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コークス用炭:中国市場の分析・予測 (2019-2020年)

2019-2020 China Coking Coal Market Analysis and Forecast

発行 sxcoal.com 商品コード 628072
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=106.61円で換算しております。
コークス用炭:中国市場の分析・予測 (2019-2020年) 2019-2020 China Coking Coal Market Analysis and Forecast
出版日: 2019年12月06日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

当レポートでは、中国におけるコークス用炭市場について調査し、市場に影響を及ぼす重要な政策のレビュー、政策環境、需要、供給、価格、および輸出入動向などに関する分析・予測を提供しています。

イントロダクション

第1章 中国のコークス用炭市場概要

第2章 マクロ経済レビュー・展望

  • マクロ経済指標および展望 - GDP、IVA、PMI、CPI、PPI、FAIなど
  • 固定資産投資・予測 - 不動産、インフラ、製造業などへの投資
  • 主要な鉄鋼関連産業の生産・予測 - 自動車製造、造船、家電など

第3章 中国におけるコークス用炭の需要分析・予測

  • 鉄鋼産業のオペレーション分析・予測
  • コークス産業のオペレーション分析・予測
  • コークス用炭の消費・予測

第4章 石炭産業の政策分析・展望

  • デパキャシティ政策が新興
  • 新たに建設された炭鉱のオペレーションおよび生産開始の高速化
  • 安全管理および環境検査が正常化・徐々に発展しているため、石炭の供給と輸送が制限される、ほか

第5章 中国におけるコークス用炭の供給分析・予測

  • 生産能力・予測
  • 供給・予測

第6章 中国におけるコークス用炭の輸出入分析・予測

  • 輸入・予測
  • 輸出・予測

第7章 中国におけるコークス用炭の需給格差・予測

  • 埋蔵量の推移・予測
  • 需給格差・予測

第8章 中国におけるコークス用炭の価格分析・予測

  • 国内におけるコークス用炭の価格動向
  • 世界におけるコークス用炭の価格動向
  • 国内・世界のコークス用炭価格の比較
  • コークス用炭の価格予測

第9章 結論

目次

Domestic macro-economy faces significant downward pressure in 2019, while steel demand maintains a fast growth. Monthly crude steel and pig iron output hit record highs. Thanks to canceling "one-size-fits-all" approach, the operating rates of coke plants keep high, boosting coking coal consumption to increase rapidly. As de-capacity is coming to an end, and new capacity is gradually released, domestic coal supply is growing. Coking coal imports rise remarkably in 2019 driven by robust domestic demand and obvious cost effectiveness of imported coal. Coking coal market has shifted from tight balance to loose supply, with the price fluctuating downward.

Fenwei Energy is timely releasing the study report at year end, to review important policies affecting coking coal market operation, and provide 2020 forecast from policy environment, demand, supply, price, import & export, etc.

Table of Contents

1. 2019 China Coking Coal Market Overview

2. Macro Economy Review and Outlook

  • 2.1 Downside pressure on macro economy mounting up in 2019 (macroeconomic indicators and outlook-GDP, IVA, PMI, CPI, PPI...)
  • 2.2 Fixed asset investment growth slowing down (investments into real estate, infrastructure and manufacturing)
  • 2.3 Production of main steel-related industries (auto making, home appliances, vessel building...)
  • 2.4 Outlook on 2020 macro economy and main steel-related industry development

3. 2019 China Coking Coal Demand Analysis and 2020 Forecast

  • 3.1 Steel industry operation analysis and forecast
    • 3.1.1 Policy analysis and development trend
      • De-capacity task is basically completed, while the concentration of iron and steel industry needs to be further enhanced.
      • Growth of capacity replacement is stronger than expected, with steel capacity transferring to the coastal areas.
      • Environmental policies cancel one-size-fits-all approach, with steel production curbed based on air quality in the region and pollutant emissions from steel mills
    • 3.1.2 2019 pig iron, crude steel and steel products production and 2020 forecast
    • 3.1.3 2019 steel import & export analysis and 2020 forecast
    • 3.1.4 2019 steel price developing trend and 2020 forecast
  • 3.2 Coking industry operation analysis and forecast
    • 3.2.1 Policy analysis and development trend
      • Policy upgrade and execution in coking industry
      • The impact on marginal supply growth from normalized environmental protection is weakening.
    • 3.2.2 2019 coke production and 2020 forecast
    • 3.2.3 2019 coke import & export and 2020 forecast
    • 3.2.4 2019 coke price trend and 2020 forecast
  • 3.3 2019 coking coal consumption and 2020 forecast

4. Coal Industry Policy Analysis and Outlook

  • 4.1 Coal de-capacity is coming to an end.
  • 4.2 Capacity replacement continues forging ahead; newly-added capacity is gradually released.
  • 4.3 Frequent occurrences of mine incidents intensify safety inspections, leading coal supply to be restricted in the first half of 2019.
  • 4.4 Normalized environmental inspections have limited impact on mine production.
  • 4.5 Coal import policy has been expected to tighten, while the actual impact is limited.

5. 2019 China Coking Coal Supply Analysis and 2020 Forecast

  • 5.1 2019 China coking coal capacity distribution and 2020 forecast
  • 5.2 2019 China coking coal supply and 2020 forecast
    • 5.2.1 By province
    • 5.2.2 By type

6. 2019 China Coking Coal Import and Export Analysis and 2020 Forecast

  • 6.1 2019 China coking coal import and 2020 Forecast
    • 6.1.1 By origin
    • 6.1.2 By province (in coastal regions)
    • 6.1.3 By major importer
    • 6.1.4 2020 import forecast
  • 6.2 2019 China coking coal export and 2020 forecast
    • 6.2.1 By country
    • 6.2.2 2020 export forecast

7. 2019 China Coking Coal Supply-demand Balance and 2020 Forecast

  • 7.1 Coking coal stock change and 2020 forecast
  • 7.2 Coking coal supply-demand balance and 2020 forecast

8. 2019 Coking Coal Price Analysis and 2020 Forecast

  • 8.1 2019 domestic coking coal price developing trend (producing areas, transfer ports and consuming areas)
  • 8.2 2019 international coking coal price trend
  • 8.3 Domestic and international coking coal price comparison
  • 8.4 2020 coking coal price forecast
    • 8.4.1 Price influencing factor analysis
    • 8.4.2 CCI Liulin coking coal monthly and annual average price forecast

9. Conclusions