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市場調査レポート

ミャンマーの防衛産業の将来:市場の魅力・競合環境・市場予測

Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

発行 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品コード 308601
出版日 ページ情報 英文 76 Pages
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ミャンマーの防衛産業の将来:市場の魅力・競合環境・市場予測 Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
出版日: 2015年06月23日 ページ情報: 英文 76 Pages
概要

2015年におけるミャンマーの防衛市場は28億米ドルと推計されています。今後は5.64%のCAGRで推移し、2020年には37億米ドルの規模に達すると予測されています。同国の軍事支出の増加は、老朽化した軍事関連ハードウェアを取り替え現代化を図る取り組みと、国内の防衛産業基盤を確立したいという願望を反映したものです。内戦の継続や半民主政府への移行、バングラデシュとの敵対関係などから、戦闘機や海軍艦艇などの軍事設備のアップグレードが進められています。予測期間中は多目的航空機、ヘリコプター、ミサイル、潜水艦やフリゲート艦などの艦艇、国境警備、レーダーシステムなどへの投資が行われる見通しであり、これらがCAPEXの成長推進因子となるでしょう。

当レポートでは、ミャンマーの防衛産業について調査し、ミャンマーの防衛支出の推移と予測、支出拡大の影響因子の分析、防衛予算の配分、他の主要国との比較、市場機会の領域と刺激因子の分析、調達および輸出入の動向、市場参入戦略、競合環境と主な国内企業の概要などをまとめています。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 市場の魅力と新しい市場機会

  • 防衛市場の規模の推移と予測
  • 防衛予算の配分
  • 世界の主要市場とのベンチマーキング
  • 市場機会:主要動向・成長刺激因子

第4章 防衛調達市場

  • 輸入市場の力学
  • 輸出市場の力学

第5章 産業力学

  • ファイブフォース分析

第6章 市場参入戦略

  • 市場関連規制
  • 市場参入ルート
  • 主な課題

第7章 競合環境と戦略的考察

  • 競合環境:概要
  • 主な国内企業

第8章 事業環境・カントリーリスク

  • 人口統計・社会統計
    • 人口・世帯数
  • 経済動向
    • 一人当たりのGDP
    • 実質GDP
    • 国民総可処分所得
    • 製造業生産高
    • 消費者物価指数、など
  • エネルギー・ユーティリティ
  • インフラの質とアベイラビリティ
  • 鉱物
  • 通信

第9章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: DF0319MR

Summary

The Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Over the historic period, Myanmar's defense expenditure registered growth of 9.61%, increasing from US$2 billion in 2011 to US$2.8 billion in 2015
  • Myanmar's military expenditure, valued at US$2.8 billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$3.7 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 5.64% over the forecast period
  • Myanmarese military expenditure will be driven by the country's need to ensure a smooth political transition, the civil war prevailing in the country, and a dispute with Bangladesh over the control of oil and gas reserves along its maritime boundaries
  • The Defense Ministry is expected to procure multi-role aircraft, military infrastructure and border security, and naval vessels

This report offers detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Myanmarese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Myanmarese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Myanmarese defense expenditure is expected to register a CAGR of 5.64% over the forecast period
    • 3.1.2. The need to ensure a smooth political transition, an ongoing civil war, and a threat posed by Bangladesh expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
    • 3.1.3. Myanmar's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average 41.7% over forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Capital expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 5.65% over the forecast period
    • 3.2.3. Myanmarese MoD to spend US$9.6 billion cumulatively on revenue expenditure over the forecast period 28
    • 3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure set to increase over the forecast period
    • 3.2.5. Myanmar falls under "some risk" of terrorism
  • 3.3. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.3.1. Myanmarese defense budget expected to increase at a slower rate than its neighbors over the forecast period
    • 3.3.2. Myanmarese defense expenditure is low compared to other Asian countries
    • 3.3.3. Myanmar allocates a higher share of GDP for defense
    • 3.3.4. Myanmar faces a low threat from foreign terrorist organizations
  • 3.4. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.4.1. Submarines
    • 3.4.2. Multi-role Aircraft
    • 3.4.4. Attack Helicopters

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to recover over the forecast period
    • 4.1.2. China and Russia emerged as the largest suppliers of arms
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft, ships, and armored vehicles dominate military hardware imports
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. Myanmar's domestic defense manufacturing is still in a nascent stage

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: high
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: high
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
    • 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Myanmar currently does not permit investment in the defense industry
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Direct government sales
    • 6.2.2. Military co-operations
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. A closed economy discourages related investment and market growth
    • 6.3.2. Limited defense budget discourages investors from market entry

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
  • 7.2. Key Domestic Company
    • 7.2.1. Myanmar Defense Industries (KaPaSa Industries): overview
    • 7.2.2. Myanmar Defense Industries: products and services
    • 7.2.3. Myanmar Defense Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
    • 8.1.1. Population - Number of Households
  • 8.2. Economic Performance
    • 8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
    • 8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
    • 8.2.3. Gross National Disposable Income
    • 8.2.4. Manufacturing Output
    • 8.2.5. Consumer Price Index
    • 8.2.6. Local Currency Unit per US$
    • 8.2.7. Local Currency Unit per EUR
    • 8.2.8. Lending Rate
    • 8.2.9. Deposit Rate
    • 8.2.10. Net Foreign Direct Investment
    • 8.2.11. International reserves, including Gold
  • 8.3. Energy and Utilities
    • 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.3. Total Petroleum Consumption
  • 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
    • 8.4.1. Air transport, freight
    • 8.4.2. Overall Construction
  • 8.5. Minerals
    • 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
  • 8.6. Telecommunication
    • 8.6.1. Telephone lines
    • 8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 2: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 3: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 4: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 5: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015 . 20
  • Table 6: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
  • Table 7: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Table 8: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Table 9: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 10: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 11: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 12: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 13: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 14: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 15: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 16: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 17: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Table 18: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Table 20: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 21: Myanmar Defense Industries - Product focus

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 3: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 4: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 5: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
  • Figure 6: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
  • Figure 7:Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 8: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Figure 9: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 10: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 11: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 12: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 13:Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 14: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 15: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 16: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 17: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Figure 18: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
  • Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
  • Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
  • Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
  • Figure 24: Submarines Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 25: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 26: Attack Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 27: Myanmarese Defense Import Trend, 2010-2014 (TIV values)
  • Figure 28: Myanmarese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 29: Myanmarese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 30: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 31: Myanmar Population - Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
  • Figure 32: Myanmar GDP per capita, 2015-2024
  • Figure 33: Myanmar Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn), 2015-2024
  • Figure 34: Myanmar gross national disposable income (US$ Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 35: Myanmar Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 36: Myanmar Consumer Price Index, 2015-2024
  • Figure 37: Myanmar LCU per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 38: Myanmar LCU per EUR, 2015-2024
  • Figure 39: Myanmar Lending Rate, 2003-2012
  • Figure 40: Myanmar Deposit Rate, 2003-2012
  • Figure 41: Myanmar Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ BN), 2001-2010
  • Figure 42: Myanmar International reserves, including Gold (US$ Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 43: Myanmar Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001-2010
  • Figure 44: Myanmar Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001-2010
  • Figure 45: Myanmar Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003-2012
  • Figure 46: Myanmar Air transport, freight (Million ton-Km), 2002-2011
  • Figure 47: Myanmar Overall Construction (US$ Bn), 2007-2016
  • Figure 48: Myanmar Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 49: Myanmar Telephone lines, 2003-2012
  • Figure 50: Myanmar Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012
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