徘徊弾薬の世界市場：現状分析と予測（2024年～2032年）

世界の徘徊弾薬の市場規模は、予測期間（2024年～2032年）に12.90%の成長率を示しています。徘徊弾薬または遠隔操作空中精密攻撃兵器は、無人航空機システムと誘導弾の利点を組み合わせたものです。現代の戦争は、主に精密攻撃能力の進歩と、低コストで高精度の兵器システムに対する需要の高まりによって牽引されています。この部門の成長は主に、新時代の非対称戦争ソリューションの必要性によってもたらされ、そこでは徘徊弾薬が監視と攻撃能力という独自の提案を与えています。徘徊弾薬は、AI、機械学習、リアルタイムデータ処理を適用して運用効率を向上できるよう、最先端技術をシステムに統合しています。そのため、これらのシステムは、強化されたターゲット認識や自律的な意思決定などの先進の機能を持ち、複数のターゲットに対する協調的な攻撃を可能にするスウォーム機能を備えています。さらに、推進システム、バッテリー寿命、軽量材料の進歩により、兵器システムの射程、時間、可搬性が拡張され、さまざまな戦闘環境内で高度に適応可能なアプリケーションとなっています。

タイプに基づき、市場は自動識別/測位徘徊弾薬システムと手動測位徘徊弾薬システムに区分されます。2023年、自動識別/測位弾薬システム市場セグメントが市場を独占し、予測期間を通じてその主導的地位を維持すると予測されます。このセグメントは主に、これらのシステムがAIによって動作し、人間の介入をほとんど必要とせず、より高い交戦効率を可能にするため、目標認識と測位要素の増加によって牽引されています。自律戦の需要は増加の一途をたどっており、そのため世界中の防衛部門でこのシステムの受け入れが拡大しています。AIが支援する目標認識、スウォーム調整、拡張された滞空能力などの技術の統合は、現代戦における進化する戦略を形作る可能性があります。その上、徘徊弾薬は、従来のミサイルの代わりに非対称戦争シナリオに向け防衛機関によって研究されています。ネットワーク中心の戦闘環境とリアルタイムデータ共有能力は、こうしたシステムの運用効果を高めるのに役立っています。さらに、この部門で活動するメーカーは、モジュール式のペイロード能力や、紛争環境下での生存性を想定した低レーダー断面積を備えた耐久性などの新たな開発を検討しています。その結果、電子戦（EW）対策と既存の戦闘システムとの戦場での統合性向上の必要性によって、徘徊弾薬の開発が促進されています。そのため、徘徊弾薬の自律型システムは大きなブームになると予測されます。

射程に基づき、市場は短距離、中距離、長距離に区分されます。短距離セグメントは、そのコンパクトな設計、手頃な価格、戦術的柔軟性により、徘徊弾薬市場を独占し続けています。これらのシステムは、近接航空支援、都市作戦、対反乱作戦など、一刻を争う展開と精密攻撃がすべてを意味する任務で広く評価されています。軽量で運用が容易なため、地上部隊が現代戦の状況下で最小限の後方支援で敵対目標に対処することが現実的に可能です。さらに、短距離徘徊弾薬は、敵の陣地を攻撃する前にリアルタイムで情報を得ることができるため、偵察・監視任務にも有効に活用できます。このような要件は、部隊によって分散的に運用される精密攻撃システムに対する需要を高めており、先進の目標認識、AI誘導弾薬、より長時間の滞空など、これらの弾薬はいずれも常に進化を続けています。バッテリーの効率化、ペイロードの小型化、安全な通信ネットワークの革新も、短距離徘徊弾薬を大きく後押しするとみられます。低強度紛争や特殊作戦下での作戦を最適化するための費用効率の高い方法に対する需要の高まりは、市場に付加価値を与えるとみられます。さらに、軍隊の非対称戦能力を強化するための世界的な取り組みが進行していることから、短距離徘徊弾薬の需要は今後も尽きることはなく、市場において強力な地位を維持し続けるとみられます。例えば2024年、ThalesはTOUTATISと呼ばれる高強度作戦用に特別に設計された画期的な徘徊弾薬を開発しました。短距離版のTOUTATISは、10kmの射程と45分の耐久性を持っています。また、軽装甲車両を無力化できる最新鋭の弾頭を誇ります。システムは、通信が途絶したGPS不使用の環境でも運用できます。TOUTATISは、ThalesのISRドローン、Spy'Ranger、Noctua、Grizzlyとの相互運用性があり、連携した作戦が可能です。

