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市場調査レポート

インドネシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力・競合情勢・予測

Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

発行 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品コード 261161
出版日 ページ情報 英文 82 Pages
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インドネシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力・競合情勢・予測 Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021
出版日: 2016年08月26日 ページ情報: 英文 82 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、インドネシアの防衛産業について調査分析し、防衛予算の内訳と予測、セグメント別の市場内訳と予測、主要企業プロファイル、過去12ヶ月間の新興の動向と機会などをまとめてお届けいたします。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 市場の魅力と新興の機会

  • 防衛市場規模の実績と予測
  • 防衛予算配分の分析
  • 国土防衛市場の規模と予測
  • 主要世界市場のベンチマーキング
  • 市場機会:主要動向と成長促進要因

第4章 防衛調達市場の動向

  • 輸入市場の動向
  • 輸出市場の動向

第5章 産業の動向

  • ファイブフォース分析

第6章 市場参入戦略

  • 市場の規制
  • 市場参入ルート
  • 主要課題

第7章 競合情勢と戦略的考察

  • 競合情勢の概要
  • 主な公共企業
    • PT Dirgantara Indonesia
    • PAL Indonesia
    • PT Pindad
    • Dok and Perkapalan
  • 主な民間企業
    • PT Dahana
    • PT Multiintegra
    • Radar and Communications Systems
    • PT SOG Indonesia

第8章 ビジネス環境とカントリーリスク

  • 人口・社会統計
  • 経済実績
  • エネルギーとユーティリティ
  • インフラ
  • 鉱物
  • 通信

第9章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: DF0372MR

Summary

The Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key developments.

Key Findings

  • Over the historic period, Indonesia's defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 0.85%, increasing from US$6.7 billion in 2012 to US$7 billion in 2016
  • The Indonesian military expenditure, estimated to value US$8 billion in 2017, is expected to increase marginally, to reach US$12 billion by 2021, registering a CAGR of 11.13% over the forecast period
  • The country's military expenditure will be driven by the territorial disputes and modernization of its armed forces
  • The Defense Ministry is expected to spend more onmulti-role combat aircraft, diesel electric submarines, and infrastructure construction

This report offers detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • The Indonesian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization programs
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Indonesian defense industry: analysis of market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: Details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Competitive landscape analysis of the Indonesian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Indonesian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Indonesian defense budget to grow at an estimated CAGR of 11.13% during 2017-2021
    • 3.1.2. Territorial disputes, natural disasters, and modernization of the armed forces drives the Indonesia's defense expenditure
    • 3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to increase over the forecast period
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure in defense budget is expected to increase over the forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 12.45% during the forecast period
    • 3.2.3. Indonesian per-capita defense expenditure to increase during the forecast period
  • 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
    • 3.3.1. Homeland Security market in Indonesia is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.86% during the forecast period
    • 3.3.2. Homeland security market is driven by border security issues and terrorism
    • 3.3.3. Indonesia falls under "highly affected" category in the terrorism index
    • 3.3.4. Indonesia faces threats from terrorist organizations
    • 3.3.5. Indonesia has a terrorism index score of 4.8
  • 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.4.1. Indonesia's defense budget is expected to register a rapid growth over the forecast period
    • 3.4.2. Indonesia is expected to remain among top defense spending countries in Asia
    • 3.4.3. Indonesian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period
  • 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
    • 3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
    • 3.5.2. Infrastructure Construction
    • 3.5.3. Diesel Electric Submarine

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase during forecast period
    • 4.1.2. Aircraft and Ships accounted for a total share 70.2% in Indonesian defense imports
    • 4.1.3. U.S, U.K, and Russia are the major suppliers for Indonesia
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: Low
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: Medium
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low
    • 5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: High

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Defense investment policy conducive to both domestic and foreign investment
    • 6.1.2. New procurement policy to support small and medium enterprises
    • 6.1.3. Formal offset policy
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Foreign defense suppliers enter the Indonesian defense market primarily through joint ventures
    • 6.2.2. Strategic partnership and military collaborations an easier way to access the Indonesian defense market
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. Corruption is a major challenge that hinders growth of the Indonesian defense industry
    • 6.3.2. Small defense budget deters investment
    • 6.3.3. Lack of defense infrastructure

