軌道間輸送機市場レポート：動向、予測、競合分析 (2031年まで)

世界の軌道間輸送機 (OTV) 市場の将来性は有望で、民間市場と政府市場に機会があります。世界の軌道間輸送機市場は、2025年から2031年にかけてCAGR 11.3％で成長すると予想されています。この市場の主な促進要因は、宇宙ミッションの需要増加、民間宇宙投資の拡大、衛星配備の増加です。

• Lucintelの予測によると、種類別では、宇宙ミッションにおける効率性と持続可能性の向上により、電気推進が予測期間中に高い成長を遂げる見込みです。
• 用途別では、民間宇宙開発投資の増加により商用が高成長が見込まれます。
• 地域別では、北米が予測期間中に最も高い成長が見込まれます。

軌道間輸送機市場の新たな動向

軌道間輸送機市場の動向の進化は、費用対効果、持続可能性、惑星間探査といった宇宙ミッションの進化に対応しています。各国は、OTV市場の飛躍的成長の触媒として、機体の再利用、打ち上げコストの最小化、高度な宇宙運用の改善など、新技術の開発に多大な投資を行っています。

• 再使用可能なOTV技術：再利用可能なOTVは、衛星配備や宇宙ロジスティクスのコストを大幅に削減できるため、人気を集めています。主要企業は、OTVを再利用可能にすることに取り組んでおり、最終的には打ち上げコストを削減し、宇宙へのアクセスをより安価で持続可能なものにします。
• OTVの小型化：OTVの小型化は、より小さなペイロードを扱うことができる、より軽量で効率的な設計を可能にする新たな動向になりつつあります。このようなコンパクトなOTVは、超小型衛星や宇宙ベースのサービスに理想的であり、宇宙探査や衛星配備に新たなビジネスの道を開きます。
• 軌道上サービス：OTVは、勢いを増す軌道上サービス市場を牽引しています。OTVは、衛星への燃料補給、修理、アップグレードを行うことで、宇宙運用を変えようとしています。宇宙船の寿命は保証され、商業衛星運用者にとって重要な衛星管理の効率も向上します。
• 惑星間ミッションの支援：OTVは、惑星やその衛星、特に火星や月へのミッションを実施するために設計されています。各国の宇宙機関の野心的な計画や、宇宙飛行士や機器を搭載して深宇宙へ物資輸送を行う非公開会社をサポートします。
• 官民セクター間の協力：政府機関と非公開会社の戦略的パートナーシップは、OTV技術の革新を促進しています。コラボレーションは、公的資金と専門知識を民間セクターの敏捷性と技術的進歩に結びつけるのに役立ち、次世代OTVの開発を加速させます。

こうした新たな動向はOTV市場に変革をもたらし、革新と拡大の新たな道を開いています。再利用性、小型化、軌道上サービス、惑星間支援、官民協力が次の成長の波を後押しし、宇宙ミッションがより安価で効率的なものになるでしょう。こうした動向は、やがて宇宙事業をより持続可能で身近なものにすると思われます。

軌道間輸送機市場の最近の動向

軌道間輸送機市場は、技術の進歩、宇宙探査の目標の高まり、民間セクターの投資によって急速な発展が進んでいます。多くの国々が、衛星サービス、宇宙ロジスティクス、探査のためにOTVに注目しています。これらすべての開発は、将来の政府および民間宇宙ミッションにとって非常に重要です。

• 米国の開発：NASAはスペースX社と共同で、月や火星のミッションなどを支援するため、衛星打ち上げや軌道上での燃料補給用に開発できる、より効率的な再使用型OTVを目指しています。さらに米国は、宇宙活動の効率化を図るため、自律型OTV技術も検討しています。
• 中国の投資中国は、軍事用と商業用の両方に重点を置いてOTV能力を開発してきました。中国の宇宙機関は、長期宇宙ミッション、衛星整備、再利用のためのOTV技術に取り組んでおり、世界の宇宙開発における重要なプレーヤーとしての地位を強化しています。
• ドイツの役割：ドイツは、OTVの開発を通じて宇宙開発における足場を拡大しています。欧州宇宙機関（ESA）への貢献は、物資の輸送や衛星の整備に関連する先進的な設計の実現に役立っています。ドイツは国際的なOTVプロジェクトにも貢献しており、世界の宇宙インフラをさらに強化することになります。
• インドの能力向上インドは、費用対効果の高い技術に目を向けながら、OTVへの取り組みを強化しています。ISROは現在、衛星の配備や宇宙物流に使用する再利用可能な乗り物の開発に取り組んでいます。ISROの国際協力は、OTV技術の強化を通じて市場競争力を強化します。

