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市場調査レポート

インドネシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力・競合情勢・予測

Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

発行 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品コード 261161
出版日 ページ情報 英文 122 Pages
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インドネシアの防衛産業の見通し:市場の魅力・競合情勢・予測 Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
出版日: 2015年05月31日 ページ情報: 英文 122 Pages
概要

インドネシアの防衛市場は、2015年に95億米ドルの規模になる見通しで、その後CAGR16.44%で拡大し、2020年には204億米ドルに達すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、インドネシアの防衛産業について調査分析し、防衛予算の内訳と予測、セグメント別の市場内訳と予測、主要企業プロファイル、過去12ヶ月間の新興の動向と機会などをまとめてお届けいたします。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 市場の魅力と新興の機会

  • 防衛市場規模の実績と予測
  • 防衛予算配分の分析
  • 国土防衛市場の規模と予測
  • 主要世界市場のベンチマーキング
  • 市場機会:主要動向と成長促進要因

第4章 防衛調達市場の動向

  • 輸入市場の動向
  • 輸出市場の動向

第5章 産業の動向

  • ファイブフォース分析

第6章 市場参入戦略

  • 市場の規制
  • 市場参入ルート
  • 主要課題

第7章 競合情勢と戦略的考察

  • 競合情勢の概要
  • 主な公共企業
    • PT Dirgantara Indonesia
    • PAL Indonesia
    • PT Pindad
    • Dok and Perkapalan
  • 主な民間企業
    • PT Dahana
    • PT Multiintegra
    • Radar and Communications Systems
    • PT SOG Indonesia

第8章 ビジネス環境とカントリーリスク

  • 人口・社会統計
  • 経済実績
  • エネルギーとユーティリティ
  • インフラ
  • 鉱物
  • 通信

第9章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: DF0313MR

Summary

The Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Indonesian defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

The Indonesian defense market, estimated to value US$9.5 billion in 2015, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.44% during the forecast period to value US$20.4 billion in 2020

The country's increasing military expenditure is reflected in the ongoing modernization drive to replace its aging military hardware along with building its indigenous defense industrial base

Continuous territorial disputes and the country's vulnerability to natural disasters have led to the upgrade of military equipment such as military transport aircraft, rescue helicopters, and naval vessels

Over the forecast period, the country is expected to invest in infrastructure construction, multi-role aircraft, submarines, cyber security, border security, unmanned aerial vehicles, radar systems and computer network defense capabilities, which will drive the growth in its capital expenditure

Homeland security is an area that has gained prominence in Indonesia over the last decade, with expenditure expected to increase from US$5.2 billion in 2016 to US$6.3 billion in 2020 at a CAGR of 4.91%

This report offers detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Indonesian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's spending patterns and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Indonesian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Indonesian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Indonesian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Indonesian defense budget expected to reach US$20.4 billion by 2020, at a CAGR of 16.44%
    • 3.1.2. Defense expenditure is driven by the modernization of the armed forces, indigenization, territorial disputes, and natural disasters
    • 3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to increase over the forecast period
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Capital expenditure share in defense budget to expected to be same over the forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
  • 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
    • 3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.91% during the forecast period
    • 3.3.2. Border Security and Terrorism to drive the homeland security market over the forecast period
    • 3.3.3. Indonesia considered as 'some risk' category of terrorist attack
    • 3.3.4. Indonesia has a terrorism index score of "0.4"
  • 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.4.1. Indonesia's defense budget expected to register rapid growth over the forecast period
    • 3.4.2. Indonesian defense expenditure is relatively smaller than other Asian countries
    • 3.4.3. The Indonesian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during 2016-2020
    • 3.4.4. Indonesia suffers some level of terrorist activity
  • 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.5.1. Infrastructure Construction
    • 3.5.2. Multi-Role Aircraft
    • 3.5.3. Submarine
    • 3.5.4. Cyber Security

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase during forecast period
    • 4.1.2. Aircraft and ships constitute the majority of Indonesian defense imports
    • 4.1.3. Indonesia plans to diversify arms imports
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. Indonesia does not possess significant defense export capability

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: Low
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: Medium
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low
    • 5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: High

