HCL (ヒューマンセントリックライティング) の世界市場：将来予測 (2021年～2031年)
Human Centric Lighting Global Market Forecast 2021-2031
|HCL (ヒューマンセントリックライティング) の世界市場：将来予測 (2021年～2031年)
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当レポートでは、世界のHCL (Human Centric Lighting：人間中心型照明) 市場について分析し、全体的な市場規模 (消費額、数量、平均販売価格) の動向見通し (2021年～2031年) や、製品カテゴリー別・地域別の詳細動向、主要企業のプロファイル・製品事例・市場シェアなどを調査しております。
Human Centric Lighting, also sometimes referred to as Biodynamic Light or Circadian Lighting, is the next development stage in the evolution of lighting and luminaire design; this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants.
Human Centric Lighting (HCL) is aimed to mimic (closely imitate) the natural color of daylight, which stimulates the production of melatonin and serotonin which control the physical, mental and behavioral changes that follow a roughly 24-hour cycle, responding primarily to light and darkness in a person, or their circadian rhythm.
The module/device hardware covered in this market forecast data, are used for stationary/ fixed locations (non-vehicle) solid-state general lighting applications, however, vehicle use (automotive, aircraft and train for example) is also discussed in the text of the report.
The market data are segmented into the following regions; separate data-sections are provided for the following regions:
ElectroniCast provides this market forecast for product hardware that are initially and primarily used with Human Centric Lighting (HCL) as the primary objective and initial consideration, as detailed in Table 1.
A light engine is the LED equivalent of a conventional lamp. It normally consists of a LED chip mounted on a circuit board that has electrical and mechanical fixings, meaning it is ready to be fixed in the luminaire. Note that the light engine may not consist of only one chip; it may be an array of several chips, sometimes with a phosphor coating. ElectroniCast includes the following in the Light Engine category: driver, array, and power supply; however, excludes external wiring harnesses.
DALI Driver Control Interface - Digital Addressable Lighting Interface (DALI) is a trademark for network-based systems that control lighting in building automation. The underlying technology was established by a consortium of lighting equipment manufacturers as a successor for 0-10 V lighting control systems, and as an open standard alternative to Digital Signal Interface (DSI), on which it is based. DALI is specified by technical standards.
DMX Driver Control Interface - (Digital Multiplex) is a standard for digital communication networks. It was originally intended as a standardized method for controlling light dimmers, which, prior to DMX512, had employed various incompatible proprietary protocols.
Other or Proprietary - Other control interface units, which are not DALI or DMX-based.
Sensors - Typically, lighting control sensors features include motion detection, light- level detection and IR receive (remote controlling). Each of these features can be operated at the same time, allowing automation scenarios such as turning on the lights after detecting motion and then dimming the lighting level once the available sunlight has been measured, thereby providing additional energy savings.
Color Control, Digital Dimming and Switches Control Units - These control capabilities are provided in separate stand-alone or combined units.
This report provides the 2021-2031 market data review and forecast by the following functions:
The consumption (use) value is determined by multiplying the number of lighting units by the average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The average selling prices are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the product at the initial factory level. These are the original manufacturer's ("factory") prices invoiced to the first (original) customer, or transfer prices for internal (captive) production.
Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief create a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces.
The future market for the use of a particular type of Human Centric Lighting solutions depends on a number of factors, including: User equipment demand, for example - applications: intelligent/smart buildings, retail store/shopping and hospitality, as well as schools/education and others to push market demand. Also, energy efficiency requirements and government regulations/laws/mandates/low carbon footprint, future-proofing (design and in technology), economy and investment community, product life cycles, competing technologies/solutions, cost/benefit ratios, requirements driven by Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent/digital building lighting controls, and others. Additionally, environment and awareness of health and alertness benefits in HCL, mood lighting, and other smart lighting solutions.
This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually since 2002 through our research regarding LED lighting solutions, but updated through the middle of June 2022 - specifically addressing the solid-state lighting (SSL) Human Centric Lighting (HCL) market attractiveness. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performs interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, associated parts/pieces, fittings/ fixtures - luminaires) and building/facility management, local/state and federal government policy and management, LED driver IC and micro-controllers, product distributors, building management, import/export, and other. The interviews were conducted principally with:
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Customers and distributors also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
At ElectroniCast, analysts then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the regional markets for light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.