Product Code: GDDF0566MR
Vietnamese defense budget is projected to register a CAGR of 9.43% over 2020-2024, to reach US$7.9 billion by 2024. China's increased naval presence and territorial claims in the disputed waters of South China Sea are the major factors compelling the Vietnamese government to increase its military capabilities. The Vietnamese Government allocated US$5.1 billion towards military expenditure in 2019, of which 32.5% is earmarked for the procurement of defense equipment. The country's defense expenditure increased at a CAGR of 7.34% over 2015-2019.
The country's military modernization efforts are focused on preventing China from taking hold of disputed territory in the South China Sea. Over the forecast period, the country is expected to procure fighter and multi-role aircraft, armored vehicles, naval vessels, patrol ships, maritime patrol aircraft, and surveillance equipment. The country's defense expenditure is projected to increase from US$5.5 billion in 2020 to US$7.9 billion by 2024, increasing at a CAGR of 9.43%.
Between 2015 and 2019, Vietnam cumulatively spent US$7.2 billion on defense equipment, while US$15.0 billion was assigned for revenue expenditure. Over the forecast period, Vietnam's capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.43% and revenue expenditure is expected to register growth of 9.44%. Vietnam's slow population growth is projected to increase per capita defense expenditure from US$53.7 in 2019 to US$79.3 by 2024.
Vietnamese homeland security expenditure, on a cumulative basis, is expected to be US$20.9 billion over the forecast period compared to US$12.7 billion spent between 2015 and 2019. Efforts to protect its maritime boundaries, coupled with the need to counter human trafficking and the illicit drug trade are anticipated to drive homeland security expenditure during the forecast period.
The lack of technology and low domestic defense capability has forced the country to import weapon systems from foreign OEMs in order to fulfill its military requirements. Over 2014 to 2018, Russia emerged as the largest supplier of military hardware to Vietnam with a share of over 77.9% of Vietnam's imports, followed by Israel, Belarus, South Korea and Ukraine accounting for 9.0%, 4.1%, 2.8% and 2.0% respectively. Vietnam prefers government-to-government deals when procuring defense equipment; therefore, improving government-to-government relationships are expected to open up business opportunities over the forecast period.
The report "Future of the Vietnamese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2024", provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies and key news.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The Vietnam defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry during 2020-2024, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: list of the top ten defense investment opportunities over the next 5 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Vietnamese defense industry
Companies mentioned: The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC), Sukhoi, Admiralty Shipyards, Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding
- China's increased naval presence and territorial claims in the disputed waters of South China Sea are the major factors compelling the Vietnamese government to increase its military capabilities.
- Counter-amphibious operations are a major focus of the Vietnam People's Navy (VPN) to combat potential enemies on the sea and as well as on the islands.
- Over the past five years, Vietnam has increased spending on the enhancement of its maritime competencies and this is likely to continue over the forecast period.
- The Vietnamese Government allocated US$5.1 billion towards military expenditure in 2019, of which 32.5% is earmarked for the procurement of defense equipment.
- The country's defense expenditure increased at a CAGR of 7.34% over 2015-2019.
Reasons to buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry market trends for the coming five years.
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period.
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector.
- A deep qualitative analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, key trends and latest industry contracts.
Table of Contents
- 1.1. What is this Report About?
- 1.2. Definitions
- 1.3. Summary Methodology
- 1.4. About GlobalData
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
- 3.1. Current Market Scenario
- 3.1.1. Primary threat perception
- 3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy
- 3.1.3. Procurement Programs
- 3.1.4. Top Procurement Programs By Value (US$ Million) 2019-2024
- 3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects
- 3.1.6. Political & Strategic Alliances
- 3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
- 3.2.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.43% during the forecast period
- 3.2.2. Disputes in the South China Sea and military modernization are expected to drive the Vietnamese military expenditure
- 3.2.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to hover at 2% in 2024
- 3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
- 3.3.1. Share of capital expenditure in the overall defense budget is expected to increase
- 3.3.2. Vietnam's capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.43% over the forecast period
- 3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure to be US$79.3 by 2024
- 3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
- 3.4.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to be US$5.1 billion by 2024
- 3.4.2. The main factors driving homeland security expenditure are the illicit drugs trade and human trafficking
- 3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
- 3.5.1. Vietnamese defense expenditure is expected to remain low compared to leading spenders
- 3.5.2. Vietnam has a low defense expenditure compared to other Asian countries
- 3.5.3. Vietnam's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is higher than leading Asian defense spenders
- 3.6. Defense Market Opportunities: Key Trends
- 3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections over 2019-2024
- 3.6.2. Naval Vessels - Frigates
- 3.6.3. Infrastructure Construction
- 3.6.4. Facilities Management
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
- 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
- 4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the country's defense imports
- 4.1.2. Defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period
- 4.1.3. Russia is a significant defense trade partner of Vietnam
- 4.1.4. Naval vessels and aircraft accounted for the majority of defense imports over 2014-2018
- 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
- 4.2.1. The country has been unable to access the global defense market
5. Industry Dynamics
- 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
- 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: medium
- 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low
- 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
- 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Medium
- 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium
- 5.2. Market Regulation
- 5.2.1. Vietnamese procurement rules focus on international collaborations
- 5.2.2. Vietnam has not disclosed any offset obligations
- 5.3. Market Entry Route
- 5.3.1. Budget Process
- 5.3.2. Procurement Policy and Process
- 5.3.3. Foreign equipment manufacturers can enter the market through direct commercial sales
- 5.3.4. Government-to-government deals are an attractive entry route to the country's defense market
- 5.4. Key Challenges
- 5.4.1. Lack of transparency and prevalence of corruption hinders the growth of domestic defense industry
- 5.4.2. Absence of private players limits the growth of domestic defense industry
6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
- 6.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
- 6.1.1. Vietnam Market Share Analysis, 2019-2024
- 6.2. Key Companies
- 6.2.1. The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): overview
- 6.2.2. The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): products
- 6.2.3. The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): recent announcements and strategic initiatives
- 6.2.4. The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): alliances
- 6.2.5. The Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): recent contract awards
- 6.2.6. Sukhoi: overview
- 6.2.7. Sukhoi: products
- 6.2.8. Sukhoi: recent contract awards
- 6.2.9. Admiralty Shipyards: overview
- 6.2.10. Admiralty Shipyards: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
- 6.2.11. Admiralty Shipyards: products
- 6.2.12. Admiralty Shipyards: recent contract awards
- 6.2.13. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: overview
- 6.2.14. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: products
- 6.2.15. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
- 6.2.16. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: recent contract awards
7. Business Environment and Country Risk
- 7.1. Economic Performance
- 7.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
- 7.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
- 7.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services
- 7.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services
- 7.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$
- 7.1.6. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billion)
- 7.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP
- 7.1.8. Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP
- 7.1.9. Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP
- 7.1.10. Services Imports as a percentage of GDP
- 7.1.11. Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
- 7.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion)
- 7.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a % of GDP
- 7.1.14. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
- 8.1. About GlobalData
- 8.2. Disclaimer