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電気自動車 (EV) の市場動向:タイヤ業界に与える影響 (2028年まで)

The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Tires to 2028

発行 Smithers Rapra 商品コード 698979
出版日 ページ情報 英文 115 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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電気自動車 (EV) の市場動向:タイヤ業界に与える影響 (2028年まで) The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Tires to 2028
出版日: 2018年10月18日 ページ情報: 英文 115 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界の電気自動車 (EV) 用タイヤ市場に対して、各種要因が今後もたらす影響について分析し、EV市場/タイヤ市場/EV用タイヤ市場の各々の基本構造や最新情勢、市場動向の見通しなどを推計すると共に、EV市場で今後10年間に生じ得る様々な現象 (市場/技術の発達、各国政府の規制強化など) と、それがEV用タイヤの市場動向にもたらす影響について調査しております。

目次

  • エグゼクティブ・サマリー

第1章 イントロダクション・分析手法

第2章 電気自動車市場:促進要因と動向

  • マクロ的な市場動向
  • 乗用車/小型商用車市場の動向
  • 乗用車メーカーのEV市場参入の野望
  • 電気トラック・バスの市場動向
  • 低速EV市場の動向
  • 電気二輪車・三輪車市場の動向
  • 電気自動車 (EV) 用タイヤ
    • EV用タイヤの将来的な差別化要因
    • タイヤの構造と特性の関連性
    • モーター推進力/車両クラスごとの違い
    • 主な車種における差別化要因
    • EV用タイヤの現状
  • EV市場の促進要因

第3章 電気自動車 (EV) 市場の動向と、タイヤ市場への影響:ランキング分析

  • EV市場と、EV用タイヤ市場への将来的な影響要因
    • タイヤの材料/コンポーネントと製造方法
    • タイヤの流通経路
    • タイヤの小売販売方法
    • タイヤのマーケティング
    • CO2排出量・大気汚染・騒音の軽減と、EV用タイヤ市場への影響
    • 高度充電インフラと、EV用タイヤ市場への影響
    • 充電費用のモデルと、EV用タイヤ市場への影響
    • 新規の規制・義務と、EV用タイヤ市場への影響
    • その他の市場動向と、EV用タイヤ市場への影響

第4章 世界各国での各種規制・義務と、そのタイヤ市場への影響:現状と将来展望

  • 二酸化炭素排出量の削減
    • 事業提携による排出量削減
  • 大気質と粒子汚染
  • 無音車両向け近接音発生装置
  • NHSTA:米国政府の安全基準
  • EUの規制・指令・政策の概要
  • 中国の規制
  • インド
  • 日本
  • 韓国
  • タイ
  • 米国
  • カナダ
  • ブラジル

第5章 高度充電インフラと、EV用タイヤ市場への影響度:現状と将来展望

  • 充電インフラの拡張に向けた取り組みと目標
  • 充電インフラの拡張と関連領域
    • 充電時間の進歩とオプション
  • トラック・バスの充電
  • 水素補給インフラの進歩

第6章 車両の走行距離/バッテリー費用の改善と、EV用タイヤ市場に対する影響:現状と将来展望

  • EVの走行距離の改善とバッテリー
    • 可搬型パワーパック
    • バッテリーのリユース/リサイクル
  • 議論

第7章 車両費用モデルの変動と、EV用タイヤ市場に対する影響:現状と将来展望

  • 車両コストのモデル:概要
  • 車両コストのモデル:最新値/予測値
  • 車両コストのモデルを左右する市場動向

第8章 市場機会と将来展望

  • 世界のタイヤ市場の規模と将来展望
    • タイヤ市場の規模と成長率 (今後11年間分)
    • EV用タイヤ市場の現在のシナリオ
    • タイヤ市場を左右する主な要因 (推進方式に関係なく)
    • EVタイヤの開発シナリオ/ビジョン
    • 地域ごとの違い
    • 現在/将来のタイヤ市場の相違点
    • 将来の市場の要件

第9章 付録

目次

This report provides a ranking of trends related to electric vehicles and its impact in tire market sectors for next 10 years.

  • The main trends are: regulations and government mandates, policies and incentives, advanced recharging infrastructure, improving vehicle mileage range/ battery cost, and changing vehicle cost models.
  • This envisages fleets of electric and autonomous vehicles interconnected with manufacturers, consumers, suppliers, service providers and even with each other.
  • The greater simplicity and reliability of electric propulsion is an important part of this scenario, which will ultimately have a much larger effect on the tire market, and is expected to start to kick in from 2025.

Our exclusive content:

  • Electric vehicles are seen as a key enabling component in the developing new mobility ecosystem
  • Future outlook on opportunities and threats the further uptake of EV brings to the tire value chain
  • 50 tables and figures displaying the effect of EV on the tire market for the next 10 years

What methodology is used?

The data and information for this report were gathered using a combination of secondary and primary research. Secondary research consisted of a review of published material, conference proceedings, and information from organizations and companies involved in the production, supply, and use of tires and their ingredients. Primary research consisted of interviews with specialists along the automotive and tire supply chains. These data points were analyzed to provide estimates and forecasts for the electric vehicles markets by end-use sector, type, and region presented in Smithers Rapra market report, The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Tires to 2028.

What will you discover?

  • Comprehensive scoring and ranking of a variety of electric vehicle-related trends based on their forecast impact on the tire industry
  • Forecast scenarios across different aspects of the tire industry value chain - from materials supply, through to retail and marketing - identifying specific impacts that the electric vehicles megatrend will have on each sector
  • In-depth analysis of likely consumer, technology, regulatory and regional trends that will emerge over the forecast period of electric vehicle development

Who should buy this report?

  • Electric vehicle component suppliers
  • Automotive manufacturers
  • Tire raw material suppliers
  • Tire manufactures
  • Regulatory and legislative bodies
  • Industry consultants and analysts

Table of Contents

  • List of tables
  • List of figures
  • Executive summary

1. Introduction and methodology

  • Report scope
  • Report objective
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
  • Abbreviations
  • Geographical markets

2. Electric vehicle drivers and trends

  • Macro trends
    • Global environment and
    • CO2 emission targets
    • Existing technology and speed of change
    • Demographics
  • Passenger car/light goods vehicle market trends
    • Electric vehicle PC/LGV market trends
    • China: electric vehicle market trends
    • Japan: electric vehicle market trends
    • US: electric vehicle market trends
    • Autonomous vehicle developments
  • Passenger car manufacturers and their electric vehicle ambitions
  • Electric T&B market trends
  • Low-speed electric vehicle market trends
  • Electric two- and three-wheeler market trends
  • Tires for electric vehicles
    • Potential differentiating features of tires for electric vehicles
    • Tire construction and property interrelationships
    • Differences according to electric propulsion system and vehicle class
    • Differentiating features specific to the main vehicle types
    • Where are we with electric vehicle tires today?
  • Electric vehicle market drivers
    • Energy supply availability
    • Electric vehicle assortment
    • Public outreach and awareness activities
    • Integrating electric vehicles into fleets
    • Involvement of utilities

3. Ranking of electric vehicle trends and their impact on EV tire markets to 2028

  • Electric vehicles and impact on EV tire market sectors to 2028
    • Tire materials/components and manufacturing
    • Tire distribution
    • Tire retail
    • Tire marketing
    • Reduction of emissions, air and noise pollution and impact on EV tire market sectors
    • Advanced recharging infrastructure and impact on EV tire market sectors
    • Improving vehicle mileage range and impact on EV tire market sectors
    • Changing vehicle cost models and impact on EV tire market sectors
    • New regulations and government mandates and impact on EV tire market sectors
    • Other EV market trends and foreseen impact on tire market sectors

