アルミニウムの世界市場規模：製品タイプ別、エンドユーザー別、地域範囲別、予測

アルミニウムの市場規模と予測

アルミニウムの世界市場規模は、2024年に1,616億2,000万米ドルと評価され、2026年から2032年にかけて2.60%のCAGRで成長し、2032年には1,947億3,000万米ドルに達すると予測されています。

アルミニウムは軽量で可鍛性のある金属で、耐食性に優れ、強度重量比が高いです。地殻中で3番目に多く存在する元素であり、主にボーキサイトからバイヤー法として知られる精製方法を用いて抽出されます。

アルミニウムは、自動車、航空機、建築、包装、消費財など、多くの産業で広く使用されています。その用途には、自動車フレーム、航空部品、窓枠、飲料缶などがあります。アルミニウムは燃費がよく、特に電気自動車では車体の軽量化が可能なため、自動車業界で人気が高まっています。

アルミニウムの将来は、輸送や建設における軽量素材への需要の高まりとリサイクル技術の進歩により、明るい見通しです。持続可能性が重視される中、再生アルミニウムは一次アルミニウムよりも生産に使用するエネルギーがはるかに少ないため、市場で重要な役割を果たすと予測されます。

アルミニウムの世界市場力学

世界のアルミニウム市場を形成している主な市場力学は以下の通りです：

主な市場促進要因

自動車産業における需要の増加：燃費向上と汚染低減を目的とした自動車業界の軽量化シフトは、アルミニウム市場の主要促進要因です。アルミニウム協会によると、北米の小型車に含まれる平均アルミニウム含有量は、1975年の84ポンドから2020年には1台当たり459ポンドに増加します。欧州アルミニウム協会によると、欧州の自動車生産におけるアルミニウム使用量は2019年の180kgから2025年には230kgに増加すると予測されています。この動向を後押ししているのは、厳しい環境規制と、バッテリーの航続距離を延ばすために軽量素材に大きく依存する電気自動車部門の増加です。

建設産業の拡大：新興経済諸国を中心とする建築業界の台頭は、アルミニウムの需要を増大させています。オックスフォードエコノミクスの「Global building 2030」調査によると、2030年までに建築生産高は世界全体で85%増の15兆5,000億米ドルに達し、中国、米国、インドがその先頭に立ちます。米国地質調査所（United States Geological Survey）によると、2022年の米国におけるアルミニウム総消費量のうち、建築・建設が占める割合は約11%に達します。世界最大のアルミニウム消費国である中国の国家統計局は、2022年の不動産開発への投資額が13兆3,000億元（約2兆米ドル）に達すると推定しており、アルミニウムを含む建設資材の需要が引き続き高いことを示しています。

包装分野での使用の増加：包装業界では、持続可能でリサイクル可能な素材への転換を推進しており、これがアルミニウム需要を押し上げています。欧州アルミニウム協会によると、欧州における飲料用アルミ缶のリサイクル率は2019年に76.1%に上昇しました。アルミニウム協会によると、アルミ缶のリサイクル率は約50%で、他のほとんどの飲料容器よりも高いです。

再生可能エネルギー分野での採用の増加：再生可能エネルギー分野、特に太陽光発電と風力発電の増加がアルミニウムの需要を押し上げています。国際エネルギー機関（IEA）によると、再生可能エネルギーの設備容量は、2023年には2022年比で107GW（17%）増加すると予測されています。アルミニウムはソーラーパネルのフレームや風力タービンのブレードの主要材料です。米国エネルギー省は、2035年までに100%クリーン電力を達成すると、エネルギー部門だけでアルミニウム需要が40%増加すると予測しています。さらに、Global Wind Energy Councilは、2022年から2026年の間に世界中で557GWの新規発電容量が追加されると予測しており、風力タービン部品におけるアルミニウムの需要をさらに押し上げることになります。

