低GWP冷媒市場レポート：2031年までの動向、予測、競合分析

世界の低GWP冷媒市場の将来は、商業用冷蔵、産業用冷蔵、家庭用冷蔵、据置型空調、移動式空調の各市場における機会で有望視されています。世界の低GWP冷媒市場は、2025年から2031年までのCAGRが10.8%で、2031年までに推定474億米ドルに達すると予想されます。この市場の主な促進要因は、業務用空調製品の使用増加、さまざまな産業におけるより効率的な冷凍需要、炭化水素の使用拡大、新規低GWP冷媒の創出です。

• Lucintelは、炭化水素冷媒は熱力学的特性に優れ、これらの物質を使用した冷凍空調システムはエネルギー効率が高いため、タイプ別では炭化水素セグメントが予測期間中に最も高い成長を遂げると予測しています。
• 地域別では、東南アジア、インド、中国における急速な人口拡大、都市化、経済開発、また、エコロジーとエネルギー効率に優れた冷房システムに対するニーズの高まりにより、APACが予測期間中最大の地域であり続けると思われます。

低GWP冷媒市場の戦略的成長機会

低GWP冷媒市場における戦略的成長機会は、技術的変化、規制の変更、低GWP冷媒機器に対する市場需要の拡大によってもたらされます。このような機会の出現は、新たな動向から利益を得て足跡を増やしたい市場参入企業にとって重要です。

• 先進HFOの開発：より優れた性能と低いGWPを持つ先進HFO冷媒の開発には成長の見込みがあります。企業は、最新の規制枠組みに準拠し、多くの用途で競争力のある効率を提供する先進的なHFO冷媒を活用することができます。
• 新興市場への進出：東南アジアやアフリカなど、冷凍・空調システムの需要が高まっている新興市場への進出は、企業にとって市場を広げることになります。これらの地理的市場では、低GWPソリューションを提供することができ、市場の成長と新規顧客の獲得につながります。
• 天然冷媒の統合：成長機会は、業務用および産業用の自然冷媒の創出と販売にあります。自然冷媒はオゾン層破壊や地球温暖化の可能性がゼロであるため、環境に積極的に貢献します。
• 冷媒管理システムの革新：漏れ検知・回収システムの改善、冷媒管理技術の開発・商業化の余地があります。低GWP冷媒とともに、これらのイノベーションはプロセスを強化し、業界の規制要件への準拠を確実にします。
• パートナーシップとコラボレーション：技術革新者、規制当局、業界スポンサーとのパートナーシップやコラボレーションを形成することで、他の市場企業と連携することが、ビジネスを推進するための強固な基盤となります。協力関係は、低GWP冷媒の開発と受容を加速させ、地理的範囲を広げることができます。

低GWP冷媒市場における潜在的機会は、主に高GWP削減化合物の戦略的開発、新興国市場への注力、自然冷媒の使用と導入、冷媒管理システムの進歩、積極的な参入を含みます。こうした機会が市場を再構築し、冷媒使用におけるより環境に優しいソリューションへの重要な動きを促進しています。

低GWP冷媒市場の促進要因・課題

低GWP冷媒市場には、技術、規制、経済性など、いくつかの促進要因・課題が存在します。市場内で事業を展開し、成長を達成するためには、これらの要因を理解することが重要です。

低GWP冷媒市場を牽引する要因は以下の通りである：

• 規制支援：規制支援：キガリ修正条項のような強化された規制や国際条約は、低GWP冷媒の使用を求めています。こうした規制に従うことで、高GWP冷媒の段階的な廃止が促進され、市場の成長を支えます。
• 技術の進歩：市場は、新たに配合されたHFOや天然冷媒の使用など、冷媒技術の新たな開発からも恩恵を受けています。これらの技術は性能と効率を高め、低GWP冷媒への移行を可能にします。
• 環境意識：気候変動とその悪影響により、低GWPでオゾン層を破壊しない流体へのニーズが高まっています。社会と企業において、低炭素の代替品への需要が高まっています。
• エネルギー効率の向上：低GWP冷媒を利用したエネルギー効率の高い冷凍・空調システムへの注目が、市場の成長を強化しています。エネルギー効率の高いシステムの導入は、運用コストを削減し、環境の持続可能性に貢献します。
• 市場の成長：新興国における空調・冷凍需要の高まりは、低GWP冷媒市場にチャンスをもたらします。これらの地域の成長は、市場拡大とグリーン技術の利用拡大の道を提供します。

