メカニカルリサイクルおよびケミカルリサイクルの未来：～2027年

包装材における使用済み廃棄物 (PCR) プラスチックの使用量は8.6％のCAGRで拡大し、2026年には560万トンに達すると予測されています。現在、その64.7%はPETであり、ケミカルリサイクルは、コンバーターが利用できる高品質ポリマーの種類を増やすために不可欠です。ケミカルリサイクルは大規模な投資を受けており、米国のプラスチック企業は過去5年間で87億米ドルを投資しています。

本レポートでは、メカニカルリサイクルおよびケミカルリサイクルの展望を調査し、市場の定義と概要、関連法規制、技術の種類・動向、市場規模の推移・予測、ポリマータイプ・地域別の詳細分析、競合情勢、主要企業のプロファイルなどをまとめています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

イントロダクション・調査手法

規則・法律

• 自動車産業におけるリサイクル関連法規制
• 包装産業におけるリサイクル関連法規制

メカニカルリサイクルおよびケミカルリサイクルの技術予測

• メカニカル&ケミカルリサイクルプロセスの現在および将来の位置づけ：概要
• メカニカルリサイクルプロセス
• ケミカルリサイクルプロセス
  • 熱分解
    • 水熱分解
    • FCC (流動触媒分解)
    • ガス化
    • 接触水素化
    • ガス化
    • 接触水素化
  • その他のケミカルリサイクルシステム
    • 溶解または溶媒抽出
    • 解重合
• ケミカルリサイクルシステムのメリット

メカニカルリサイクルおよびケミカルリサイクル市場：ポリマータイプ別

• 概要
  • 自動車リサイクル
  • 包装リサイクル
• 包装用途に使用されるポリマー
  • ポリエチレンテレフタレート (PET)
  • ポリエチレン
    • 低密度・直鎖状低密度ポリエチレンLDPE/ (LDPE)
    • 高密度ポリエチレン (HDPE)
  • ポリプロピレン (PP)
  • その他の熱可塑性プラスチック
    • ポリアミド (PA)
    • ポリ塩化ビニル (PVC)
    • 環状オレフィン共重合体 (COC)
    • ポリスチレン (PS)
  • 熱可塑性エラストマー

メカニカルリサイクルおよびケミカルリサイクル市場：地域別

• 欧州
• 北米
• 中南米
• アジア太平洋
• その他の地域

競合情勢

• Aduro Clean Technologies
• Agilyx
• Alterra
• Amsty
• Arcus
• Axens
• BASF Chemcycling
• BiologiQ
• Coca-Cola
• Dow
• Eastman
• ExxonMobil
• Mondelez International
• Neste
• Plastic Energy
• SABIC
• Unilever
• その他

Features:

• Use of post-consumer recycled (PCR) plastics in packaging is expected to reach 5.6 million tonnes in 2026, with growth forecast at 8.6% CAGR

• Currently 64.7% of this is PET. Chemical recycling will be vital in broadening the range of quality polymers available to converters

• Chemical recycling is receiving major investment, with US plastics companies investing $8.7 billion across the past five years.

This report explores the growing market for mechanically recycled plastics for packaging, and the impending arrival of chemically recycled feedstocks at scale. It combines expert profiles of competing chemical recycling approaches, with critical analysis of key enabling technologies and market barriers to both chemical and mechanical recycling of plastics. This is pursued within a holistic analysis of the polymer manufacture, use, disposal/collection and reprocessing chain; to identify the most promising growth markets across the five years to 2027. Beyond the availability of PCR feedstocks in a new generation of packaging it explores potential uses for such materials in other applications, including automotive manufacturing.

Our exclusive content

• Mechanical and chemical recycling both have vital roles in delivering a truly circular economy for plastics. This Smithers study quantifies current and future production of each process across all leading polymer types, end-use applications, and geographic regions. This is contextualised with data on forthcoming capacity expansions, and how each approach can be leveraged by industry to achieve new minimum content requirements, in an evolving regulatory landscape.

What will you discover?

• The report provides market data for each recycling process and evaluates the competing solutions, with expert forecasting of developments in the industry to 2027

• The study analyses the current state-of-the-art for each technology; the structure of chemical and mechanical recycling markets for 2017-27; and examines how commercial-scale chemical recycling will reshape the materials supply for packaging and other end-use sectors.

The Smithers methodology

This report is based on extensive primary and secondary research. Primary research consisted of targeted interviews with material suppliers, converters and experts drawn from key markets. This was supported by secondary research in the form of extensive literature analysis of published data, official government statistics, domestic and international trade organisation data, company websites, industry reports, trade press articles, presentations, and attendance at trade events.

About the author

Patrick Ellis has spent over 50 years working in the European plastics industry, in a variety of technical, marketing and management roles. He has worked for a number of multi-national organisations, including Shell, Borg-Warner, Monsanto, Hercules, Himont, Neste and the RTP Company. He has written multiple market and technology reports for Smithers on a range of subjects, including thermoset and thermoplastic elastomers, as well as chemical recycling.

Who should buy the report?

