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市場調査レポート

ロシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力、競合情勢、予測

Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

発行 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品コード 264654
出版日 ページ情報 英文 146 Pages
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ロシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力、競合情勢、予測 Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021
出版日: 2016年03月02日 ページ情報: 英文 146 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、ロシアの防衛産業について調査分析し、防衛予算の内訳と予測、セグメント別の市場内訳と予測、主要企業プロファイル、過去12ヶ月間の新興の動向と機会などをまとめています。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 市場の魅力と新興の機会

  • 防衛市場規模の実績と予測
  • 防衛予算配分の分析
  • 国土防衛市場の規模と予測
  • 主要世界市場のベンチマーキング
  • 市場機会:主要動向と成長促進要因

第4章 防衛調達市場の動向

  • 輸入市場の動向
  • 輸出市場の動向

第5章 産業の動向

  • ファイブフォース分析

第6章 市場参入戦略

  • 市場の規制
  • 市場参入ルート
  • 主要課題

第7章 競合情勢と戦略的考察

  • 競合情勢の概要
  • 主な国内企業

第8章 ビジネス環境とカントリーリスク

  • 人口・社会統計
  • 経済実績
  • エネルギーとユーティリティ
  • インフラ品質・可用性
  • 鉱物
  • 技術
  • 通信

第9章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: DF0352MR

Summary

The Russian defense market will be driven by anarms race in the region with focus on modernizing its military by procuring advanced defense systems, and enhancing its border security measures. In addition, the capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to average 57.8% of the total defense budget during 2017-2021 and defense equipment procurements are expected to be in the areas of C4ISR systems- space-based, land-based and airborne, transport aircraft, multi-role aircraft, and submarines.

Key Findings

  • During 2012-2016, Russian defense expenditure registered a growth rate of -3.46%, declining from US$59.9 billion in 2012 to US$52 billion in 2016
  • Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 7.28% during 2017-2021, to value US$78.4 billion in 2021
  • The Russian Government's aversion to western defense technology imposes challenges for the Russian defense market
  • Demand for equipment is mainly expected to revolve around C4ISR systems- space-based, land-based and airborne, transport aircraft, multi-role aircraft, and submarines during 2017-2021

Strategic Defence Intelligence's report - Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2017-2021. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2016 to 2026
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams
  • Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications, and the country's expected investment pattern during 2017-2021
  • Make correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the defense industry from 2017-2021,which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis
  • Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities
  • Channel resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2017-2021

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
    • 3.4.2. Russia is world's third largest defense spender
    • 3.4.3. Russia allocated 4.4% of its GDP to defense in 2016
    • 3.4.4. Russia is "highly affected" from acts of terrorism
  • 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.5.1. Space-basedC4ISR
    • 3.5.2. Land-basedC4ISR
    • 3.5.3. Transport Aircraft
    • 3.5.4. Airborne-C4ISR
    • 3.5.5. Multi-role Aircraft
    • 3.5.6. Submarines

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. The country's defense imports are low owing to a developed indigenous sector
    • 4.1.2. Ukraine was the key defense supplier to Russia
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft and engines were the key defense imports during 2011-2015
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. Russia's exports witnessed a decline during 2011-2015
    • 4.2.2. India, China, and Vietnam are Russia's main defense equipment purchasers
    • 4.2.3. Aircraft and ships account for the majority of Russia's defense exports

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: medium to high
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: high
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
    • 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Entry into defense sector is highly regulated
    • 6.1.2. Market Entry Route
  • 6.2. Key Challenges
    • 6.2.1. Russian Government's aversion to Western defense technology

