薄膜型太陽光発電の世界市場レポート：動向、予測、競合分析（～2031年）

世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の将来は、住宅、商業・産業、公益事業の各市場における機会によって有望視されています。世界の薄膜型太陽光発電の市場規模は、2025年～2031年のCAGRが16.0%で、2031年までに推定180億米ドルに達すると予想されています。この市場の主な促進要因は、再生可能エネルギーへの需要の高まり、二酸化炭素排出量削減ニーズの高まり、薄膜ベースの太陽光発電デバイスの採用拡大です。

• Lucintelの予測では、コンポーネント別では、モジュールが予測期間中に最も高い成長を遂げる見込みです。
• 地域別では、アジア太平洋が予測期間中に最も高い成長を遂げる見込みです。

薄膜型太陽光発電市場の戦略的成長機会

薄膜型太陽光発電市場における戦略的成長機会は、技術の進歩、用途の拡大、市場力学の進化から生まれています。こうした機会が薄膜型太陽光発電技術の将来を形成しています。

• 建築物一体型太陽光発電（BIPV）：ファサードや屋根などの建材に薄膜型太陽光発電を組み込むことで、大きな成長が期待できます。BIPVシステムは美観と機能性の両面でメリットがあり、住宅や商業施設での採用を後押ししています。
• ポータブルソーラーソリューション：薄膜型太陽光発電の柔軟性と軽量の特性は、ソーラー充電器やキャンプ用品などのポータブルソーラー用途に理想的です。この分野は、携帯可能な再生可能エネルギーソリューションに対する消費者の需要の高まりとともに拡大しています。
• 商業・産業用途：商業・産業環境での薄膜型太陽光発電の採用が増加しています。大規模ソーラーファーム、産業用屋根上、オフグリッドソリューションなどの用途があり、大きな市場成長の機会を提供しています。
• 新興市場への普及：ソーラーポテンシャルの高い新興市場への進出は成長機会をもたらします。現地のニーズや規制環境に合わせて薄膜型太陽光発電ソリューションを調整することで、市場参入と市場開拓が促進されます。
• 技術革新：効率向上や新材料など、薄膜技術の継続的な革新が成長機会をもたらします。技術の進歩は性能と競争力を高め、市場拡大を後押しします。

BIPV、ポータブルソーラーソリューション、商業用途、新興市場への浸透、技術革新といった戦略的成長機会が薄膜型太陽光発電市場を牽引しています。こうした機会が市場拡大、技術進歩、薄膜型太陽光発電技術の幅広い採用を促進しています。

薄膜型太陽光発電市場の促進要因・課題

薄膜型太陽光発電市場は、技術進歩、経済要因、規制状況など、さまざまな市場促進要因・課題によって形成されています。これらの要因を理解することは、市場情勢をナビゲートするために不可欠です。

薄膜型太陽光発電市場の促進要因は以下の通りです：

• 技術の進歩：新材料や製造プロセスなど、薄膜型太陽光発電技術の進歩は効率と性能を向上させます。こうした技術革新は薄膜型太陽光発電の競争力と魅力を高め、市場成長の原動力となっています。
• コスト削減：製造・生産コストの削減により、薄膜PVはより手頃な価格となっています。費用対効果の高いソリューションが市場を拡大し、住宅用・商業用ともに普及が進みます。
• 政府のインセンティブ：補助金や税額控除などの支援政策やインセンティブは、薄膜PV技術の採用を促進します。こうした措置により、経済的な障壁が軽減され、太陽エネルギーへの投資が促進されます。
• 環境意識の高まり：消費者や企業の持続可能性への関心の高まりが、再生可能エネルギーソリューションへの需要を後押ししています。薄膜型太陽光発電技術は従来のエネルギー源に代わる環境に優しい選択肢を提供し、市場の成長を支えています。
• 太陽光発電設備の拡大：大規模太陽光発電所や都市部での設置など、太陽エネルギーシステムの導入拡大が薄膜PVの需要を支えています。この分野の拡大は市場成長の機会を生み出します。

