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市場調査レポート

マイクロコントローラーユニット(MCU):組み込みプロセッシング技術

Microcontroller Units (MCUs): Embedded Processing Technologies

発行 VDC Research Group, Inc. 商品コード 248835
出版日 ページ情報 英文 51 Pages, 30 Exhibits
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=106.71円で換算しております。
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マイクロコントローラーユニット(MCU):組み込みプロセッシング技術 Microcontroller Units (MCUs): Embedded Processing Technologies
出版日: 2012年05月30日 ページ情報: 英文 51 Pages, 30 Exhibits
概要

世界の組み込みマイクロコントローラー市場は2016年まで年平均8.5%の成長率で推移する見通しです。2012年は緩やかな成長でスタートし、同年下半期から成長が加速し始めると予測されています。市場成長は、組み込みデバイスの普及とエンドユーザー産業の種類の拡大によって推進されています。開発の新たな領域には、キャパシティブタッチセンシング、照明、ビルオートメーション、スマートメータリングなどがあります。なかでも特にモーターコントールの分野には大きな市場機会があると考えられています。

当レポートでは、世界のマイクロコントローラーユニット(MCU)市場の現状と見通しについてサプライサイド、デマンドサイドの両面から調査分析し、組み込みMCUの市場推計・予測(ビット数・コア数・導入先/エンドユーザー産業・地域・流通経路別)、市場影響因子の分析、デマンドサイドの調査結果、競合分析と主要ベンダーの位置付け、主要ベンダーのプロファイルなどをまとめ、概略下記の構成でお届けいたします。

  • 重要ポイント
  • MCUの環境:低消費電力・高性能化へ向けた進化
  • MCU市場:より多くの用途への導入拡大と激化する競合

ベンダーへの影響

  • VDCの分析・提言

調査範囲・調査手法

市場の定義・区分

市場概要

  • 低消費電力化され、より小さなフォームファクターへと普及するマイクロコントローラー

戦略的課題・動向

  • プロセスの標準化がツーリング戦略の再評価への影響
  • 仮想プラットフォーム/シミュレーションツール: 自動車部門より産業部門で高く引用されている
  • 調査回答者:将来のプロジェクトとしてグリーン技術関連を多く報告
  • MCUの商用市場:成長推進因子・阻害因子

市場推計・予測

  • 新たな領域へと拡張するマイクロコントローラー市場
  • 特殊化するマイクロコントローラー・差異化がより需要
  • APAC・中国が引き続き市場シェアを得ている
  • 32ビットMCUが8ビットMCUに対してますます価格の競争力を持つ
  • マルチコアが今後数年で大きな役割を果たす見通し
  • ARMが急速にMCU市場のシェアを拡大
  • 自動車・産業用制御装置:市場の大部分を占める
  • 販売代理店が引き続き流通販売経路で地盤を固める

競合分析・位置付け

  • Renesasが首位を維持するが、Freescale、Atmelなどの台頭で市場シェアを失う見通し
  • STMicroelectronicsによる提携:タッチスクリーンのイノベーションでリードするAtmel
  • Renesasは中国でのMCUビジネスに再度を集中・FreescaleはARMの最先端のアーキテクチャを活用

ベンダープロファイル

  • Freescale
  • Microchip
  • NXP
  • Renesas
  • STMicroelectronics
  • Texas Instruments

図表

目次


Microcontrollers are consuming less power and proliferating into even smaller form factors

Convergence of Hardware & Software

While traditionally microcontrollers were very general, they are now becoming increasingly specialized. Vendors have developed particular tiers of MCUs from high performance categories that incorporate DSP features to the low footprint ultra-low-power class. As the hardware has become more standardized (especially around the ARM architecture), the software and tools are

Power Efficient Systems

An emerging trend in the space is towards power efficient systems. This requires development of different power modes at the microcontroller level, but also better power management from the overall system level as well. For smart metering systems, a crucial consideration is the type of battery used.

32-bit is Now Everywhere

The trend towards 32-bit is unmistakable. While once limited to the domain of high performance applications, the price points of 32-bit MCUs are now competitive with their 8-bit counterparts. In fact, in 2010 there were more 32-bit MCUs sold than 8-bit MCUs. Hence, 32-bit will increasingly displace 8-bit architectures from the MCU market.