低GWP冷媒市場の課題は以下の通り：

• 高い移行コスト：高GWP冷媒から低GWP冷媒への移行に関連するコストは大きい可能性があります。新しい機器、技術、その他の要因に関連する費用は、統合の面で企業に課題をもたらす可能性があります。
• 規制の複雑さ：規制の遵守に伴うストレスと潜在的な混乱は、圧倒的なものになる可能性があります。国内および国際的な規制への対応には、多額の予算とリソースが必要となります。
• 限られたインフラ：一部の地域では、低GWP冷媒の管理と再生のためのインフラが不足しているため、市場の成長が制限される可能性があります。適切なインフラを構築することは、市場全体の取り込みにとって極めて重要です。

低GWP冷媒市場の主な促進要因としては、規制政策支援、技術の進化、環境意識、エネルギー効率の改善、市場成長が挙げられます。こうした進歩に対する障壁としては、高い移行コスト、規制改革、限られたインフラ、市場競争、様々な技術との互換性などが挙げられます。生き残りと市場拡大を達成するためには、これらの要因を考慮することが重要です。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界の低GWP冷媒市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 2019年から2031年までの市場動向と予測分析

• マクロ経済動向（2019-2024年）と予測（2025-2031年）
• 世界の低GWP冷媒市場の動向（2019-2024）と予測（2025-2031）
• タイプ別
  • フルオロカーボン
  • 炭化水素
  • 無機物
• 用途別
  • 業務用冷蔵庫
  • 産業用冷凍
  • 家庭用冷蔵庫
  • 据置型エアコン
  • 移動式エアコン
  • その他

第4章 2019年から2031年までの地域別市場動向と予測分析

• 地域別：世界の低GWP冷媒市場
• 北米の低GWP冷媒市場
• 欧州の低GWP冷媒市場
• アジア太平洋地域の低GWP冷媒市場
• その他地域の低GWP冷媒市場

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 運用統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • タイプ別
  • 用途別
  • 地域別
• 世界の低GWP冷媒市場の新たな動向
• 戦略分析
  • 新製品開発
  • 世界の低GWP冷媒市場の生産能力拡大
  • 世界の低GWP冷媒市場における合併、買収、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業の企業プロファイル

• Linde Group
• Honeywell
• Sinochem
• Airgas
• Engas Australasia
• A-Gas
• Puyang Zhongwei Fine Chemical
• Harp International
• Tazzetti
• Shandong Yueon Chemical Industry

The future of the global low GWP refrigerant market looks promising with opportunities in the commercial refrigeration, industrial refrigeration, domestic refrigeration, stationary air-conditioning, and mobile air-conditioning markets. The global low GWP refrigerant market is expected to reach an estimated $47.4 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 10.8% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are increasing commercial air conditioning product use, the demand for more efficient refrigeration across a range of industries, the expanding use of hydrocarbons, and the creation of novel low-GWP refrigerants.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, the hydrocarbon segment is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period because hydrocarbon refrigerants have excellent thermodynamic properties, and refrigerating and air-conditioning systems operating using these substances are highly energy-efficient.
• In terms of regions, APAC will remain the largest region over the forecast period due to the fast population expansion, urbanization, and economic development in Southeast Asian, Indian, and Chinese nations, as well as, the rising need for cooling systems that are both ecologically and energy-efficient.

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Emerging Trends in the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

New market trends are developing in the low global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants market as a result of technological evolution, regulatory changes, and environmental practices. These trends are shaping the history and future of the industry through their influence on product development and market expansion initiatives.

• Adoption of HFOs: Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs), which have a very low global warming potential, have seen a high rate of market penetration as substitutes for traditional coolants. New refrigeration systems benefit from their relatively low global warming potential and higher operational effectiveness compared to existing units.
• Growth of Natural Refrigerants: Natural refrigerants, such as CO2, ammonia, and hydrocarbons, are becoming increasingly popular as they are more environmentally friendly. They offer greener and cost-effective solutions, particularly in commercial and industrial refrigeration.
• Regulatory Push for Phase-Outs: The phase-out of high GWP refrigerants occurs in response to stricter regulations and international agreements like the Kigali Amendment. This regulatory impetus facilitates the transition to low GWP alternatives and encourages industry-wide compliance.
• Technological Innovations: Many improvements in the formulations of low GWP refrigerants and their systems are enhancing efficiency and effectiveness. There are barriers as well as strengths associated with these trends.
• Increased Focus on Energy Efficiency: There is a growing challenge in enhancing the energy efficiency of low GWP refrigerants used in air conditioning and refrigeration systems. The use of such energy-efficient systems minimizes energy consumption and lowers operational costs, contributing to environmental and energy goals.

Notable trends in the low GWP refrigerant market include the shift to HFO adoption, the expansion of natural refrigerants, regulatory phase-outs, technological advancements, and a focus on energy efficiency. These trends are transforming the market by creating sustainable opportunities and improving refrigerant technologies.