• Packaging converters
• Suppliers of plastic materials
• Recycling companies
• Waste management companies

Table of Contents

Executive summary

• Introduction
• The global market for recycled polymers for automotive, packaging, and other applications
• Revue of mechanical and chemical recycling processes, their position, and their future
• The need for recycling plastics and elastomers
• Positive and negative aspects for recycling plastics and elastomers
• The future of mechanical recycling
• The future of chemical recycling

Introduction and methodology

• Introduction
• Scope
  • Thermoplastics recycling processes
  • Vulcanized elastomers recycling processes
  • Thermoplastics and elastomer raw materials used in automotive, packaging, and other applications
    • Thermoplastics
    • Elastomers
  • Processes used in the production of thermoplastics' applications
  • Geographical coverage
• Objectives
• Methodology
• Definitions
• Abbreviations and glossary

Regulations and legislation

• Introduction
• Legislation governing recycling in the automotive industry
  • Introduction
  • Europe
  • North America
  • Central and South America
  • Asia/Pacific
  • Rest of World
• Legislation governing recycling in the packaging industry
  • Introduction
  • Europe
  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Central and South America
    • Brazil
    • Other Central and South American countries
  • Asia/Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Philippines
    • Taiwan
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
  • Rest of World

Technological forecasts for mechanical and chemical recycling

• Introduction
• Current and future position of mechanical and chemical recycling processes - general overview
• Mechanical recycling processes
• Chemical recycling processes
  • Pyrolysis
    • Hydrothermal cracking
    • FCC (fluid catalyst cracking
    • Gasification
    • Catalytic hydrogenation
    • Gasification
    • Catalytic hydrogenation
  • Other chemical recycling systems
    • Dissolution or solvent extraction
    • Depolymerisation
• Benefits of chemical recycling systems

Mechanical and chemical recycling markets by polymer type

• Overview
  • Automotive recycling
  • Packaging recycling
• Polymers used in packaging applications
  • Polyethylene terephthalate (PET)
  • Polyethylene
    • Low density and linear low density polyethylene LDPE/ (LDPE)
    • High density Polyethylene (HDPE)
  • Polypropylene (PP)
  • Other thermoplastics
    • Polyamides (PA)
    • Polyvinyl chloride (PVC)
    • Cyclic olefin copolymers (COC)
    • Polystyrene (PS)
  • Thermoplastic elastomers

Mechanical and chemical recycling market by region

• Europe
  • Germany
  • France
  • UK
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Other Europe
• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• South and Central America
  • Brazil
  • Other South and Central America
• Asia Pacific
  • China
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • Other Asia Pacific
• Rest of World
  • South Africa
  • Saudi Arabia and the Emirates, and the Maghreb

Competitive landscape

• Aduro Clean Technologies
• Agilyx
• Alterra
• Amsty
• Arcus
• Axens
• BASF Chemcycling
• BiologiQ
• Coca-Cola
• Dow
• Eastman
• ExxonMobil
• Mondelez International
• Neste
• Plastic Energy
• SABIC
• Unilever
• Others

Tables

• Material composition of an average motor vehicle (%)
• Positive and negative needs for recycling plastics and elastomers for automotive applications
• Positive and negative aspects of recycling plastics and elastomers for packaging applications
• Transition of mechanical recycling of automotive components in the next few years
• Transition of mechanical recycling of packaging applications in the next few years
• Transition of chemical recycling of automotive components in the next few years
• Transition of chemical recycling of packaging applications in the next few years
• Definitions used in the context of chemical and mechanical recycling technologies and related matters
• Miscellaneous definitions used in thermoplastics, elastomers, and thermoplastics elastomers
• Principal thermoplastics used for automotive, packaging, and other applications
• Other thermoplastics used for automotive, packaging, and other applications
• Other abbreviations used in the context of chemical and other recycling technologies
• Elastomer abbreviations and definitions used by the global TPE market
• Elastomer abbreviations and definitions used in the thermoset rubber industry
• Definitions of components produced from automotive elastomers
• Products other than elastomers used and involved with the global elastomer industries
• Electric vehicles and components
• Benefits and limitations of mechanical recycling systems
• Benefits and limitations of chemical recycling systems
• Specific gravities of commonly found thermoplastics and thermoplastic elastomers in MSW waste streams
• Global market for plastics and elastomers consumption for nontire automotive markets by material, 2022-27 ('000 tonnes)
• Global mechanically recycled plastics and elastomers from non-tire automotive applications by material, 2022-27 ('000 tonnes)
• Percentage of global mechanically recycled plastics and elastomers from non-tire automotive applications by material, 2022-27 (%)
• Global chemically recycled plastics and rubbers from non-tire automotive applications by material, 2022-27 ('000 tonnes)
• Percentage of global chemically recycled plastics and rubbers from non-tire automotive applications by material, 2022-27 (%)
• Global mechanically recycled plastics from packaging applications by material, 2022-27 ('000 tonnes)
• Percentage of global mechanically recycled plastics from packaging applications by material, 2022-27 (%)
• Global chemically recycled plastics from packaging markets by material, 2022-27 ('000 tonnes)
• Percentage of global chemically recycled plastics from packaging markets by material, 2022-27 (%)
• European mechanical recycling of automotive plastics ('000 tonnes)
• European mechanical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• European chemical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• North American mechanical recycling of automotive plastics ('000 tonnes)
• North American mechanical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• North American chemical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Central and South American mechanical recycling of automotive plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Central and South American mechanical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Central and South American chemical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Asian/Pacific mechanical recycling of automotive plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Asian/Pacific mechanical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Asian/Pacific chemical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Rest of the World mechanical recycling of automotive plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Rest of the World mechanical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)
• Rest of the World chemical recycling of packaging plastics ('000 tonnes)

Figures

• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by polymer types, 2022 (%)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by polymer types, 2027 (%)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by region, 2022 (%)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by region, 2027 (%)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market growth by region, (CAGR 2022-27, %)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market growth by region, (CAGR 2022-27, %)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by end-use market, 2022 (%)
• Chemical and mechanical recycling market by end-use market, 2027 (%)