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中国の防衛産業の将来性:市場の誘因性、競争環境、将来予測

Future of the Chinese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

発行 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品コード 264426
出版日 ページ情報 英文 101 Pages
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中国の防衛産業の将来性:市場の誘因性、競争環境、将来予測 Future of the Chinese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021
出版日: 2015年06月16日 ページ情報: 英文 101 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、中国の防衛産業への参入機会に関する詳細な市場分析・予測を実施し、今後の防衛予算の予測 (今後5年間分) や、防衛活動・予算の詳細動向、防衛輸出・輸入の動向、新規に成長が期待される部門、具体的な市場参入戦略、主要国内企業のプロファイル (概観、製品/サービス、近年の経営戦略と動向、戦略的提携、財務分析)、中国経済全体の概況などの情報を盛り込んでお届けします。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 エグゼクティブ・サマリー

第3章 市場の誘因性と新たな機会

  • 防衛市場の規模と予測
  • 防衛費分配の分析
  • 国土安全保障市場の規模と予測
  • 世界の主な市場との比較
  • 市場機会:主な傾向と成長促進要因
    • 戦闘機・多目的機
    • インフラ整備
    • 地対空ミサイル
    • 多目的ヘリコプター
    • 輸送機
    • 駆逐艦

第4章 防衛調達市場のダイナミクス

  • 輸入市場のダイナミクス
  • 輸出市場のダイナミクス

第5章 産業のダイナミクス

  • ファイブフォース分析
    • サプライヤーの交渉力:高
    • バイヤーの購買力:中
    • 参入障壁:高
    • 同業者との競合:低
    • 代替製品の脅威:低

第6章 市場参入戦略

  • 市場規制
  • 市場参入経路
  • 主な課題

第7章 競争環境と戦略的考察

  • 競争環境概観
  • 主な中国企業
    • China North Industries Corporation
    • China Electronics Technology Group Corporation
    • Aviation Industry Corporation of China
    • China National Nuclear Corporation
    • China Xinshidai Company
    • China Nuclear Energy and Construction
    • China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation
    • China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
    • China State Shipbuilding Corporation
    • China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation
    • China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation

第8章 ビジネス環境とカントリーリスク

  • 経済実績
    • 1人当たりGDP、GDP総額
    • 総輸出額・総輸入額 (単位:人民元)
    • 為替レート (人民元/米ドル)
    • 上場企業の時価総額 (米ドル) と対GDP比
    • 製品輸出額・輸入額の対GDP比
    • サービス輸出額・輸入額の対GDP比
    • 海外直接投資 (FDI) 純額と対GDP比
  • 鉱物資源
    • 鉱業・製造業・電力業の生産額

第9章 付録

図表一覧

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目次
Product Code: DF0365MR

Summary

The Future of the Chinese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Chinese defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Chinese defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 9.23% between 2012 and 2016, and valued US$146.3 billion in 2016
  • The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$1007.1 billion
  • The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 32.8% over the forecast period
  • Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be US$161.8 billion cumulatively
  • The key areas of investment are expected to be fighter and multi-role aircraft,submarines,helicopter, naval vessels, and missile defense systems

This report offers detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Chinese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industryduring 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the spending patterns and modernization patterns of the country
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Chinese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargainingpower of thebuyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry,and barrier to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Chinese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements thatare expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Chinese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Chinese defense expenditure is expected to value US$1007.7 billion cumulatively over the forecast period
    • 3.1.2. Race over military supremacy, territorial disputes, peacekeeping missions, increasing tension with the US, and research and development are the main factors driving Chinese defense expenditure
    • 3.1.3. Chinese defense expenditure to average 1.3% of GDP over the forecast period
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to average 32.8% of the total defense budget over the forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Defense capital expenditure is expected to reach US$330.2 billion cumulatively over the forecast period
    • 3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
  • 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
    • 3.3.1. Chinese homeland security is expected to reach US$36.4 billion by 2021
    • 3.3.2. Organized crime, terrorism threats, and cyber protection are expected to drive Chinese homeland security expenditure
    • 3.3.3. China falls under the "highly affected" of terrorism category
    • 3.3.4. China has a terrorism index score of 6.3
  • 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.4.1. China to be the largest defense spender in Asia
    • 3.4.2. China has the second largest defense budget in the world
    • 3.4.3. China allocates a lower share of GDP for defense compared to the US and other Asian countries
    • 3.4.4. China is "highly affected" by terrorism as per SDI Research Intelligence Terrorism Index
  • 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
    • 3.5.2. Infrastructure construction
    • 3.5.3. Surface-air missiles
    • 3.5.4. Multi-mission Helicopter
    • 3.5.5. Transport Aircraft
    • 3.5.6. Destroyers

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. China is expected to import fewer weapons over the forecast period
    • 4.1.2. Russia accounts for the majority of Chinese defense imports
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft, engines, and ships are the most imported military hardware
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. Defense exports are expected to grow over the forecast period
    • 4.2.2. Pakistan emerged as the biggest importer of Chinese low-cost defense equipment exports
    • 4.2.3. Chinese aircraft and armored vehicle exports expected to increase

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: high
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium
    • 5.1.3. Barriers to entry: high
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
    • 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. The Chinese military-industrial complex opens up to private sector participation
    • 6.1.2. Defense industry remains closed to foreign direct investment
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Foreign technology finds its way into the Chinese defense industry through civil-military integration
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. Lack of competition and long production cycles continue to hamper the performance of the Chinese defense industry
    • 6.3.2. Arms embargo imposed by the US and EU