7. Competitive landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
  • 7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
    • 7.2.1. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: overview
    • 7.2.2. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.3. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.4. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: alliances
    • 7.2.5. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.6. PAL Indonesia: overview
    • 7.2.7. PAL Indonesia: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.8. PAL Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.9. PAL Indonesia: Alliances
    • 7.2.10. PAL Indonesia: Recent Contract Wins
    • 7.2.11. PT Pindad: overview
    • 7.2.12. PT Pindad: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.13. PT Pindad: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.14. PT Pindad: alliances
    • 7.2.15. PT Pindad: Recent Contract Wins
    • 7.2.16. DokandPerkapalan: overview
    • 7.2.17. DokandPerkapalan: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.18. DokandPerkapalan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.19. DokandPerkapalan: alliances
    • 7.2.20. DokandPerkapalan: Recent Contract Wins
  • 7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
    • 7.3.1. PT Dahana: overview
    • 7.3.2. PT Dahana: products and services
    • 7.3.3. PT Dahana: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.4. PT Dahana: alliances
    • 7.3.5. PT Dahana: recent contract wins
    • 7.3.6. PT Multiintegra: overview
    • 7.3.7. PT Multiintegra: products and services
    • 7.3.8. PT Multiintegra: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.9. PT Multiintegra: alliances
    • 7.3.10. PT Multiintegra: recent contract wins
    • 7.3.11. PT SOG Indonesia: overview
    • 7.3.12. PT SOG Indonesia: products and services
    • 7.3.13. PT SOG Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.14. PT SOG Indonesia: alliances

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Economic Performance
    • 8.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (US$)
    • 8.1.2. GDP at current prices (US$ Billions)
    • 8.1.3. Exports of goods and services (IDR Billion)
    • 8.1.4. Imports of goods and services (IDR Billion)
    • 8.1.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ billion)
    • 8.1.6. IDR per US$ (period average)
    • 8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion)
    • 8.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
    • 8.1.9. Government cash surplus/deficit asa percentage of GDP (IDR)
    • 8.1.10. Goods exports and imports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.1.11. Services imports and exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
    • 8.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
  • 8.2. Mineral
    • 8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (IDR Billions)

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (IDR trillionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 2: Indonesian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
  • Table 3: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
  • Table 4: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (IDR trillion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 5: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
  • Table 6: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (IDR trillion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Table 7: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
  • Table 8: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
  • Table 9: Investment policy regulations in Indonesia
  • Table 10: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - Major Products and Services
  • Table 11: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - Alliances
  • Table 12: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - recent contract wins
  • Table 13: PAL Indonesia - Alliances
  • Table 14: PAL Indonesia - Recent contract wins
  • Table 15: PT Pindad - Major Products and Services
  • Table 16: PT Pindad - Alliances
  • Table 17: PT Pindad - recent contract wins
  • Table 18: DokandPerkapalan-Alliances
  • Table 19: DokandPerkapalan- recent contract wins
  • Table 20: PT Dahana - Alliances
  • Table 21: PT Dahana- recent contract wins
  • Table 22: PT Multiintegra- Major Products and Services
  • Table 23: PT Multiintegra - Alliances
  • Table 24: PT Multiintegra - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 25: PT SOG Indonesia - Major Products and Services
  • Table 26: PT SOG Indonesia - Alliances

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (IDR trillion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 2: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 3: Indonesian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
  • Figure 4: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2012-2021
  • Figure 5: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (IDR Trillion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 6: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 7: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
  • Figure 8: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (IDR trillion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 9: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
  • Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
  • Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
  • Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
  • Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ billion), 2016 and 2021
  • Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
  • Figure 15: Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
  • Figure 16: Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
  • Figure 17: Diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
  • Figure 18: Indonesian Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
  • Figure 19: Indonesian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 20: Indonesian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 21: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 22: Indonesian GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025
  • Figure 23: Indonesian GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
  • Figure 24: Indonesian Exports of goods and services (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
  • Figure 25: Indonesian Imports of goods and services (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
  • Figure 26: Indonesian Gross national disposable income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
  • Figure 27: Indonesian IDR per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 28: Indonesian market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2005-2012
  • Figure 29: Indonesian market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012
  • Figure 30: Indonesia - Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (IDR), 2005-2009
  • Figure 31: Indonesia - Goods exports and imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
  • Figure 32: Indonesia - Services imports and exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
  • Figure 33: Indonesian Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2014
  • Figure 34: Indonesia - Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005 - 2014
  • Figure 35: Indonesian - Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
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