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表紙:世界のリスク分析 (四半期ベース) :2020年第4四半期
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997889

世界のリスク分析 (四半期ベース) :2020年第4四半期

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q4 2020

出版日: | 発行: GlobalData | ページ情報: 英文 63 Pages | 納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは

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世界のリスク分析 (四半期ベース) :2020年第4四半期
出版日: 2021年03月24日
発行: GlobalData
ページ情報: 英文 63 Pages
納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは
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  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

当レポートは、GlobalDataによるカントリーリスク指数 (GCRI) に基づき、グローバルなビジネス戦略を準備するのに役立つように作成されています。

2020年第4四半期におけるカントリーリスク指数 (GCRI) は、スイスが最上位にランクされ、シンガポールとデンマークがそれに続きます。内訳では、28ヶ国が超低リスクゾーン、22ヶ国が低リスクゾーン、36ヶ国が管理可能リスク、39ヶ国が高リスク、そして11ヶ国が超高リスクゾーンに分類されました。

以下の内容で提供します。

目次

目次

  • 世界の概要:主要ハイライト
  • 世界の概要:サマリー
  • フラッシュバック:2020年3月~2021年2月
  • 主要イベント:2021年3月~2022年2月
  • GCRI:国別ランキング
  • GCRI:2020年第4四半期のヒートマップ
  • GCRI:2021年の世界情勢
  • COVID-19:主要リスクと回復
  • 感染率は緩やかなペースで上昇を続ける
  • 2020年・2021年の成長予測:主要マクロ経済指標
  • 企業の景況感・消費者マインドの動向
  • 米国の生産量回復は鈍化、原油価格が上昇
  • 主要経済国の赤字と債務レベルの増加
  • 労働市場に対するCOVID-19の影響
  • GlobalDataの景気回復スコアカード
  • 地域別分析
  • 地域別分析:アジア太平洋地域
  • 地域別分析:欧州
  • 地域別分析:南北アメリカ
  • 地域別分析:中東・アフリカ
  • 調査手法・情報源
目次
Product Code: ER0012GLBRSK

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The twelfth update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q4 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 28 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low-risk zone, 36 countries under manageable risk, 39 countries under high risk and 11 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q4 2020.

Scope

  • In Asia-Pacific, the risk score stood at 42.2 in Q4 2020, compared to 51.4 in Q2 2020, making it the second lowest risk region. A recovery in the purchasing managers' index (PMI) for manufacturing has been witnessed in most APAC nations, along with a gradual recovery in global demand. An uptick in retail trade and growing demand for e-commerce helped the APAC economies recover in H2 2020.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q4 2020 update of the global risk index, owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control its spread and the risks associated with the pandemic through sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the GCRI Q4 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 47.6 out of 100. The whole region was battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 15 worst affected countries, five are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2020 Q4 update, with a regional risk score of 51.4 out of 100, down compared to 55.6 in the GCRI 2020 Q2 update and up compared to 48.8 in the GCRI 2019 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
  • The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • Global Overview - Key Highlights
  • Global Overview - Summary
  • Flashback -March 2020 to February 2021
  • Key Events -March 2021 to February 2022
  • GCRI - Country Ranking
  • GCRI Q4 2020 Heat Map
  • GCRI - Global Landscape 2021
  • COVID-19 -Major Risks and Recovery
  • Infection rates continue to rise albeit at a slower pace
  • Growth forecast for 2020 and 2021: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
  • Business and consumer sentiments trends
  • Oil prices rise amid slow US output recovery
  • Increasing deficit and debt levels in major economies with huge spending on stimulus
  • COVID-19 impact on the labor market
  • GlobalData's economic recovery scorecard
  • Regional Analysis
  • Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
  • Regional Analysis - Europe
  • Regional Analysis - Americas
  • Regional Analysis -Middle East and Africa
  • Methodology and Sources
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