自律走行バス市場規模、シェア、成長分析：自律走行レベル別、バスタイプ別、パワートレイン別、バッテリータイプ別、用途別、地域別 - 産業予測 2025～2032年

自律走行バス市場規模は2023年に21億米ドルと評価され、2024年の24億9,000万米ドルから2032年には98億2,000万米ドルに成長し、予測期間（2025-2032年）のCAGRは18.7％で成長する見通しです。

自律走行バス市場は、人工知能の進歩、センサーの改良、接続性の強化によって、大きな成長が見込まれています。これらの技術革新により、安全性、信頼性、運行効率が向上し、自律走行バスは交通渋滞の緩和、排出ガスの削減、都市モビリティの課題解決に向けた有力なソリューションとなります。これらの車両が提供するコスト効率に魅力を感じる企業が増えており、物流やライドシェアなど、さまざまな分野でイノベーションが促進されています。しかし、安全性への懸念や規制上の課題が、こうしたシステムの導入に伴う高額な初期費用とともに、普及のハードルとなっています。テクノロジーが進化を続けるにつれ、市場は拡大し、公共交通機関や都市インフラを改善する革新的な戦略を求める交通当局や機関に機会を提供することになると思われます。

目次

イントロダクション

• 調査の目的
• 調査範囲
• 定義

調査手法

• 情報調達
• 二次と一次データの方法
• 市場規模予測
• 市場の前提条件と制限

エグゼクティブサマリー

• 世界市場の見通し
• 供給と需要の動向分析
• セグメント別機会分析

市場力学と見通し

• 市場概要
• 市場規模
• 市場力学
  • 促進要因と機会
  • 抑制要因と課題
• ポーターの分析

主な市場の考察

• 重要成功要因
• 競合の程度
• 主な投資機会
• 市場エコシステム
• 市場の魅力指数（2024年）
• PESTEL分析
• マクロ経済指標
• バリューチェーン分析
• 価格分析
• 規制情勢
• ケーススタディ

自律走行バス市場規模：自律走行レベル別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 市場概要
• レベル1：運転支援
• レベル2：部分的な自動化
• レベル3：条件付き自動化
• レベル4：高度な自動化
• レベル5：完全自動化

自律走行バス市場規模：バスタイプ別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 市場概要
• フルサイズバス
• 中型バス
• ミニバス
• 電気バス
• 水素燃料電池バス

自律走行バス市場規模：パワートレイン別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 市場概要
• 電気
• ハイブリッド
• 内燃機関（ICE）

自律走行バス市場規模：バッテリータイプ別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 市場概要
• リチウムイオン
• ソリッドステート
• 鉛蓄電池

自律走行バス市場規模：用途別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 市場概要
• 公共交通機関
• 従業員の交通
• キャンパス交通
• ファーストマイル/ラストマイル輸送
• 観光とレジャー

自律走行バス市場規模：地域別& CAGR（2025-2032）

• 北米
  • 米国
  • カナダ
• 欧州
  • ドイツ
  • スペイン
  • フランス
  • 英国
  • イタリア
  • その他欧州地域
• アジア太平洋地域
  • 中国
  • インド
  • 日本
  • 韓国
  • その他アジア太平洋地域
• ラテンアメリカ
  • ブラジル
  • その他ラテンアメリカ地域
• 中東・アフリカ
  • GCC諸国
  • 南アフリカ
  • その他中東・アフリカ

競合情報

• 上位5社の比較
• 主要企業の市場ポジショニング（2024年）
• 主な市場企業が採用した戦略
• 最近の市場動向
• 企業の市場シェア分析（2024年）
• 主要企業の企業プロファイル
  • 企業の詳細
  • 製品ポートフォリオ分析
  • 企業のセグメント別シェア分析
  • 収益の前年比比較（2022-2024）

主要企業プロファイル

• AB Volvo（Sweden）
• Mercedes-Benz Group AG（Germany）
• Aptiv PLC（Ireland）
• Continental AG（Germany）
• Denso Corporation（Japan）
• Baidu（China）
• Nuro, Inc.（USA）
• EasyMile（France）
• Hino Motors, Ltd.（Japan）
• Karsan Otomotiv Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.（Turkey）
• LeddarTech（Canada）
• Milla Group（France）
• Navya（France）
• NFI Group（Canada）
• Proterra Inc.（USA）
• Robert Bosch GmbH（Germany）
• SoftBank Corp.（Japan）
• Toyota Motor Corporation（Japan）
• Transdev（France）

結論と提言

Autonomous Bus Market size was valued at USD 2.1 billion in 2023 and is poised to grow from USD 2.49 billion in 2024 to USD 9.82 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 18.7% during the forecast period (2025-2032).

The autonomous bus market is poised for significant growth, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, improved sensors, and enhanced connectivity. These technological innovations enhance safety, reliability, and operational efficiency, making autonomous buses a compelling solution for reducing traffic congestion, lowering emissions, and addressing urban mobility challenges. Businesses are increasingly attracted to the cost-efficiency these vehicles offer, fostering innovation across various sectors, including logistics and ridesharing. However, safety concerns and regulatory challenges present hurdles to widespread adoption, along with the high initial costs associated with implementing these systems. As technology continues to evolve, the market will likely expand, providing opportunities for transportation authorities and agencies seeking innovative strategies to improve public transit and urban infrastructure.

Top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the size of the Autonomous Bus market and to estimate the size of various other dependent submarkets. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following details: The key players in the market were identified through secondary research, and their market shares in the respective regions were determined through primary and secondary research. This entire procedure includes the study of the annual and financial reports of the top market players and extensive interviews for key insights from industry leaders such as CEOs, VPs, directors, and marketing executives. All percentage shares split, and breakdowns were determined using secondary sources and verified through Primary sources. All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study have been accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to get the final quantitative and qualitative data.

