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世界の電動化車両 (xEV) 市場およびリチウムイオン電池 (LiB) の供給 & 需要展望 (2015-2025年)

<2017> Global xEV market and LiB Battery supply & demand outlook (2015~2025)

出版日: | 発行: SNE Research | ページ情報: 英文 134 Pages | 納期: お問合せ

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世界の電動化車両 (xEV) 市場およびリチウムイオン電池 (LiB) の供給 & 需要展望 (2015-2025年)
出版日: 2017年01月23日
発行: SNE Research
ページ情報: 英文 134 Pages
納期: お問合せ
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

当レポートでは、世界の電動化車両 (xEV) 市場およびリチウムイオン電池の需給展望について調査しており、世界の自動車市場の展望、世界の電気自動車市場の展望、電気自動車を推進する規制・政策、主要地域・国別による電気自動車市場の展望、主要な自動車メーカー・電池メーカー、電池の需給展望など、体系的な情報を提供しています。

第1章 中長期的な世界の自動車市場の展望

  • 世界の自動車市場の展望
  • 乗用車市場の展望:国別
  • 乗用車の展望:主要グループ別
  • 乗用車の展望:主要メーカー別
  • 商用車市場の展望 (トラック/バス) :利用別
  • 商用車市場の展望:国別

第2章 世界における電気自動車を推進するための自動車規制・政策

  • 電気自動車の供給目標:国別
  • 電気自動車を推進するための自動車規制・政策:主要国別

第3章 世界の電気自動車市場予測の背景

  • 自動車関連の環境規制:国別
  • 売上動向:電気自動車の走行距離
  • 主要自動車メーカーの電気自動車売上目標
  • 電気自動車の競争力の改善

第4章 世界の電気自動車市場展望

  • 世界の乗用車・電気自動車市場におけるHEVの展望
  • 市場展望:電動化車両 (xEV) の種類別
  • 電動化車両 (xEV) の市場展望:国別
  • BEV + PHEVの市場展望:国別
  • 世界のバス・e-バスの市場展望
  • 世界のトラック・e-トラックの市場展望
  • 商用車・電動商用車の市場展望

第5章 電気自動車市場の展望:国別

  • 米国の乗用車市場展望
  • 欧州の乗用車市場展望
  • 中国の乗用車市場展望
  • その他の諸国の乗用車市場展望

第6章 電気自動車の展望・動向:自動車メーカー

  • 世界の10大自動車メーカーの展望
  • 世界の10大自動車メーカーの展望 (BEV + PHEV)
  • 展望・動向:主要自動車メーカー
    • VOLKSWAGEN
    • RENAULT-NISSAN
    • HYUNDAI-KIA
    • GM
    • FORD
    • DAIMLER
    • トヨタ
    • BMW
    • TESLA
  • 電気自動車の発売計画:主要自動車メーカー

第7章 電動商用車市場の展望

  • 電動バス市場の展望
  • 電動トラック市場の展望

第8章 リチウムイオン電池とその販売価格の展望

  • 自動車電池に関する平均電池容量:年度別
  • 自動車電池市場の展望
  • ESS電池市場の展望
  • 自動車電池の販売価格の展望
  • 自動車電池市場の展望

第9章 各リチウムイオン電池メーカーの供給展望・動向

  • 電池供給の展望
  • 電池供給の展望:国別
  • 韓国メーカーの展望
    • LGC
    • SDI
    • SKI
  • 日本メーカーの展望
    • オートモーティブエナジーサプライ (AESC)
    • プライムアースEVエナジー (PEVE)
    • 村田製作所、TDK
  • 中国メーカーの展望
    • CALB
    • BYD
    • Lishen
    • Guoxuan
    • Wanxiang
    • Tianneng, CALB, Lixin, Optimum

第10章 電池の中長期的な供給 & 需要の展望

  • 世界の中長期的な需給展望
  • 需給展望:電池の種類別
  • シナリオ2:中長期的な需給展望
  • シナリオ3:中長期的な需給展望
  • シナリオ4:中長期的な需給展望
  • サマリー
目次