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
    • 7.1.1. Domestic industry in the process of consolidation for better focus and fund allocation
    • 7.1.2. Defense sector is dominated by domestic firms, with no foreign presence
  • 7.2. Key Domestic Companies
    • 7.2.1. Sukhoi: overview
    • 7.2.2. Sukhoi: products
    • 7.2.3. Sukhoi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.4. Sukhoi: alliances
    • 7.2.5. Sukhoi: recent contract awards
    • 7.2.6. Splav - overview
    • 7.2.7. Splav - major products and services
    • 7.2.8. Tactical Missiles Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.9. Tactical Missiles Corporation - major products and services
    • 7.2.10. Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.11. Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.12. Almaz-Antey - overview
    • 7.2.13. Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.14. Almaz-Antey - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.15. Almaz-Antey - alliances
    • 7.2.16. Almaz-Antey - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.17. United Aircraft Corporation - overview
    • 7.2.18. United Aircraft Corporation - major products and services
    • 7.2.19. United Aircraft Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.20. United Aircraft Corporation - alliances
    • 7.2.21. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - overview
    • 7.2.22. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - major products and services
    • 7.2.23. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.24. KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.25. V.A.Degtyarev Plant - overview
    • 7.2.26. V.A.Degtyarev Plant - major products and services
    • 7.2.27. Kurganmashzavod - overview
    • 7.2.28. Kurganmashzavod - major products and services
    • 7.2.29. Kurganmashzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.30. Kurganmashzavod - alliances
    • 7.2.31. Kurganmashzavod - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.32. Uralvagonzavod - overview
    • 7.2.33. Uralvagonzavod - major products and services
    • 7.2.34. Uralvagonzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.35. Uralvagonzavod - alliances
    • 7.2.36. Uralvagonzavod - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.37. Izhevsk Mechanical Works - overview
    • 7.2.38. Izhevsk Mechanical Works - major products and services
    • 7.2.39. Izhevsk Mechanical Works - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.40. Irkut Corporation - overview
    • 7.2.41. Irkut Corporation - major products and services
    • 7.2.42. Irkut Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.43. Irkut Corporation - alliances
    • 7.2.44. Irkut Corporation - recent contract wins
    • 7.2.45. Irkut Corporation - financial analysis
    • 7.2.46. Oboronprom Corporation - overview
    • 7.2.47. Oboronprom Corporation - major products and services
    • 7.2.48. Oboronprom Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.49. Oboronprom Corporation - alliances
    • 7.2.50. Oboronprom Corporation - recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Demographic and Social Stats
    • 8.1.1. Total Rural Population (In Mn)
    • 8.1.2. Total Urban Population (In Mn)
    • 8.1.3. Number of Households (In Mn)
  • 8.2. Economic Performance
    • 8.2.1. GDP Per Capita, USD
    • 8.2.2. GDP (current USD Bn)
    • 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
    • 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
    • 8.2.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
    • 8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (USD Bn)
    • 8.2.7. Consumer price Index
    • 8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
    • 8.2.9. LCU per USD (period average)
    • 8.2.10. LCU per EUR (period average)
    • 8.2.11. Lending Rate (%)
    • 8.2.12. Deposit Rate (%)
    • 8.2.13. Real Interest Rate (%)
    • 8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion)
    • 8.2.15. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
    • 8.2.16. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn)
    • 8.2.17. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
    • 8.2.18. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.19. Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.20. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.21. Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.22. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion)
    • 8.2.23. Net Foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.24. International reserves, including gold (USD Billion)
  • 8.3. Energy and Utilities
    • 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
    • 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
    • 8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
    • 8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts)
    • 8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
    • 8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
    • 8.3.7. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
    • 8.3.8. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
    • 8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
    • 8.3.10. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
  • 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
    • 8.4.1. Rail lines (total route - km)
    • 8.4.2. Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
    • 8.4.3. Overall construction (US$ Million)
  • 8.5. Minerals
    • 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, and Utilities Output (USD Bn)
  • 8.6. Technology
    • 8.6.1. Research and development expenditure (Local Currency Thousands)
    • 8.6.2. Patents granted
  • 8.7. Telecommunication
    • 8.7.1. Telephone lines (In Mn)
    • 8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 2: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 3: Russian Defense Expenditure (RUB Billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 4: Russian Defense Expenditure (RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 5: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2016
  • Table 6: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2017-2021
  • Table 7: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
  • Table 8: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
  • Table 9: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 10: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 11: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 12: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 13: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2016
  • Table 14: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2017-2021
  • Table 15: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 16: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 17: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2012-2016
  • Table 18: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016vs. 2017-2021
  • Table 20: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 21: Sukhoi - Major Products and Services
  • Table 22: Sukhoi - Alliances
  • Table 23: Sukhoi - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 24: Splav - Major Products and Services