当レポートでは、世界の徘徊弾薬市場について調査し、市場力学、地域とセグメントの分析、企業プロファイルなどを提供しています。

目次

第1章 市場のイントロダクション

第2章 調査手法または前提条件

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

• 産業の要約
• セグメントの見通し
  • 市場成長の強さ
• 地域の見通し

第4章 市場力学

• 促進要因
• 機会
• 抑制要因
• 動向
• PESTEL分析
• デマンドサイド分析
• サプライサイド分析
  • 合併と買収
  • 投資シナリオ
  • 産業考察：主要スタートアップとその独自の戦略

第5章 価格分析

• 地域の価格分析
• 価格に影響を与える要因

第6章 世界の徘徊弾薬市場の収益（2022年～2032年）

第7章 市場の分析：タイプ別

• 自動識別/測位徘徊弾薬システム
• 手動測位徘徊弾薬システム

第8章 市場の考察：射程別

• 短距離
• 中距離
• 長距離

第9章 市場の分析：プラットフォーム別

• 陸上
• 航空
• 海上

第10章 市場の分析：地域別

• 北米
  • 米国
  • カナダ
  • その他の北米
• 欧州
  • ドイツ
  • 英国
  • フランス
  • イタリア
  • スペイン
  • その他の欧州
• アジア太平洋
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • インド
  • その他のアジア太平洋
• その他の国

第11章 バリューチェーン分析

• 限界分析
• 市場参入企業リスト

第12章 競合情勢

• 競合ダッシュボード
• 競合の市場ポジショニングの分析
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第13章 企業プロファイル

• AeroVironment, Inc.
• WB Group
• Elbit Systems Ltd.
• Aerospace CH UAV Co
• Thales
• Rheinmetall AG
• Israel Aerospace Industries
• Uvision
• AEVEX Aerospace
• Teledyne FLIR LLC

第14章 頭字語と前提条件

第15章 付録

The Loitering Munition Market is witnessing a robust growth rate of 12.90% within the forecast period (2024-2032). Loitering munitions or remotely controlled aerial precision strike weapons combine the benefits of unmanned aircraft systems and guided munitions. Modern warfare has been driven primarily by advancements in precision strike capabilities and the growing demand for low-cost, high-precision weapon systems. The growth in this sector is mainly driven by the need for the new age for asymmetric warfare solutions, where loitering munitions give an unusual proposition of surveillance and strike capabilities. Loitering munitions have integrated cutting-edge technologies into their systems so that they can apply artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and real-time data processing to improve operation efficiency. Therefore, these systems have advanced features such as enhanced target recognition and autonomous decision-making, with swarm capabilities for enabling coordinated attacks on multiple targets. Additionally, advances in propulsion systems, battery life, and lightweight materials have extended the range, time, and portability of the weapon systems into highly adaptable applications within different combat environments.

Based on type, the loitering munition market is segmented into Autonomous Identification and Positioning Loitering Munition System and Manual Positioning Loitering Munition System. In 2023, the Autonomous Identification and Positioning Loitering Munition System market segment dominated the market and is expected to maintain its leading position throughout the forecast period. The segment is primarily driven by the growing target recognition and positioning elements as these systems are AI-driven, allowing for greater engagement efficiency with little human intervention. Autonomous warfare is ever-increasing in demand, therefore pushing greater acceptance of this system in the arms of defense all over the world. The integration of technologies such as AI-assisted target recognition, swarm coordination, and extended loitering capabilities can shape evolving strategies in modern warfare. On top of that, loitering munitions are being explored by defense agencies for asymmetrical warfare scenarios instead of conventional missiles. The network-centric war-fighting environment coupled with real-time data-sharing capability helps to boost the operational effectiveness of these systems. Furthermore, manufacturers operating in the sector are considering new developments such as endurance, with modular payload capacities and assumed low radar cross-section for survivability in contested environments. As a result, loitering munition development is fueled by the need for electronic warfare (EW) countermeasures and improved integration on the battlefield with existing combat systems. Therefore, autonomous systems for loitering munitions are forecasted to witness an immense boom.

