セルロース系エタノール市場レポート：動向、予測、競合分析 (2031年まで)

世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の将来は有望で、ガソリン市場と洗剤市場に機会があります。世界のセルロース系エタノール市場は、2025年から2031年にかけてCAGR 38.5％で成長すると予想されます。この市場の主な促進要因は、持続可能な再生可能エネルギー市場の成長、温室効果ガス排出削減需要の増加、政府によるインセンティブと政策の実行です。

• Lucintel社の予測によると、原材料別では、入手が容易で製造コストが低い作物残渣が予測期間中に最も高い成長を遂げる見込みです。
• 用途別では、人口の急増、自動車台数の増加、入手のしやすさから、ガソリンが高い成長を遂げると予想されます。
• 地域別では、トウモロコシの生産量が多い北米が予測期間中最大の地域であり続けると思われます。

セルロース系エタノール市場の戦略的成長機会

世界的に再生可能エネルギーを求める動きと、炭素排出を最小限に抑えたいという願望が、セルロース系エタノール市場の戦略的成長機会を後押ししています。さらに、生産技術の開発とそれに伴う政府の政策によって、市場の成長は加速しています。企業は、持続可能な燃料産業で主要な役割を担うことで、こうした動向を活用することができます。この市場の主な戦略的成長機会には、以下のようなものがある：

• 原料利用の高度化：農業製品別、森林残渣、エネルギー作物など、原料利用の多様化は成長の可能性をもたらします。そうすることで、セルロース系エタノール生産における持続可能性と費用対効果が改善され、サプライチェーンの問題に対処し、従来型原料への依存を減らすことができます。
• 先端技術への投資：バイオマス変換とエタノール製造のための新技術への投資は、競争上の優位性をもたらします。酵素開発、発酵プロセス、前処理方法を対象とした技術革新は、セルロース系エタノールの生産効率を高め、コスト削減をもたらし、再生可能エネルギー市場にとってより魅力的なものとなります。
• パートナーシップと協力関係：技術提供者、研究機関、業界利害関係者と戦略的関係を開発することは、成長を確実にする方法です。協業により、新技術の開発・商業化の迅速化、パートナーとのリスク分担、専門知識の活用が可能になり、製品の立ち上げと拡大のスピードアップが図れます。
• 新興市場への進出：エネルギーと再生可能な目標への需要が高まっている新興市場をターゲットにすることはチャンスです。このような地域で生産能力を開拓すれば、市場シェアの獲得が促進され、バイオ燃料の利用を促進する世界のイニシアティブを支援することができます。
• 持続可能性と循環経済に焦点を当てる：セルロース系エタノールの製造工程に廃棄物管理システムを統合することは、環境意識の高い消費者に受け入れられながら、その環境面での利点を高めるために重要です。廃棄物の発生や炭素排出を最小限に抑えるプロセスを開発することは、世界の持続可能性の目標や規制要件に合致します。

特定された主な成長見通しには、原料利用の促進、先端技術とパートナーシップへの投資、新興市場への拡大、持続可能性の重視などが含まれます。これらの機会を実現することが市場の成長につながり、セルロース系エタノールの競争力を高めることになります。

セルロース系エタノール市場促進要因・課題

持続可能なエネルギー源へのニーズと温室効果ガス排出削減への意欲が、セルロース系エタノール業界を牽引する主な要因です。しかし、業界は高い生産コストや技術的な困難といった課題に直面しています。市場情勢を適切にナビゲートするには、これらの促進要因・課題を理解することが極めて重要です。

