自動運転商用車の世界市場：市場規模・シェア分析 - 動向、促進要因、競合情勢、予測 (2024～2030年)

主なハイライト

世界の自動運転商用車市場は、2023年に9億9,060万米ドルと評価され、8.0%以上のCAGRで成長し、2030年には17億2,350万米ドルに拡大します。

自動運転技術が持つ、より安全な性能とより効果的な道路交通のための大きな可能性が、このような自動車への魅力の背後にある重要な要因であり、業界の拡大を推進しています。ADASシステムを通じて半自動商用車がドライバーに提供する各種支援が、世界各国でこの種の自動車の業界を牽引する重要な理由です。

自動運転商用車へのAIの組み込みは、この業界で観察されている主要動向です。多くの点で、AIはレベル4および5の自律型商用車の進歩を可能にすることで、自動車セクターの発展を引き起こしました。この技術は、視線追跡、音声認識、ドライバーモニタリング、ジェスチャー認識、自然言語インターフェース、バーチャルアシスタンスの拡大を可能にし、これらはこれらの車両が正しく機能するために非常に重要です。

主な洞察

北米がこの業界をリードしており、この10年間を通じて最大の市場規模を維持する可能性が高いです。これは、自動運転車に関する研究開発活動が活発化していることと、自動運転技術を強化するために州政府や連邦政府からの支援が増加しているためです。

アジア太平洋は今後数年間、8.8%という最も高いCAGRで成長すると思われます。これは主に、この地域が世界的に主要な自動車メーカーであり、年間生産量のほぼ半分を占めているためです。

2023年には、半自動運転カテゴリーが業界の最大シェアを占めています。ほとんどの欧州諸国と米国は、すべての新型商用車に基本的なADAS機能を実装するよう指示しており、実質的にすべての商用車が半自動運転となります。

2023年、トラックのカテゴリーは業界最大のシェアを占め、この10年間を通じて最大の貢献者であり続けると思われます。これは主に、自動マテリアルハンドリング、屋内物流輸送、物流デジタル化、ヤード管理などの物流用途で自動運転トラックの採用が増加しているためです。

公共輸送カテゴリーは、この10年間、8.7%という最も高いCAGRで成長すると思われます。これは主に、公共移動のための自動運転シャトル・サービスが受け入れられつつあるためです。

当レポートでは、世界の自動運転商用車の市場について分析し、市場の基本構造・最新情勢や主な促進・抑制要因、世界全体および地域別・主要国の市場規模の動向見通し (数量・金額ベース、2017～2030年)、セグメント別の詳細動向、現在の市場競争の状況、主要企業のプロファイルなどを調査しております。

目次

第1章 調査範囲

第2章 調査手法

第3章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第4章 市場指標

第5章 業界の展望

• 市場力学
  • 動向
  • 促進要因
  • 抑制要因/課題
  • 促進要因/抑制要因の影響分析
• 新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) の影響
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 世界市場

• 概要
• 市場規模：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：地域別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：地域別 (2017～2030年)

第7章 北米市場

• 概要
• 市場規模：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：国別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：国別 (2017～2030年)

第8章 欧州市場

第9章 アジア太平洋市場

第10章 ラテンアメリカ市場

第11章 中東・アフリカ市場

第12章 米国市場

• 概要
• 市場規模：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車両の自律性別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：車種別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場規模：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)
• 市場収益：燃料の種類別 (2017～2030年)

第13章 カナダ市場

第14章 ドイツ市場

第15章 フランス市場

第16章 英国市場

第17章 イタリア市場

第18章 スペイン市場

第19章 日本市場

第20章 中国市場

第21章 インド市場

第22章 オーストラリア市場

第23章 韓国市場

第24章 ブラジル市場

第25章 メキシコ市場

第26章 サウジアラビア市場

第27章 南アフリカ市場

第28章 アラブ首長国連邦 (UAE) 市場

第29章 競合情勢

• 市場参入企業とその提供品目の一覧
• 主要企業の競合ベンチマーク
• 主要企業の製品ベンチマーク
• 最近の戦略的展開

第30章 企業プロファイル

• Waymo LLC
• Ford Motor Co.
• General Motor Co.
• Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V.
• Toyota Motor Corp.
• Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance
• TuSimple Holdings Inc.
• Embark Trucks Inc.
• Kodiak Robotics Inc.
• Kodiak Robotics Inc.
• Tesla Inc.

第31章 付録

Key Highlights

The autonomous commercial vehicle market was valued at USD 990.6 million in 2023, which will rise to USD 1,723.5 million, powering at more than 8.0% CAGR, by 2030.