Based on range, the loitering munition market is segmented into Short-Range, Medium-Range, and Long-Range. The short-range segment continues to dominate the loitering munitions market due to its compact design, affordability, and tactical flexibility. Extensively, these systems are valued for their close-air support, urban operations, and counter-insurgency missions in which time-critical deployment and precision strikes mean everything. Their lightweight form and ease of operation make it practically possible for ground forces to engage hostile targets with minimum logistical overhead within modern warfare situations. Additionally, short-range loitering munitions can be put to effective use for reconnaissance and surveillance missions since they can be seen in action giving real-time intelligence before hitting enemy positions. Such requirements have turned up demands for precision attack systems operated by troops as decentralized entities, and all of these munitions are constantly evolving, whether for advanced target recognition, AI-guided munitions, or loitering for longer periods. Innovations in battery efficiency, payload miniaturization, and secure communication networks will also support short-range loitering munitions significantly. The growing demand for cost-efficient ways to optimize operations under low-intensity conflict and special operations will add value to the market. In addition with current global efforts of military forces to arm themselves with enhanced asymmetric warfare capabilities, there would be no end to the demand of short-range loitering munitions in future and that would keep them reigning strong in the market. For instance, in 2024, Thales developed a revolutionary loitering munition product specially designed for high-intensity operations called TOUTATIS. In its short-range variant, TOUTATIS offers a range of 10 km and a 45 min endurance. It boasts a state-of-the-art warhead capable of neutralizing light armored vehicles. The system can be operated in GPS-denied environments with disrupted communications. TOUTATIS offers interoperability with Thales ISR drones Spy'Ranger, Noctua, and Grizzly for coordinated operations.

Based on platforms, the loitering munition market is segmented into Land/Ground, Air, and Naval. The Land/Ground segment remains the top segment in the loitering munition market due to the increasing demand for precision-strike capabilities in modern ground warfare. During incursions, the infantry and elite forces often depend on armored divisions for additional attack equations, hence renewed calls for less costly, more flexible mobile attack options have now included loitering munitions into this weaponry. These munitions will support ground forces with information on real-time reconnaissance, target tracking, and strikes to lessen collateral effects while improving efficiency during operations. The continuing dynamic of asymmetric engagements and counter-insurgency operations makes loitering munitions relevant to land combat. Military forces across the globe are investing in higher-end ground-based loitering munitions integrated with artificial intelligence, better warhead effectiveness, and more endurance for use in high-competition environments, where speed and precision are becoming critical in deployment and targeting. Additionally, advances in portability, stealth, and battlefield networking further increase the capabilities of loitering artillery in the land dimension. The shift to network-centric warfare and increase in real-time target identification and autonomous attack capability, continue to be engines of market growth. As the country's defense forces place emphasis on maneuverable, rapidly deployable systems for strikes, demand for ground-based loitering munitions will remain firm and further strengthen their dominance in the competitive arena.

For a better understanding of the market of the loitering munition market, the market is analyzed based on its worldwide presence in countries such as North America (The US, Canada, and Rest of North America), Europe (Germany, The UK, France, Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, India, Rest of Asia-Pacific), Rest of World. The North American region remains the largest market for loitering munitions due to several factors such as the advanced defense industry, substantial military budget, and increasing adoption of autonomous weaponry. Funds supported by the U.S. defense establishment are aimed at furthering precise strikes and making the battlefield more efficient. For instance, in October 2024, AeroVironment (US) was awarded a delivery order worth USD 54.9 million by the U.S. Army to produce the Switchblade loitering munition systems, which represents an initial ordering under a larger indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity (IDIQ) contract that withholds an additional ceiling of USD 743 million. Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin are also engaged in developing advanced loitering munitions with AI-guided targeting and extended operational range, increasing their revenues in this defense segment. Faster demand for these weapons due to the Ukraine-Russian War aided by heavy supplies from America to Ukraine, thereby enhancing their utility on the battlefield. The loitering munitions program remains essential for the U.S. Army's Long Range Precision Fires (LRPF), keeping its market ahead in the race. Similar collaborations among the concerned defense firms and government agencies have lent themselves to innovation, as exemplified by DARPA's looming investments in swarm-capable next-generation loitering munitions. For example, in June 2023, UVision USA, the U.S. subsidiary of UVision Air, a global leader in aerial loitering systems, announced the successful launch of its Hero 120 loitering munition systems from an airborne helicopter in partnership with Axxeum, a full-service aviation integration facility.