OTV市場における最近の技術革新は、宇宙ロジスティクス、衛星サービス、宇宙探査産業の台頭を裏付けています。米国、中国、ドイツ、インド、日本を含む国々が、OTV技術強化のリーダーとなっています。新たな宇宙ミッションに関する技術革新の新分野を切り開くことで、市場は将来的に変化を遂げる可能性が高いです。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界の軌道間輸送機市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 市場動向と予測分析 (2019年～2031年)

• マクロ経済動向 (2019～2024年) と予測 (2025～2031年)
• 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の動向 (2019～2024年) と予測 (2025～2031年)
• 世界の軌道間輸送機市場：種類別
  • 電気推進
  • 化学推進
• 世界の軌道間輸送機市場：用途別
  • 民間
  • 政府

第4章 地域別の市場動向と予測分析 (2019年～2031年)

• 世界の軌道間輸送機市場：地域別
• 北米の軌道間輸送機市場
• 欧州の軌道間輸送機市場
• アジア太平洋の軌道間輸送機市場
• その他地域の軌道間輸送機市場

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 運用統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析
• 市場シェア分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の成長機会：種類別
  • 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の成長機会：用途別
  • 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の成長機会：地域別
• 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の新たな動向
• 戦略的分析
  • 新製品の開発
  • 世界の軌道間輸送機市場の生産能力拡大
  • 世界の軌道間輸送機市場における企業合併・買収 (M&A)、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業のプロファイル

• D-Orbit
• Northrop Grumman
• Momentus Space
• Exotrail
• Epic Aerospace
• Impulse Space
• Space Machines
• Firefly Aerospace
• Exolaunch
• Atomos Space

The future of the global orbital transfer vehicle market looks promising with opportunities in the commercial and government markets. The global orbital transfer vehicle market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 11.3% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are increasing demand for space missions, growing private space investments, and rising satellite deployment.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, electric propulsion is expected to witness higher growth over the forecast period due to increased efficiency and sustainability in space missions.
• Within the application category, commercial is expected to witness the higher growth due to increased private space exploration investments.
• In terms of region, North America is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

Emerging Trends in the Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

The evolving nature of the trends in the orbital transfer vehicle market corresponds to space mission evolution: toward cost-effectiveness, sustainability, and interplanetary exploration. Countries have highly invested in the development of new technologies with improvements in the reuse of the vehicle, minimizing the launch cost, and conducting sophisticated space operations as a catalyst to the exponential growth of the OTV market.

• Reusable OTV Technology: Reusability OTVs are gaining popularity as they save a lot of money for satellite deployment and space logistics. The key players are working to make these vehicles reusable, which will eventually decrease the launch cost, making space access cheaper and sustainable.
• Miniaturization of OTVs: Miniaturization of OTVs is becoming the new trend that allows for lighter, more efficient designs that can handle smaller payloads. These compact vehicles are ideal for micro-satellites and space-based services, opening new business avenues for space exploration and satellite deployment.
• In-Orbit Servicing: OTVs are driving the in-orbit servicing market, which is gaining momentum. They are going to change space operations by refueling, repairing, or upgrading satellites. The longevity of spacecraft will be ensured, and efficiency in satellite management, critical for commercial satellite operators, will also be enhanced.
• Support of Interplanetary Missions: The OTVs are designed increasingly to carry out missions on the planets and their satellites, particularly to Mars and the Moon. It will support national space agencies' ambitious plans and private companies for cargo transport to deep space with astronauts and equipment.
• Collaboration Between Public and Private Sectors: Strategic partnerships between government agencies and private companies are fostering innovation in OTV technology. Collaborations help to combine public funding and expertise with private sector agility and technological advancements, accelerating the development of next-generation OTVs.

These new trends are transforming the OTV market, which is opening new avenues for innovation and expansion. Reusability, miniaturization, in-orbit services, interplanetary support, and public-private collaborations are going to drive the next wave of growth, which will make space missions more affordable and efficient. These trends will eventually make space operations more sustainable and accessible.

Recent Developments in the Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

The orbital transfer vehicle market is experiencing rapid development because of the advancements in technology, growing goals for space exploration, and private sector investment. A number of countries have been focusing on OTVs for satellite servicing, space logistics, and exploration. All these developments are very important for future governmental and commercial space missions.

