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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1629858
脱炭素化の世界市場(2024年~2031年)Global Decarbonization Market - 2024-2031 |
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カスタマイズ可能
適宜更新あり
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脱炭素化の世界市場(2024年~2031年) |
出版日: 2024年12月30日
発行: DataM Intelligence
ページ情報: 英文 204 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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脱炭素化の世界市場は2023年に1兆8,400億米ドルに達し、2031年には4兆3,800億米ドルに達すると予測され、予測期間2024年~2031年のCAGRは11.42%で成長する見込みです。
世界の脱炭素化市場は、政府、企業、団体が気候変動への対応や持続可能性の目標達成に向けた取り組みを強化していることから、急速に拡大しています。脱炭素化とは、産業、商業、住宅部門全体を通じて、二酸化炭素(CO2)やその他の温室効果ガスの排出を削減または排除するプロセスを指します。これは一般に、よりクリーンなエネルギー源への転換、エネルギー効率の向上、炭素回収技術の利用によって達成されます。
脱炭素化市場は、世界の排出量削減を目的とした政府の強力な規制と国際協定によって活性化されています。約200カ国の賛同を得たパリ協定は、世界の気温上昇を産業革命以前の水準から2℃を大幅に下回る水準に抑えるという高い目標を設定し、1.5℃という熱望的な目標も掲げています。その結果、世界各国政府はカーボンニュートラルまたはネットゼロエミッションの目標を設定しました。例えば、欧州連合(EU)は、欧州グリーンディールの下、2050年までに初の気候ニュートラル大陸となることを約束しており、これは脱炭素化技術の需要に大きな影響を与えると思われます。
アジア太平洋は脱炭素化ソリューションの最も急成長している市場であり、エネルギー需要の増加、持続可能性を優先する政府の政策、気候変動への対応の必要性の認識の高まりがその原動力となっています。中国、インド、日本、東南アジアを含むアジア太平洋の新興経済大国は、二酸化炭素排出量の削減と低炭素経済への移行を大幅に進めています。
世界経済フォーラムによれば、中国とインドを含むアジアは、2040年までに世界のエネルギー需要の43%を占めるようになります。さらに、同地域はその年の需要増の50%以上に貢献し、世界のエネルギー転換における重要なアクターとしての地位を確固たるものにします。
ダイナミクス
脱炭素化における技術の進歩
脱炭素化の取り組みは、エネルギー貯蔵、再生可能エネルギー、炭素回収・貯留(CCS)の技術革新に大きく依存しています。化石燃料とのコスト競争力を高めるため、太陽光、風力、水力発電は市場シェアを拡大し続けています。国際再生可能エネルギー機関(IRENA)によれば、2010年から2020年にかけて、太陽光発電による電力コストは89%低下し、洋上風力発電のコストは70%低下しています。これらの開発は、より健康的なエネルギー源への移行を助け、石炭・石油・天然ガスへの依存を減らしています。
直接空気回収と点源回収が産業プロセスに組み込まれ、炭素回収技術、特にCCUSが脱炭素化の焦点となっています。国際エネルギー機関(IEA)の持続可能な開発シナリオによると、2070年までにエネルギー部門からの世界のCO2純排出量をゼロにする場合、炭素回収・貯留(CCS)は、2050年までに年間約56億トン(GtCO2/年)の二酸化炭素を削減する役割を果たし、これは現在の年間4,000万トンの約140倍に相当します。
グリーン技術への重点投資
現在、脱炭素化マーケットプレースは、再生可能エネルギー技術への投資によって最も大きく牽引されています。この移行は、より広範な移行の一要素であり、国際エネルギー機関(IEA)は、化石燃料に対する再生可能エネルギーの投資比率は、現在、化石燃料への投資1ドルあたりほぼ2ドルになっていると報告しています。例えば、2022年の米国インフレ抑制法(IRA)はその顕著な例です。この法律では、再生可能エネルギーへの取り組みに3,690億米ドルが割り当てられ、再生可能電力や炭素回収技術への補助金が含まれています。
政府補助金、税額控除、金融優遇措置により、これらの技術の早期導入が奨励されています。一例として、国際エネルギー機関(IEA)は、2024年には太陽光発電技術への投資額だけで5,000億米ドルを超えると予測しています。さらに、各国が再生可能エネルギー源の統合に向けた取り組みを強化しているため、新たに獲得される電力のかなりの部分が送電網インフラに割り当てられることになります。
規制の不確実性と資金調達の課題
脱炭素化に対する世界のコミットメントにもかかわらず、政策の矛盾と規制の不確実性は、移行を加速させる上で依然として重要な課題です。多くの国々が長期的な気候変動目標を設定している一方で、特に新興諸国では、短期的な政策の実施にばらつきが残っています。国際エネルギー機関(IEA)は、分断を避け、低炭素経済への円滑な移行を確保するため、より明確な政策シグナルと国際協力の強化を求めています。
さらに、クリーンエネルギーへの投資は拡大しているもの、特に途上国では資金調達に大きなギャップがあります。国際金融公社(IFC)は、2030年までにネットゼロエミッションへの世界的移行には23兆米ドルが必要であると見積もっているが、現在の資金水準では不足しています。民間セクターの資金、特に中小企業や新興国向けの資金を動員することは、世界の脱炭素化目標を達成する上で極めて重要です。
Global Decarbonization Market reached US$ 1.84 trillion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 4.38 trillion by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 11.42% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The global decarbonization market is rapidly expanding due to governments, corporations and organizations escalating their initiatives to address climate change and achieve sustainability objectives. Decarbonization refers to the process of decreasing or eliminating carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gas emissions throughout the industrial, commercial and residential sectors. This is generally accomplished through the shift to cleaner energy sources, enhancements in energy efficiency and the use of carbon capture technologies.