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Defense investment policy conducive to both domestic and foreign investment
    • 6.1.2. New procurement policy to support small and medium enterprises
    • 6.1.3. Indonesia to launch formal offset policy
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Foreign defense suppliers enter the Indonesian defense market primarily through joint ventures
    • 6.2.2. Strategic partnership and military collaborations an easier way to access the Indonesian defense market
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. Small defense budget deters investment
    • 6.3.2. Lack of defense infrastructure
    • 6.3.3. Corruption impedes the growth of the Indonesian defense industry

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
  • 7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
    • 7.2.1. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: overview
    • 7.2.2. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.3. PT Digantara Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.4. PT Digantara Indonesia: alliances
    • 7.2.5. PT Digantara Indonesia: recent contract wins
    • 7.2.6. PAL Indonesia: overview
    • 7.2.7. PAL Indonesia: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.8. PAL Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.9. PAL Indonesia: Alliances
    • 7.2.10. PAL Indonesia: Recent Contract Wins
    • 7.2.11. PT Pindad: overview
    • 7.2.12. PT Pindad: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.13. PT Pindad: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.14. PT Pindad: alliances
    • 7.2.15. PT Pindad: Recent Contract Wins
    • 7.2.16. Dok and Perkapalan: overview
    • 7.2.17. Dok and Perkapalan: Major Products and Services
    • 7.2.18. Dok and Perkapalan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.2.19. Dok and Perkapalan: alliances
    • 7.2.20. Dok and Perkapalan: Recent Contract Wins
  • 7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
    • 7.3.1. PT Dahana: overview
    • 7.3.2. PT Dahana: products and services
    • 7.3.3. PT Dahana: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.4. PT Dahana: alliances
    • 7.3.5. PT Dahana: recent contract wins
    • 7.3.6. PT Multiintegra: overview
    • 7.3.7. PT Multiintegra: products and services
    • 7.3.8. PT Multiintegra: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.9. PT Multiintegra: recent contract wins
    • 7.3.10. Radar and Communications Systems: overview
    • 7.3.11. Radar and Communications Systems: products and services
    • 7.3.12. Radar and Communications Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives.
    • 7.3.13. Radar and Communications Systems: alliances
    • 7.3.14. PT SOG Indonesia: overview
    • 7.3.15. PT SOG Indonesia: products and services
    • 7.3.16. PT SOG Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.3.17. PT SOG Indonesia: alliances

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
    • 8.1.1. Total Rural Population
    • 8.1.2. Total Urban Population
  • 8.2. Economic Performance
    • 8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
    • 8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
    • 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices
    • 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices
    • 8.2.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
    • 8.2.6. Consumer Price Index
    • 8.2.7. Wholesale Price Index
    • 8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
    • 8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per Euro
    • 8.2.10. Lending Rate (%)
    • 8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%)
    • 8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)
    • 8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
    • 8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
    • 8.2.15. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
    • 8.2.16. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
    • 8.2.17. Central government debt (LCU Bn)
    • 8.2.18. Central government debt as % of GDP (LCU Bn)
    • 8.2.19. Goods exports as % of GDP
    • 8.2.20. Goods imports as % of GDP
    • 8.2.21. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
    • 8.2.22. Service Imports as % of GDP
    • 8.2.23. Service Exports as % of GDP
    • 8.2.24. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
    • 8.2.25. Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion)
    • 8.2.26. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
    • 8.2.27. International reserves, including gold
    • 8.2.28. External Debt (US$ Billion)
    • 8.2.29. External Debt as % of GDP
  • 8.3. Energy and Utilities
    • 8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
    • 8.3.5. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
    • 8.3.6. Petroleum Consumption
    • 8.3.7. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
    • 8.3.8. Indonesian Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
  • 8.4. Infrastructure
    • 8.4.1. Roads, total network (km)
    • 8.4.2. Air transport, freight
    • 8.4.3. Overall Construction (US$ Million)
  • 8.5. Minerals
    • 8.5.1. Patents Granted
  • 8.6. Telecommunication
    • 8.6.1. Telephone Lines
    • 8.6.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 2: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 3: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
  • Table 4: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
  • Table 5: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
  • Table 6: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
  • Table 7: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Table 8: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Table 9: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Table 10: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Table 11: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 12: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 13: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
  • Table 14: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
  • Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Table 16: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 17: Offset Regulations in Indonesia
  • Table 18: PT Digantara Indonesia-Major Products and Services
  • Table 19: PT Digantara Indonesia - Alliances
  • Table 20: PT Digantara Indonesia - recent contract wins
  • Table 21: PAL Indonesia - Major Products and Services
  • Table 22: PAL Indonesia - Alliances
  • Table 23: PAL Indonesia - recent contract wins
  • Table 24: PT Pindad - Major Products and Services
  • Table 25: PT Pindad - Alliances
  • Table 26: PT Pindad - recent contract wins
  • Table 27: Dok and Perkapalan-Major Products and Services
  • Table 28: Dok and Perkapalan-Alliances
  • Table 29: Dok and Perkapalan- recent contract wins
  • Table 30: PT Dahana - Major Products and Services
  • Table 31: PT Dahana - Alliances
  • Table 32: PT Dahana- recent contract wins
  • Table 33: PT Multiintegra- Major Products and Services
  • Table 34: PT Multiintegra - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 35: Radar and Communications Systems - Major Products and Services
  • Table 36: Radar and Communications Systems- Alliances
  • Table 37: PT SOG Indonesia - Major Products and Services
  • Table 38: PT SOG Indonesia - Alliances

