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市場調査レポート
商品コード
1418720
折りたたみ可能な航空機翼の世界市場 2023年~2030年Global Collapsible Aircraft Wings Market - 2023-2030 |
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カスタマイズ可能
適宜更新あり
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折りたたみ可能な航空機翼の世界市場 2023年~2030年 |
出版日: 2024年01月23日
発行: DataM Intelligence
ページ情報: 英文 195 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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折りたたみ可能な航空機翼の世界市場は、2022年に25億米ドルに達し、2023-2030年の予測期間中にCAGR 8.2%で成長し、2030年には47億米ドルに達すると予測されています。
現在進行中の次世代空母艦上戦闘機の市場開拓は、世界市場の成長に弾みをつけると思われます。インドは現在、双発甲板型戦闘機(TEDBF)を開発中であり、中国は現在、J-31第5世代戦闘機の海軍型を試験中です。
アフリカの軍隊が戦闘や反乱作戦のために小型無人機の配備を増やしていることから、折りたたみ可能な航空機の翼の需要がさらに高まると予想されます。ドローンは、サヘルやアフリカ東部でのジハード主義者の反乱や分離主義者の民兵との戦闘に役立っています。この地域は、予測期間中、折りたたみ可能な航空機翼の主要なアフターマーケット需要を生み出すと予想されます。
大規模なドローン戦争は、ロシア・ウクライナ戦争、イスラエル・ハマス戦争、その他多くの低強度紛争を含む最近の紛争の特徴となっています。これらすべての紛争において、戦争当事者は歩兵、装甲車、砲兵施設を標的とするために、多数の異なるUAVを使用することに頼っています。
ドローンは戦場の監視や偵察にも使われています。ドローン戦の大規模化は、長年にわたる戦場での戦術の陳腐化にさえつながっています。戦場で得た経験は、ロシアとウクライナの双方にとって、戦いのための新型ドローンの開発に役立っています。
メーカー各社は特に、コンパクトなフォームファクターと折りたたみ可能な翼を備えたドローンの開発に力を入れており、これによりバックパックでの持ち運びが容易になった。また、一部のメーカーは、歩兵が前進する前に敵の防御を圧倒するための自律型ドローン群の開発も研究しています。ドローンがますます革新的になるにつれて、折りたたみ可能な翼の需要は予測期間中に増加すると思われます。
ストックホルム国際平和研究所(SIPRI)のデータによると、世界の軍事費は急増しています。このデータによると、2013年から2022年までの10年間で、世界の国防費は19%以上増加しています。さらに、2023年の世界の国防費は実質ベースで前年比3.7%増の2兆2,400億米ドルに達します。ロシア・ウクライナ戦争は、特に欧州諸国の軍事費急増につながった。
国防支出のかなりの部分は、新兵器システムの設備投資です。敵対国に対して優位に立つため、軍は戦闘用無人機の導入を増やしており、中国、インド、米国などの世界的大国は、空母艦載機の保有数を増やすことで海軍航空能力を強化しています。国防費の増加は、様々な兵器メーカーによる折りたたみ可能な航空機翼の需要をさらに増大させると思われます。
新しい航空機の開発は退屈で複雑なプロセスであり、構想から生産展開まで平均10年を要します。さらに、設計、開発、試験費用に数十億米ドル相当の資本支出を必要とします。高いコストと長いプロジェクト・スケジュールは、世界市場の成長にとって重要な障害となっています。
技術的な理由やその他の理由でプロジェクトが遅れ、スケジュールがさらに長期化することも少なくありません。軍用機の場合、予算削減やコスト超過によるプロジェクト中止のリスクが常に存在します。折りたたみ可能な翼の開発と長期的な需要は、新しい航空機のロールアウトにかかっています。航空機開発のリードタイムが長いと、部品サプライヤーに不確実性が生じ、市場全体の成長に制約が生じる可能性があります。
Global Collapsible Aircraft Wings Market reached US$ 2.5 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 4.7 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 8.2% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The ongoing development of the next generation of carrier-based naval fighter jets is likely to provide impetus for the growth of the global market. India is currently developing the twin-engine deck-based fighter (TEDBF), whereas China is currently testing a naval variant of its J-31 fifth generation fighter jet.
The increasing deployment of smaller drones for combat and anti-insurgency operations by African armies is expected to further increase demand for collapsible aircraft wings. Drones have become instrumental for fighting jihadist insurgencies and separatist's militia in Sahel and eastern Africa. The region is expected to generate major aftermarket demand for collapsible aircraft wings during the forecast period.
Large-scale drone warfare has become a signature of recent conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas war and many other low-intensity conflicts. In all these conflicts, both the warring sides have resorted to using a slew of different UAVs for targeting infantry, armored vehicles and artillery installations.
Drones are also being used for battlefield surveillance and reconnaissance. The extensive scale of drone warfare has even led to the obsolescence of some longstanding battlefields tactics. The experience gained on the battlefield has been instrumental for both Russia and Ukraine as they develop new types of drones for the war effort.
