Fiber Optic Connector & Mechanical Splice Global Market Forecast & Analysis 2020-2030
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当レポートでは、世界の光ファイバーコネクタとメカニカルスプライスの市場について分析し、製品の概略や市場の最新動向、主な市場促進・抑制要因、世界全体の市場規模 (金額・数量ベース) および平均価格の動向見通し (2030年まで)、地域別および製品種類別・用途別の詳細動向、主要企業のプロファイルと主力製品／サービス、新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) 感染拡大の影響、といった情報を取りまとめてお届けいたします。
This is the ElectroniCast forecast of global consumption and technology trends of fiber optic connectors and mechanical splices. We believe clients will find this report useful for planning of product and market development. Historical estimated data are presented for 2020, plus the year-by-year forecast through 2030.
This analysis and forecast and of America, EMEA and APAC regional consumption is presented for selected fiber optic connector and mechanical splice used in selected communication applications. The forecast for each connector type, in turn, is segmented into each geographical region.
The information is presented in easy-to-follow illustrations and text. A global summary also is provided. The report also outlines the market research methodology followed. There are over 120 vendors competing for the global fiber optic connector/mechanical splice market, which ElectroniCast tracks in a product matrix showing participation in the following: connectors, cable assemblies, optical backplanes, and fiber optic installation apparatus; however, is dominated by a few companies that have a broad base in various interconnect products.
The ElectroniCast connector market forecast is built up from specific segments. The three major categories: single-mode, multimode and mechanical splices are further broken down as shown in Table 1.
The end applications for the selected fiber optic connectors discussed in this study report are itemized in Table 2.
Note: Cover image credit: Freepik Company, S.L.
Fiber Optic Connector Product Category List
Fiber Optic Connector Application Category List
This report presents the ElectroniCast market forecast of the use of fiber optic cleavers and strippers. This report provides the consumption by the following functions:
This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually since 1985, but updated through the end of April of 2021. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, military/ aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/ laboratory - R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of 40/100GbE MPO (and other) fiber optic connectors.
The interviews were conducted principally with:
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers of Fiber optic connectors & splices also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the North American market for optical interconnect products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
May 2021 - The coronavirus pandemic remains a grave concern throughout the world. In some countries, all "non-essential" businesses are closed, employment is affected by quarantine of the public. Depending on political, economic, health and several other consideration factors, these restrictions could be extended several more months. Because of the impact on production, supply, decreases in sales, slowdowns in marketing, shipment and implementation (and other) caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), we estimated a slowdown in consumption in 2020; however, driven by the immediate need to expand bandwidth in multiple applications, we are forecasting an increasingly strong recovery.
ElectroniCast's methodology in determining the slowdown of the increase in consumption (use) of fiber optic connectors, begins with the volume (quantity) forecast before any considerations of the coronavirus impact. Then, we evaluated current manufacturing (not only connectors, but all relative components, products and services), inventory, distribution channels, shipping, logistics, sales/marketing channels, installation and maintenance, and user restrictions, with the emphasis on actual possibility of installations for both essential and non-essential or selective implementation of communication networks or other. Other considerations include: financial/economy in general, employment (staffing) of all levels, such as design, implementation, production, marketing/sales, management, OEM capability and product/service demand, distributors, sales agents, customers (at all levels), and many other concerns were considered.
All of the volume (unit quantity) evaluations were followed by evaluation of average selling price assessment, based on all of the (same) volume methodology assessments.
ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data base structure are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.
ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward communication equipment usage and economic payback.
The quantities of network switches, optical fiber/cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, VCSELs, couplers/splitters, isolators, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check."
ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively. The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.