is a hydrogen vector, and thus, new infrastructure for hydrogen storage and transportation presents new opportunities related to ammonia's role as a carrier. Innovations in this area will contribute to the wider acceptance of hydrogen energy solutions.
• Agricultural Applications: The increasing demand for fertilizers creates an opportunity to develop ammonia production for agricultural applications. Efficiency and sustainability in fertilizer use will drive market growth.
• Integration of Energy Sectors: In the future, ammonia could be used as either a fuel or an energy vector for electricity production. This sector could yield new growth opportunities for ammonia. Such integration could improve energy storage and reduce emissions.
• Growth in Emerging Markets: The rapid pace of industrialization in emerging markets opens up new opportunities for capacity building in ammonia production, including related infrastructure. Meeting the demands of these markets can lead to significant growth and market penetration.

These emerging opportunities are shaping the future of the ammonia market by enhancing its applications and expanding into new markets.

Ammonia Market Driver and Challenges

The market for ammonia is driven by various drivers and challenges in terms of technology, economics, and regulation.

The factors responsible for driving the ammonia market include:

• Technological Advancements: Innovations in ammonia production technologies, such as more efficient catalysts and processes, are major factors contributing to market growth by enhancing efficiency and reducing the cost of production.
• Environmental Regulations: Stricter environmental regulations are pushing the industry toward cleaner technologies and green ammonia production, in line with global sustainability goals.
• Demand for Fertilizers: Increasing demand for food production raises the need for agricultural fertilizers, making this sector a key driver of ammonia market growth.
• Energy Sector Developments: Developments in the energy sector open up new market opportunities and applications for ammonia as a fuel or energy carrier, driving demand and investment in the field.
• Infrastructure Investment: Investments in the infrastructure for production and distribution will further support the development of the market and enhance supply efficiency, both globally and regionally.

Challenges in the ammonia market include:

• High Production Cost: The high cost of producing green ammonia and investing in advanced technologies present challenges for producers.
• Compliance with Regulatory Bodies: Compliance with stringent environmental norms is often extensive, expensive to implement, and impacts production and profitability.
• Market Volatility: Fluctuations in raw material prices, along with global economic conditions, can affect market stability and profitability.

These drivers and challenges are, in fact, the shaping elements of the ammonia market, influencing production practices, regulatory compliance, and overall market dynamics.

List of Ammonia Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies ammonia companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the ammonia companies profiled in this report include-

• Acron
• Koch Fertilizer
• Yara
• CF Industries Holdings
• Nutrien
• Qatar Fertiliser Company
• Togliattiazot

Ammonia by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global ammonia market by type, end use, and region.

Ammonia Market by Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Liquid
• Powder
• Gas

Ammonia Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Agriculture
• Textiles
• Mining
• Pharmaceutical
• Refrigeration
• Others

Ammonia Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Ammonia Market

The ammonia market continues to evolve at an incredible pace, with dynamics, supply, legislation, and technologies in relentless shift around the world. These changes are driven by the move towards green alternatives, geopolitical shifts, and economic oscillations. Within this framework, the evolution of the major markets in the United States, China, Germany, India, and Japan reflects various strategies and the attendant challenges each country is facing.

• United States: Recent developments include green ammonia technologies. Major investments are being made in electrolysis and renewable energies in the U.S., making the sustainable production of ammonia possible and reducing carbon emissions. The Department of Energy has supported several projects focused on developing ammonia production methods with reduced costs using novel technologies.
• China: As the world's largest ammonia producer, China is scaling up capacity with new plants and upgraded technologies. The country has shown serious intent to control emissions from ammonia production as part of its broader environmental goals. Key initiatives include investments in cleaner, more efficient technologies.
• Germany: Germany is one of the frontrunners in attempting to bring green ammonia into the country's energy system. Several efforts have been made to use ammonia as a carrier for hydrogen, enabling energy storage and transportation technologies. Recently, pilot projects and partnerships to scale up green ammonia production have been developed.
• India: India has been actively expanding its ammonia production capacities to meet the ever-growing domestic demand, especially for fertilizers. The country aims to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of existing plants, modernize infrastructure with government support, and integrate renewable energy sources.
• Japan: Japan is planning to use ammonia as one of the fuels for power generation. Recent developments include co-firing ammonia with coal and gas to reduce carbon emissions from active power plants. Japan is also participating in international cooperation to develop ammonia technologies.

Features of the Global Ammonia Market

Market Size Estimates: Ammonia market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Ammonia market size by type, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Ammonia market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different types, end uses, and regions for the ammonia market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the ammonia market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the ammonia market by type (liquid, powder, and gas), end use (agriculture, textiles, mining, pharmaceutical, refrigeration, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Ammonia Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Ammonia Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Ammonia Market by Type
  • 3.3.1: Liquid
  • 3.3.2: Powder
  • 3.3.3: Gas
• 3.4: Global Ammonia Market by End Use
  • 3.4.1: Agriculture
  • 3.4.2: Textiles
  • 3.4.3: Mining
  • 3.4.4: Pharmaceutical
  • 3.4.5: Refrigeration
  • 3.4.6: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Ammonia Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Ammonia Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Type: Liquid, Powder, and Gas
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by End Use: Agriculture, Textiles, Mining, Pharmaceutical, Refrigeration, and Others
• 4.3: European Ammonia Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Type: Liquid, Powder, and Gas
  • 4.3.2: European Market by End Use: Agriculture, Textiles, Mining, Pharmaceutical, Refrigeration, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Ammonia Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Type: Liquid, Powder, and Gas
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by End Use: Agriculture, Textiles, Mining, Pharmaceutical, Refrigeration, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Ammonia Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Type: Liquid, Powder, and Gas
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by End Use: Agriculture, Textiles, Mining, Pharmaceutical, Refrigeration, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Ammonia Market by Type
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Ammonia Market by End Use
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Ammonia Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Ammonia Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Ammonia Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Ammonia Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: Acron
• 7.2: Koch Fertilizer
• 7.3: Yara
• 7.4: CF Industries Holdings
• 7.5: Nutrien
• 7.6: Qatar Fertiliser Company
• 7.7: Togliattiazot