Multicore on the Horizon

As the MCU market continues to evolve, the issue of multicore is now beginning to play into this space. Multicore is a powerful step for enabling safety certifications and balancing the needs of communication and control.

Strategic Trends, Issues & Market Drivers

Demand Suivey respondents report more future projects around green technologies

Energy Applications
for Respondents' Current Project

(Percentage of total responses)

In the face of environmental catastrophes such as the Fukushima nuclear disaster, green technologies have never been more relevant. The general public has become more educated about the downsides of certain energy sources: smog, nuclear contamination risks, and other pollutants. As the web survey results from the next slide show, more engineers' efforts are being shifted to working on green technologies projects.

Energy Applications
for Respondents' Next Project

(Percentage of total responses)

Also, due to the recession in 2009, saving money has become more of a priority for the average consumer. As green technologies offer the opportunity to cut spending on electricity and gas, these technologies offer tantalizing cost benefits to the customer.

There is also an impending shortage of energy. The energy infrastructure cannot maintain pace with the current rate of consumption. In order to reduce the burden on the existing infrastructure, it is critical for devices to consume less energy. As a result, we believe that it will become increasingly important for MCU vendors to develop and market technologies aimed at addressing green technology solutions.

Currently, MCU respondents who work in the energy field are still working on traditional projects such as transformer technology.

However, for their next project, MCU respondents from the energy vertical market indicated more priority on energy control/monitoring and power conversion/inverter, rectifier projects. Because these technologies are more essential to the development of the smart grid, this is indicative of the shift towards green technology projects.

Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts

The microcontroller market is expanding into new areas

The total global embedded microcontroller market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 8.5% over the forecast period.

VDC expects that 2012 will start on relatively modest growth, but begin to accelerate in the second half of the year.

The market growth is driven by the proliferation of embedded devices and an expanding range of vertical markets that are addressed by microcontrollers. New areas of development are capacitive touch sensing, lighting, building automation, and smart metering among others.

One particularly large market opportunity is the area of motor control. With billions of electric motors around the world, there is a vast potential for improving the intelligence of these motors through MCUs.

This market forecast assumes relatively stable market conditions. As was seen in 2011, an environmental crisis such as the Japan earthquake can have drastic effects on the MCU market. Because such environmental catastrophes cannot be predicted with current technology, VDC does not attempt to factor them into a forecast. However, companies with manufacturing centers in earthquake zones are clearly ata greaterrisk.

About the Team

Chris Rommel - Vice President.

Chris is responsible for syndicated research and consulting engagements focused on embedded software, hardware, and development solutions. He has worked with wide variety of clients supporting a range of projects including competitive analyses, strategic marketing initiative support, ecosystem development strategies, and vertical market opportunity assessments.

David Laing - Senior Analyst/Program Manager.

David has joined VDC's Embedded Hardware Practice after serving for the last two years as a Senior Analyst / Program Manager in the firm's Industrial Automation and Controls research practice. David is now responsible for supporting VDC's market research and custom consulting initiatives relative to emerging global opportunities, regional growth strategies, and market intelligence for embedded hardware, systems components, technologies, services, and related applications across multiple vertical markets. Prior to joining VDC Research, David accumulated over 30 years of Semiconductor industry experience working at Teradyne Inc. and its worldwide customers.

J. Eric Gulliksen - Senior Analyst.

Eric has been a lead analyst in VDC's Embedded Hardware practice for ten years. Prior to joining the firm, he worked in industry for over thirty years, half in the Engineering field and half in Sales and Marketing. He has held Vice-Presidencies and had P&L responsibilities on both sides. Eric has international experience in twenty-three countries, and has been awarded seventeen US Patents.

Jonathan Hasting - Analyst.

Prior to joining VDC, Jonathan worked several years in aerospace, including an engineer position at General Electric Aviation. During that time, he developed knowledge in stress analysis, aerospace design, Six Sigma, and project management. Jonathan holds a BS in Mechanical Engineering from Brown University in Providence, RI.