薄膜型太陽光発電市場の課題は以下の通りです：

• 効率の限界：薄膜型太陽光発電技術は一般的に、従来のシリコンベースのパネルに比べて効率が低いです。競争力と市場アピールを向上させるためには、効率の限界に対処することが重要です。
• 耐久性への懸念：薄膜PVパネルの耐久性と寿命は課題です。これらのパネルの信頼性と寿命を向上させることは、採用率と市場受容性を高めるために不可欠です。
• インフラとサプライチェーンの問題：インフラとサプライチェーン・ロジスティクスの開発が障壁となる可能性があります。大規模展開と市場拡大を支えるには、効率的なサプライチェーンとインフラが必要です。

薄膜型太陽光発電市場の主な促進要因には、技術の進歩、コスト削減、政府の奨励策、環境意識の高まり、太陽光発電設備の拡大などがあります。主な課題としては、効率の限界、耐久性の懸念、インフラの問題などが挙げられます。薄膜型太陽光発電市場の継続的な成長と成功には、これらの要因への対処が不可欠です。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 市場動向と予測分析（2019年～2031年）

• マクロ経済動向（2019年～2024年）と予測（2025年～2031年）
• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の動向（2019～2024年）と予測（2025～2031年）
• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場：材料別
  • テルル化カドミウム（CDTE）
  • アモルファスシリコン（A-SI）
  • ペロブスカイト
  • 銅インジウムガリウムセレン化物（CIGS）
  • 有機PV
  • 銅亜鉛スズ硫化物（CZTS）
  • 量子ドット薄膜型太陽光発電
  • オールシリコンタンデム
• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場：コンポーネント別
  • モジュール
  • インバータ
  • システムバランス（BOS）
• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場：最終用途別
  • 住宅
  • 商業・産業
  • 公益事業

第4章 市場動向と予測分析：地域別（2019年～2031年）

• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場：地域別
• 北米の薄膜型太陽光発電市場
• 欧州の薄膜型太陽光発電市場
• アジア太平洋の薄膜型太陽光発電市場
• その他地域の薄膜型太陽光発電市場

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 運用統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の成長機会：材料別
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の成長機会：コンポーネント別
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の成長機会：最終用途別
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の成長機会：地域別
• 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の新たな動向
• 戦略分析
  • 新製品開発
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場の生産能力拡大
  • 世界の薄膜型太陽光発電市場における合併、買収、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業プロファイル

• First Solar
• Kaneka
• Ascent Solar Technologies
• Oxford PV
• Hanwha Q CELLS
• Sharp
• JA Solar Technology

The future of the global thin-film photovoltaic market looks promising with opportunities in the residential, commercial & industrial, and utility markets. The global thin-film photovoltaic market is expected to reach an estimated $18 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the growing demand for renewable energy, the rising need to reduce carbon emissions, and the increasing adoption of thin-film-based photovoltaic devices.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the component category, the module is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
• In terms of regions, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

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Emerging Trends in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Emerging trends in the thin-film photovoltaic market reflect ongoing innovations and shifts in technology, consumer preferences, and regulatory environments. These trends are influencing the direction and growth of the sector.

• High-efficiency thin-film technologies: Innovations in high-efficiency thin-film technologies, such as advanced CdTe and CIGS, are driving market growth. Enhanced efficiency increases the energy yield of thin-film PV systems, making them more competitive with traditional silicon-based panels.
• Integration with building materials: The integration of thin-film PV with building materials is gaining traction. This trend involves embedding solar technology into building facades, windows, and roofing materials, enhancing the aesthetics and functionality of buildings while generating renewable energy.
• Cost reduction innovations: Technological advancements and streamlined manufacturing processes are leading to significant cost reductions in thin-film PV production. Lower costs make thin-film PV more accessible and attractive for large-scale projects and residential applications.
• Government incentives and policies: Supportive government policies and incentives are crucial for the growth of the thin-film PV market. Policies such as subsidies, tax credits, and renewable energy mandates encourage adoption and investment in thin-film technologies.
• Expansion into emerging markets: The expansion of thin-film PV technologies into emerging markets is driving growth. These markets offer new opportunities for deployment, particularly in regions with high solar potential and growing energy demands.

Emerging trends such as high-efficiency technologies, integration with building materials, cost reductions, government incentives, and expansion into emerging markets are reshaping the thin-film photovoltaic market. These trends are driving technological innovation, reducing costs, and expanding the applications of thin-film PV technologies.

Recent Developments in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Recent developments in the thin-film photovoltaic market highlight significant advancements in technology, production, and application. These developments are shaping the market's future and driving growth.