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
    • 7.1.1. State-owned enterprises are the only major players in China's defense industry
    • 7.1.2. Foreign technology enters the Chinese defense market by supplying civil use products
  • 7.2. Key Domestic Companies
    • 7.2.1. China North Industries Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.2. China North Industries Corporation: products
    • 7.2.3. China North Industries Corporation: recent announcement and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.4. China North Industries Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.5. China North Industries Corporation: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.6. China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.7. China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: products
    • 7.2.8. China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiative
    • 7.2.9. China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.10. China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.11. Aviation Industry Corporation of China: overview
    • 7.2.12. Aviation Industry Corporation of China: products
    • 7.2.13. Aviation Industry Corporation of China: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.14. Aviation Industry Corporation of China: alliances
    • 7.2.15. Aviation Industry Corporation of China: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.16. China National Nuclear Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.17. China National Nuclear Corporation: services
    • 7.2.18. China National Nuclear Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.19. China National Nuclear Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.20. China National Nuclear Corporation: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.21. China Xinshidai Company: overview
    • 7.2.22. China Xinshidai Company: products
    • 7.2.23. China Xinshidai Company: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.24. China Xinshidai Company: alliances
    • 7.2.25. China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.26. China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: services
    • 7.2.27. China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.28. China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.29. China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.30. China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: products
    • 7.2.31. China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.32. China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.33. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.34. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: products
    • 7.2.35. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.36. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.37. China State Shipbuilding Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.38. China State Shipbuilding Corporation: products
    • 7.2.39. China State Shipbuilding Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.40. China State Shipbuilding Corporation: alliances
    • 7.2.41. China State Shipbuiding Corporation: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.42. China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.43. China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation: products
    • 7.2.44. China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: overview
    • 7.2.45. China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: products
    • 7.2.46. China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: recent announcement and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.47. China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Economic Performance
    • 8.1.1. Gross Domestic Product per Capita
    • 8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product (Current US$ Bn)
    • 8.1.3. Exports of goods and services in local currency
    • 8.1.4. Imports of goods and services in local currency
    • 8.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$
    • 8.1.6. Market Capitalization of Listed companies (US$ bn)
    • 8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed companies (percentage of GDP)
    • 8.1.8. Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.1.9. Goods Impors as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.1.10. Services Imports (as percentage of GDP)
    • 8.1.11. Services Exports (as percentage of GDP)
    • 8.1.12. Net Foreign Direct Investment
    • 8.1.13. Net FDI as a percentage of GDP
  • 8.1. Minerals
    • 8.1.14. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Chinese Defense Expenditure (C¥ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 2: Chinese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021
  • Table 3: Chinese Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
  • Table 4: Chinese Defense Capital Expenditure (C¥ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 5: Chinese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2026
  • Table 6: Chinese Homeland Security Budget (C¥ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 7: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 versus 2017-2021
  • Table 8: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 9: Chinese Military-Industrial Complex - Competitive Landscape
  • Table 10: China North Industries Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 11: China North Industries Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 12: China North Industries Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 13: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 14: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 15: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 16: Aviation Industry Corporation of China - Product focus
  • Table 17: Aviation Idustry Corporation of China- Alliances
  • Table 18: Aviation Industry Corporation of China: Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 19: China National Nuclear Corporation - Services focus
  • Table 20: China National Nuclear Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 21: China National Nuclear Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 22: China Xinshidai Company - Product focus
  • Table 23: China Xinshidai Company - Alliances
  • Table 24: China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation - Services focus
  • Table 25: China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation - Alliances
  • Table 26: China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 27: China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation- Alliances
  • Table 28: China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 29: China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation- Alliances
  • Table 30: China State Shipbuilding Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 31: China State Shipbuilding Corporation- Alliances
  • Table 32: China State Shipbuilding Corporation: Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 33: China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 34: China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation - Product focus
  • Table 35: China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation - Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Chinese Defense Expenditure (in C¥ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 2: Chinese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 3: Chinese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,
  • Figure 4:Chinese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),
  • Figure 5: Chinese Capital Expenditure (in C¥ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 6: Chinese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 7: Chinese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2012-2026
  • Figure 8: Chinese Homeland Security Budget in C¥ billion, 2012-2021
  • Figure 9: Chinese Homeland Security Budget in US$ billion, 2012-2021
  • Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
  • Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
  • Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
  • Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion),
  • Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military
  • Figure 15: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size in China (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 16: Infrastructure Construction Market Size in China (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 17: Surface-to-Air Missiles Market Size in China (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 18: Multi-mission Helicopter market Size in China (US$ Million), 2016-2026
  • Figure 19: Transport Aircraft Market Size in China (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 20: Destroyers Market Size in China (US$ Billion), 2016-2026
  • Figure 21: Chinese Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
  • Figure 22: Chinese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 23: Chinese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 24: Chinese Defense Exports Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)
  • Figure 25: Chinese Defense Export by Country (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 26: Chinese Defense exports by Category (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 28: Chinese GDP per Capita, 2015-2025
  • Figure 29: Chinese GDP Current US$ (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
  • Figure 30: Chinese Exports of goods and services (C¥ Billion), 2005-2014
  • Figure 31: Chinese Imports of goods and services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014
  • Figure 32: Chinese LCU per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 33: Chinese Market Capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
  • Figure 34: Chinese Market Capitalization of listed companies as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
  • Figure 35: Chinese Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
  • Figure 36: Chinese Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
  • Figure 37: Chinese Services Imports (as a percentage of GDP), 2005-2013
  • Figure 38: Chinese Services Exports (as a percentage of GDP), 2005-2013
  • Figure 39: Chinese Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ bn), 2005-2013
  • Figure 40: Chinese Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
  • Figure 41: Chinese Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (C¥ Bn), 2005-2014
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