The decarbonization market is fueled by strong governmental regulations and international agreements aimed at lowering global emissions. The Paris Agreement, endorsed by almost 200 nations, established lofty objectives to restrict global temperature increase to much below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, with an aspirational target of 1.5°C. Consequently, governments globally have established carbon neutrality or net-zero emission objectives. For instance, the European Union has committed to being the first climate-neutral continent by 2050 under its European Green Deal, which will have a considerable impact on the demand for decarbonization technologies.
Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing market for decarbonization solutions, driven by the growing demand for energy, government policies that prioritize sustainability and the growing recognition of the necessity to address climate change. Some of the largest emergent economies in APAC, including China, India, Japan and Southeast Asia, are making substantial progress in the reduction of carbon emissions and the transition to a low-carbon economy.
By 2040, Asia, which encompasses China and India, will account for 43% of global energy demand, according to the World Economic Forum. Additionally, the region will contribute over 50% of the demand growth during that year, solidifying its position as a key actor in the global energy transition.
Dynamics
Technological Advancements in Decarbonization
Decarbonization initiatives are highly dependent on technological innovations in energy storage, renewable energy and carbon capture and storage (CCS). In order to become more cost-competitive with fossil fuels, solar, wind and hydroelectric power continue to expand their market share. From 2010 to 2020, the cost of electricity from solar photovoltaics has decreased by 89%, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), while offshore wind energy costs have decreased by 70%. The developments are aiding in the transition to healthier energy sources and decreasing the dependence on coal, oil and natural gas.
Direct air capture and point-source capture are being integrated into industrial processes and carbon capture technologies, particularly CCUS, have become a focal point for decarbonization. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) Sustainable Development Scenario, in which net global CO2 emissions from the energy sector are eliminated by 2070, carbon capture and storage (CCS) is responsible for the mitigation of approximately 5.6 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide annually by 2050 (GtCO2/yr), which is approximately 140 times the current level of 40 million tonnes per year.
Heavy Investment in Green Technologies
Currently, the decarbonization marketplace is most significantly driven by investment in renewable energy technologies. This transition is a component of a broader transition and the International Energy Agency (IEA) has reported that the investment ratio of renewable energy to fossil fuels is now nearly two dollars per dollar of investment in fossil fuels. For instance, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022 constitutes a stark U.S. example. This legislation allocates $369 billion to sustainable energy initiatives, which encompass subsidies for renewable electricity and carbon capture technologies.
Government subsidies, tax credits and financial incentives encourage the early adoption of these technologies. As an example, the International Energy Agency predicts that the investment in solar photovoltaic technology alone will surpass US$ 500 billion in 2024, which is the highest amount of investment in any single energy technology globally for new power generation. Furthermore, a significant portion of the newly acquired power will be allocated to grid infrastructure as nations intensify their efforts to integrate renewable energy sources.