• Advanced material research: Research into new materials, such as perovskite-based thin-film PV cells, is advancing rapidly. These materials promise higher efficiency and better performance compared to traditional thin-film technologies, potentially transforming the market landscape.
• Manufacturing innovations: Innovations in manufacturing processes, including roll-to-roll techniques and improved deposition methods, are reducing costs and increasing production efficiency. These advancements help scale up production and make thin-film PV more competitive.
• Increased deployment in urban areas: Thin-film PV is increasingly being deployed in urban environments, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and urban solar farms. This trend reflects a growing interest in integrating solar technologies into everyday infrastructure.
• Focus on durability and reliability: Enhancements in the durability and reliability of thin-film PV panels are a key focus. Improved weather resistance and longer lifespans increase the attractiveness of thin-film technologies for both residential and commercial applications.
• Global expansion of production facilities: The expansion of thin-film PV production facilities worldwide is supporting market growth. New factories and increased production capacity are meeting the rising demand and facilitating the global distribution of thin-film technologies.

Recent developments such as advanced material research, manufacturing innovations, urban deployment, focus on durability, and global expansion of production facilities are significantly impacting the thin-film photovoltaic market. These developments are driving technological progress, reducing costs, and expanding market reach.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Strategic growth opportunities in the thin-film photovoltaic market are emerging from advancements in technology, expanding applications, and evolving market dynamics. These opportunities are shaping the future of thin-film PV technologies.

• Building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV): The integration of thin-film PV into building materials, such as facades and roofs, offers significant growth potential. BIPV systems provide both aesthetic and functional benefits, driving adoption in residential and commercial buildings.
• Portable solar solutions: Thin-film PV's flexibility and lightweight properties make it ideal for portable solar applications, such as solar chargers and camping equipment. This segment is expanding as consumer demand for portable, renewable energy solutions grows.
• Commercial and industrial applications: The adoption of thin-film PV in commercial and industrial settings is increasing. Applications include large-scale solar farms, industrial rooftops, and off-grid solutions, offering opportunities for significant market growth.
• Emerging market penetration: Expanding into emerging markets with high solar potential presents growth opportunities. Tailoring thin-film PV solutions to local needs and regulatory environments can drive market entry and development.
• Technological innovations: Continued innovation in thin-film technologies, such as improved efficiency and new materials, presents growth opportunities. Advances in technology enhance performance and competitiveness, supporting market expansion.

Strategic growth opportunities in BIPV, portable solar solutions, commercial applications, emerging market penetration, and technological innovations are driving the thin-film photovoltaic market. These opportunities are fostering market expansion, technological advancement, and broader adoption of thin-film PV technologies.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Driver and Challenges

The thin-film photovoltaic market is shaped by various drivers and challenges, including technological advancements, economic factors, and regulatory conditions. Understanding these factors is essential for navigating the market landscape.

The factors responsible for driving the thin-film photovoltaic market include:

• Technological advancements: Advances in thin-film PV technologies, including new materials and manufacturing processes, enhance efficiency and performance. These innovations drive market growth by making thin-film PV more competitive and attractive.
• Cost reduction: Reductions in manufacturing and production costs make thin-film PV more affordable. Cost-effective solutions expand market reach and increase adoption in both residential and commercial applications.
• Government incentives: Supportive policies and incentives, such as subsidies and tax credits, encourage the adoption of thin-film PV technologies. These measures reduce financial barriers and promote investment in solar energy.
• Growing environmental awareness: Increasing consumer and corporate focus on sustainability drives demand for renewable energy solutions. Thin-film PV technologies offer an eco-friendly alternative to traditional energy sources, supporting market growth.
• Expansion of solar installations: The growing deployment of solar energy systems, including large-scale solar farms and urban installations, supports the demand for thin-film PV. Expansion in this sector creates opportunities for market growth.

Challenges in the thin-film photovoltaic market are:

• Efficiency limitations: Thin-film PV technologies generally have lower efficiency compared to traditional silicon-based panels. Addressing efficiency limitations is crucial for improving competitiveness and market appeal.
• Durability concerns: Durability and longevity of thin-film PV panels can be a challenge. Enhancing the reliability and lifespan of these panels is essential for increasing adoption and market acceptance.
• Infrastructure and supply chain issues: The development of supporting infrastructure and supply chain logistics can be a barrier. Efficient supply chains and infrastructure are necessary to support large-scale deployment and market expansion.

