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タイヤ業界における革新的技術の未来(2040年までの予測)

The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tire Industry to 2040

出版日: | 発行: Smithers | ページ情報: 英文 92 Pages | 納期: 即日から翌営業日

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タイヤ業界における革新的技術の未来(2040年までの予測)
出版日: 2020年08月01日
発行: Smithers
ページ情報: 英文 92 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

世界のタイヤ業界は、消費者からの期待、世界の人口動態の変化、政府の規制、技術の進歩の結果として、大きな変化を遂げています。これらの要因は、タイヤ企業がR&D投資、製品戦略を決定し、これまで以上に厳格な政府のガイダンスに対応する際に影響を与えると考えられています。

当レポートは、タイヤ業界の革新的技術予測について調査しており、革新的技術の詳細、今後20年間の予測、市場の成長要因や動向などの情報を提供しています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 概要
  • 主要技術
  • 技術の実現
    • 持続可能性
    • センサー/ RFID技術
    • バッテリー技術
    • モデリングとシミュレーション
    • バイオ技術
  • タイヤ特有の技術
  • 革新的技術に対するCOVID-19の影響

概要と調査手法

  • 目的
  • 範囲
  • 調査手法
  • 定義

主な成長要因と動向

  • 概要
  • 世界経済学
  • 世界の人口統計
  • 資源の可用性とセキュリティ
  • 環境問題
  • 車両の設計と使用の動向
  • タイヤ業界の構造と動向
  • タイヤ企業
  • 原材料とサプライチェーン
  • エラストマー
  • 補強フィラー
  • タイヤコード
  • 可塑剤/プロセスオイル
  • 化学薬品
  • タイヤの構造と製造
  • 今後20年間のタイヤ動向

技術予測

  • イントロダクション
  • 技術の実現
  • 革新的技術の可能性
  • 議論されていないいくつかの技術
  • カーボンナノチューブ
  • セピオライト

タイヤ技術:2040年までの予測

  • タイヤ業界に影響を与える長期的な動向
  • 人口統計
  • 規制と法律
  • 排出量
  • 持続可能性
  • 車両技術
  • タイヤ業界の長期動向
  • 原材料ベースの変更
  • GHGと化石燃料を削減するための環境圧力
  • 世界人口の増加
  • 車の移動タイプの変更
  • COVID-19の長期的影響
  • 世界のタイヤ市場
  • 主要生産国としての中国と世界市場への影響
  • 今後20年間の業界動向
  • タイヤの製造方法
  • 原材料の調達と持続可能性
  • ノイズ減少
  • タイヤの摩耗
  • 転がり抵抗
  • センサー
  • アダプティブタイヤ
  • シナリオ考察

付録-専門家パネルとの討論:トピックのリスト

  • 材料
目次

Our exclusive content

  • In-depth market analysis of the technologies which will disrupt the tire industry to 2040
  • 21 technologies and their ranking as disruptive in the industry over the next 20 years
  • Comprehensive analysis of key market drivers and trends in the tire market
  • The way that industry operates and the way that consumers think about products.

The tire industry is undergoing tremendous change as a result of evolving consumer expectations, shifts in world demographics, government regulations and advancing technology. These factors impact tire companies as they make decisions on R&D investment, product strategies and react to ever more strict government guidance.

On the high level, this report will discuss the overarching industry trends impacting tire makers, including Industry 4.0, sustainability, raw materials market dynamics, electric vehicles and autonomous vehicles, and how the industry is growing and changing in reaction to these developments.

What will you discover?

  • A complete overview of the disruptive technologies in the tire industry to 2040
  • The technologies needed to enable these disruptions are discussed, as well as the required scale-up for implementation
  • What trends will affect the technologies in the tire market.

The Smithers methodology

This report is based on extensive primary and secondary research. Primary research consisted of targeted interviews with material suppliers, converters and experts drawn from key markets.

This was supported by secondary research in the form of extensive literature analysis of published data, official government statistics, domestic and international trade organisation data, company websites, industry reports, trade press articles, presentations, and attendance at trade events.

Disruptive technologies discussed in the report, which were evaluated by an industry panel of experts, include smart tires, non-pneumatic tires, bio-materials, recycled materials, and new materials technologies, among others.

Who should buy the report?

  • Materials suppliers
  • Tire manufacturers
  • Users of tires (OEMs)
  • Industry consultants, investors, analysts
  • Tire equipment suppliers

About the author

Howard Colvin is a rubber industry consultant with decades of industry experience and a PhD in physical organic chemistry. He began his career at Goodyear in specialty chemicals, which included antioxidants and accelerators for tires. For most of his time at Goodyear, he was in charge of polymer development for the Chemical Division. He worked for Cooper Tire where he led the successful biomaterials program to make an all-guayule rubber tire.

Table of Contents

Executive summary

  • Overview
  • Key technologies
  • Enabling technologies
    • Sustainability
    • Sensor/RFID technology
    • Battery technology
    • Modelling and simulation
    • Biotechnology
  • Tire-specific technologies
    • Non-pneumatic tire (NPT)
    • Smart-advanced
    • Materials of high concern
    • Smart-basic
    • Self-healing polymer
    • New elastomer synthesis
    • New carbon black manufacturing technology
    • Epoxidized NR
    • Alternative NR
    • Bio-isobutylene
    • Bio-butadiene
    • Self-sealing tires
    • Bio-plasticizers
    • New devulcanization technology
    • Electric Vehicle (EV) tires
    • Biofillers
    • Improved liners
    • Recycled carbon black
    • High aspect ratio tires
    • Improve NR strains
  • Effect of COVID-19 on disruptive technology

Introduction and methodology

  • Objective
  • Scope
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
    • Disruptive technology
    • Incremental (evolutionary or sustaining) technology
    • Sustainability or sustainable development
    • Life cycle analysis
    • Environmental Product Declaration (EPD)
    • Product Category Rules (PCR)
    • Industry 4.0
    • BRICS nations
    • Rolling resistance
    • Silica
    • Green tires
    • Smart/Intelligent/adaptive tires
    • Autonomous vehicle
    • Flocculation
    • Abbreviations

Key drivers and trends

  • Introduction
  • World economics
  • World demographics
  • Resource availability and security
  • Environmental issues
  • Trends in vehicle design and use
  • Tire industry structure and trends
  • Tire companies
  • Raw materials and the supply chain
  • Elastomers
  • Reinforcing fillers
    • Carbon black
    • Precipitated silica
  • Tire cords
  • Plasticizers/process oils
  • Chemicals
  • Tire construction and manufacture
  • Tire trends over the next 20 years
    • Tire technology international awards
    • Recent statements/patents by major tire companies

Technology forecasts

  • Introduction
  • Enabling technology
  • Potentially disruptive technology
    • Non-pneumatic tire
    • Smart tires - advanced
    • Materials of high concern
    • Smart tires - basic
    • Self-healing polymers
    • New elastomer synthesis
    • New black manufacturing technology
    • Epoxidized natural rubber
    • Alternative natural rubber
    • Bio-isobutylene
    • Bio-butadiene
    • Self-sealing tires
    • Bio-plasticizers
    • New devulcanization technology
    • Recycling used tires
    • Tires for electric vehicles
    • Biofillers
    • Improved liner
    • Recycled carbon black
    • High aspect ratio tires
    • Improved strains of natural rubber
  • Some technologies not discussed
    • Filler masterbatch
    • Other fillers
  • Carbon nanotubes
  • Sepiolite
    • 3D printing

Tire technology forecasts to 2040

  • Long term trends impacting on the tire industry
  • Demographics
  • Regulation and legislation
  • Emissions
  • Sustainability
  • Vehicle technology
  • Long-term trends in the tire industry
  • Changes in raw material base
  • Environmental pressures to reduce GHG and fossil fuels
  • Increasing world population
  • Change in type of car travel
  • Long-term effect of COVID-19
  • World tire market
  • China as a major producer and effect on the world market
  • Industry trends over the next 20 years
  • Tire manufacturing methods
  • Raw material sourcing and sustainability
    • Elastomers
    • Plasticizers
    • Reinforcing fillers
    • Tire cords
    • Sustainability
  • Noise reduction
  • Tire wear
  • Rolling resistance
  • Sensors
  • Adaptive tires
  • Possible scenarios
    • Future evolutionary change (automotive)
    • Futuristic extreme revolutionary change (automotive)
    • Most likely

Appendix - List of topics discussed with expert panel

  • Materials

Key Facts and Figures

  • Comparison of level of government response to COVID-19 response in six countries
  • Sustainability
  • Michelin Vision concept NPT
  • Michelin Vision concept NPT
  • Hankook iFlex NPT
  • Evaluation of tire wear contribution to PM2.5 in urban environments
  • Process for manufacture of furnace carbon black
  • Pyrolysis of tires
  • Structure of Exxon Exxpro
  • Growth of the middle class from 2009-2030. Millions of people; percentage of total population
  • Loss in tire production in 2020 through April 30th
  • Tire production in China (millions of units)
  • Key enabling technologies
  • Tire specific technologies with disruptive and value ratings
  • COVID-19 impact on global automotive sales, 2020
  • Global consumption of materials by the tire industry 2020 estimate
  • Examples of naturally occurring materials in the tire industry
  • Tire market by end use 2019
  • Top 10 tire companies
  • Typical composition of a passenger tire
  • Typical composition of a truck tire
  • Enabling technologies
  • Enabling technologies disruptive score-normalized
  • Enabling technologies value scorenormalized
  • Potential disruptive technologies ranked by 2030 normalized disruptive score
  • Reasons for normalized disruptive ranking
  • Potential disruptive technologies value scores
  • Non-pneumatic tires
  • Smart tires - advanced
  • Materials of high concern
  • Composition of tire wear particles
  • Smart basic
  • Self-healing polymers
  • New elastomer synthesis
  • New black manufacturing technology
  • Epoxidized NR
  • Alternative NR
  • Bio-isobutylene
  • Bio-butadiene
  • Self-sealing tires
  • Self sealing tires available in the US
  • Bio-plasticizers
  • New devulcanization technology
  • Selected devulcanization technologies
  • Recycling used tires
  • EV tires
  • Biofillers
  • Potential biofillers for the tire industry
  • Improved liner
  • Recycled carbon black
  • High aspect ratio tires
  • Improved NR strains
  • Natural rubber diseases and effect
  • Rate of population group from 2020-2040 (percentage)
  • Truck manufacturers developing EVs
  • Tire labels
  • GHG emissions/commitment for reduction
  • Tire production by region 2019 (million tonnes)
  • Top 10 tire exporting countries - 2019
  • Recent Chinese tire plants outside of China
  • Passenger car mileage and CO2 targets
  • Automotive and tire markets in 2040- no disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire markets in 2040-highly disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire markets in 2040- most likely
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