主な課題

原材料価格の変動：原材料価格の変動、特にボーキサイトとアルミナの価格変動は、アルミニウムの製造コストに大きな影響を与えます。地政学的紛争、貿易政策、サプライチェーンの混乱はすべて、価格変動を引き起こす可能性があります。例えば、世界のインフレとエネルギー問題の結果としてのエネルギーコストの上昇も、アルミニウム価格に影響を及ぼしています。

環境規制と持続可能性への圧力：アルミニウム部門は、環境への影響、特に工業プロセスからの炭素排出について、ますます厳しい監視下に置かれています。温室効果ガスの排出を削減するための法律が強化され、よりクリーンな技術に投資しなければならない生産者にとっては課題となっています。持続可能性目標を達成することは、操業コストの上昇につながり、収益性に影響を与えます。

代替品との競合：アルミニウムは、特に自動車・航空宇宙産業で、プラスチックや高機能複合材などの代替素材との競合に直面しています。これらの代替材料は、同等の性能を低コストまたは軽量で実現することが多いです。これらの材料の技術革新が進むにつれ、アルミニウムメーカーは、市場シェアを維持するために、アルミニウム固有の特性をアピールしていかなければなりません。

貿易障壁と関税：アルミニウム市場は、各国によって設定された関税や割当などの国際貿易規制の影響を大きく受けています。こうした制約は、特に輸入アルミや輸入部品に依存している産業にとって、市場アクセスを制限し、サプライチェーンを混乱させる可能性があります。米国やその他の地域で最近行われたアルミニウム輸入に対する課税は、国内産業のコストを上昇させました。

主要動向

持続可能な生産慣行：環境規制が強化され、消費者がより環境に優しい製品を求めるようになるにつれ、アルミニウム生産における持続可能性が重視されるようになっています。企業は、再生可能エネルギー源を製錬事業に取り入れるなど、環境に配慮した技術に投資しています。国際アルミニウム協会は、これまでに生産されたアルミニウムの75％以上が現在も使用されていると推定しており、そのリサイクル可能性と環境への影響の低さを裏付けています。

電気自動車（EV）の需要増加：電気自動車への移行は、アルミニウム需要を劇的に増加させています。アルミニウムは軽量であるためEVの製造に適しており、エネルギー効率を高め、航続距離を伸ばすことができます。アルミニウム協会の報告書によると、2025年までに自動車セクターがアルミニウム市場の約20%を占めると予測されており、その主な要因は電気自動車の拡大です。

建設分野での使用の増加：軽量、強度、耐食性に優れているため、建築分野でのアルミニウムの使用が増加しています。この動向は、新興国市場における都市化とインフラ開拓プロジェクトによって加速しています。報告書によると、アルミニウムの用途で最も急成長しているのは建設であり、市場拡大に大きく貢献すると予想されます。

リサイクル技術の進歩：アルミニウムのリサイクル技術の革新は、回収率を高めると同時に、リサイクル過程でのエネルギー使用量を減らしています。再生アルミニウムは、一次アルミニウムの生成に必要なエネルギーのわずか5%しか使用しないため、この開発は不可欠です。世界の再生アルミニウム市場は、こうした開発と持続可能性への関心の高まりにより、急成長すると予測されます。

目次

第1章 世界のアルミニウム市場の導入

• 市場概要
• 調査範囲
• 前提条件

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 VERIFIED MARKET RESEARCHの調査手法

• データマイニング
• バリデーション
• 一次資料
• データソース一覧

第4章 世界のアルミニウム市場の展望

• 概要
• 市場力学
  • 促進要因
  • 抑制要因
  • 機会
• ポーターのファイブフォースモデル
• バリューチェーン分析

第5章 アルミニウムの世界市場：タイプ別

• 概要
• 純アルミニウム
• アルミニウム合金

第6章 アルミニウムの世界市場：製品別

• 概要
• 板
• シート・箔
• ケーブル・ワイヤー
• その他

第7章 アルミニウムの世界市場：エンドユーザー別

• 概要
• 輸送
• 電気
• 建設
• 箔・包装
• その他

第8章 アルミニウムの世界市場：地域別

• 概要
• 北米
  • 米国
  • カナダ
  • メキシコ
• 欧州
  • ドイツ
  • 英国
  • フランス
  • その他欧州
• アジア太平洋
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • インド
  • その他アジア太平洋
• 世界のその他の地域
  • ラテンアメリカ
  • 中東