セルロース系エタノール市場を牽引する要因は以下の通りです：

• 政府のインセンティブ：政府によるインセンティブ：税額控除や補助金といった形で、政府によるインセンティブがセルロース系エタノールへの投資を後押ししています。世界各国の政府は、温室効果ガスの排出量と化石燃料への依存度を削減するため、再生可能エネルギー源を支援しており、それによってバイオ燃料の開発が促進されています。
• 技術進歩：セルロース系エタノールの生産効率と費用対効果は、酵素技術、バイオマス処理、発酵プロセスにおける新技術によって向上しています。このような進歩により、セルロース系エタノールは従来型燃料との競合性が高まり、成長の可能性が高まっています。
• 再生可能エネルギー需要の拡大：再生可能エネルギーに対する世界の需要の高まりが、セルロース系エタノール産業の規模拡大の原動力となっています。そのため、各国が再生可能エネルギー目標の達成と排出量削減に取り組む中で、化石燃料に代わる実行可能な選択肢として位置づけられています。
• 持続可能性と環境面でのメリット：セルロース系エタノールへの投資は、温室効果ガスの排出削減や廃棄物の利用など、環境面でのメリットが原動力となっています。このような持続可能性の重視は、気候変動に対処し、よりクリーンなエネルギー源を促進するための世界の取り組みと一致しています。

セルロース系エタノール市場における課題は以下のとおりです：

• 技術的複雑性：リグノセルロース系バイオマスをアルコールに変換する複雑さには、専門的な知識と設備が必要であり、容易に入手できるとは限りません。この複雑さは拡張性を制限し、将来の投資家にとって参入障壁となります。
• 高い生産コスト：従来のエタノールや化石燃料に比べ、セルロース系燃料の製造コストは依然として高いです。原料価格の高騰、複雑な製造技術、高度な技術の必要性などがコスト高を招き、大量導入を困難にしています。
• 原料の入手可能性とコスト：セルロース系エタノール生産の実行可能性は、原料の入手可能性とコストに影響されます。生産能力の効率性を維持するためには、信頼性が高く手頃な価格のバイオマス供給を確保することが極めて重要です。
• 規制と市場の不確実性規制の変化や市場の不確実性は、セルロース系エタノール開発における投資判断に影響を及ぼす可能性があります。このセクターで事業を展開する企業は、多様な規制体制や政策転換の可能性を乗り越えていかなければなりません。

セルロース系エタノール市場の主な促進要因は、政府の奨励策、技術の進歩、再生可能エネルギーに対する需要の高まり、持続可能性の利点です。しかし、成長を成功させるには、高い生産コスト、技術の複雑さ、原料不足、規制の不確実性といった課題に対処する必要があります。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場：市場力学

• イントロダクション、背景、分類
• サプライチェーン
• 業界の促進要因と課題

第3章 市場動向と予測分析 (2019年～2031年)

• マクロ経済動向 (2019～2024年) と予測 (2025～2031年)
• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の動向 (2019～2024年) と予測 (2025～2031年)
• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場：原材料別
  • 作物残渣
  • 木材残渣
  • エネルギー専用作物
  • その他
• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場：プロセス別
  • 乾式粉砕
  • 湿式製粉
  • その他
• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場：用途別
  • ガソリン
  • 洗剤
  • その他

第4章 地域別の市場動向と予測分析 (2019年～2031年)

• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場：地域別
• 北米のセルロース系エタノール市場
• 欧州のセルロース系エタノール市場
• アジア太平洋のセルロース系エタノール市場
• その他地域のセルロース系エタノール市場

第5章 競合分析

• 製品ポートフォリオ分析
• 運用統合
• ポーターのファイブフォース分析

第6章 成長機会と戦略分析

• 成長機会分析
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の成長機会：原材料別
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の成長機会：プロセス別
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の成長機会：用途別
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の成長機会：地域別
• 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の新たな動向
• 戦略的分析
  • 新製品の開発
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場の生産能力拡大
  • 世界のセルロース系エタノール市場における企業合併・買収 (M&A)、合弁事業
  • 認証とライセンシング

第7章 主要企業のプロファイル

• BlueFire Renewables
• GranBio
• DuPont
• Novozymes
• Alliance Bio-Products
• Aemetis
• Enerkem
• Iogen
• Beta Renewables
• POET-DSM Advanced Biofuels

The future of the global cellulosic ethanol market looks promising, with opportunities in the gasoline and detergent markets. The global cellulosic ethanol market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 38.5% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are growth in the market for sustainable and renewable energy sources, increased demand for greenhouse gas emission reductions, and execution of incentives and policies by the government.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the feedstock category, crop residue is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period due to being readily available and having low manufacturing costs.
• Within the application category, gasoline is expected to witness higher growth due to a surging population, an increase in the number of automobiles, and easy accessibility.
• In terms of regions, North America will remain the largest region over the forecast period due to the high production of corn.