4. Regulations and government mandates and their impact on tire markets: 2018 and 2028

  • Reduction of emissions
    • Joint partnerships to reduce emissions
  • Air quality and particle pollution
  • External noise for silent vehicles
    • Japanese government guidelines for vehicle audible system
    • UNECE regulation on Quiet Road Transport Vehicles (QRTV)
    • China GB 7258-2017 regulation
  • NHSTA Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard
  • Overview of EV regulations, mandates and policies
  • C40 Fossil-Fuel-Free Streets Declaration
  • EU
    • ZeEUS programme for electric buses in the EU
    • France
    • Germany
    • The Netherlands
    • Nordic countries
    • The UK
  • China
    • Chinese environmental regulations
    • Other drivers for EV uptake in China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Thailand
  • US
  • Canada
  • Brazil

5. Advanced recharging infrastructure and its impact on EV tire market sectors: 2018 and 2028

  • Initiatives and targets for expansion of recharging infrastructure
  • Expansion of recharging infrastructure and related areas
    • Recharging time advancement and options
  • T&B recharging
  • Hydrogen fuelling infrastructure advancements
  • Discussion

6. Improvements in vehicle mileage range/battery cost and their impact on EV tire markets: 2018 and 2028

  • Improving EV mileage and batteries
    • Mobile power packs
    • Battery re-use/recycling
  • Discussion

7. Changing vehicle cost models and impact on EV tire markets: 2018 and 2028

  • Vehicle cost model overview
  • Vehicle cost model 2018 and 2028
  • Trends impacting vehicle cost models
  • Discussion

8. Opportunities and future outlook

  • Global tire market size - and where do fit?
    • Global tire market and 2018-28 growth
    • The current scenario for EV tires
    • Main trends affecting the global tire market irrespective of propulsion source
    • Developing scenario and vision for tires for EVs in 2028
    • Geographic differences
    • Will EVs make the tire market look any different in 2028?
    • Future requirements