第9章 世界のアルミニウム市場の競合情勢

• 概要
• 各社の市場ランキング
• 主な発展戦略

第10章 企業プロファイル

• Novelis Inc
• Alcoa Corporation
• Emirates Global Aluminum PJSC
• Aluminium Corporation of China Limited（CHALCO）
• China Hongqiao Group Ltd.
• United Company RUSAL Plc.
• China Power Investment Corp.（CPI）
• East Hope Group Company Limited
• Rio Tinto Alcan Inc.
• Xinfa Group Co., Ltd.
• Xinfa Group Co.

第11章 付録

• 関連調査

Aluminum Market Size And Forecast

Global Aluminum Market size was valued at USD 161.62 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 194.73 Billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 2.60% from 2026 to 2032.

Aluminum is a lightweight, malleable metal with great corrosion resistance and a high strength-to-weight ratio. It is the third most prevalent element in the Earth's crust and is largely extracted from bauxite using a refining method known as the Bayer process.

Aluminum is widely employed in a number of industries, including automotive, aircraft, construction, packaging, and consumer goods. Its applications include automobile frames, aviation components, window frames, and beverage cans. Aluminum is gaining popularity in the automobile industry due to its fuel economy and capacity to reduce vehicle weight, particularly in electric cars.

The future of aluminum is positive, driven by growing demand for lightweight materials in transportation and construction, as well as advancements in recycling technology. With the growing emphasis on sustainability, recycled aluminum is projected to play an important role in the market because it uses much less energy to produce than primary aluminum.

Global Aluminum Market Dynamics

The key market dynamics that are shaping the global aluminum market include:

Key Market Drivers:

Growing Demand in the Automotive Industry: The automobile industry's shift toward lightweight vehicles to enhance fuel efficiency and decrease pollution is a major driver of the aluminum market. According to the Aluminum Association, the average aluminum content in North American light vehicles increased to 459 pounds per vehicle in 2020, up from 84 pounds in 1975. According to the European Aluminium Association, the use of aluminum in European car production is predicted to rise from 180 kg in 2019 to 230 kg by 2025. This trend is being driven by strict environmental rules and the increasing electric car sector, which relies largely on lightweight materials to extend battery range.

Expansion of the Construction Industry: The rise of the building industry, particularly in developing economies, is increasing demand for aluminum. According to Oxford Economics' Global building 2030 research, building output would increase by 85% to USD 15.5 Trillion globally by 2030, with China, the United States, and India leading the way. According to the United States Geological Survey, building and construction will account for approximately 11% of total aluminum consumption in the United States in 2022. The National Bureau of Statistics in China, the world's top aluminum consumer, estimated that investment in real estate development will reach 13.3 trillion yuan (about USD 2 Trillion) in 2022, indicating that construction materials, including aluminum, will remain in high demand.

Increasing Use in Packaging: The packaging industry's push to sustainable and recyclable materials is driving up aluminum demand. According to the European Aluminium Association, the recycling rate for aluminum beverage cans in Europe increased to 76.1% in 2019. According to the Aluminum Association, aluminum cans are recycled at a rate of approximately 50%, which is higher than that of most other beverage containers.

Rising Adoption in Renewable Energy Sector: The increasing renewable energy sector, particularly solar and wind power, is pushing up demand for aluminum. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), renewable energy capacity additions are projected to increase by 107 GW (17%) in 2023 compared to 2022. Aluminum is a key material in solar panel frames and wind turbine blades. The US Department of Energy forecasts that achieving 100% clean electricity by 2035 might result in a 40% increase in aluminum demand from the energy sector alone. Additionally, the Global Wind Energy Council projects that 557 GW of new capacity will be added worldwide between 2022 and 2026, further driving demand for aluminum in wind turbine components.