Recent Developments in the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Trends related to the low GWP refrigerant market in recent times indicate increasing technological, regulatory, and market developments. These developments are leading to more environmentally friendly refrigerant solutions and improving general practices in the industry.

• Launch of New HFO Products: More manufacturers have entered the market with new HFO refrigerants that have lower GWP characteristics but enhanced performance. New products have been developed for various applications to comply with new regulations and for more effective operation.
• Expansion of Natural Refrigerant Usage: Both commercial and industrial practices are featuring an increasing use of natural refrigerants such as CO2 and ammonia. This change is driven by the environmental efficiency of natural refrigerants.
• Regulatory Compliance Initiatives: New regulations and standards that aim to eliminate the use of high GWP refrigerants, such as the Kigali Amendment and the EU F-gas Regulation, are currently being enacted. This regulatory environment encourages investment in low-GWP refrigerant technology.
• Development of Refrigerant Management Systems: Advances in refrigerant management techniques, such as leak detection and recovery processes, are enhancing the usage and economics of low GWP refrigerants. These advances also help achieve better performance of the entire system and comply with environmental regulations.
• Growing R&D Expenditure: There is increased research and development expenditure on new low GWP replacements and improvements to current technologies. This trend is driven by the focus on creating an enabling environment for innovation that addresses the need for sustainable refrigerants.

New developments in the low GWP refrigerant market include the introduction of new HFO products, the expansion of natural refrigerant usage, regulatory compliance initiatives, technological advancements in refrigerant management, and increased investment in R&D. These developments are pushing the market toward the utilization of more effective and sustainable refrigerants.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Strategic growth opportunities in the low GWP refrigerant market are driven by technological changes, regulatory changes, and growing market demand for such equipment. The emergence of these opportunities is important for market participants who wish to benefit from new trends and increase their footprint.

• Development of Advanced HFOs: There are growth prospects in developing advanced HFO refrigerants that have better performance and lower GWP. Companies can take advantage of advanced HFO refrigerants that comply with the latest regulatory frameworks and offer competitive efficiencies for many applications.
• Expansion into Emerging Markets: Venturing into emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Africa, where there is increasing demand for refrigeration and air conditioning systems, widens the market for companies. In these geographical markets, low-GWP solutions can be offered, resulting in market growth and new customer acquisition.
• Integration of Natural Refrigerants: Growth opportunities lie in the creation and marketing of natural refrigerants for commercial and industrial use. Natural refrigerants have zero ozone depletion and global warming potential, thus contributing positively to the environment.
• Innovation in Refrigerant Management Systems: There is scope for improving leak detection and recovery systems and developing and commercializing refrigerant management technologies. Along with low-GWP refrigerants, these innovations enhance processes and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements in the industry.
• Partnerships and Collaborations: A solid foundation for advancing business is aligning with other market players by forming partnerships and collaborations with technological innovators, regulatory authorities, and industry sponsors. Collaborations can accelerate the development and acceptance of low GWP refrigerants and broaden geographical coverage.

Potential opportunities in the market for low GWP refrigerants mainly involve the strategic development of high GWP-reducing compounds, focusing on emerging markets, the use and uptake of natural refrigerants, advances in refrigerant management systems, and active participation. These opportunities are reshaping the market and fostering the important move towards greener solutions in refrigerant use.

Low GWP Refrigerant Market Driver and Challenges

Several drivers and challenges affect the low GWP refrigerant market, such as technology, regulations, and economics. It is important to appreciate these factors to operate within the market and achieve growth.

The factors responsible for driving the low GWP refrigerant market include:

• Regulatory Support: Enhanced regulations and international treaties, such as the Kigali Amendment, call for the use of low GWP refrigerants. Following these regulations facilitates the phase-out of high GWP refrigerants, hence supporting market growth.
• Technological Advancements: The market also benefits from new developments in refrigerant technology, including newly formulated HFOs and the use of natural refrigerants. These technologies enhance performance and efficiency, making it possible to transition to low GWP options.
• Environmental Awareness: Climate change and its adverse effects have created a need for low-GWP, non-ozone-depleting fluids. There is increased demand for low-carbon alternatives in society and businesses.
• Driven by Energy Efficiency: The focus on energy-efficient refrigeration and air conditioning systems that utilize low GWP refrigerants is strengthening the growth of the market. The implementation of energy-efficient systems reduces operational costs and contributes to environmental sustainability.
• Market Growth: Rising air conditioning and refrigeration requirements among emerging economies present opportunities in the low GWP refrigerant market. Growth in these regions will provide avenues for market expansion and increased use of green technologies.