Table of Contents

Critical Takeaways

  • Page 9. The MCU landscape is evolving towards lower power and increased performance
  • Page 10. The MCU market is growing into more diverse applications and competition is fierce

Implications for Vendors

  • Page 12. VDC offers the following observations and recommendations
  • Page 13. VDC offers the following observations and recommendations

Scope & Methodology

  • Page 15. Scope
  • Page 16. Methodology

Market Definition & Segmentation

  • Page 18. Segmentation of VDC's Microcontroller(MCU) Research
  • Page 19. Definitions
  • Page 20. Definitions
  • Page 21. Definitions
  • Page 22. Definitions

Market Overview

  • Page 24. Microcontrollers are consuming less power and proliferating into even smaller form factors

Strategic Issues, Drivers & Trends

  • Page 26. Process standardization influencing reevaluation of tooling strategies
  • Page 27. Virtual platform/simulation tools are more highly cited in Industrial than Automotive
  • Page 28. Process standardization influencing reevaluation of tooling strategies
  • Page 29. Survey respondents report more future projects around Green Technologies
  • Page 30. Drivers / inhibitors to commercial market for MCUs

Market Estimates & Forecasts

  • Page 32. The microcontroller market is expanding into new areas
  • Page 33. Microcontrollers are more specialized, but differentiation is more essential
  • Page 34. APAC and China continue to take market share
  • Page 35. 32-bit MCUs are increasingly competitive on price with 8-bit MCUs
  • Page 36. Multicore will likely play a greater role in several years
  • Page 37. ARM is rapidly increasing its share of the MCU market
  • Page 38. Automotive and industrial control comprise the bulk of the market
  • Page 39. Distributors continue to gain ground in the Channel

Competitive Analysis & Position

  • Page 41. Renesas maintains the lead, but will likely lose market share to rising stars like Freescale, Atmel and others
  • Page 42. STMicroelectronics partnerships set it apart; Atmel has led the way in touch screen innovation
  • Page 43. Renesas is recentering its MCU business in China; Freescale is utilizing cutting edge architectures from ARM

Vendor Profiles

  • Page 81. Freescale
  • Page 82. Microchip
  • Page 83. NXP
  • Page 84. Renesas
  • Page 85. STMicroelectronics
  • Page 86. Texas Instruments

LIST OF EXHIBITS

Supply-side MCU Findings

  • Exhibit 1. Total Market, MCUs in Embedded Applications, Dollar Volume Shipments, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 2. Total Market, MCUs in Embedded Applications, Modeled Unit Shipments, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 3. Bit Count in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 4. Bit Count in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 5. Number of Cores in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 6. Number of Cores in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 7. Architectures in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 8. Architectures in Embedded MCUs, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 9. MCUs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 10. MCUs in Embedded Applications, Vertical Market Segments, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 11. Geographic Regions, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 12. Geographic Regions, 2011-2016
  • Exhibit 13. Distribution Channels, 2009-2014
  • Exhibit 14. Distribution Channels, 2009-2014
  • Exhibit 15. Vendor Market Share

Demand MCU Survey Findings

  • Exhibit 1. Geographic Regions of MCU Respondent
  • Exhibit 2. Type of Organization Which Respondent Works For
  • Exhibit 3. Primary Role of Respondent
  • Exhibit 4. Vertical Market of Respondents Current Project
  • Exhibit 5. MCU Supplier of Respondents Company for Current Project
  • Exhibit 6. MCU Supplier of Respondents Company for Future Project
  • Exhibit 7. Dollar Expenditures on MCUs for Current Project and Future Project
  • Exhibit 8. Operating Systems Used by Respondents Company on Current Project and Future Project
  • Exhibit 9. Bit Count on Current Project and Future Project
  • Exhibit 10. MCU Architecture on Current Projects and Future Projects
  • Exhibit 11. MCU Power Range Requirements on Current Projects and Future Projects
  • Exhibit 12. MCU Tool Requirements on Current Project
  • Exhibit 13. Most Important Distribution Source for Embedded Processors
  • Exhibit 14. Important Factors for Selecting MCU Processors
  • Exhibit 15. Important Factors for Selecting MCU Vendor
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