Some of the major players operating in the market include AeroVironment, Inc., WB Group, Elbit Systems Ltd., Aerospace CH UAV Co, Thales, Rheinmetall AG, Israel Aerospace Industries, Uvision, AEVEX Aerospace, and Teledyne FLIR LLC.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.Market Introduction

• 1.1. Market Definitions
• 1.2. Main Objective
• 1.3. Stakeholders
• 1.4. Limitation

2.Research Methodology Or Assumption

• 2.1. Research Process of the Loitering Munition Market
• 2.2. Research Methodology of the Loitering Munition Market
• 2.3. Respondent Profile

3.Executive Summary

• 3.1. Industry Synopsis
• 3.2. Segmental Outlook
  • 3.2.1. Market Growth Intensity
• 3.3. Regional Outlook

4.Market Dynamics

• 4.1. Drivers
• 4.2. Opportunity
• 4.3. Restraints
• 4.4. Trends
• 4.5. PESTEL Analysis
• 4.6. Demand Side Analysis
• 4.7. Supply Side Analysis
  • 4.7.1. Merger & Acquisition
  • 4.7.2. Investment Scenario
  • 4.7.3. Industry Insights: Leading Startups and Their Unique Strategies

5.Pricing Analysis

• 5.1. Regional Pricing Analysis
• 5.2. Price Influencing Factors

6.Global Loitering Munition Market Revenue (USD Mn), 2022-2032F

7.Market Insights By Type

• 7.1. Autonomous Identification and Positioning Loitering Munition System
• 7.2. Manual Positioning Loitering Munition System

8.Market Insights By Range

• 8.1. Short-Range
• 8.2. Medium-Range
• 8.3. Long-Range

9.Market Insights By Platform

• 9.1. Land/Ground
• 9.2. Air
• 9.3. Naval

10.Market Insights By Region

• 10.1. North America
  • 10.1.1. The US
  • 10.1.2. Canada
  • 10.1.3. Rest of North America
• 10.2. Europe
  • 10.2.1. Germany
  • 10.2.2. The UK
  • 10.2.3. France
  • 10.2.4. Italy
  • 10.2.5. Spain
  • 10.2.6. Rest of Europe
• 10.3. Asia-Pacific
  • 10.3.1. China
  • 10.3.2. Japan
  • 10.3.3. India
  • 10.3.4. Rest of Asia-Pacific
• 10.4. Rest of World

11.Value Chain Analysis

• 11.1. Marginal Analysis
• 11.2. List of Market Participants

12.Competitive Landscape

• 12.1 Competition Dashboard
• 12.2. Competitor Market Positioning Analysis
• 12.3. Porter Five Forces Analysis

13.Company Profiles

• 13.1. AeroVironment, Inc.
  • 13.1.1. Company Overview
  • 13.1.2. Key Financials
  • 13.1.3. SWOT Analysis
  • 13.1.4. Product Portfolio
  • 13.1.5. Recent Developments
• 13.2. WB Group
• 13.3. Elbit Systems Ltd.
• 13.4. Aerospace CH UAV Co
• 13.5. Thales
• 13.6. Rheinmetall AG
• 13.7. Israel Aerospace Industries
• 13.8. Uvision
• 13.10. AEVEX Aerospace
• 13.10. Teledyne FLIR LLC

14.Acronyms & Assumption

15.Annexure