Major countries in the world have recently been strengthening regulations on automobiles and promoting the spread of electric vehicles as the main policy for CO2 reduction from responding to changes in climate. Although China is leading the market for electric vehicles with their subsidy policies, the Chinese government will be required to introduce a ZEV system like the US, making it mandatory for local car makers to sell a certain percentage of electric vehicles in order to sell electric vehicles in China from now on. As Europe and the US continue to tighten regulations on vehicles, so if they do not sell electric vehicles in the future, they will be left out of the vehicle market.

For this reason, based on the yearly sale target of electric vehicles and our company's sales trends DB in xEV in order for Global car makers' future sustainable management and for meeting the requirements of vehicle regulations from countires aroud the world,

  • Sales target of Global car makers
  • Major countries' supply plan for electric vehicles
  • Competitiveness with existing internal combustion locomotive due to a drop in the price of electric vehicles
  • With the consideration of the expansion of supplying electric vehicles whose a mileage is more than 300Km on a single charge by improving the mileage problems of the electric vehicles, it(or we) expected an outlook for the sales of the electric vehicles by global car makers by “2025”.

Summary

The year in which the excess or deficiency occurs may vary depending on the trend of switching to electric vehicles. In terms of battery supply, It(or we) forecasted a mid-to-long term supply based on a recent aggressive Capa expansion by Chinese companies and expansion plans announced by Korean and Japanese battery makers.

It(or we) made a mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook by comparing Battery supply outlook with Battery demand growth following the expansion of electric vehicles and also analyzed the supply&demand Balance by its types (cylindrical, square, and polymer)

It(or we) forecasted supply&demand situation according to the trend towards the expansion of electric vehicles by subdividing the cases in that there are some uncertainties regarding the market outlook for a mid-to-long term global electric vehicles.

Supply target for electric vehicles by major countries

  • Cumulative sales target by 2020
    • Europe (10 countries) 8,425,000, USA 1,000,000(2015), China 5,000,000, and India 7,000,000
  • Sales of internal combustion engine are expected to be prohibited mainly in Northern Europe after 2025
  • China is also expected to strongly drive with ZEV after subsidy discontinuation in 2019
  • Remarks

Table of Contents

I. Market outlook for a mid-to-long term global vehicles

  • 1.1. Market outlook for global vehicles
  • 1.2. Market outlook for passenger cars by each country
  • 1.3. Passenger cars outlook by major group
  • 1.4. Passenger cars outlook by major maker
  • 1.5. Market outlook for commercial vehicles (Truck / Bus) by their use
  • 1.6. Market outlook for commercial vehicles by each country

II. Global vehicle regulations and policy measures to promote electric vehicles

  • 2.1. Supply target for electric vehicles by each country
  • 2.2. Vehicle regulations and policy measures to promote electric vehicles by major countries
    • 2.3.1. US vehicle regulations and its company status
    • 2.3.2. European vehicle regulations and its company status
    • 2.3.3. Chinese vehicle regulations and its company status

III. A background of predicting Global electric vehicles market

  • 3.1. Vehicles-related environmental regulations by country
  • 3.2. Sales trend by the driving distance of electric vehicles
  • 3.3. Sales target of main car makers' electric vehicles
  • 3.4. Competitiveness improvement of electric vehicles

IV. Market outlook for Global electric vehicles

  • 4.1. Market outlook for Global passenger and electric vehicles(xEV)
  • 4.2. μ(m)-HEV outlook in the market of Global passenger vehicles
  • 4.3. Market outlook by types of electric vehicles (xEV)
  • 4.4. Market outlook for electric vehicles(xEV) by country
  • 4.5. Market outlook for BEV+PHEV by country
  • 4.6. Market outlook for Global Bus and e-Bus
  • 4.7. Market outlook for Global Truck and e-Truck
  • 4.8. Market outlook for commercial and electric commercial vehicles