Autonomous Bus Market Segments Analysis

Global Autonomous Bus Market is segmented by Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application and region. Based on Level of Autonomy, the market is segmented into Level 1: Driver Assistance, Level 2: Partial Automation, Level 3: Conditional Automation, Level 4: High Automation and Level 5: Full Automation. Based on Bus Type, the market is segmented into Full-Size Bus, Mid-Size Bus, Mini-Bus, Electric Bus and Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus. Based on Powertrain, the market is segmented into Electric, Hybrid and Internal Combustion Engine (ICE). Based on Battery Type, the market is segmented into Lithium-Ion, Solid-State and Lead-Acid. Based on Application, the market is segmented into Public Transportation, Employee Transportation, Campus Transportation, First-Mile/Last-Mile Transportation and Tourism and Leisure. Based on region, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa.

Driver of the Autonomous Bus Market

A significant factor propelling the growth of the autonomous bus market is the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence, advanced algorithms, and sophisticated sensors. These technologies are crucial for ensuring the safety and efficiency of self-driving vehicles. The integration of machine learning and data analytics plays a pivotal role, enabling continuous performance enhancement of autonomous buses by leveraging real-time data and experiences. This technological advancement not only boosts operational safety but also improves reliability, making autonomous buses a more viable and appealing transportation solution for cities worldwide. As these innovations continue to evolve, they will further drive market expansion and acceptance.

Restraints in the Autonomous Bus Market

The Autonomous Bus market faces significant restraints primarily due to the high costs associated with acquiring and maintaining the technology. The intricate hardware required for these vehicles, such as advanced sensors and specialized software, remains prohibitively expensive for many potential users. Moreover, the ongoing expenses associated with system maintenance and necessary upgrades further exacerbate the financial burden, making investment in autonomous buses less appealing. As a result, the overall high costs involved could deter potential buyers, limiting the broader adoption and implementation of autonomous bus technology in the market.

Market Trends of the Autonomous Bus Market

The Autonomous Bus market is experiencing significant growth driven by the rise of Connected and Autonomous Mobility (CAM), which integrates cutting-edge technologies like 5G, edge computing, artificial intelligence, and IoT. This transformative approach aims to revolutionize passenger transport and goods logistics, offering enhanced efficiency, safety, and user experience. As cities seek sustainable transportation solutions to combat congestion and reduce carbon emissions, autonomous buses are being increasingly adopted. The demand for seamless, tech-enabled transit options is propelling investments in infrastructure and innovation, establishing CAM as a key driver behind the expansion of the autonomous bus sector, setting the stage for a future of smart urban mobility.

Table of Contents

Introduction

• Objectives of the Study
• Scope of the Report
• Definitions

Research Methodology

• Information Procurement
• Secondary & Primary Data Methods
• Market Size Estimation
• Market Assumptions & Limitations

Executive Summary

• Global Market Outlook
• Supply & Demand Trend Analysis
• Segmental Opportunity Analysis

Market Dynamics & Outlook

• Market Overview
• Market Size
• Market Dynamics
  • Drivers & Opportunities
  • Restraints & Challenges
• Porters Analysis
  • Competitive rivalry
  • Threat of substitute
  • Bargaining power of buyers
  • Threat of new entrants
  • Bargaining power of suppliers

Key Market Insights

• Key Success Factors
• Degree of Competition
• Top Investment Pockets
• Market Ecosystem
• Market Attractiveness Index, 2024
• PESTEL Analysis
• Macro-Economic Indicators
• Value Chain Analysis
• Pricing Analysis
• Regulatory Landscape
• Case Studies

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Level of Autonomy & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Level 1: Driver Assistance
• Level 2: Partial Automation
• Level 3: Conditional Automation
• Level 4: High Automation
• Level 5: Full Automation

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Bus Type & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Full-Size Bus
• Mid-Size Bus
• Mini-Bus
• Electric Bus
• Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Powertrain & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Electric
• Hybrid
• Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Battery Type & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Lithium-Ion
• Solid-State
• Lead-Acid

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Application & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Public Transportation
• Employee Transportation
• Campus Transportation
• First-Mile/Last-Mile Transportation
• Tourism and Leisure

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size & CAGR (2025-2032)

• North America (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • US
  • Canada
• Europe (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • France
  • UK
  • Italy
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia-Pacific
• Latin America (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • Brazil
  • Rest of Latin America
• Middle East & Africa (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

Competitive Intelligence

• Top 5 Player Comparison
• Market Positioning of Key Players, 2024
• Strategies Adopted by Key Market Players
• Recent Developments in the Market
• Company Market Share Analysis, 2024
• Company Profiles of All Key Players
  • Company Details
  • Product Portfolio Analysis
  • Company's Segmental Share Analysis
  • Revenue Y-O-Y Comparison (2022-2024)

Key Company Profiles

• AB Volvo (Sweden)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Aptiv PLC (Ireland)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Continental AG (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Denso Corporation (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Baidu (China)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Nuro, Inc. (USA)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• EasyMile (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Hino Motors, Ltd. (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Karsan Otomotiv Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (Turkey)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• LeddarTech (Canada)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Milla Group (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Navya (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• NFI Group (Canada)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Proterra Inc. (USA)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Robert Bosch GmbH (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• SoftBank Corp. (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Toyota Motor Corporation (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Transdev (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments

Conclusion & Recommendations