Regulatory Uncertainty and Financing Challenges
Despite the global commitment to decarbonization, policy inconsistency and regulatory uncertainty remain key challenges in accelerating the transition. While many countries have established long-term climate goals, the implementation of short-term policies, particularly in developing nations, remains uneven. The International Energy Agency (IEA) calls for clearer policy signals and greater international cooperation to avoid fragmentation and ensure a smooth transition to a low-carbon economy.
Furthermore, While investment in clean energy is growing, there are still significant gaps in financing, particularly in developing nations. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) estimates that US$ 23 trillion will be required for the global transition to net-zero emissions by 2030, but current funding levels fall short. Mobilizing private sector financing, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and emerging economies, will be crucial to meeting global decarbonization targets.
The global decarbonization market is segmented based on service, technology, deployment, end-user and region.
The Demand for Renewable Energy Transition
The renewable energy sector is at the forefront of the global decarbonization market, with projections indicating that it must account for at least 90% of global power generation by 2050 in order to meet the climate targets established by international agreements. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) underscores that solar, wind and hydropower will serve as the primary sources of energy during this transition. The energy landscape is anticipated to be dominated by these renewable sources, necessitating significant investments in battery storage capacity to solve the problems associated with intermittent power supply.
Enhancing energy storage infrastructure and expanding the implemented capacity of renewable technologies are essential components of a comprehensive strategy to accomplish these ambitious objectives. Renewable energy units will be substituted for existing fossil fuel power plants during the transition, which is crucial for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. However, this transition results in elevated electricity expenses and necessitates planning to guarantee equitable energy access, as lower-income populations may be disproportionately affected.
High Technology Adoption Rates and Strong Consumer Awareness in North America
North America is currently at the forefront of the decarbonization initiative as a result of technological advancements, government incentives and regulatory frameworks. It is expected that US will remain the largest market for decarbonization technologies, such as renewable energy, electric vehicles and carbon capture methods. In comparison to emission levels in 2005, US government has committed to a 50% to 52% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030.
The reduction is accomplished through infrastructure projects and clean energy investments, which encompass the adoption of electric vehicles, the advancement of clean energy technology and the utilization and storage of carbon capture and utilization (CCUS). Similarly, the Decarbonization Incentive Program (DIP) of Canada is designed to support the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and encourage the long-term decarbonization of the country's industrial sectors. The demand for decarbonization in the region was further bolstered by this initiative.
The major global players in the market include Ernst & Young Global Limited, DNV, Armstrong International Inc., Boston Consulting Group, ABB, Deloitte, Arup, MAN, Siemens and Wartsila.
Sustainability Analysis
The decarbonization market is intrinsically linked to global sustainability objectives, focusing on reducing carbon footprints and combating climate change. As countries and organizations increasingly recognize the urgency of addressing climate issues, the demand for low-carbon technologies is surging. The transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, is crucial in achieving international climate targets and fostering a sustainable future.
Moreover, many companies are committing to climate change mitigation by publicly disclosing their emissions and setting ambitious reduction targets. Initiatives like the science-based target initiatives and the UN's Global Compact are witnessing increased corporate participation, reflecting a growing recognition of sustainability's importance in business strategies. This evolution not only aids in reducing greenhouse gas emissions but also aligns with broader environmental goals, thereby paving the way for a resilient and sustainable economic future.
AI Impact
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing the decarbonization market by optimizing processes, enabling predictive analytics and driving innovative solutions that accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy. AI algorithms predict energy demand patterns, helping grid operators balance supply and demand more effectively. For instance, Google DeepMind has partnered with utilities to forecast energy consumption, reducing reliance on carbon-intensive backup systems.
AI-driven systems are revolutionizing carbon emissions tracking and management, which is critical for regulatory compliance and achieving decarbonization targets. Similarly, AI supports decarbonization in transportation by optimizing logistics, improving fuel efficiency and advancing autonomous vehicle technologies. Furthermore, AI models simulate the impact of various decarbonization strategies, helping governments and organizations prioritize investments and policies.
The global decarbonization market report would provide approximately 70 tables, 70 figures and 204 pages.
Target Audience 2024
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