V. Market outlook for electric vehicles by country

  • 5.1.1. Market outlook for US passenger vehicles
  • 5.1.2. Market outlook for US electric vehicles (xEV)
  • 5.1.3. Outlook for US vehicle makers (BEV+PHEV)
  • 5.2.1. Market outlook for European passenger vehicles
  • 5.2.2. Market outlook for European electric vehicles (xEV)
  • 5.2.3. Outlook for European vehicle makers (BEV+PHEV)
  • 5.3.1. Market outlook for Chinese passenger vehicles
  • 5.3.2. Market outlook for Chinese electric vehicles (xEV)
  • 5.3.3. Outlook for Chinese vehicle makers (BEV+PHEV)
  • 5.3.4. Outlook for China Local vs. Global OEM in China
  • 5.4.1. Market outlook for other countries' passenger vehicles except those of the US, Europe, and China)
  • 5.4.2. Market outlook for other countries' electric vehicles (xEV) except those of the US, Europe, and China)
  • 5.4.3. Market outlook for other countries' vehicle makers (BEV+PHEV)

VI. Outlook and trend of electric vehicles by vehicle makers

  • 6.1.1. Outlook for Global Top 10 vehicle makers
  • 6.1.2. Outlook for Global Top 10 electric vehicle (BEV+PHEV) makers
  • 6.1.3. Outlook and trend by main vehicle makers
    • 1) VOLKSWAGEN
    • 2) RENAULT-NISSAN
    • 3) HYUNDAI-KIA
    • 4) GM
    • 5) FORD
    • 6) DAIMLER
    • 7) TOYOTA
    • 8) BMW
    • 9) TESLA
  • 6.1.4. Plans to launch electric vehicles by major vehicle makers

VII. Market outlook for electric commercial vehicles

  • 7.1.1. Market outlook for electric BUS
  • 7.1.2. Market outlook for electric TRUCK

VIII. Outlook for LiB market and its selling price

  • 8.1.1. Average Battery capacity with regard to vehicle battery by year
  • 8.1.2. Market outlook for vehicle Battery
  • 8.1.3. Market outlook for ESS Battery
  • 8.1.4. Outlook for the selling price of vehicle Battery
  • 8.1.5. Market outlook for vehicle Battery (Amount)

IX. Supply outlook and trend for each LiB maker

  • 9.1.1. Supply outlook for Battery
  • 9.1.2. Supply outlook for Battery by country
  • 9.1.3. Outlook for Korean maker
  • 9.1.4. Outlook for Korean maker
    • 1) LGC
    • 2) SDI
    • 3) SKI
  • 9.1.5. Outlook for Japanese maker
  • 9.1.6. Outlook by Japanese makers
    • 1) PANASONIC
    • 2) AESC, PEVE
    • 3) MURATA, TDK
  • 9.1.7. Outlook for Chinese maker
    • 1) CALB
    • 2) BYD
    • 3) Lishen
    • 4) Guoxuan
    • 5) Wanxiang
    • 6) Tianneng, CALB, Lixin, Optimum

X. A mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook for Battery

  • 10.1.1. Global mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook (the importance of xEV will be increased by 25% in 2025)
    • 10.1.2-1. A mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook in China
    • 10.1.2-2. A mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook in China (excluding overseas Battery makers)
  • 10.1.3. Supply&demand outlook by Battery Types
    • 1) Square type
    • 2) Polymer type
    • 3) Cylindrical type
  • 10.2. Scenario 2 a mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook (the importance of xEV will be increased by 20% in 2025)
  • 10.3. Scenario 3 a mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook (the importance of xEV will be increased by 15% in 2025)
  • 10.4. Scenario 4 a mid-to-long term supply&demand outlook (the importance of xEV will be increased by 10% in 2025)
  • 10.5. Summary

The year in which the excess or deficiency occurs may vary depending on the trend of switching to electric vehicles.

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