• US Developments: NASA in partnership with SpaceX is working toward more efficient reusable OTVs that can be developed for satellite launch and in-orbit refueling to support Moon, Mars missions, and much more. Additionally, the US is also considering autonomous OTV technology to bring more efficiency into space operations.
• China's Investments: China has been developing its OTV capabilities, focusing on both military and commercial applications. China's space agency is working on OTV technology for long-duration space missions, satellite servicing, and reusability, strengthening its position as a key player in global space exploration.
• The Role of Germany: Germany is expanding its foothold in space exploration through the development of OTVs. The country's contribution to the European Space Agency has helped bring forth advanced designs related to the delivery of cargo and servicing of satellites. Germany is also contributing to international OTV projects, which will further boost global space infrastructure.
• India's Rising Capabilities: India is stepping up OTV efforts while keeping an eye on cost-effective technologies. ISRO is now working on the reusable vehicles to be used in the deployment of satellites and for space logistics. International collaboration of the country will enhance its competitive position in the market through strengthened OTV technology.

Recent innovations in the OTV market underscore the rising space logistics, satellite servicing, and space exploration industries. Countries that include the United States, China, Germany, India, and Japan are now leaders in enhancing OTV technology. The market is likely to see changes in the future by way of opening up new fields of innovation with regards to new space missions.

Strategic Growth Opportunities in the Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

As satellite servicing, cargo transportation, and space exploration advance, they carry a growth profile in OTVs. It develops because these missions are technologically becoming affordable by reducing their related costs, though improving operational space efficiency. That is a ground for strategic growing by both National Space Agencies, as well as private companies in these markets of orbital transfer vehicle (OTV) developments.

• Satellite Servicing: OTVs are increasingly being used for satellite servicing, including refueling, repairs, and upgrades. This market is growing due to the demand for satellite longevity and efficiency. Companies providing OTV-based servicing solutions are experiencing significant growth as they offer cost-effective alternatives to satellite replacement.
• Cargo Transportation: With space exploration missions becoming more complex, there is a growing demand for OTVs to transport cargo to low-Earth orbit (LEO) and beyond. This opportunity is particularly relevant for deep-space missions, as OTVs offer a reliable means of transporting supplies to space stations and exploration sites.
• Micro-Satellite Deployment: The OTVs are now being designed to deploy micro-satellites, which will be an integral part of the commercial space services. The vehicles are small, efficient, and meet the demand for constellations of micro-satellites, used in communications, Earth observation, and scientific research.
• Interplanetary Exploration: With the expansion of space exploration goals by nations, OTVs are becoming crucial for interplanetary missions. These vehicles will be used to transport humans and cargo to destinations like the Moon, Mars, and beyond. They will play a crucial role in supporting space exploration initiatives and building infrastructure on other planets.

The strategic growth opportunities of the OTV market are mostly focused on satellite servicing, cargo transportation, micro-satellite deployment, in-orbit manufacturing, and interplanetary exploration. These opportunities create a dynamic and expansive market where OTV technology becomes a fore front in future space operations and exploration.

Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market Driver and Challenges

The orbital transfer vehicle market is influenced by several drivers and challenges, including technological, economic, and regulatory factors. These forces shape the development of the industry and its ability to meet growing space exploration needs.

The factors responsible for driving the orbital transfer vehicle market include:

1. Increased Space Exploration Ambitions: There is an increasing ambition to send spacecraft to the Moon and Mars. Therefore, OTVs will be in increasing demand for the transportation of cargo and equipment during long-duration missions.

2. Private Sector Investment: The private companies are investing very heavily in the development of OTVs, contributing to advancements in space technology and increasing commercial opportunities. The pace of innovation and reducing the cost of access to space is increased with the advent of private space ventures.

3. Increase Demand for Satellite Servicing: The rise in demand to repair, fuel, and replace satellites is quite high. By using OTV, the entire process can now be done very cost-effectively, thereby upping the stakes in this division.

4. Sustainability and Cost Efficiency: OTVs are being developed to reduce the environmental impact of space missions by promoting reusable vehicles. The cost efficiency of OTVs, particularly in satellite deployment and space logistics, makes them a key driver for growth in the market.

Challenges in the orbital transfer vehicle market are:

1. Regulatory Barriers: Strict space laws and licensing procedures may hinder the development and launch of OTVs. Governments should establish a system that fosters innovation but still ensures the safe and responsible use of space.

2. Technological Challenges: Although the technology has progressed, there are still risks related to the development of OTVs. Propulsion systems, reusability, and mission autonomy may pose problems in achieving full potential in OTV technologies.

3. High Initial Investment: The cost of developing and testing OTVs is very high, which can be a constraint for many companies. Although long-term savings are significant, the upfront capital needed for such projects can limit participation in the market.