Key Challenges:

Volatility in Raw Material Prices: Raw material price fluctuations, particularly those for bauxite and alumina, have a considerable impact on aluminum manufacturing costs. Geopolitical conflicts, trade policies, and supply chain disruptions all have the potential to cause price volatility. For example, increased energy costs as a result of global inflation and energy problems have also had an impact on aluminum pricing.

Environmental Regulation and Sustainability Pressure: The aluminum sector is under growing scrutiny for its environmental impact, particularly carbon emissions from industrial processes. Stricter laws to reduce greenhouse gas emissions present a challenge for producers, who must invest in cleaner technologies. Meeting sustainability targets can lead to higher operational costs, which influence profitability.

Competition from Substitutes: Aluminum faces competition from alternative materials such as plastics and sophisticated composites, particularly in the automotive and aerospace industries. These alternatives frequently give comparable performance qualities at lower costs or in lighter weights. As innovation in these materials continues, aluminum makers must promote aluminum's inherent characteristics in order to maintain market share.

Trade Barriers and Tariffs: The aluminium market is heavily influenced by international trade regulations, such as tariffs and quotas set by various countries. These constraints can restrict market access and disrupt supply chains, especially for industries that rely on imported aluminium or components. Recent taxes on aluminium imports in the United States and other regions have raised costs for domestic industries.

Key Trends:

Sustainable Production Practices: As environmental restrictions tighten and consumers want more eco-friendly products, there is a growing emphasis on sustainability in aluminum production. Companies are investing in green technologies, such as incorporating renewable energy sources into smelting operations. The International Aluminum Institute estimated that more than 75% of the aluminum ever produced is still in use today, underlining its recyclability and low environmental effect.

Rising Demand for Electric Vehicles (EVs): The transition to electric vehicles is dramatically increasing aluminum demand. Aluminum is preferred for EV manufacture because it is lightweight, which improves energy efficiency and increases vehicle range. According to a report by the Aluminium Association, the automotive sector is predicted to account for around 20% of the aluminum market by 2025, driven mostly by the expansion of electric vehicles.

Increasing Use in Construction: Aluminum is increasingly being used in construction due to its lightweight, strength, and corrosion resistance. This trend is accelerated by urbanization and infrastructure development projects in emerging markets. According to reports, one of the fastest-growing uses for aluminum is expected to be construction, which will considerably contribute to market expansion.

Technological Advancements in Recycling: Aluminum recycling technology innovations are increasing recovery rates while decreasing energy usage during the recycling process. This development is essential since recycled aluminum uses only 5% of the energy required to generate primary aluminum. The global recycled aluminum market is predicted to grow rapidly, driven by these developments and the increased focus on sustainability.

Global Aluminum Market Regional Analysis

Here is a more detailed regional analysis of the global aluminum market:

Asia Pacific:

The Asia Pacific region is expected to dominate the global aluminum market, accounting for a significant portion of production and consumption. This supremacy is partly due to the strong manufacturing capabilities of nations such as China and India, where demand for aluminum is fueled by the thriving automotive, construction, and electronics sectors. In July 2024 Hindalco Industries announced intentions to invest $100 million in boosting its aluminum rolling capacity. This strategic initiative aims to address the growing demand for aluminum goods in a variety of industries, emphasizing the region's critical role in the worldwide market.

In September 2024, the Chinese government announced new laws to improve the sustainability of aluminum manufacturing by promoting low-carbon technologies and boosting investments in renewable energy sources. This regulatory system seeks to lessen the environmental impact of aluminum production while also assisting the country's transition to a more sustainable economy. Such government measures, together with robust industrial expansion, strengthen Asia Pacific's position as a major player in the global aluminum market.