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Emerging Trends in the Cellulosic Ethanol Market

Emerging trends in the cellulosic ethanol market shaping its future applications and market dynamics:

• Technological advancements: Innovations in enzyme technology and fermentation processes are improving the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of cellulosic ethanol production. Better conversion rates from biomass to ethanol make use of enhanced technologies that drive industry growth while making production more competitive with conventional fuels.
• Integration with waste management: Cellulosic ethanol production is increasingly being integrated with waste management systems. Utilizing agricultural and industrial residues for ethanol production reduces waste and provides a sustainable source of biofuel. This trend supports circular economy practices and enhances the environmental benefits of cellulosic ethanol.
• Scaling up production facilities: There is a trend toward scaling up production facilities to achieve economies of scale. In the energy market, it lowers production costs and increases output through the development of larger, more efficient plants, making cellulosic ethanol competitive.
• Focus on sustainability: Efforts are being made in sourcing feedstock, improving production processes, and end-use applications, among other areas, to make them sustainable. Consequently, this aligns with global sustainability goals around feedstock sourcing, production processes, and end-use applications.

Technological advancements driven by a waste management integrated sector, including supportive government policies by integrating technology with waste management practices, are driving the scaling up of the production process. The focus on sustainability is transforming the industry. Its future, shaped by these trends, plays a key role in the renewable energy landscape.

Recent Developments in the Cellulosic Ethanol Market

Recent developments in the cellulosic ethanol market:

• Breakthroughs in enzyme technology: More bioethanol can be manufactured from biomass than ever before due to recent breakthroughs in enzyme technology. These technological advances aim at increasing yields of second-generation fuels such as bio alcohols while lowering their cost of production through improved cellulose enzymes used during the hydrolysis reaction. The progress is vital since it improves competitiveness against fossil fuels.
• Expansion of commercial production facilities: Several new commercial-scale production facilities have been established, aimed at scaling up cellulosic ethanol production. These facilities optimize biomass conversion into ethanol, allowing large quantities of biomass to be processed simultaneously with minimum energy inputs. It indicates higher confidence in technology and market outlook.
• Integration with agricultural residues: This involves using agricultural residues, such as corn stover and wheat straw, to make bioethanol. Crop wastes may also be used as raw materials for producing biofuels. Such integration has led to greater efficiency and sustainability of cellulosic ethanol production.
• Government support and policy initiatives: Governments worldwide are implementing supportive policies and incentives for cellulosic ethanol production. Other policy measures include subsidies on biofuel production, tax credits, and renewable energy mandates, among many others, that encourage investment in the sector to facilitate its growth.
• Advancements in biomass processing technologies: Recent innovations in biomass processing technologies have improved the effectiveness of lignocellulosic conversion to alcohol. New processing methods, such as pretreatment techniques and advanced fermentation processes, enhance the overall efficiency and cost-effectiveness of cellulosic ethanol production.

Breakthroughs in enzyme technology, expansion of commercial production facilities, integration with agricultural residues, government support and policy initiatives, and advancements in biomass processing technologies are recent developments in the cellulosic ethanol market. These developments are driving growth while increasing the competitiveness of cellulosic ethanol within the renewable energy market.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Cellulosic Ethanol Market

The drive toward renewable energy globally and the desire to minimize carbon emissions are pushing strategic growth opportunities in the cellulosic ethanol market. Additionally, market growth has been accelerated by developments in production technologies and consequent government policies. Companies can capitalize on these trends by taking a leading role in the sustainable fuel industry. Some key strategic growth opportunities for this market include:

• Advancement in feedstock utilization: Diversifying the use of feedstocks, such as agricultural by-products, forest residues, and energy crops, presents growth possibilities. By doing so, sustainability and cost-effectiveness in cellulosic ethanol production can be improved, addressing supply chain issues and cutting reliance on conventional feedstocks.
• Investment in advanced technologies: Investing in new technologies for biomass conversion and ethanol manufacturing can provide a competitive advantage. Innovations targeted at enzyme development, fermentation processes, and pretreatment methods can make the production of cellulosic ethanol more efficient, resulting in reduced costs, thus making it more attractive to the renewable energy market.
• Partnerships and collaborations: Developing strategic relationships with technology providers, research institutions, and industry stakeholders is a way to ensure growth. Collaboration allows for faster development and commercialization of new technologies, risk-sharing with partners, and leveraging expert knowledge to speed up product launch and expansion.
• Expansion into emerging markets: Targeting emerging markets with a growing demand for energy and renewable targets is an opportunity. Developing production capacities in such areas would increase market share acquisition and support global initiatives promoting biofuel usage.
• Focus on sustainability and the circular economy: It is important to integrate waste management systems into cellulosic ethanol fabrication processes to enhance its environmental benefits while being accepted by environmentally conscious consumers. Developing processes that minimize waste generation or carbon emissions aligns with global sustainability goals and regulatory requirements.

The main growth prospects identified include advancing feedstock utilization, investing in advanced technologies and partnerships, expanding into emerging markets, and focusing on sustainability. Realizing these opportunities will result in market growth, enhancing the competitiveness of cellulosic ethanol.

Cellulosic Ethanol Market Driver and Challenges

The need for sustainable energy sources and the desire to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are the main factors driving the cellulosic ethanol industry. However, the industry faces challenges, such as high production costs and technological difficulties. To navigate the market landscape properly, it is crucial to understand these drivers and challenges.

The factors driving the cellulosic ethanol market include:

• Government incentives: Government incentives in the form of tax credits and subsidies have encouraged investments in cellulosic ethanol. Governments across the globe are supporting renewable sources of energy to reduce GHG emissions and dependence on fossil fuels, thereby favoring biofuel development.
• Technological advancements: The efficiency and cost-effectiveness of producing cellulosic ethanol have been increased through new technologies in enzyme technology, biomass processing, and fermentation processes. These advancements make cellulosic ethanol more competitive with conventional fuels, increasing its growth potential.
• Growing demand for renewable energy: The growing demand for renewable energy globally is driving the increase in the size of the cellulosic ethanol industry. Thus, it is positioned as a viable alternative to fossil fuels as countries strive to meet renewable targets and reduce emissions.
• Sustainability and environmental benefits: Investment in cellulosic ethanol is driven by its environmental benefits, such as reduced greenhouse gas emissions and waste utilization. This focus on sustainability aligns with global efforts to address climate change and promote cleaner sources of energy.

Challenges in the cellulosic ethanol market include:

• Technical complexity: The complexity of converting lignocellulosic biomass into alcohol requires specialized knowledge and facilities, which may not be readily available. This complexity limits scalability and serves as an entry barrier for future investors.
• High production costs: Compared to traditional ethanol and fossil fuels, production costs for cellulosic fuel remain high. High prices for raw materials, complex production techniques, and the need for sophisticated technologies contribute to these high costs, making mass adoption challenging.
• Feedstock availability and cost: The viability of cellulosic ethanol production is affected by feedstock availability and cost. Securing a reliable and affordable supply of biomass is crucial for sustaining efficiency in production capacities.
• Regulatory and market uncertainties: Changes in regulations and market uncertainties can affect investment decisions in the development of cellulosic ethanol. Companies operating in this sector must navigate divergent regulatory regimes and possible policy shifts.

Government incentives, technological progress, growing demand for renewable energy, and sustainability benefits are the main drivers of the cellulosic ethanol market. However, successful growth requires addressing challenges such as high production costs, technological complexity, feedstock shortages, and regulatory uncertainty.

List of Cellulosic Ethanol Companies

Companies in the market compete based on product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies, cellulosic ethanol companies cater to increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the cellulosic ethanol companies profiled in this report include-

• BlueFire Renewables
• GranBio
• DuPont
• Novozymes
• Alliance Bio-Products
• Aemetis
• Enerkem
• Iogen
• Beta Renewables
• POET - DSM Advanced Biofuels

Cellulosic Ethanol by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global cellulosic ethanol market by feedstock, process, application, and region.

Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Feedstock [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Crop Residues
• Wood Residues
• Dedicated Energy Crops
• Others

Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Process [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Dry Grind
• Wet Mill
• Others

Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Application [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Gasoline
• Detergent
• Others

Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Cellulosic Ethanol Market

Major players in the market are expanding their operations and forming strategic partnerships to strengthen their positions. Below is an overview of recent developments in key countries: the United States, China, Germany, India, and Japan.

• United States: The US has recently improved its cellulosic ethanol production through advancements in enzyme technology and the scaling of commercial facilities. The aim has been to reduce production costs while increasing efficiency. Significant investments in research and development aimed at improving yields and reducing operational expenses have contributed to sector growth. The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, which was designed to increase biofuel output, has also played a key role in this growth.
• China: China is advancing in cellulosic ethanol production with new pilot projects and partnerships aimed at developing advanced conversion technologies. Recent developments include increased investment in R&D for better biomass processing techniques, leading to reduced costs. China's greater emphasis on clean energy is driving the growth of cellulosic ethanol, aligning with its broader objectives of achieving energy security and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
• Germany: In Germany, several advancements have been made toward integrating cellulosic ethanol with renewable energy. Recent developments include technologically advanced methods for more efficient biomass conversion and the construction of new facilities. Germany is pursuing sustainable solutions in biofuels, reflected in its favorable regulatory framework and ARD programs that support the cellulose-based ethanol industry's growth.
• India: India has taken steps to develop the cellulosic ethanol market through government initiatives aimed at supporting biofuel production and attracting investment in R&D. New projects involving the use of farm residues for production help eliminate waste while increasing farmers' revenues. India's pursuit of cleaner fuel sources aligns with the growing industry of cellulose-based fuels and their applications across various sectors, such as power generation and transport systems.
• Japan: Japan is making progress in cellulosic ethanol production by focusing on technological innovation and efficiency. Recent developments include cooperation between government officials and private companies on developing new conversion technologies and pilot schemes aimed

Features of the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market

Market Size Estimates: Cellulosic ethanol market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Cellulosic ethanol market size by feedstock, process, application, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Cellulosic ethanol market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different feedstock, process, application, and regions for the cellulosic ethanol market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and the competitive landscape of the cellulosic ethanol market.

Analysis of the competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers the following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the cellulosic ethanol market by feedstock (crop residues, wood residues, dedicated energy crops, and others), process (dry grind, wet mill, and others), application (gasoline, detergent, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market, and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years, and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Feedstock
  • 3.3.1: Crop Residues
  • 3.3.2: Wood Residues
  • 3.3.3: Dedicated Energy Crops
  • 3.3.4: Others
• 3.4: Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Process
  • 3.4.1: Dry Grind
  • 3.4.2: Wet Mill
  • 3.4.3: Others
• 3.5: Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Application
  • 3.5.1: Gasoline
  • 3.5.2: Detergent
  • 3.5.3: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Feedstock: Crop Residues, Wood Residues, Dedicated Energy Crops, and Others
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by Application: Gasoline, Detergent, and Others
• 4.3: European Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Feedstock: Crop Residues, Wood Residues, Dedicated Energy Crops, and Others
  • 4.3.2: European Market by Application: Gasoline, Detergent, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Feedstock: Crop Residues, Wood Residues, Dedicated Energy Crops, and Others
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by Application: Gasoline, Detergent, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Feedstock: Crop Residues, Wood Residues, Dedicated Energy Crops, and Others
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by Application: Gasoline, Detergent, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Feedstock
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Process
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Application
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Cellulosic Ethanol Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: BlueFire Renewables
• 7.2: GranBio
• 7.3: DuPont
• 7.4: Novozymes
• 7.5: Alliance Bio-Products
• 7.6: Aemetis
• 7.7: Enerkem
• 7.8: Iogen
• 7.9: Beta Renewables
• 7.10: POET - DSM Advanced Biofuels