  • Table 25: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Major Products and Services
  • Table 26: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 27: Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services
  • Table 28: Almaz-Antey - Alliances
  • Table 29: Almaz-Antey - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 30: United Aircraft Corporation - Major Products and Services
  • Table 31: United Aircraft Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 32: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - Major Products and Services
  • Table 33: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
  • Table 34: V.A.Degtyarev Plant - Major Products and Services
  • Table 35: Kurganmashzavod - Major Products and Services
  • Table 36: Kurganmashzavod - Alliances
  • Table 37: Kurganmashzavod - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 38: Uralvagonzavod - Major Products and Services
  • Table 39: Uralvagonzavod - Alliances
  • Table 40: Uralvagonzavod - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 41: Izhevsk Mechanical Works - Major Products and Services
  • Table 42: Irkut Corporation - Major Products and Services
  • Table 43: Irkut Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 44: Irkut Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 45: Oboronprom Corporation - Major Products and Services
  • Table 46: Oboronprom Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 47: Oboronprom Corporation - Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 2: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 3: Russian Defense Expenditure (RUB Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 4: Russian Defense Expenditure(RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 5: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2016
  • Figure 6: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2017-2021
  • Figure 7:Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
  • Figure 8: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
  • Figure 9: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 10: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 11: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 12: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 13: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2016
  • Figure 14: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2017-2021
  • Figure 15: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 16: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 17: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2012-2016
  • Figure 18: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2017-2021
  • Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
  • Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
  • Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion),2016 and 2021
  • Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
  • Figure 24: C4ISRSpace-Based Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 25: C4ISRLand-Based Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 26: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 27: C4ISR-Airborne Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 28: Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 29: SSBN-Ballistic Missile Submarine Market Size (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 30: Russian Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
  • Figure 31: Russian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 32: Russian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 33: Russian Defense Export Trend, 2011-2015(TIV values)
  • Figure 34: Russian Defense Exports by Country (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 35: Russian Defense Exports by Category (%),2011-2015
  • Figure 36: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 37: Irkut Corporation - Revenue Trend Analysis (RUB Billion), 2010-2014
  • Figure 38: Irkut Corporation - Operating Profit (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
  • Figure 39: Irkut Corporation - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
  • Figure 40: Total Rural Population (In Mn), 2016-2025
  • Figure 41: Total Urban Population (In Mn), 2016-2025
  • Figure 42: Number of Households (In Mn), 2008-2017
  • Figure 43: GDP Per Capita in USD, 2016-2025
  • Figure 44: GDP (current USD Bn), 2016-2025
  • Figure 45: Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2004-2013
  • Figure 46: Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2004-2013
  • Figure 47: Gross National disposable income (USD Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 48: Manufacturing Output (USD Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 49: Consumer price Index, 2016-2025
  • Figure 50: Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
  • Figure 51: LCU per USD (period average), 2016-2025
  • Figure 52: LCU per EUR (period average), 2016-2025
  • Figure 53: Lending Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 54: Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 55: Real Interest Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 56: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies, 2003-2012
  • Figure 57: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2003-2012
  • Figure 58: Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 59: Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2003-2012
  • Figure 60: Goods exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
  • Figure 61: Goods balance as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
  • Figure 62: Service imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
  • Figure 63: Services exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
  • Figure 64: Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2005-2012
  • Figure 65: Net Foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP, 2006-2012
  • Figure 66: International reserves, including gold (USD Billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 67: Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
  • Figure 68: Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
  • Figure 69: Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
  • Figure 70: Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
  • Figure 71: Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
  • Figure 72: Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
  • Figure 73: The Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2005-2014
  • Figure 74: Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
  • Figure 75: The Proved Reserves of Crude Oil (Billion Barrels), 2005-2014
  • Figure 76: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts),2003-2012
  • Figure 77: Rail lines (total route - km), 2003-2012
  • Figure 78: Air transport, freight (million ton-km), 2003-2012
  • Figure 79: Overall construction (US$ Million), 2007-2014
  • Figure 80: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 81: Research and development expenditure (Local Currency Thousands), 2001-2010
  • Figure 82: Patents granted, 2004-2013
  • Figure 83: Telephone Lines (In Mn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 84: Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people) 2003-2012
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