North America:

North America is fast growing in the worldwide aluminum market, owing to strong demand from the transportation, building, and electrical sectors. The region has witnessed tremendous investment from big corporations, spurred by the need for lightweight materials to improve fuel efficiency and reduce emissions. For instance, in August 2024, Alcoa Corporation announced a USD 150 Million expansion of its bauxite facilities in Brazil, with the goal of ensuring a reliable supply chain for aluminum production in North America. This move demonstrates how companies are investing in their operations to fulfill the increased demand for aluminum while remaining sustainable.

In July 2024, the United States government announced new incentives to encourage the production of low-carbon aluminum, stressing sustainability and reduced environmental impact. These programs aim to boost domestic production while reducing dependency on foreign aluminum sources, ensuring the region's competitiveness. The dedication of business and government demonstrates a coordinated effort to advance innovation and sustainability in the North American aluminum sector.

Global Aluminum Market: Segmentation Analysis

The Global Aluminum Market is segmented on the basis of By Type, By Product, By End-User and Geography.

Global Aluminum Market, By Type

• Pure Aluminum
• Aluminum Alloys

Based on Type, the Global Aluminum Market is segmented into Pure Aluminum, Aluminum Alloys. Aluminum alloys is the dominant segment due to its broad use in a variety of industries, including automotive, aerospace, and construction. The Pure Aluminum segment, while important, has a smaller market share than aluminum alloys. The Aluminum Alloys market is likewise the fastest-growing, driven by rising demand for lightweight materials that improve fuel efficiency and lower emissions in transportation applications, as well as expanding infrastructure development.

Global Aluminum Market, By Product

• Plates
• Sheets & Foils
• Cables and Wires

Based on Product, the Global Aluminum Market is segmented into Plates, Sheets & Foils, Cables and Wires. The sheets & foils segment is the dominating one, owing to their widespread use in packaging, automotive, and construction applications that require lightweight and corrosion-resistant materials. The Cables and Wires market is the fastest-growing, driven by increased demand for electrical and electronic applications, particularly in renewable energy and infrastructure projects, as industries seek more efficient and long-lasting wiring solutions.

Global Aluminum Market, By End-User

• Transportation
• Electrical
• Construction

Based on End-User, the Global Aluminum Market is segmented into Transportation, Electrical, and Construction. The transportation segment is the market leader, owing to the growing usage of aluminum in automotive and aerospace applications, where lightweight materials are critical for improving fuel efficiency and lowering emissions. The electrical section is the fastest-growing, driven by expanding demand for aluminum in electrical wiring and components, particularly in renewable energy sectors like solar and wind power, as well as the rise of smart grid technology.

Global Aluminum Market, By Geography

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• Rest of the World

Based on the Geography, the Global Aluminum Market are classified into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of World. Asia Pacific is the main region, accounting for a sizable percentage of production and consumption thanks to its powerful industrial sector, particularly in nations such as China and India, which are big aluminum producers. North America is the fastest-growing region, driven by increased demand from the transportation and construction sectors, as well as continuous expenditures in infrastructure and sustainable energy programs, resulting in an increase in aluminum usage in these industries.

Key Players

The "Global Aluminum Market" study report will provide valuable insight with an emphasis on the global market. The major players in the market are Novelis, Inc., Alcoa Corporation, Emirates Global Aluminum PJSC, Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (CHALCO), China Hongqiao Group Ltd., United Company RUSAL Plc., China Power Investment Corp. (CPI), East Hope Group Company Limited, Rio Tinto Alcan, Inc., and Xinfa Group Co., Ltd.

Our market analysis also entails a section solely dedicated to such major players wherein our analysts provide an insight into the financial statements of all the major players, along with its product benchmarking and SWOT analysis. The competitive landscape section also includes key development strategies, market share, and market ranking analysis of the above-mentioned players globally.