Major drivers of the thin-film photovoltaic market include technological advancements, cost reductions, government incentives, growing environmental awareness, and expansion of solar installations. Key challenges include efficiency limitations, durability concerns, and infrastructure issues. Addressing these factors is essential for the continued growth and success of the thin-film PV market.

List of Thin-Film Photovoltaic Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies thin-film photovoltaic companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the thin-film photovoltaic companies profiled in this report include-

• First Solar
• Kaneka
• Ascent Solar Technologies
• Oxford PV
• Hanwha Q CELLS
• Sharp
• JA Solar Technology

Thin-Film Photovoltaic by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global thin-film photovoltaic market by material, component, end use, and region.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
• Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
• Perovskite
• Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
• Organic PV
• Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
• Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
• All-Silicon Tandem

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Module
• Inverter
• Balance of System (BOS)

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Residential
• Commercial & Industrial
• Utilities

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

The thin-film photovoltaic (PV) market is witnessing notable advancements driven by technological innovations, increased investments, and evolving regulatory frameworks. These developments are reshaping the industry across major markets, including the United States, Indian, German, Indian, and Japanese markets, where countries are focusing on enhancing efficiency, reducing costs, and expanding applications of thin-film PV technologies.

• United States: In the U.S. recent developments in thin-film PV technology include breakthroughs in increasing efficiency and reducing manufacturing costs. Companies are investing in research to improve the performance of cadmium telluride (CdTe) and copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) technologies. Additionally, there is growing interest in integrating thin-film PV with building materials and smart grids, supported by federal incentives and funding.
• India: India continues to lead in the thin-film PV sector with substantial investments in production capacity and technological advancements. Recent progress includes enhancements in the efficiency of CdTe and CIGS panels and significant reductions in production costs. The government's support through subsidies and favorable policies is accelerating the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in various applications, including large-scale solar farms.
• German: Germany is advancing thin-film PV technology through research and development aimed at improving efficiency and durability. Recent developments focus on integrating thin-film PV into architectural designs and energy-efficient buildings. German companies are also exploring new materials and manufacturing processes to enhance performance and reduce costs, bolstered by strong government support for renewable energy.
• India: India is making strides in adopting thin-film PV technologies to address energy needs and enhance sustainability. Recent developments include pilot projects and partnerships aimed at integrating thin-film PV into rural and urban infrastructure. The Indian government is promoting these technologies through incentives and initiatives, focusing on improving efficiency and scaling up production capabilities.
• Japan: Japan is focusing on integrating thin-film PV into various applications, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and portable solar solutions. Recent advancements include improvements in the efficiency and durability of amorphous silicon (a-Si) panels. Japan's strong emphasis on technological innovation and government support is driving the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in both residential and commercial sectors.

Features of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Market Size Estimates: Thin-film photovoltaic market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market size by material, component, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different material, component, end use, and regions for the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the thin-film photovoltaic market by material (cadmium telluride (CDTE), amorphous silicon (A-SI), perovskite, copper indium gallium selenide (CGIS), organic PV, copper zinc tin sulfide (CZTS), quantum dot thin film solar cells, and all-silicon tandem), component (module, inverter, and balance of system (BOS)), end use (residential, commercial & industrial, and utilities), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market: Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 3.3.1: Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
  • 3.3.2: Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
  • 3.3.3: Perovskite
  • 3.3.4: Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
  • 3.3.5: Organic PV
  • 3.3.6: Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
  • 3.3.7: Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
  • 3.3.8: All-Silicon Tandem
• 3.4: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 3.4.1: Module
  • 3.4.2: Inverter
  • 3.4.3: Balance of System (BOS)
• 3.5: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 3.5.1: Residential
  • 3.5.2: Commercial & Industrial
  • 3.5.3: Utilities

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.2.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.3: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.3.1: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.3.2: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.4: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.4.2: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.5: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.5.2: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: First Solar
• 7.2: Kaneka
• 7.3: Ascent Solar Technologies
• 7.4: Oxford PV
• 7.5: Hanwha Q CELLS
• 7.6: Sharp
• 7.7: JA Solar Technology