Manufacturers are particularly focused on developing drones with compact form factor and collapsible wings, thus enabling their easy transportation in backpacks. Some manufacturers are also researching the development of autonomous drone swarms to overwhelm enemy defenses before infantry advancement. As drone become ever-more innovative the demand for collapsible wings is likely to increase during the forecast period.
Global military spending is surging, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). The data indicates that global defence spending has grown by over 19% in the decade from 2013-2022. Furthermore, global defence spending grew by 3.7% in real terms in 2023 over the previous year, to reach US$ 2,240 billion. The Russia-Ukraine war has led to a surge in military spending, especially among European nations.
A significant portion of the defense spending is capital expenditure on new weapon systems. To gain an edge over adversaries, militaries have increased the induction of combat drones and world powers such as China, India and U.S. are strengthening their naval aviation capabilities by expanding their fleet of carrier-based aircraft. The increase in defence spending will lead to further augmentation in demand for collapsible aircraft wings from various weapons manufacturers.
New aircraft development is a tedious and complex process, taking an average of a decade to go from conception to production roll out. Furthermore, it requires billions of US$ worth of capital expenditure in design, development and testing costs. The high costs and long project timelines present a key impediment to global market growth.
Many a times, due to technical and other reasons, the projects get delayed, further lengthening the timelines. For military aircrafts there is always the risk of project cancellation due to budget cuts or cost overruns. The development and long term demand for collapsible wings hinges on the roll out of new aircraft. Long lead times for aircraft development create uncertainty in component suppliers and might create restrictions for overall market growth.
The global collapsible aircraft wings market is segmented based on type, material, application, end-user and region.
Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are expected to garner the largest market share due the ongoing developments in UAVs and naval fighter jets. Aircrafts operating from the deck of aircraft carriers are required to have collapsible wings in order to fit into elevators and storage spaces. With countries such as China and India stepping up the development of their indigenous naval fighter aircraft, it will create renewed OEM demand for collapsible aircraft wings.
The rising usage of drones in everyday civilian life will also contribute massively to the growth in demand from OEMs. Manufacturers are rolling out specialized drones for aerial photography, land surveying and even cargo transportation. As specialized application drones proliferate, the corresponding demand for collapsible wings is likely to increase over the coming years.
North America is expected to have the highest share within the global market mainly due to the various new aircrafts of U.S. manufacturers. For instance, Boeing is currently developing the 777x a widebody commercial passenger aircraft with collapsible wings. Although the roll out was delayed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the company expects to commence customer deliveries by early 2025.
Collapsible wings aircraft are also finding increasing applications in the military domain. For example, Lockheed Martin Corporation, a major weapons and aerospace contractor, has developed the F-35C, a naval version of its F-35 Lightning II with foldable wings designed for use on aircraft carriers. The U.S. Navy has ordered nearly 350 F-35C and deliveries are expected to continue till 2035.
The ongoing development of future platforms will also continue to generate stable, long-term demand for collapsible aircraft wings. For example, in November 2023, PteroDynamics, a U.S. manufacturer of VTOL aircraft, successfully completed a demonstration flight of the Transwing X-P4 autonomous naval drone for U.S. Navy.
The COVID-19 pandemic created many unexpected challenges for the global aeronautical industry. The pandemic led to a virtual halt to international air travel led to drying up of new aircraft orders. Therefore, major manufacturers such as Boeing were forced to push back the roll out of new aircraft models. Subcontractors and aerospace component manufacturers were also affected since it led to a downturn in demand for collapsible wing components.
The military applications for collapsible wings witnessed relatively less disruptions as funding and R&D work across all major countries continued unabated during the pandemic due to national security reasons. The post-pandemic period ushered in Russia's invasion of Ukraine, leading to a major increase in defense spending of global military powers. A surge in defense spending is likely to augur well for the future growth of the global collapsible aircraft wings market.
The Russia-Ukraine war will exert major influence on the future development of the global collapsible aircraft wings market. The hallmark of the ongoing war has been new innovation in drone warfare, with small commercial drones with collapsible wings being retrofitted to carry out explosive munitions attack on enemy positions. Ad-hoc innovations on the battlefield will influence military applications for collapsible aircraft wings over the coming years.
Russia has shifted its entire economy to a war production and is churning out new types of attack drones based on battlefield experience. Despite the harsh economic sanctions imposed on Russia for the war, it is utilizing grey market imports to source important imports. The Russian defense industry demand for collapsible wings is predicted to rise severalfold over the short and medium term.
The major global players in the market include: DJI, Baykar Tech, Airbus, Embraer, Boeing, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Dassault Aviation, Russian Helicopters, Bell Textron Inc. and Northrop Grumman.
The global collapsible aircraft wings market report would provide approximately 60 tables, 58 figures and 195 Pages.
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE.