スズ市場の展望 2024年：第9版 2015年
Tin: Market Outlook to 2024, 9th Edition, 2015
|発行||Roskill Information Services||商品コード||341858|
|出版日||ページ情報||英文 312 Pages, 112 Tables and 115 Figures
|スズ市場の展望 2024年：第9版 2015年 Tin: Market Outlook to 2024, 9th Edition, 2015|
|出版日: 2015年02月28日||ページ情報: 英文 312 Pages, 112 Tables and 115 Figures||
The tin market has been in a deficit for six out of the last ten years, with gaps between production and consumption generally having been limited to around 4% of the total market. Following a slump in demand resulting from the financial crisis in 2009, the strong recovery in 2010 and 2011 pushed the market back into deficit, with the pattern being repeated over 2012 and 2013.
In 2014, despite an anticipated deficit owing to limited new supplies and a reduction in secondary supply, Roskill estimates that the market for tin was, in fact, in surplus - with the expected gap filled by new supplies from Myanmar. Increased production of refined tin in China has largely been fulfilled by increased imports of concentrates, as domestic mine production and secondary recoveries have remained largely stable.
Tin consumption is expected to grow steadily over the outlook period, increasing from 1.7%py in the near term to as much as 2.4%py in later years owing to growth in emerging markets. Roskill sees limited new supply coming on-stream in 2015 and 2016, but expects only a small deficit to emerge in these years, with slightly stronger upside potential for prices over the longer term to 2024.