Challenges in the low GWP refrigerant market are:

• High Transition Costs: The costs associated with shifting from high GWP to low GWP refrigerants may be significant. Expenses related to new equipment, technologies, and other factors can pose challenges to businesses in terms of integration.
• Regulatory Complexity: The stress and potential disruptions associated with compliance with regulations can be overwhelming. Compliance with both local and international regulations requires substantial budgets and resources.
• Limited Infrastructure: The lack of infrastructure for the management and reclamation of low GWP refrigerants in some areas may limit market growth. Building the appropriate infrastructure is crucial for overall market uptake.

Among the main drivers for the low GWP refrigerant market are regulatory policy support, technology evolution, environmental awareness, improvement in energy efficiency, and market growth. Barriers to such advancements include high transition costs, regulatory reform, limited infrastructure, market competition, and compatibility with various technologies. It is important to consider these factors to achieve survival and market expansion.

List of Low GWP Refrigerant Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies low GWP refrigerant companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the low GWP refrigerant companies profiled in this report include-

• Linde Group
• Honeywell
• Sinochem
• Airgas
• Engas Australasia
• A-Gas
• Puyang Zhongwei Fine Chemical
• Harp International
• Tazzetti
• Shandong Yueon Chemical Industry

Low GWP Refrigerant by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global low GWP refrigerant market by type, application, and region.

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Fluorocarbons
• Hydrocarbons
• Inorganics

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Application [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Commercial Refrigeration
• Industrial Refrigeration
• Domestic Refrigeration
• Stationary Air-conditioning
• Mobile Air-conditioning
• Others

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Major players in the market are expanding their operations and forming strategic partnerships to strengthen their positions. The following image highlights recent developments by major low GWP refrigerant producers in key regions: the USA, China, India, Japan, and Germany.

• United States: In the United States, the development of low GWP refrigerants, particularly hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) and natural refrigerants, is on the rise. The introduction of new regulations under the American Innovation and Manufacturing (AIM) Act is also driving the need to phase out high-GWP refrigerants, thereby creating opportunities for investment in low-GWP alternatives.
• China: China is looking to ramp up its production facilities that cater to low GWP refrigerants, primarily HFOs and CO2. The government's support for the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol is distancing the country from high GWP refrigerants in line with prevailing international standards.
• Germany: Due to strict legislation enacted by the EU, Germany is one of the most advanced countries in introducing low GWP refrigerants. Recent achievements include modified formulations of HFOs and better management strategies for refrigerants in compliance with the F-gas regulation, moving towards low-GWP alternatives.
• India: India has already set a path toward utilizing low GWP refrigerants to protect nature and the environment. There is a particular drive for low-GWP options in the commercial and industrial segments to meet regulatory initiatives and growing concerns about climate change.
• Japan: Japan is making strides in ensuring low GWP refrigerants are adopted by making available protocols and technological advances. These include steps toward low GWP air conditioners and the development of natural refrigerants that comply with local, regional, and global environmental laws.

Features of the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Market Size Estimates: Low GWP refrigerants market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Low GWP refrigerants market size by type, application, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Low GWP refrigerants market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different type, application, and regions for the low GWP refrigerant market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the low GWP refrigerant market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the low GWP refrigerant market by type (fluorocarbons, hydrocarbons, and inorganics), application (commercial refrigeration, industrial refrigeration, domestic refrigeration, stationary air-conditioning, mobile air-conditioning, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Type
  • 3.3.1: Fluorocarbons
  • 3.3.2: Hydrocarbons
  • 3.3.3: Inorganics
• 3.4: Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Application
  • 3.4.1: Commercial Refrigeration
  • 3.4.2: Industrial Refrigeration
  • 3.4.3: Domestic Refrigeration
  • 3.4.4: Stationary Air-conditioning
  • 3.4.5: Mobile Air-conditioning
  • 3.4.6: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Type: Fluorocarbons, Hydrocarbons, and Inorganics
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by Application: Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Domestic Refrigeration, Stationary Air-conditioning, Mobile Air-conditioning, and Others
• 4.3: European Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Type: Fluorocarbons, Hydrocarbons, and Inorganics
  • 4.3.2: European Market by Application: Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Domestic Refrigeration, Stationary Air-conditioning, Mobile Air-conditioning, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Type: Fluorocarbons, Hydrocarbons, and Inorganics
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by Application: Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Domestic Refrigeration, Stationary Air-conditioning, Mobile Air-conditioning, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Type: Fluorocarbons, Hydrocarbons, and Inorganics
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by Application: Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Domestic Refrigeration, Stationary Air-conditioning, Mobile Air-conditioning, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Type
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Application
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: Linde Group
• 7.2: Honeywell
• 7.3: Sinochem
• 7.4: Airgas
• 7.5: Engas Australasia
• 7.6: A-Gas
• 7.7: Puyang Zhongwei Fine Chemical
• 7.8: Harp International
• 7.9: Tazzetti
• 7.10: Shandong Yueon Chemical Industry