9. Appendix

  • Online survey questionnaire

List of tables

  • E.1. Global tire demand by EV segment 2018-28 (OE + replacement + retreading), million units
  • E.2. Global tire demand by EV segment 2018-28 (OE + replacement + retreading), million US$
  • E.3. Average rated impact of EV trends on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years
  • E.4. Threats and opportunities throughout the value chain due to electrification
  • 2.1. Alternative energy sources
  • 2.2. Total EV PC/LGV new registrations forecast, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 2.3. Total EV PC/LGV new registrations forecast, 2018-28 by main geographical markets (million units)
  • 2.4. Advantages and disadvantages of electric vans
  • 2.5. FCEVs/BEVs comparison
  • 2.6. Selection of hydrogen fuel cell T&B projects, 2015-17
  • 2.7. Key reasons why autonomous vehicle developments will complement those impacts that only apply to EVs
  • 2.8. Key reasons why autonomous vehicle developments will supersede those impacts that only apply to EVs
  • 2.9. List of OEM announcements on electric car ambitions
  • 2.10. Challenges and drivers of electric bus growth
  • 2.11. Total T&B new registrations forecast by EV type, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 2.12. Total EV T&B new registrations forecast by main geographical markets, 2018 and 2028 (million units)
  • 2.13. Total EV T&B new registrations forecast by vehicle type, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 2.14. T&B segments and TCO parity perspective
  • 2.15. Summary of tire properties of most importance for EVs
  • 2.16. Property issues for the different electric propulsion systems
  • 2.17. Selection of EV tires available today (or soon to be introduced)
  • 2.18. Selection of silent tires available today
  • 3.1. Rated impact of EVs on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 3.2. Rated impact of emissions, air and noise pollution reduction on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 3.3. Rated impact of advanced recharging infrastructure on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 3.4. Rated impact of improving vehicle mileage range on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 3.5. Rated impact of changing vehicle cost models on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 3.6. Rated impact of new regulations and government mandates on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 4.1. Rated impact of the reduction of emissions, air and noise pollution on tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 4.2. Rated impact of new regulations and government mandates on tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 4.3. Regulations and government mandates/reduction of emissions, air and noise pollution and impact on EV tires in 2018
  • 4.5. Selected countries' targets for reducing CO2 emissions
  • 4.6. Mandatory application of minimum sound standards/AVAS for electrified vehicles
  • 4.7. Emissions standards for gasolinefuelled PCs/LGVs in South Korea
  • 4.8. US CAFE standards for PC/LGVs + T&B
  • 4.9. Overview of incentives applicable in selected Canadian provinces
  • 5.1. Rated impact of advanced recharging infrastructure on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 5.2. EV recharging infrastructure deployment targets
  • 5.3. Advanced recharging infrastructure and impact on EV tire market sectors, 2018 and 2028
  • 5.4. Selected charging strategies for electric buses
  • 6.1. Rated impact of improving vehicle mileage range on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 6.2. Improving vehicle range/EV battery characteristics and impact on EV tires in 2018 and by 2028
  • 7.1. Rated impact of changing vehicle cost models on EV tire market sectors over the next ten years - single answer
  • 7.2. Vehicle cost model trends and impact on EV tires, 2018
  • 7.3. Vehicle cost model trends and impact on EV tires by 2028
  • 8.1. Main tire sectors
  • 8.2. Total global tire demand by EV segment, 2018 (OE + replacement + retreading)
  • 8.3. Main external trends likely to impact EV tires
  • 8.4. Global EV PC/LGV OE tire sales by EV type, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.5. Global EV PC/LGV OE tire sales, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.6. Global EV PC/LGV parc, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.7. Global EV PC/LGV replacement tire sales, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.8. Global EV PC/LGV replacement tire sales, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.9. Global OE tire demand for EV trucks, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.10. Global OE tire demand for EV trucks, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.11. Global EV truck parc, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.12. Global replacement tire demand + retreading for EV trucks, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.13. Global replacement tire demand + retreading for EV trucks, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.14. Global OE tire demand for EV bus, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.15. Global OE tire demand for EV bus, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.16. Global EV bus parc, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.17. Global replacement tire demand + retreading for EV bus, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.18. Global replacement tire demand + retreading for EV bus, 2018-28 (million US$)
  • 8.19. Total global tire demand by EV segment, 2028 (OE + replacement + retreading)
  • 8.20. Total volume, global EV PC/LGV tire (OE + replacement) demand by EV type, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.21. Threats and opportunities throughout the value chain due to electrification
  • 8.23. Threats and opportunities for tire components suppliers due to electrification

List of figures

  • E.1. Total EV PC/LGV and T&B new registrations forecast, 2018-28 (million units) xviii
  • 2.1. Sales of passenger cars in key markets, 2000-50 (million units)
  • 2.2. Passenger cars in use by country, CAGR 2010-15
  • 2.3. EV cars (BEVs and PHEVs), new registrations 2005-16 (‘000 units)
  • 2.4. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), new registrations 2010-16 (‘000 units)
  • 2.5. Battery electric vehicles (BEVs), new registrations 2005-16 (‘000 units)
  • 2.6. Evolution of the global electric PC/LGV parc, 2005-16 (‘000 units)
  • 2.7. Total EV PC/LGV + T&B new registrations forecast, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 2.8. FCEV car parc % volume share by geographical market, 2017
  • 2.9. China, electric bus sales, 2014-17 (‘000 units)
  • 2.10. Electric bus fleets in Europe, 2017 (absolute numbers)
  • 2.11. Magic triangle
  • 2.12. Dissipated energy due to tires
  • 2.13. Origin of rolling resistance losses
  • 3.1. Geographical area in which survey respondents' company is most active (multiple answer question)
  • 6.1. BEV and PHEV battery pack price, 2010-16 (US $ per kWh)
  • 8.1. All EV and BEV PC/LGV parc, 2018-28 (million units)
  • 8.2. EV T&B parc, 2018-28 (million units)
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