• Global Aluminum Market: Recent Developments
• In July 2024, Norsk Hydro ASA signed a long-term supply arrangement with a major automotive manufacturer for low-carbon aluminum. This collaboration demonstrates the increased need for sustainable materials in the automobile industry, as manufacturers strive to decrease their entire carbon footprint in accordance with consumer expectations and regulatory mandates.
• In September 2024, Rio Tinto and Alcoa formed a joint venture called ELYSIS to produce aluminum without emitting greenhouse gases. The alliance intends to develop a new smelting method that uses inert anodes to drastically reduce the carbon footprint of aluminum production, in line with global sustainability standards.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION OF GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET

• 1.1 Overview of the Market
• 1.2 Scope of Report
• 1.3 Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY OF VERIFIED MARKET RESEARCH

• 3.1 Data Mining
• 3.2 Validation
• 3.3 Primary Interviews
• 3.4 List of Data Sources

4 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET OUTLOOK

• 4.1 Overview
• 4.2 Market Dynamics
  • 4.2.1 Drivers
  • 4.2.2 Restraints
  • 4.2.3 Opportunities
• 4.3 Porters Five Force Model
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis

5 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET, BY TYPE

• 5.1 Overview
• 5.2 Pure Aluminum
• 5.3 Aluminum Alloys

6 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET, BY PRODUCT

• 6.1 Overview
• 6.2 Plates
• 6.3 Sheets & Foils
• 6.4 Cables and Wires
• 6.5 Others

7 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET, BY END USER

• 7.1 Overview
• 7.2 Transportation
• 7.3 Electrical
• 7.4 Construction
• 7.5 Foils & Packaging
• 7.6 Others

8 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET, BY GEOGRAPHY

• 8.1 Overview
• 8.2 North America
  • 8.2.1 U.S.
  • 8.2.2 Canada
  • 8.2.3 Mexico
• 8.3 Europe
  • 8.3.1 Germany
  • 8.3.2 U.K.
  • 8.3.3 France
  • 8.3.4 Rest of Europe
• 8.4 Asia Pacific
  • 8.4.1 China
  • 8.4.2 Japan
  • 8.4.3 India
  • 8.4.4 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 8.5 Rest of the World
  • 8.5.1 Latin America
  • 8.5.2 Middle East And Forecast

9 GLOBAL ALUMINUM MARKET COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 9.1 Overview
• 9.2 Company Market Ranking
• 9.3 Key Development Strategies

10 COMPANY PROFILES

• 10.1 Novelis Inc
  • 10.1.1 Overview
  • 10.1.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.1.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.1.4 Key Developments
• 10.2 Alcoa Corporation
  • 10.2.1 Overview
  • 10.2.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.2.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.2.4 Key Developments
• 10.3 Emirates Global Aluminum PJSC
  • 10.3.1 Overview
  • 10.3.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.3.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.3.4 Key Developments
• 10.4 Aluminium Corporation of China Limited (CHALCO)
  • 10.4.1 Overview
  • 10.4.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.4.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.4.4 Key Developments
• 10.5 China Hongqiao Group Ltd.
  • 10.5.1 Overview
  • 10.5.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.5.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.5.4 Key Developments
• 10.6 United Company RUSAL Plc.
  • 10.6.1 Overview
  • 10.6.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.6.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.6.4 Key Developments
• 10.7 China Power Investment Corp. (CPI)
  • 10.7.1 Overview
  • 10.7.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.7.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.7.4 Key Developments
• 10.8 East Hope Group Company Limited
  • 10.8.1 Overview
  • 10.8.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.8.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.8.4 Key Developments
• 10.9 Rio Tinto Alcan Inc.
  • 10.9.1 Overview
  • 10.9.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.9.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.9.4 Key Developments
• 10.10 Xinfa Group Co., Ltd.
• 10.10.Xinfa Group Co.
  • 10.10.1 Overview
  • 10.10.2 Financial Performance
  • 10.10.3 Product Outlook
  • 10.10.4 Key Developments

11 Appendix

• 11.1 Related Research