Driving factors for technological advancements, increased space exploration goals, investment by the private sector, demand for satellite servicing, and sustainability will drive the OTV market. Challenges being faced include regulatory uncertainty, technological risks, and high initial investment, which currently hinder the industry. All these factors will shape the market over the coming years as it evolves.

List of Orbital Transfer Vehicle Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies orbital transfer vehicle companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the orbital transfer vehicle companies profiled in this report include-

• D-Orbit
• Northrop Grumman
• Momentus Space
• Exotrail
• Epic Aerospace
• Impulse Space
• Space Machines
• Firefly Aerospace
• Exolaunch
• Atomos Space

Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global orbital transfer vehicle market by type, application, and region.

Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Type [Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Electric Propulsion
• Chemical Propulsion

Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Application [Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Commercial
• Government

Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Region [Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

Advancements in the orbital transfer vehicle market is characterized by various global players like the United States, China, Germany, India, and Japan. All of these nations are working on new technologies and collaborations that help boost the OTV capability in space logistics. Increased demand for satellite deployment, space exploration, and in-orbit servicing are responsible for the expansion of the OTV market.

• United States: The United States has significantly advanced in the OTV market, with initiatives from both the government and private sectors. NASA is improving OTV technology through partnerships with private companies such as SpaceX and Blue Origin. The U.S. is developing reusable and more efficient OTVs, expanding its capabilities in satellite servicing, and aiming for interplanetary missions in the long run.
• China: China has invested heavily in OTV technology, with a focus on military as well as commercial space applications. CNSA, the country's space agency, has been partnering with private enterprise to design OTVs to be used for satellite transfer and reusability. China's technological developments are significantly making it become the world's most essential player in space missions and space exploration for long-duration.
• Germany: Germany, with its strong space infrastructure, has emerged as a contender on the OTV market. DLR has conducted studies concerning the design of reusable OTVs for commercial satellite delivery and orbital cargo missions. International cooperation through participation in the ESA is also supporting the development of OTV technology, which could be employed for global applications, thanks to Germany.
• India: ISRO, India's space agency, is slowly entering the OTV market, focusing on cost-effective and sustainable technologies. The development of reusable vehicles will enable India to cut the cost of satellite deployment and provide efficient in-orbit services. ISRO's collaborations with international partners are strengthening its OTV capabilities and positioning the country as a competitive player in space logistics.
• Japan: Japan is developing its OTV capabilities through JAXA-led initiatives. Japan's space programs focus on the development of lightweight, high-efficiency OTVs for satellite servicing and interplanetary missions. Japan is looking for partnerships with other spacefaring nations to leverage its technological expertise and expand its influence in the global OTV market.

Features of the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

Market Size Estimates: Orbital transfer vehicle (OTV) market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Orbital transfer vehicle (OTV) market size by type, application, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Orbital transfer vehicle (OTV) market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different type, application, and regions for the orbital transfer vehicle market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the orbital transfer vehicle market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the orbital transfer vehicle market by type (electric propulsion and chemical propulsion), application (commercial and government), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Type
  • 3.3.1: Electric Propulsion
  • 3.3.2: Chemical Propulsion
• 3.4: Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Application
  • 3.4.1: Commercial
  • 3.4.2: Government

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Type: Electric Propulsion and Chemical Propulsion
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by Application: Commercial and Government
  • 4.2.3: The United States Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.2.4: Canadian Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.2.5: Mexican Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
• 4.3: European Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Type: Electric Propulsion and Chemical Propulsion
  • 4.3.2: European Market by Application: Commercial and Government
  • 4.3.3: German Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.3.4: French Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.3.5: The United Kingdom Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
• 4.4: APAC Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Type: Electric Propulsion and Chemical Propulsion
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by Application: Commercial and Government
  • 4.4.3: Chinese Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.4.4: Japanese Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.4.5: Indian Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.4.6: South Korean Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.4.7: Taiwan Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
• 4.5: ROW Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Type: Electric Propulsion and Chemical Propulsion
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by Application: Commercial and Government
  • 4.5.3: Brazilian Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 4.5.4: Argentine Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis
• 5.4: Market Share Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Type
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Application
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Orbital Transfer Vehicle Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: D-Orbit
• 7.2: Northrop Grumman
• 7.3: Momentus Space
• 7.4: Exotrail
• 7.5: Epic Aerospace
• 7.6: Impulse Space
• 7.7: Space Machines
• 7.8: Firefly Aerospace
• 7.9: Exolaunch
• 7.10: Atomos Space