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 3: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 4: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 5: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
  • Figure 6: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
  • Figure 7:Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 8: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Figure 9: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Figure 10: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Figure 11: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 12: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 13: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 14: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 15: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
  • Figure 16: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
  • Figure 17: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Figure 18: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
  • Figure 19: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
  • Figure 20: Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 21: Multi-role Aircraft Defense Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 22: Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 23: Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 24: Indonesian Defense imports TIV value (US$ Million), 2010-2014
  • Figure 25: Indonesian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014 (TIV values)
  • Figure 26: Indonesian Defense Imports by Region (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 27: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 28: Indonesian Rural Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
  • Figure 29: Indonesian Urban Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
  • Figure 30: Indonesian GDP Per Capita, 2011-2020
  • Figure 31: Indonesian GDP, Current Prices (In US$ Billions), 2011-2020
  • Figure 32: Indonesian Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 33: Indonesian Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 34: Indonesian Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
  • Figure 35: Indonesian Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017
  • Figure 36: Indonesian Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
  • Figure 37: Local Currency Unit per US$ - Exchange Rate, 2008-2017
  • Figure 38: Local Currency Unit per Euro, 2008-2017
  • Figure 39: Lending Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 40: Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 41: Real Interest Rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 42: Indonesian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 43: Indonesian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
  • Figure 44: Indonesian Government Cash Surplus/Deficit (LCU Billion), 2002-2011
  • Figure 45: Indonesian Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 46: Indonesian Central government debt (LCU Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 47: Indonesian Central government debt as % of GDP (LCU Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 48: Indonesia's Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 49: Indonesia's Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 50: Indonesia's Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 51: Indonesia's Service Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 52: Indonesia's Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 53: Indonesia's Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 54: Indonesian Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
  • Figure 55: Indonesian Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011
  • Figure 56: Indonesia's International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
  • Figure 57: Indonesia's External Debt (US$ Billion), 2001-2010
  • Figure 58: Indonesia's External Debt as % of GDP, 2001-2010
  • Figure 59: Indonesian Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
  • Figure 60: Indonesian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
  • Figure 61: Indonesian Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
  • Figure 62: Indonesian Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
  • Figure 63: Indonesia's Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
  • Figure 64: Indonesia's Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
  • Figure 65: Indonesia's Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2002-2011
  • Figure 66: Indonesia's Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2001-2010
  • Figure 67: Indonesia's Roads, total network (km), 2002-2009
  • Figure 68: Indonesia's Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002-2011
  • Figure 69: Indonesia's Overall Construction (US$ Million), 2007-2016
  • Figure 70: Indonesian Patents Granted, 2003-2012
  • Figure 71: Indonesia's Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
  • Figure 72: Indonesia's Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2003-2012
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