The substantial potential that autonomous technology holds for safer performance and more effective road traffic is the key factor behind attraction toward such automobiles, thus driving the industry expansion.

Severe injuries, road traffic, and deaths are some intolerable and confounding results of road transport, and the main cause of road accidents/crashes is human error.

The assistance to the driver provided by semi-autonomous commercial automobiles through ADAS systems is the key reason driving the industry for these vehicles globally.

AI incorporation in autonomous commercial vehicles is a major trend being observed in this industry.

In many ways, AI caused the development of the automobile sector by allowing the advancement of level 4 & 5 autonomous commercial vehicles.

The technology allowed the expansion of eye tracking, speech recognition, driver monitoring, gesture recognition, natural language interfaces, and virtual assistance, which are very important for the right functioning of these vehicles.

AI has aided in advanced driver-assistance systems development, which comprises driver condition evaluation systems, camera-based machine vision systems, radar-based detection units, and sensor fusion ECUs.

Key Insights

North America is leading the industry, and it is also likely to remain the largest throughout this decade.

This can be because of the increasing research & development activities on autonomous vehicles and rising backing from the state and federal governments for enhancing autonomous driving technologies.

The U.S. led the industry in North America, and it will continue this trend during this decade. This can be mainly because of the existence of the prosperous trucking sector in this nation.

APAC is likely to advance at the highest compound annual growth rate, of 8.8%, in the years to come. This is primarily because the region is the major automobile manufacturer globally, accounting for almost half of the annual production.

In 2023, the semi-autonomous category accounted for the largest share of the industry.

Automobiles should be armed with electronic stability control or at least an ADAS feature (either for steering or acceleration) to attain level 1 automation.

Most European nations as well as the U.S. have instructed the implementation of basic ADAS features in all new commercial vehicles, which essentially makes all of them semi-autonomous.

In 2023, the truck category was the largest contributor to the industry, and it will remain the largest throughout this decade.

This is primarily because of the rising adoption of autonomous trucks for logistical usages like automated material handling, domestic logistics transport, logistics digitalization, and yard management.

The public transportation category is likely to advance at the highest compound annual growth rate, of 8.7%, during this decade. This is mainly because of the rising acceptance of autonomous shuttle services for public mobility use.

Some established and start-up businesses are coming up with strategies to make level 5 autonomous shuttles for public transport.

These shuttles would not need human drivers, which would assist transportation agencies in reducing operational expenses.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Research Scope

• 1.1. Research Objectives
• 1.2. Market Definition
• 1.3. Analysis Period
• 1.4. Market Size Breakdown by Segments
  • 1.4.1. Market size breakdown, by vehicle autonomy
  • 1.4.2. Market size breakdown, by vehicle type
  • 1.4.3. Market size breakdown, by fuel type
  • 1.4.4. Market size breakdown, by application
  • 1.4.5. Market size breakdown, by region
  • 1.4.6. Market size breakdown, by country
• 1.5. Market Data Reporting Unit
  • 1.5.1. Volume
  • 1.5.2. Value
• 1.6. Key Stakeholders

Chapter 2. Research Methodology

• 2.1. Secondary Research
  • 2.1.1. Paid
  • 2.1.2. Unpaid
  • 2.1.3. P&S Intelligence database
• 2.2. Primary Research
• 2.3. Market Size Estimation
• 2.4. Data Triangulation
• 2.5. Currency Conversion Rates
• 2.6. Assumptions for the Study
• 2.7. Notes and Caveats

Chapter 3. Executive Summary

Chapter 4. Market Indicators

Chapter 5. Industry Outlook

• 5.1. Market Dynamics
  • 5.1.1. Trends
  • 5.1.2. Drivers
  • 5.1.3. Restraints/challenges
  • 5.1.4. Impact analysis of drivers/restraints
• 5.2. Impact of COVID-19
• 5.3. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 5.3.1. Bargaining power of buyers
  • 5.3.2. Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 5.3.3. Threat of new entrants
  • 5.3.4. Intensity of rivalry
  • 5.3.5. Threat of substitutes

Chapter 6. Global Market

• 6.1. Overview
• 6.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 6.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 6.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 6.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 6.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 6.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 6.8. Market Volume, by Region (2017-2030)
• 6.9. Market Revenue, by Region (2017-2030)

Chapter 7. North America Market

• 7.1. Overview
• 7.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 7.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 7.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 7.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 7.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 7.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 7.8. Market Volume, by Country (2017-2030)
• 7.9. Market Revenue, by Country (2017-2030)

Chapter 8. Europe Market

• 8.1. Overview
• 8.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 8.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 8.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 8.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 8.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 8.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 8.8. Market Volume, by Country (2017-2030)
• 8.9. Market Revenue, by Country (2017-2030)

Chapter 9. APAC Market

• 9.1. Overview
• 9.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 9.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 9.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 9.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 9.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 9.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 9.8. Market Volume, by Country (2017-2030)
• 9.9. Market Revenue, by Country (2017-2030)

Chapter 10. LATAM Market

• 10.1. Overview
• 10.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 10.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 10.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 10.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 10.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 10.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 10.8. Market Volume, by Country (2017-2030)
• 10.9. Market Revenue, by Country (2017-2030)

Chapter 11. MEA Market

• 11.1. Overview
• 11.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 11.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 11.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 11.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 11.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 11.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 11.8. Market Volume, by Country (2017-2030)
• 11.9. Market Revenue, by Country (2017-2030)

Chapter 12. U.S. Market

• 12.1. Overview
• 12.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 12.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 12.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 12.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 12.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 12.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 13. Canada Market

• 13.1. Overview
• 13.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 13.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 13.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 13.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 13.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 13.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 14. Germany Market

• 14.1. Overview
• 14.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 14.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 14.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 14.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 14.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 14.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 15. France Market

• 15.1. Overview
• 15.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 15.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 15.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 15.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 15.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 15.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 16. U.K. Market

• 16.1. Overview
• 16.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 16.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 16.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 16.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 16.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 16.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 17. Italy Market

• 17.1. Overview
• 17.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 17.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 17.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 17.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 17.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 17.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 18. Spain Market

• 18.1. Overview
• 18.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 18.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 18.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 18.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 18.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 18.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 19. Japan Market

• 19.1. Overview
• 19.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 19.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 19.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 19.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 19.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 19.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 20. China Market

• 20.1. Overview
• 20.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 20.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 20.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 20.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 20.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 20.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 21. India Market

• 21.1. Overview
• 21.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 21.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 21.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 21.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 21.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 21.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 22. Australia Market

• 22.1. Overview
• 22.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 22.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 22.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 22.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 22.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 22.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 23. South Korea Market

• 23.1. Overview
• 23.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 23.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 23.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 23.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 23.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 23.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 24. Brazil Market

• 24.1. Overview
• 24.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 24.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 24.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 24.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 24.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 24.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 25. Mexico Market

• 25.1. Overview
• 25.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 25.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 25.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 25.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 25.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 25.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 26. Saudi Arabia Market

• 26.1. Overview
• 26.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 26.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 26.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 26.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 26.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 26.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 27. South Africa Market

• 27.1. Overview
• 27.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 27.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 27.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 27.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 27.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 27.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 28. U.A.E. Market

• 28.1. Overview
• 28.2. Market Volume, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 28.3. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Autonomy (2017-2030)
• 28.4. Market Volume, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 28.5. Market Revenue, by Vehicle Type (2017-2030)
• 28.6. Market Volume, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)
• 28.7. Market Revenue, by Fuel Type (2017-2030)

Chapter 29. Competitive Landscape

• 29.1. List of Market Players and their Offerings
• 29.2. Competitive Benchmarking of Key Players
• 29.3. Product Benchmarking of Key Players
• 29.4. Recent Strategic Developments

Chapter 30. Company Profiles

• 30.1. Waymo LLC
  • 30.1.1. Business overview
  • 30.1.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.1.3. Key financial summary
• 30.2. Ford Motor Co.
  • 30.2.1. Business overview
  • 30.2.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.2.3. Key financial summary
• 30.3. General Motor Co.
  • 30.3.1. Business overview
  • 30.3.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.3.3. Key financial summary
• 30.4. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V.
  • 30.4.1. Business overview
  • 30.4.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.4.3. Key financial summary
• 30.5. Toyota Motor Corp.
  • 30.5.1. Business overview
  • 30.5.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.5.3. Key financial summary
• 30.6. Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance
  • 30.6.1. Business overview
  • 30.6.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.6.3. Key financial summary
• 30.7. TuSimple Holdings Inc.
  • 30.7.1. Business overview
  • 30.7.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.7.3. Key financial summary
• 30.8. Embark Trucks Inc.
  • 30.8.1. Business overview
  • 30.8.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.8.3. Key financial summary
• 30.9. Kodiak Robotics Inc.
  • 30.9.1. Business overview
  • 30.9.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.9.3. Key financial summary
• 30.10. Kodiak Robotics Inc.
  • 30.10.1. Business overview
  • 30.10.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.10.3. Key financial summary
• 30.11. Tesla Inc.
  • 30.11.1. Business overview
  • 30.11.2. Product and service offerings
  • 30.11.3. Key financial summary

Chapter 31. Appendix

• 31.1. Abbreviations
• 31.2. Sources and References
• 31.3. Related Reports